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.Michael Nielsen provides another example of how the tech tree is far vaster than we realize, and how we won't really get to explore much of it at all, even over millions of years: Think about how many interesting biological technologies are downstream of the particular way in which...

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Dwarkesh Patel

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81,321 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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.Michael Nielsen made an incredibly interesting argument about why the tech tree is actually way larger than we realize, and how our descendants will get to explore very little of it.
2:04

.Michael Nielsen made an incredibly interesting argument about why the tech tree is actually way larger than we realize, and how our descendants will get to explore very little of it.

Dwarkesh Patel

105,972 次观看 • 4 个月前

.Matt Walsh to Russell Brand: "I think it's a shame that the discussion about slavery has turned into this ridiculous, white versus black thing, because if we could be more intelligent about it, there's an actually interesting question here, which is how could it be that for thousands of years, everyone in the world either practiced slavery or was okay with it, and it never occurred to anyone, even the greatest minds of history?"
3:47

.Matt Walsh to Russell Brand: "I think it's a shame that the discussion about slavery has turned into this ridiculous, white versus black thing, because if we could be more intelligent about it, there's an actually interesting question here, which is how could it be that for thousands of years, everyone in the world either practiced slavery or was okay with it, and it never occurred to anyone, even the greatest minds of history?"

Daily Wire

235,006 次观看 • 2 年前

Here’s How 1 McDonald’s Hamburger Contains 1300 Strands Of Different DNA. This Is The Result Of Going From Small Farms To Mega Corporations “We're pooling the bacteria from a thousand different animals” “Thousands of animals” contribute “to a single hamburger.” “This is a combo bin of meat. The meat in these boxes comes from many different animals and many different places. Some is even from overseas. All of it is ground together to make the juicy hamburger Americans love. Hamburger used to be the scraps left over from butchering just one cow.” But a significant change has occurred. Now parts of many cows are blended together by the ton. ‌ If we take the meat from one animal, grind it up and make ground beef from just one animal, we're including only the bacteria from one animal. But if we take the meat from a thousand different animals and grind that together, we're pooling the bacteria from a thousand different animals as well. So explain this to me, how many different cows would be in one burger? Well, I suspect that there are hundreds or even thousands of animals that have contributed to a single hamburger.”
1:02

Here’s How 1 McDonald’s Hamburger Contains 1300 Strands Of Different DNA. This Is The Result Of Going From Small Farms To Mega Corporations “We're pooling the bacteria from a thousand different animals” “Thousands of animals” contribute “to a single hamburger.” “This is a combo bin of meat. The meat in these boxes comes from many different animals and many different places. Some is even from overseas. All of it is ground together to make the juicy hamburger Americans love. Hamburger used to be the scraps left over from butchering just one cow.” But a significant change has occurred. Now parts of many cows are blended together by the ton. ‌ If we take the meat from one animal, grind it up and make ground beef from just one animal, we're including only the bacteria from one animal. But if we take the meat from a thousand different animals and grind that together, we're pooling the bacteria from a thousand different animals as well. So explain this to me, how many different cows would be in one burger? Well, I suspect that there are hundreds or even thousands of animals that have contributed to a single hamburger.”

Wall Street Apes

3,114,142 次观看 • 2 年前

Michael Truell says we're still early in automating software: "It's really easy at an executive level to underestimate just how far away we are from the limit of automating software." "I think that there's a really, really long way to go. There's a really long, messy middle." "We are in a market that's had an iPod moment, and it's going to have an iPhone moment and another iPhone moment. And I think that there have been a couple of those so far. I think that there are definitely more in the future." Michael Truell with martin_casado
0:49

Michael Truell says we're still early in automating software: "It's really easy at an executive level to underestimate just how far away we are from the limit of automating software." "I think that there's a really, really long way to go. There's a really long, messy middle." "We are in a market that's had an iPod moment, and it's going to have an iPhone moment and another iPhone moment. And I think that there have been a couple of those so far. I think that there are definitely more in the future." Michael Truell with martin_casado

a16z

56,052 次观看 • 2 个月前

“How many symptoms do you have to have before you go to the doctor?” They are about to replace illegal immigrants with your children in the fields. We have a much bigger and different problem than you realize. This is the end of an empire.
1:10

“How many symptoms do you have to have before you go to the doctor?” They are about to replace illegal immigrants with your children in the fields. We have a much bigger and different problem than you realize. This is the end of an empire.

