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.Kyle Conner makes some good points that the Cybercab is (obviously) designed for autonomous driving, and not manual driving: "It would be kind of bad to drive because you have massive A-pillars. The windshield doesn't come up very high. You sit way too far back, so clearly this is... show more

Sawyer Merritt

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548,656 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Franz in new Ride The Lightning podcast: “I daily drive the Cybertruck. I would not normally daily drive a truck in LA, but the vehicle is such a good riding vehicle. It’s nimble, the steering-by-wire is a technological feat that once you experience it you kinda down ever want to go back to a normal steering wheel. When you start to live with the truck, it’s so comfortable to drive around: I thought it would be a great truck for truck people, but what I’ve realized is I’m not necessarily a truck person, and a lot of people I know that have gotten a Cybertruck aren’t necessarily truck people.” Source:

Franz in new Ride The Lightning podcast: “I daily drive the Cybertruck. I would not normally daily drive a truck in LA, but the vehicle is such a good riding vehicle. It’s nimble, the steering-by-wire is a technological feat that once you experience it you kinda down ever want to go back to a normal steering wheel. When you start to live with the truck, it’s so comfortable to drive around: I thought it would be a great truck for truck people, but what I’ve realized is I’m not necessarily a truck person, and a lot of people I know that have gotten a Cybertruck aren’t necessarily truck people.” Source:

Sawyer Merritt

130,483 次观看 • 1 年前

Tesla's Cybercab, designed and produced for autonomous driving, runs on a highway in the United States. Cybercab's ultimate goal is designed exclusively for fully autonomous driving without steering wheels, pedals and brakes. With a two-seat, Cybertruck-style front design, it offers a futuristic design. Butterfly doors attract people's attention and efficiently preserve space when getting on and off. And it will probably be the most efficient electric vehicle of all time, and as mass production progresses, production costs will decrease, which is expected to create very high margins. Haste makes waste.. $TSLA

Tesla's Cybercab, designed and produced for autonomous driving, runs on a highway in the United States. Cybercab's ultimate goal is designed exclusively for fully autonomous driving without steering wheels, pedals and brakes. With a two-seat, Cybertruck-style front design, it offers a futuristic design. Butterfly doors attract people's attention and efficiently preserve space when getting on and off. And it will probably be the most efficient electric vehicle of all time, and as mass production progresses, production costs will decrease, which is expected to create very high margins. Haste makes waste.. $TSLA

Tsla Chan

37,461 次观看 • 2 个月前

Even if it’s the first time you are driving in the snow and ice, don’t be like this lady. She approached a decent hill while driving a rear wheel drive vehicle, she slows down to a crawl and starts to inch up the hill only to get stuck, she ended up having to back down the hill. Besides leaving the wipers on, what advice would you have given her for a situation like this?

Even if it’s the first time you are driving in the snow and ice, don’t be like this lady. She approached a decent hill while driving a rear wheel drive vehicle, she slows down to a crawl and starts to inch up the hill only to get stuck, she ended up having to back down the hill. Besides leaving the wipers on, what advice would you have given her for a situation like this?

SonnyBoy🇺🇸

185,811 次观看 • 6 个月前

💪 Ilia Topuria decided randomly to train outside in the park. "I thought it would be tougher, but actually I feel very comfortable. Justin, the good thing is that you're not going to suffer for too long. And the bad thing is that you're going to have to lose. But you're going to lose to a legend." via: UFC

💪 Ilia Topuria decided randomly to train outside in the park. "I thought it would be tougher, but actually I feel very comfortable. Justin, the good thing is that you're not going to suffer for too long. And the bad thing is that you're going to have to lose. But you're going to lose to a legend." via: UFC

MMA Pros Pick

99,766 次观看 • 1 个月前

Asmongold says Twitch should ban streaming and driving "My current opinion...Twitch should ban streaming and driving..the one instance..that would be ok would be, idk, u would have to get like a special..like a commercial driving license..should be a thing to where Twitch allows u to" "I'm biased..Nick and Esfand..I think they do it right..but the truth is, it's just not worth it..there are so many ppl that are streaming and driving, and they're reading their chat, they're looking at their reflection, they're talking, they're distracted from driving"

