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I just don’t see a future where Uber, Lyft, and even Waymo can compete with Tesla Robotaxi. As a passenger, there’s no experience close to what Cybercab provides. It’s cheaper than an Uber, and feels more like an extension of your living room than just a taxi ride. In...

54,855 görüntüleme • 7 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

33 Yorum

Tim Hoyer🚀 profil fotoğrafı
Tim Hoyer🚀7 gün önce

@robotaxi It’s called competition. And all three of them are going to remain.

Nigel Richardson profil fotoğrafı
Nigel Richardson7 gün önce

@robotaxi Plus Tesla’s business model - vertically integrated purpose built AV (not retrofitted with software/hardware) and running in its own ride hailing platform. Uber is blackberry and Jobs just announced the iPhone.

Julian 'PortuBrit' Gomes profil fotoğrafı
Julian 'PortuBrit' Gomes7 gün önce

@robotaxi The 10-second production claim sounds wild, but so did every Tesla target before it 🤷 In-house AI, batteries, compute... that vertical integration is why the others will struggle to match it. Waymo has the tech, but do they have the experience?

Kid Vegas 😈 profil fotoğrafı
Kid Vegas 😈7 gün önce

@robotaxi did you try and tip your ride? ;)

Zentrion profil fotoğrafı
Zentrion7 gün önce

@robotaxi The Cybercab ride video is useful on the passenger-experience question. The comparison with Uber and Waymo will come down to service consistency, pickup coverage, and the in-cabin experience—not just the fare.

Baron Bratby Photographer profil fotoğrafı
Baron Bratby Photographer7 gün önce

@robotaxi Ego has got the better of those who ran the companies. Their real value was always in the data being collected. They should have been working towards a collaboration with Tesla. Not seeking a battle they can only lose.

Ryan G profil fotoğrafı
Ryan G7 gün önce

@robotaxi Isn't Uber just a platform? Can't they just add Robotaxi and Waymos to the Uber App?

The AI Therapist profil fotoğrafı
The AI Therapist7 gün önce

@robotaxi The math is simple: 10% gross margin for Tesla vs. 65%+ for Waymo's C8 fleet once they stop burning cash on R&D. one sells hardware at a loss to sell software; the other sells rides because it’s cheaper than hiring you

Sub Mariner profil fotoğrafı
Sub Mariner7 gün önce

@robotaxi Uber and Lyft will survive a long while because some segment of the population will prefer human drivers and Waymo will never go away because it will evolve and change approaches and Google will fund it indefinitely.

Zentrion profil fotoğrafı
Zentrion7 gün önce

@robotaxi Cybercab’s differentiator is the full passenger experience: a purpose-built cabin, low operating cost, and Tesla’s FSD stack. The key test now is repeatable safety and service availability at scale.

JoAnne Songs profil fotoğrafı
JoAnne Songs7 gün önce

@robotaxi Tesla❤️

Andrew profil fotoğrafı
Andrew7 gün önce

@robotaxi The cabin is the easy part. A 45-minute Austin ride doesn't beat Uber's demand or Waymo's cities. Ten seconds a car is a factory target. Empty miles and the permit are the constraint. In-house batteries don't buy either.

Fede.Herbst profil fotoğrafı
Fede.Herbst7 gün önce

@robotaxi The living-room vibe is the underrated part. Price wins day one; comfort is what makes people ditch Uber for good.

WAi XeA profil fotoğrafı
WAi XeA7 gün önce

@robotaxi in-house production is doing more work than the ride-feel pitch.

Juan Cadavid profil fotoğrafı
Juan Cadavid7 gün önce

@robotaxi Agreed. It is obvious to me too.

Gary Dauphin profil fotoğrafı
Gary Dauphin7 gün önce

@robotaxi "I just don't see a future where Apple can compete with Nokia on cellphones...." -- Nokia.

fjalar profil fotoğrafı
fjalar7 gün önce

@robotaxi A 45-minute demo needs trip cost, pickup latency, and 100-trip cancellation data before beating Uber is measurable.

CYBERTAXI profil fotoğrafı
CYBERTAXI7 gün önce

@robotaxi No it cannot

Bob profil fotoğrafı
Bob7 gün önce

@robotaxi Tesla’s unit production cost must be much lower !

crea profil fotoğrafı
crea6 gün önce

@robotaxi Cabin comfort is marketing. The durable edge is the factory clock: battery, inference, and body on one line. Waymo buys cities; Tesla buys seconds of cycle time.

Dr D profil fotoğrafı
Dr D7 gün önce

@robotaxi I don't see a world where multiple airlines exist but here we are.

Tone profil fotoğrafı
Tone7 gün önce

@robotaxi Every time I see these in action it blows my mind.

fjalar profil fotoğrafı
fjalar7 gün önce

@robotaxi A 10-second production cycle needs a 99.9% uptime target and intervention rate per 100 rides to prove that edge.

Jaelyn Rae profil fotoğrafı
Jaelyn Rae7 gün önce

@robotaxi FSD is more than capable of blowing them away.