MAGA Cult Slayer

372,996 次观看 • 1 年前

Vice President JD Vance: "If a 'SPACE ALIEN' comes to the earth & has Malicious intent, I don't know how we are supposed to tell the difference between that and a DEMON" 😱👽 "We are talking about two different types of beings that could exist outside The Earth" If there was a malicious attack on earth by an extraterrestrial civilisation, how are we to interpret whether this is reality or deception?
1:27

Vice President JD Vance: "If a 'SPACE ALIEN' comes to the earth & has Malicious intent, I don't know how we are supposed to tell the difference between that and a DEMON" 😱👽 "We are talking about two different types of beings that could exist outside The Earth" If there was a malicious attack on earth by an extraterrestrial civilisation, how are we to interpret whether this is reality or deception?

Interstellar

56,814 次观看 • 1 个月前

Faye and her team are the perfect example on how to run things the right way. Fabel has only been here for a few months and already achieved so much. No issues and if there was any feedback from the fans they listened and took actions. A team that genuinely cares about each other and the fans and it’s really showing. Many of us have trust issues because of how badly we have been treated by a different company but Fabel has made us feel seen and appreciated since the very beginning. I think it’s safe to say that we don’t have to worry about being mistreated here. Thank you to this team for stepping up when many of us were lost 💛
1:20

Faye and her team are the perfect example on how to run things the right way. Fabel has only been here for a few months and already achieved so much. No issues and if there was any feedback from the fans they listened and took actions. A team that genuinely cares about each other and the fans and it’s really showing. Many of us have trust issues because of how badly we have been treated by a different company but Fabel has made us feel seen and appreciated since the very beginning. I think it’s safe to say that we don’t have to worry about being mistreated here. Thank you to this team for stepping up when many of us were lost 💛

Kim 👻

13,893 次观看 • 1 年前

Really enjoyed chatting with Michael Nielsen about how we recognize scientific progress. It's especially relevant for closing the RL verification loop for scientific discovery. But it's also a surprisingly mysterious and elusive question when you look at the history of human science. We approach this question stories like Einstein (who claimed that he hadn't even heard of the famous Michelson-Morley experiment, which is supposed to have motivated special relativity, until after he had come up with the theory), Darwin (why did it take till 1859 to lay out an idea whose essence every farmer since antiquity must have observed?), Prout (how do you recognize that isotopes exist if you cannot chemically separate them?), and many others. The verification loop on scientific ideas is often extremely long and weirdly hostile. Ancient Athenians dismissed Aristarchus's heliocentrism in the 3rd century BC because it would imply that the stars should shift in the sky as the Earth orbits the sun. The first successful measurement of stellar parallax was in 1838. That's a 2,000-year verification loop. But clearly human science is able to make progress faster than raw experimental falsification/verification would imply, and in cases where experiments are very ambiguous. How? Michael has some very deep and provocative hypotheses about the nature of progress. One I found especially thought-provoking is that aliens will likely have a VERY different science + tech stack than us. Which contradicts the common sense picture of a linear tech tree that I was assuming. And has some interesting implications about how future civilizations might trade and cooperate with each other. So many other interesting ideas. Hope you enjoy this as much as I did. 0:00:00 – How scientific progress outpaces its verification loops 0:17:51 – Newton was the last of the magicians 0:23:26 – Why wasn’t natural selection obvious much earlier? 0:29:52 – Could gradient descent have discovered general relativity? 0:50:54 – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than us 1:15:26 – Are there infinitely many deep scientific principles left to discover? 1:26:25 – What drew Michael to quantum computing so early? 1:35:29 – Does science need a new way to assign credit? 1:43:57 – Prolificness versus depth 1:49:17 – What it takes to actually internalize what you learn Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, or Spotify.
2:03:03

