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Here's my simple #Bitcoin strategy: each time $BTC dips between the 20-week and 50-week simple moving averages, that’s a value zone. It’s happened three times in this cycle and led to major rallies. Stay patient, buy that range, and only sell if $BTC closes below the 50-week SMA.

VirtualBacon

231,185 subscribers

140,344 views • 1 year ago •via X (Twitter)

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11 Comments

Folsom HODL1 year ago

No dark mode is criminal

Surya1 year ago

Smart strategy accumulate in the value zone, ride the breakout wave!

UnderstandBTC1 year ago

Why is everyone talking about Bitcoin? Governments, Companies, your neighbors, your kids. What is it? We can help you Understand Bitcoin in a easy, convenient, thorough 1-on-1 overview.

Arka Datta | AFI 🤖1 year ago

What's your btc Prediction?

SHIFT (Ex Auroca)1 year ago

besides TA, i will highly recommend sharing some hard values for why holding BTC long term is a very rational decision regardless of the short-term price action

Mr. kel1 year ago

Great analysis on bitcoin

Amec1 year ago

Great strategy! Leveraging the 20-week and 50-week SMAs to identify value zones is a smart move, especially given Bitcoin's historical patterns. With BTC currently at $105,114 and a market cap of $2.09 trillion, it seems like the market is still bullish despite recent dips.

GMDn 🇦🇷1 year ago

Nice analysis. I have a similar view for the medium term. I believe the scenario 3 I explain in this post will play out, which coincides with your PA analysis where we see Bitcoin going back ino 20-week SMA (Bull market support band)

rotar 🇵🇱😺⚽📈☕1 year ago

Good observation dude.💪

akashi seijūrō.1 year ago

@Rollup_News rollup

Dilli Crypto1 year ago

Don't get overwhelmed for a bit raise in #Crypto A drop till 97-100k is still possible #BTC Just wait and enter the market & hold your bags if you already entered. Patience is the key.

Related Videos

Watch the 20-week and 50-week simple moving averages on #Bitcoin. They help you spot strong value entries and confirm if the bull run is still on. As long as $BTC holds above the 50-week SMA on weekly closes, the uptrend remains intact.

Watch the 20-week and 50-week simple moving averages on #Bitcoin. They help you spot strong value entries and confirm if the bull run is still on. As long as $BTC holds above the 50-week SMA on weekly closes, the uptrend remains intact.

VirtualBacon

28,300 views • 1 year ago

#Bitcoin has fully decoupled from altcoins. The game plan is simple: 1️⃣Buy $BTC when it drops to the 20-week SMA ($95K) 2️⃣Hold as long as it stays above the 50-week SMA ($85K). This strategy has held through 3 major corrections. No altcoin drama, just clean $BTC strength.

#Bitcoin has fully decoupled from altcoins. The game plan is simple: 1️⃣Buy $BTC when it drops to the 20-week SMA ($95K) 2️⃣Hold as long as it stays above the 50-week SMA ($85K). This strategy has held through 3 major corrections. No altcoin drama, just clean $BTC strength.

VirtualBacon

110,168 views • 1 year ago

If #Bitcoin heads toward the 50-week SMA around 95K, expect major alts to follow. I'm watching $2K for $ETH, $140 for $SOL, and $1.80 for $XRP as value entries. These align with key Fibonacci retracement levels and $BTC stability. Not rushing, just waiting for confirmation.

If #Bitcoin heads toward the 50-week SMA around 95K, expect major alts to follow. I'm watching $2K for $ETH, $140 for $SOL, and $1.80 for $XRP as value entries. These align with key Fibonacci retracement levels and $BTC stability. Not rushing, just waiting for confirmation.

VirtualBacon

196,473 views • 1 year ago

Death cross = buy signal. 2022: BTC dropped to 20k, death cross confirmed that week. Buy one week later, you're near the bottom. 2018: same setup. Buy one week after confirmation, you get 3.5k BTC. If it confirms now it either means accumulation zone at 60-65k or a wick below the 200W SMA that marks THE bottom. Either way you want to be buying not running.

Death cross = buy signal. 2022: BTC dropped to 20k, death cross confirmed that week. Buy one week later, you're near the bottom. 2018: same setup. Buy one week after confirmation, you get 3.5k BTC. If it confirms now it either means accumulation zone at 60-65k or a wick below the 200W SMA that marks THE bottom. Either way you want to be buying not running.