MindControl profil fotoğrafı
MindControl6 gün önce

@robotaxi 어휴! 테슬람 지겨워! 똥꼬 헐겄네

Ramond D profil fotoğrafı
Ramond D6 gün önce

@robotaxi 🤣🤣🤣 It's called money. Tesla can't spend like Google to globally expand. Google makes 4 times the money that Tesla makes, that's why Waymo is laying the infrastructure and scaling in 24 countries, and Tesla is not. Cash rules

Yodonald profil fotoğrafı
Yodonald7 gün önce

@robotaxi They need to scale

Kevin Puckett profil fotoğrafı
Kevin Puckett7 gün önce

@robotaxi They are Toast.

Onde Helge profil fotoğrafı
Onde Helge7 gün önce

@robotaxi You either know nothing or pretend not to.

ThankQTesla profil fotoğrafı
ThankQTesla6 gün önce

@robotaxi The cost side is the real story: no steering wheel or pedals, targeted production cost under $30K — vs ~$100K+ for a Waymo Jaguar with lidar. At that capex gap, Tesla can undercut every ride on miles-per-dollar. Great experience is just the cherry on top.

Eagle Eye profil fotoğrafı
Eagle Eye7 gün önce

@robotaxi do you keep an eye from time to time on the road or now you got used to it :)

Springblade 🇺🇸 profil fotoğrafı
Springblade 🇺🇸7 gün önce

@robotaxi How much did that 45 min ride cost?

notacapulet profil fotoğrafı
notacapulet7 gün önce

@robotaxi It's become clear to me that Robotaxi offers a more comfortable and confident drive than Waymo. I find it wild that they still require supervisors and Waymos are left to wander!

Benzer Videolar

I flew my drone through Austin while riding in a Tesla Cybercab. No driver. No steering wheel. No pedals. Nobody up front. I got in, set my temperature, pressed one button, and the car took me where I wanted to go. That’s it. The closest thing I can compare it to is an elevator. You don’t get into an elevator and think about who’s operating it. You press a button. The doors close. You arrive. Cybercab felt exactly like that… except it was moving me through Austin. And after experiencing it, I keep coming back to one thought... How does Uber compete with this long term? An Uber is still built around a human driver. You’re getting into somebody else’s car. Their music. Their smell. Their temperature. Their mood. Their driving style. Maybe they want to talk. Maybe they’re on the phone. Maybe they miss a turn. Maybe you just want to sit there quietly and get where you’re going. Cybercab removes all of that. The car pulls up. The doors open. You get in. Set the cabin the way you want it. Press Start Ride. And go. No awkward small talk. No tipping. No wondering who is picking you up. No driver needing to earn enough $ money from the trip. No business model built around constantly finding, paying, and managing millions of human drivers. Uber’s biggest asset today is its driver network. But in a world where the driver disappears… what happens to that advantage? Tesla builds the vehicle. Tesla builds the autonomy. Tesla controls the software. Tesla controls the app. Tesla can operate the network. And Cybercab itself was designed from day one around the passenger instead of around somebody sitting behind a steering wheel. That is a completely different model. Uber connects you with someone willing to drive you. Tesla is trying to make the driver unnecessary. Those are not the same game. And once Cybercabs become abundant, I'm talking in the millions, I think calling a stranger to come pick you up in their personal car is going to start feeling incredibly old-fashioned. That was the biggest thing I took away from riding Cybercab. It was how quickly every other ride-hailing company stopped feeling futuristic. After a few minutes, it just felt normal. And once transportation becomes that simple, I have a hard time seeing why anyone would choose anything else...

Teslaconomics

62,250 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce

The Cybercab is aiming to produce 2 million units per year. Let this sink in. Today, Tesla produces about ~1.7 million vehicles per year total, across its entire lineup. And now Tesla is preparing to outproduce that with one single vehicle, a fully autonomous one. This is Elon and Tesla going ALL-IN on autonomy. Production is scheduled to start April 2026 at Giga Texas, with volume ramping throughout the year. And as of early 2026, Cybercab prototypes are already being tested around the U.S. The Tesla Cybercab is built from the ground up for unsupervised autonomy. There is no steering wheel and no pedals, just cameras, AI, and Tesla’s custom inference computers. No lidar and radar like other companies, just pure vision and software. Elon put it best on the Q3 2024 earnings call: “It’s not just a revolutionary vehicle design, but a revolution in vehicle manufacturing that is also coming with the Cybercab.” That quote matters a lot bc that means the entire way a vehicle is manufactured is changing with the Cybercab. Tesla is designing what Elon calls “the machine that builds the machine.” The Cybercab uses Tesla’s unboxed manufacturing process, where major sections are built in parallel instead of one long assembly line. There are fewer parts, less steps & cost, and faster scale. That’s how you make 2 million Cybercabs per year possible. FYI, this is not going to be easy though. Elon has been brutally honest about production for many years: • “Prototypes are easy, production is hard.” • “The extreme difficulty of scaling production of new technology is poorly understood. It’s 1000% to 10,000% harder than making a few prototypes.” • “For cars, it’s maybe 100 times harder to design the manufacturing system than the car itself.” He reinforced this again in January 2026 when talking about Cybercab and Optimus on 𝕏: “Initial production is always very slow and follows an S-curve. The speed of the production ramp is inversely proportional to how many new parts and steps there are. For Cybercab and Optimus, almost everything is new, so the early production rate will be agonizingly slow - but eventually end up being insanely fast.” This is the key thing most people miss about Tesla manufacturing. Early output will be slow by design. Almost everything is new like the vehicle architecture, factory layout, AI hardware, and manufacturing flow. But once it works and clicks, it begins to scale hard. Tesla already proved they can do this. They survived Model 3 production hell. They turned Model Y into the BEST selling car in the world, of any kind. They ramped Cybertruck, which has over 30,000+ unique parts, to meaningful volume. Elon summed it up perfectly in 2024: “Compared to the insane pain of reaching high volume, positive margin production, prototypes are a piece of cake.” That’s why Tesla makes manufacturing look easy bc they already earned the scars from the last vehicle lineups. The Cybercab is aiming to be: 1/ Under $30,000 price 2/ ~$0.20 per mile operating cost 3/ 200+ mile range 4/ Up to 5x utilization vs personal cars 5/ Designed to run nearly nonstop 24/7 This is what you call manufacturing + AI + autonomy converging at scale. The competitors are still showing prototypes and demos, while Tesla is building new production lines, expanding factories, and actually building the product. I remember when Elon told me in the past that one of Tesla’s key advantage long term was going to be manufacturing technology. I get it now.