Really enjoyed chatting with Michael Nielsen about how we recognize scientific progress. It's especially relevant for closing the RL verification loop for scientific discovery. But it's also a surprisingly mysterious and elusive question when you look at the history of human science. We approach this question stories like Einstein (who claimed that he hadn't even heard of the famous Michelson-Morley experiment, which is supposed to have motivated special relativity, until after he had come up with the theory), Darwin (why did it take till 1859 to lay out an idea whose essence every farmer since antiquity must have observed?), Prout (how do you recognize that isotopes exist if you cannot chemically separate them?), and many others. The verification loop on scientific ideas is often extremely long and weirdly hostile. Ancient Athenians dismissed Aristarchus's heliocentrism in the 3rd century BC because it would imply that the stars should shift in the sky as the Earth orbits the sun. The first successful measurement of stellar parallax was in 1838. That's a 2,000-year verification loop. But clearly human science is able to make progress faster than raw experimental falsification/verification would imply, and in cases where experiments are very ambiguous. How? Michael has some very deep and provocative hypotheses about the nature of progress. One I found especially thought-provoking is that aliens will likely have a VERY different science + tech stack than us. Which contradicts the common sense picture of a linear tech tree that I was assuming. And has some interesting implications about how future civilizations might trade and cooperate with each other. So many other interesting ideas. Hope you enjoy this as much as I did. 0:00:00 – How scientific progress outpaces its verification loops 0:17:51 – Newton was the last of the magicians 0:23:26 – Why wasn’t natural selection obvious much earlier? 0:29:52 – Could gradient descent have discovered general relativity? 0:50:54 – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than us 1:15:26 – Are there infinitely many deep scientific principles left to discover? 1:26:25 – What drew Michael to quantum computing so early? 1:35:29 – Does science need a new way to assign credit? 1:43:57 – Prolificness versus depth 1:49:17 – What it takes to actually internalize what you learn Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, or Spotify.

Dwarkesh Patel

291,443 次观看 • 4 个月前

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang on the future of artificial intelligence: "It is going to be largely optimistic, largely wonderful. There are some use cases that we have to be extremely careful about—as in all great technology. If you look at the progress of technology over the years, electricity, the internet, computers, the automobile, I think we can all, all accept that in each one of those cases, there are situations and cases where we have to be very careful about. So as the creators of this technology, the industry has to be mindful, thoughtful, rigorous about building and advancing this technology properly. This is the first technology in my generation where we invented a new computer technology where it's easier to access than not. For example the computer until now has been programmable for about 30 million people in the world. About 30 million of us know how to program it and apply it to some useful career. Now everybody in the world can program an AI. You just go up to it and just say, 'I'd like to, you know, ask you to do something.' If you're not sure how to use AI, you tell the AI, 'I don't know how to use AI. Tell me how to use AI. How do I, how do I write a program? How do I book a trip? How do I do a research?' And so we've closed the technology divide tremendously, and that's something that's really important to recognize."
1:28

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang on the future of artificial intelligence: "It is going to be largely optimistic, largely wonderful. There are some use cases that we have to be extremely careful about—as in all great technology. If you look at the progress of technology over the years, electricity, the internet, computers, the automobile, I think we can all, all accept that in each one of those cases, there are situations and cases where we have to be very careful about. So as the creators of this technology, the industry has to be mindful, thoughtful, rigorous about building and advancing this technology properly. This is the first technology in my generation where we invented a new computer technology where it's easier to access than not. For example the computer until now has been programmable for about 30 million people in the world. About 30 million of us know how to program it and apply it to some useful career. Now everybody in the world can program an AI. You just go up to it and just say, 'I'd like to, you know, ask you to do something.' If you're not sure how to use AI, you tell the AI, 'I don't know how to use AI. Tell me how to use AI. How do I, how do I write a program? How do I book a trip? How do I do a research?' And so we've closed the technology divide tremendously, and that's something that's really important to recognize."