VirtualBacon

94,049 views • 4 months ago

We’re currently in the biggest Bitcoin Bull Trap of this cycle. The breakout has already failed, and next week, $BTC will dump to $50,000. Stay patient and don’t become exit liquidity.

We’re currently in the biggest Bitcoin Bull Trap of this cycle. The breakout has already failed, and next week, $BTC will dump to $50,000. Stay patient and don’t become exit liquidity.

Lofty

29,610 views • 1 month ago

Strategy sold 3,588 BTC last week. That's 112x more than the 32 BTC they sold a few weeks ago (which freaked out the market). Here's what's happening and why they are doing this... 1. Last week = Strategy sold Last week, Strategy sold 3,588 BTC and used all of the proceeds ($216m) to fund dividend payments on their suite of preferred equities. Q2 dividend payments for STRF, STRK, STRD, and STRE... and June dividends for STRC. Notably, BTC price opened last week at $59.5k. Strategy sold 3,588 BTC over the course of the week, yet BTC price went up to $63.5k. 2. The bigger picture = Strategy is NET buying Strategy bought 85,296 BTC in Q2. Their combined selling for Q2 was 3,620 BTC (32 + 3,588). In other words, they bought 22.5x more BTC in Q2 than they sold. (For 2026 YTD numbers, Strategy has bought ~175k BTC and sold 3.6k BTC. That's a 48x ratio.) 3. The message in advance Weeks ago, Saylor explained what they are doing, in an interview with Michaël van de Poppe (see clip) "On occasion, we'll buy 20 Bitcoin & we'll sell 1 Bitcoin... Then the credit investors will give us enough to buy 20 more Bitcoin." Saylor further explained the strategic rationale of selling Bitcoin... "Our credit investors expect that we're going to support the credit dividend and pay it (and our asset is BTC)... 'will you sell some Bitcoin to pay us the money?' They expect me to say yes, because if I'm not going to pay the dividend, they're not going to buy the credit & the credit agency won't rate the credit." 4. What Strategy is doing Strategy is showing the market that they can and will sell BTC. They are doing this to gain access to more credit market capital... so that they can buy much more BTC. Saylor has recently asserted that it's important to "buy more Bitcoin than you sell." This is that in action. In Q2, they bought 85k BTC. They then used 3.5k BTC to fund the dividends on the Digital Credit that enabled them to buy 85k BTC. They bought 22.5 and sold 1. 5. What to expect next Saylor said they will "inoculate the market" by selling a little BTC. This is the second dose of inoculation. They will keep doing it until the market expects it and no longer reacts to it. They are not dumping their BTC treasury strategy for dollars. That is the click-bait headline for the uninformed. What they are telling you is that they plan to sell 1 BTC so they can buy 20 BTC. Over and over.

Strategy sold 3,588 BTC last week. That's 112x more than the 32 BTC they sold a few weeks ago (which freaked out the market). Here's what's happening and why they are doing this... 1. Last week = Strategy sold Last week, Strategy sold 3,588 BTC and used all of the proceeds ($216m) to fund dividend payments on their suite of preferred equities. Q2 dividend payments for STRF, STRK, STRD, and STRE... and June dividends for STRC. Notably, BTC price opened last week at $59.5k. Strategy sold 3,588 BTC over the course of the week, yet BTC price went up to $63.5k. 2. The bigger picture = Strategy is NET buying Strategy bought 85,296 BTC in Q2. Their combined selling for Q2 was 3,620 BTC (32 + 3,588). In other words, they bought 22.5x more BTC in Q2 than they sold. (For 2026 YTD numbers, Strategy has bought ~175k BTC and sold 3.6k BTC. That's a 48x ratio.) 3. The message in advance Weeks ago, Saylor explained what they are doing, in an interview with Michaël van de Poppe (see clip) "On occasion, we'll buy 20 Bitcoin & we'll sell 1 Bitcoin... Then the credit investors will give us enough to buy 20 more Bitcoin." Saylor further explained the strategic rationale of selling Bitcoin... "Our credit investors expect that we're going to support the credit dividend and pay it (and our asset is BTC)... 'will you sell some Bitcoin to pay us the money?' They expect me to say yes, because if I'm not going to pay the dividend, they're not going to buy the credit & the credit agency won't rate the credit." 4. What Strategy is doing Strategy is showing the market that they can and will sell BTC. They are doing this to gain access to more credit market capital... so that they can buy much more BTC. Saylor has recently asserted that it's important to "buy more Bitcoin than you sell." This is that in action. In Q2, they bought 85k BTC. They then used 3.5k BTC to fund the dividends on the Digital Credit that enabled them to buy 85k BTC. They bought 22.5 and sold 1. 5. What to expect next Saylor said they will "inoculate the market" by selling a little BTC. This is the second dose of inoculation. They will keep doing it until the market expects it and no longer reacts to it. They are not dumping their BTC treasury strategy for dollars. That is the click-bait headline for the uninformed. What they are telling you is that they plan to sell 1 BTC so they can buy 20 BTC. Over and over.