Teslaconomics

31,985 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Biggest warning I’ll give Tesla shorts right now. This time, you’re probably not going to get fucked by some classic short squeeze. You’re going to get fucked by being wrong about what Tesla becomes next. Look at the latest short-interest tape. As of the Aug 14 settlement: • 69,196,896 $TSLA shares short • ~2.2% of the float • 2.15 days to cover • ~$23.7 BILLION worth of stock short And the important part is that… Short interest peaked at 79.1M shares on June 30. So roughly 12.5% of those shorts had already been covered by August 14. So no… I’m NOT sitting here telling you that shorts are trapped. That’s not my thesis. My thesis is actually much more dangerous for a long-term Tesla short. What if they’re simply wrong? Wrong about autonomy. Wrong about Robotaxi. Wrong about Cybercab. And ultimately wrong about what Tesla’s earnings power could look like if this scales. Bc I’ve now watched this story go from something people laughed at… to something I personally rode in. My first Tesla Robotaxi ride in Austin was on launch day, June 22, 2025. Then I came back for the Cybercab launch on September 3, 2026. And it changed the way I look at Tesla. Cybercab isn’t something with Elon standing on a stage telling you what might happen five years from now. You can literally hail one. Pay for a ride. Get inside. There’s no steering wheel. No accelerator. No brake pedal. And it takes paying passengers through real Austin streets. Tesla itself now describes Cybercab as a fully autonomous, purpose-built two-seater in its Robotaxi fleet. That matters... Bc Tesla is no longer trying to prove that Robotaxi can exist bc it does exist. The next question is whether Tesla can scale it safely, economically and fast enough. And THAT is where I think shorts are massively underestimating the company. As of the latest Texas registry data, Tesla has 437 authorized vehicles in Texas - 388 Model Ys/49 Cybercabs It shows how quickly the fleet Tesla is preparing for commercial autonomy is growing. Now zoom out a bit. Tesla already lists more than 125,000 units of installed annual Cybercab manufacturing capacity in Texas. This is INSTALLED capacity. And Tesla calls Cybercab the “workhorse” of its Robotaxi fleet. Tesla spent most of its history making $ by building a vehicle and selling it once. Robotaxi opens a completely different model. Build the vehicle once. Then potentially monetize that same asset again. and again. and again. every time somebody takes a ride. Instead of only asking: “How many cars can Tesla sell this quarter?” You start asking: “How many autonomous miles can Tesla sell every day?” That is a MASSIVE change in the business model. And Cybercab is built specifically for that job. Not around a driver. Around the rider. If Tesla can bring those pieces together at scale, it has the potential to build a transportation network where the machine itself replaces THE largest costs in traditional ride-hailing: the human driver. Then there’s the flywheel. More Cybercabs. More geographic coverage. Shorter wait times. More rides. Higher fleet utilization. More recurring revenue. More capital to deploy even more vehicles. Tesla itself has told investors it expects hardware profits over time to be joined by accelerating AI, software and fleet-based profits. Does Tesla still have to execute? Absolutely. Regulation matters. Safety matters. Utilization matters. Manufacturing ramp matters. The economics have to work at scale. Those are legitimate risks, and anyone pretending otherwise isn’t being serious. But the serious Tesla short thesis can’t just be: “Elon promised autonomy before.” An actual bear now has to explain why a steering-wheel-free vehicle that is already carrying paying passengers won’t scale into a meaningful business. Tesla shorts are still betting against a car company, but I bet Cybercab is about to prove they’re shorting a transportation network.

Teslaconomics

34,223 görüntüleme • 17 gün önce