Asmongold says Twitch should ban streaming and driving "My current opinion...Twitch should ban streaming and driving..the one instance..that would be ok would be, idk, u would have to get like a special..like a commercial driving license..should be a thing to where Twitch allows u to" "I'm biased..Nick and Esfand..I think they do it right..but the truth is, it's just not worth it..there are so many ppl that are streaming and driving, and they're reading their chat, they're looking at their reflection, they're talking, they're distracted from driving"

yeet

17,761 次观看 • 2 天前

NEW: Detroit woman clearly driving her car during a court Zoom call tries gaslighting a judge by claiming she was *not* actually driving her car. Judge: You cannot be driving, ma'am. Woman: I'm not driving. I'm a passenger in a car... Judge: Am I crazy, or does it not look like you're driving that car? Woman: I'm not driving the car. Judge: What side of the car are you on? Woman: I'm on the left-hand side.

NEW: Detroit woman clearly driving her car during a court Zoom call tries gaslighting a judge by claiming she was not actually driving her car. Judge: You cannot be driving, ma'am. Woman: I'm not driving. I'm a passenger in a car... Judge: Am I crazy, or does it not look like you're driving that car? Woman: I'm not driving the car. Judge: What side of the car are you on? Woman: I'm on the left-hand side.

Collin Rugg

2,513,167 次观看 • 4 个月前

🐰 moa, would you get in the car (while i’m driving)? 🐰 do you want to ride in the passenger seat? 🐰but i got training from my uncle, aunt, older brother and older sister 🐰 the common thing everyone said was that i drive without any fear so i drive well bit it worries them a little 🐰 would you be able to handle that, moas? would you be able to ride with me? 🐰 apparently i don’t drive like a beginner, i drive like a veteran who has been driving for years so they’re worried i might cause accidents because i drive very fearlessly 🐰 really? you’d still ride with me? you dangerous people…

🐰 moa, would you get in the car (while i’m driving)? 🐰 do you want to ride in the passenger seat? 🐰but i got training from my uncle, aunt, older brother and older sister 🐰 the common thing everyone said was that i drive without any fear so i drive well bit it worries them a little 🐰 would you be able to handle that, moas? would you be able to ride with me? 🐰 apparently i don’t drive like a beginner, i drive like a veteran who has been driving for years so they’re worried i might cause accidents because i drive very fearlessly 🐰 really? you’d still ride with me? you dangerous people…

💬

125,784 次观看 • 1 年前

Elon Musk on the Cybercab: “The Cybercab does not have a steering wheel or pedals. This car either drives itself or it does not drive” No fallback. No human intervention. It’s pure autonomy And the scale is going to be enormous: “We would expect over time to make far more Cybercabs than all of our other vehicles combined”

Elon Musk on the Cybercab: “The Cybercab does not have a steering wheel or pedals. This car either drives itself or it does not drive” No fallback. No human intervention. It’s pure autonomy And the scale is going to be enormous: “We would expect over time to make far more Cybercabs than all of our other vehicles combined”

X Freeze

23,115 次观看 • 2 个月前

Shoutout to all the fools that keep saying the Tesla Cybercab will launch with a steering wheel and pedals! 🤣 "It does NOT have steering wheel or pedals. It either drives itself or it does not drive." - Elon Musk on the Tesla Cybercab

Shoutout to all the fools that keep saying the Tesla Cybercab will launch with a steering wheel and pedals! 🤣 "It does NOT have steering wheel or pedals. It either drives itself or it does not drive." - Elon Musk on the Tesla Cybercab