Jesse Myers

152,682 views • 1 day ago

My target for Bitcoin. First level: 65k. That's the previous all-time high. We're already there. If you buy the thesis, it's already time. Second level: 58k. The 200-week simple moving average. In 2020, the 200W SMA caught the COVID crash. In 2018, it marked the absolute bottom. In 2015, it was touched four times but never closed below on a weekly candle. This level has been one of the most reliable buying zones in Bitcoin's history. And right now it sits at 58k. You don't need to time the exact bottom. You need to be in the range.

My target for Bitcoin. First level: 65k. That's the previous all-time high. We're already there. If you buy the thesis, it's already time. Second level: 58k. The 200-week simple moving average. In 2020, the 200W SMA caught the COVID crash. In 2018, it marked the absolute bottom. In 2015, it was touched four times but never closed below on a weekly candle. This level has been one of the most reliable buying zones in Bitcoin's history. And right now it sits at 58k. You don't need to time the exact bottom. You need to be in the range.

VirtualBacon

165,906 views • 4 months ago

#Bitcoin needs to hold the 50 week SMA at 76K to stay in a bullish uptrend. A quick wick below is fine, like we saw in August 2024 with the bounce from 50K, but weekly closes must stay above. As long as this level holds, the structure of higher highs and higher lows remains intact, setting up for new highs.

#Bitcoin needs to hold the 50 week SMA at 76K to stay in a bullish uptrend. A quick wick below is fine, like we saw in August 2024 with the bounce from 50K, but weekly closes must stay above. As long as this level holds, the structure of higher highs and higher lows remains intact, setting up for new highs.

VirtualBacon

87,971 views • 1 year ago

#Bitcoin still looks strong across all timeframes. It's respecting key weekly moving averages like the 21W EMA and 50W SMA. Even with recent dips, we haven’t broken below last year’s support at $71K–$73K. This is just healthy volatility in a bull trend. There's no reason to be bearish, I'm still holding $BTC

#Bitcoin still looks strong across all timeframes. It's respecting key weekly moving averages like the 21W EMA and 50W SMA. Even with recent dips, we haven’t broken below last year’s support at $71K–$73K. This is just healthy volatility in a bull trend. There's no reason to be bearish, I'm still holding $BTC

VirtualBacon

67,229 views • 1 year ago

In gaming, AI, and memes, my top portfolio sectors, all my picks have clean setups. If $BTC dips again from here, I’ll look to scale into $SUPER, $TAO and $PEPE . All three have held these ranges multiple times. Easy value entries if we get the chance.

In gaming, AI, and memes, my top portfolio sectors, all my picks have clean setups. If $BTC dips again from here, I’ll look to scale into $SUPER, $TAO and $PEPE . All three have held these ranges multiple times. Easy value entries if we get the chance.

VirtualBacon

50,308 views • 1 year ago

$BTC strategy is simple: I’ll add at $108K and stay long as long as we hold $95K, the 50w SMA that defines the bull market floor. If you’re investing long-term, buying now works too, just monitor weekly as the 50w only trends higher. 📌Above it = bull run intact. 📌Below it = warning sign.

$BTC strategy is simple: I’ll add at $108K and stay long as long as we hold $95K, the 50w SMA that defines the bull market floor. If you’re investing long-term, buying now works too, just monitor weekly as the 50w only trends higher. 📌Above it = bull run intact. 📌Below it = warning sign.

VirtualBacon

87,673 views • 9 months ago

Easy $BTC strategy. Buy Bitcoin 365 after the cycle top. Sell Bitcoin 1065 days after the cycle bottom. Repeat.

Easy $BTC strategy. Buy Bitcoin 365 after the cycle top. Sell Bitcoin 1065 days after the cycle bottom. Repeat.

CryptoGoos

38,531 views • 17 days ago

My portfolio is 50–60% $BTC, with the rest split between $ETH, $SOL, and $XRP. You don’t need 30% in low caps to win. A strong large-cap base helps you stay steady during FOMO and corrections. If your portfolio nukes on a 3% BTC dip, you’re overexposed.