Teslaconomics

61,672 次观看 • 6 个月前

Elon Musk: Tesla's full self-driving will drive the single biggest asset value increase in history “It's not that full self-driving will be as good as a person. It will be much, much better, 10 times safer than a person. It's not even going to be a contest frankly. So this is a really big deal. Being able to do a software update and have several million cars suddenly go from manual driving to autonomous, I think will be the single biggest asset value increase in history. The normal usage of a passenger car is roughly 10 to 12 hours per week, call it maybe an hour and a half per day. When you drive around you see lots of cars just parked in parking lots because out of the 168 hours in a week, they're used less than 10%, maybe 7%. But once it is autonomous it can be used probably 50 hours a week, maybe more. So it is effectively a fivefold increase in the value of a car overnight. I'm actually surprised that so few people realize this, or maybe they just don't believe it's real, but it is. So, this is really an insanely big deal.” From: Tesla's 2023 Shareholder Meeting, May 16, 2023

Elon Musk: Tesla's full self-driving will drive the single biggest asset value increase in history “It's not that full self-driving will be as good as a person. It will be much, much better, 10 times safer than a person. It's not even going to be a contest frankly. So this is a really big deal. Being able to do a software update and have several million cars suddenly go from manual driving to autonomous, I think will be the single biggest asset value increase in history. The normal usage of a passenger car is roughly 10 to 12 hours per week, call it maybe an hour and a half per day. When you drive around you see lots of cars just parked in parking lots because out of the 168 hours in a week, they're used less than 10%, maybe 7%. But once it is autonomous it can be used probably 50 hours a week, maybe more. So it is effectively a fivefold increase in the value of a car overnight. I'm actually surprised that so few people realize this, or maybe they just don't believe it's real, but it is. So, this is really an insanely big deal.” From: Tesla's 2023 Shareholder Meeting, May 16, 2023

ELON CLIPS

13,424 次观看 • 1 年前

Elon Musk: Tesla will be the Airbnb for cars. “My prediction is that probably by the end of next year, we'll have probably hundreds of thousands, if not over a million Teslas doing self-driving in the U.S. Unsupervised full self-driving where you do not need to pay attention. We'll have a model that is kind of like some combination of Uber and Airbnb. If you're a Tesla owner, you'll be able to add or subtract your car to the fleet. So, just like an Airbnb, you could rent out your spare bedroom or rent out your house when you're not using it. And the same thing will be available for Tesla owners. So it's a way for Tesla owners to earn revenue. Instead of having your car sit in the parking lot, your car could be earning money.” From: CNBC Interview with David Faber, May 20, 2025

Elon Musk: Tesla will be the Airbnb for cars. “My prediction is that probably by the end of next year, we'll have probably hundreds of thousands, if not over a million Teslas doing self-driving in the U.S. Unsupervised full self-driving where you do not need to pay attention. We'll have a model that is kind of like some combination of Uber and Airbnb. If you're a Tesla owner, you'll be able to add or subtract your car to the fleet. So, just like an Airbnb, you could rent out your spare bedroom or rent out your house when you're not using it. And the same thing will be available for Tesla owners. So it's a way for Tesla owners to earn revenue. Instead of having your car sit in the parking lot, your car could be earning money.” From: CNBC Interview with David Faber, May 20, 2025

ELON CLIPS

397,152 次观看 • 7 个月前

🇺🇸 SPEAKER JOHNSON ON SHUTDOWN: “I REFUSE TO GO IN A BACK ROOM WITH CHUCK SCHUMER AND MAKE A DEAL” “When I became speaker, I vowed to my colleagues that we would return to regular order. I would decentralize the speaker's office, and it would not be a top-down, hoisted-upon-the-membership kind of program anymore. This is a member-driven, consensus-driven operation. That’s how the founders intended it to work. I refuse to go in a back room with Chuck Schumer and make a deal. I don’t operate that way. It’s not good for the people. It’s not good for financial stewardship. We’re $37 trillion in debt as a nation, because you have two or three or four people in a back room doing that.” Source: @ericdaugh, Speaker Mike Johnson