My portfolio is 50–60% $BTC, with the rest split between $ETH, $SOL, and $XRP. You don’t need 30% in low caps to win. A strong large-cap base helps you stay steady during FOMO and corrections. If your portfolio nukes on a 3% BTC dip, you’re overexposed.

VirtualBacon

144,725 views • 11 months ago

🔥SAYLOR CONFIRMS BITCOIN CAN BE SOLD Saylor says if Strategy equity trades above the net value of BTC, they sell the equity, not BTC. But if it trades below, they may sell BTC or BTC derivatives.

🔥SAYLOR CONFIRMS BITCOIN CAN BE SOLD Saylor says if Strategy equity trades above the net value of BTC, they sell the equity, not BTC. But if it trades below, they may sell BTC or BTC derivatives.

Coin Bureau

270,491 views • 7 months ago

"Bitcoin Is In A Bear Market & This Is Why It Feels Different" | Benjamin Cowen 00:00 Coming Up 3:07 Applying cautious optimism in Q4 6:17 Market topped on apathy, not euphoria 8:35 2019 top parallels current cycle 11:51 Alts bleeding against metals and BTC 14:30 BTC as relative flight to safety 18:20 Bull market currently in metals 23:38 Gold and silver outperforming alts 28:06 Possible counter-trend rally to 50-week 33:12 BTC’s 200-week moving average support 39:12 Buy post-midterms, sell Q4

"Bitcoin Is In A Bear Market & This Is Why It Feels Different" | Benjamin Cowen 00:00 Coming Up 3:07 Applying cautious optimism in Q4 6:17 Market topped on apathy, not euphoria 8:35 2019 top parallels current cycle 11:51 Alts bleeding against metals and BTC 14:30 BTC as relative flight to safety 18:20 Bull market currently in metals 23:38 Gold and silver outperforming alts 28:06 Possible counter-trend rally to 50-week 33:12 BTC’s 200-week moving average support 39:12 Buy post-midterms, sell Q4

The Wolf Of All Streets

86,946 views • 5 months ago

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Dan Gambardello

23,742 views • 25 days ago

JUST IN: $2 BILLION STRIVE CEO JUST SAID LIVE ON CNBC THAT EVERYONE SHOULD BUY THE #BITCOIN DIP RIGHT NOW "LAST 4 TIMES BTC HIT 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE IT WAS A GREAT TIME TO BUY" BUY THE DIP WHILE YOU STILL CAN 🔥

JUST IN: $2 BILLION STRIVE CEO JUST SAID LIVE ON CNBC THAT EVERYONE SHOULD BUY THE #BITCOIN DIP RIGHT NOW "LAST 4 TIMES BTC HIT 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE IT WAS A GREAT TIME TO BUY" BUY THE DIP WHILE YOU STILL CAN 🔥

The Bitcoin Historian

33,955 views • 29 days ago

Altcoins haven't outperformed $BTC for over two years. Even Solana’s trended down against #Bitcoin. This is a $BTC-led cycle. I'm holding mostly $BTC, with some $ETH, $SOL, and a few blue-chip alts. Altseason will come, but I'd rather rotate in when Bitcoin dominance drops.

Altcoins haven't outperformed $BTC for over two years. Even Solana’s trended down against #Bitcoin. This is a $BTC-led cycle. I'm holding mostly $BTC, with some $ETH, $SOL, and a few blue-chip alts. Altseason will come, but I'd rather rotate in when Bitcoin dominance drops.

VirtualBacon

95,774 views • 1 year ago

🚨 THIS $BTC STRATEGY IS STUPIDLY SIMPLE Buy 500 days BEFORE the halving. Do nothing. Sell 500 days AFTER the halving. Repeat. That’s literally it.

🚨 THIS $BTC STRATEGY IS STUPIDLY SIMPLE Buy 500 days BEFORE the halving. Do nothing. Sell 500 days AFTER the halving. Repeat. That’s literally it.

Rekt Fencer

28,333 views • 20 days ago

$Bitcoin Is Now In The $79,000–$82,000 Resistance Zone. The final bull trap is almost over. This bear cycle fractal is repeating perfectly again, and once support breaks, $BTC will dump to $52,000 next week. Save this chart and position accordingly.$

Bitcoin Is Now In The $79,000–$82,000 Resistance Zone. The final bull trap is almost over. This bear cycle fractal is repeating perfectly again, and once support breaks, $BTC will dump to $52,000 next week. Save this chart and position accordingly.

Crypto Lens

14,253 views • 1 month ago