🇺🇸 SPEAKER JOHNSON ON SHUTDOWN: “I REFUSE TO GO IN A BACK ROOM WITH CHUCK SCHUMER AND MAKE A DEAL” “When I became speaker, I vowed to my colleagues that we would return to regular order. I would decentralize the speaker's office, and it would not be a top-down, hoisted-upon-the-membership kind of program anymore. This is a member-driven, consensus-driven operation. That’s how the founders intended it to work. I refuse to go in a back room with Chuck Schumer and make a deal. I don’t operate that way. It’s not good for the people. It’s not good for financial stewardship. We’re $37 trillion in debt as a nation, because you have two or three or four people in a back room doing that.” Source: @ericdaugh, Speaker Mike Johnson

Mario Nawfal

146,399 次观看 • 9 个月前

Driving at night on a lonely country road can be terrifying by itself. This man driving, trying to find his way back to the main road when he sees something on the left side of the road, when he tries to drive off he can hear it scratch at his door and try to grab the door handle. I know I would hit the gas and not look back in a situation like this, what would you do?

Driving at night on a lonely country road can be terrifying by itself. This man driving, trying to find his way back to the main road when he sees something on the left side of the road, when he tries to drive off he can hear it scratch at his door and try to grab the door handle. I know I would hit the gas and not look back in a situation like this, what would you do?

SonnyBoy🇺🇸

140,979 次观看 • 7 个月前

Sadly, driving in #Iran is already risky and challenging due to poor driving habits, but reckless high-speed chases like this are becoming far too common. Despite the danger, the police seem unable to stop it! How would the police in your country deal with this kind of driving?

Sadly, driving in #Iran is already risky and challenging due to poor driving habits, but reckless high-speed chases like this are becoming far too common. Despite the danger, the police seem unable to stop it! How would the police in your country deal with this kind of driving?

Living in Tehran (LiT)

11,068 次观看 • 11 个月前

There is no way this is a thing again 2k 😂 And now what? ima tell people that making a high driving dunk for a bigger standing dunk meter is a thing, then you'll probably patch that, but not the non functionality of driving dunk meters like us slashers have been asking. Crazy.

There is no way this is a thing again 2k 😂 And now what? ima tell people that making a high driving dunk for a bigger standing dunk meter is a thing, then you'll probably patch that, but not the non functionality of driving dunk meters like us slashers have been asking. Crazy.

LakerFan

1,677,394 次观看 • 2 年前

Using Tesla FSD and looking out at the road makes you realize that the majority of drivers out there are barely paying attention while they manually drive their vehicles. It is beyond frustrating that people do this, but the genie is out of the bottle now - I don’t think there’s anything society can do to convince people not to use their phones while driving. That is why self-driving needs to become the norm as soon as possible. Not only does it make YOU safer while using it, it makes it safer for everyone else on the road who is impacted by how you drive. I really hope insurance companies start to reduce rates for people who use autonomous driving features - I really think that would be a big motivator (money) for people to start using FSD.

Using Tesla FSD and looking out at the road makes you realize that the majority of drivers out there are barely paying attention while they manually drive their vehicles. It is beyond frustrating that people do this, but the genie is out of the bottle now - I don’t think there’s anything society can do to convince people not to use their phones while driving. That is why self-driving needs to become the norm as soon as possible. Not only does it make YOU safer while using it, it makes it safer for everyone else on the road who is impacted by how you drive. I really hope insurance companies start to reduce rates for people who use autonomous driving features - I really think that would be a big motivator (money) for people to start using FSD.

Devin Olsen

18,947 次观看 • 14 天前

My driver profile should be DELETED. I realized that the more I use FSD, the further back my seat has gone into a lounging position, not great for actual driving when I need to re-park. So, I set a manual driving profile that pushes my seat up and steering wheel closer. Hopefully just a temporary solution until Tesla nails unique parking scenarios. I want to manually park my car once and have it remember that exact spot every single time.

Owen Sparks

261,518 次观看 • 18 天前

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

Mario Nawfal

241,051 次观看 • 1 年前