Ryan Saavedra

20,105 次观看 • 2 个月前

Bob Lazar: "There is at least one Alien Civilization visiting us - We are not top of the food chain" 👽 Bob Lazar has a striking take on UFOs. I don't think there are that many civilizations visiting us. There's no doubt there's one from somewhere, another planet, another time or another dimension. Someone else is here. We're not at the top of the pyramid. This clip will make you rethink what we know about aliens. What do you think? Do you believe Bob Lazar? How many civilizations do you think are visiting Earth?
1:06

Bob Lazar: "There is at least one Alien Civilization visiting us - We are not top of the food chain" 👽 Bob Lazar has a striking take on UFOs. I don't think there are that many civilizations visiting us. There's no doubt there's one from somewhere, another planet, another time or another dimension. Someone else is here. We're not at the top of the pyramid. This clip will make you rethink what we know about aliens. What do you think? Do you believe Bob Lazar? How many civilizations do you think are visiting Earth?

Interstellar

24,711 次观看 • 4 个月前

ELON: I HAVE YET TO SEE ANY EVIDENCE OF ALIENS—AND I’M REALLY DEEP IN SPACE ”What does it all mean? Where do we come from? Where are we going? Where does this all end up? What's real? Are there aliens? I have yet to see any actual evidence of aliens, and I'm really deep in space. If there is some actual evidence of aliens or an actual UFO, I'll be there in a second. Are we talking about bodies here, is it a UFO? Is there advanced technology? That would be very interesting. Hopefully, they're friendly. If they manage to get all the way here from another star system, their technology is going to be far inaccessible. We're primitive compared to them.” Source: Interview with Zuby, June 27, 2023
0:51

ELON: I HAVE YET TO SEE ANY EVIDENCE OF ALIENS—AND I’M REALLY DEEP IN SPACE ”What does it all mean? Where do we come from? Where are we going? Where does this all end up? What's real? Are there aliens? I have yet to see any actual evidence of aliens, and I'm really deep in space. If there is some actual evidence of aliens or an actual UFO, I'll be there in a second. Are we talking about bodies here, is it a UFO? Is there advanced technology? That would be very interesting. Hopefully, they're friendly. If they manage to get all the way here from another star system, their technology is going to be far inaccessible. We're primitive compared to them.” Source: Interview with Zuby, June 27, 2023

Mario Nawfal

159,626 次观看 • 1 年前

How many of the big ideas of the past 15 years of AI are downstream of hardware constraints? The big hardware story over that period is that logic has become way cheaper than data transfer. Stacking huge numbers of matrix multiplies was perfect for this hardware regime, because matrix multiplication is logic-intensive but requires less data transfer. And so we got matmul-heavy deep learning. It's interesting to think about what AI would look like in a world where these costs didn't diverge so much.
1:12

How many of the big ideas of the past 15 years of AI are downstream of hardware constraints? The big hardware story over that period is that logic has become way cheaper than data transfer. Stacking huge numbers of matrix multiplies was perfect for this hardware regime, because matrix multiplication is logic-intensive but requires less data transfer. And so we got matmul-heavy deep learning. It's interesting to think about what AI would look like in a world where these costs didn't diverge so much.

Dwarkesh Patel

61,147 次观看 • 2 个月前

I remember watching BANTU chanting “ Nzogbu “ many years ago as a pre-teen in macarthy Barracks and thinking about Nigerians in the west making music on fusion sounds. There are so many of them that made their music different from the everyday norm which was quite interesting to see growing up. Today, here we are…
0:56

I remember watching BANTU chanting “ Nzogbu “ many years ago as a pre-teen in macarthy Barracks and thinking about Nigerians in the west making music on fusion sounds. There are so many of them that made their music different from the everyday norm which was quite interesting to see growing up. Today, here we are…

V

14,051 次观看 • 1 年前

Arsenal fans can be funny. We all know how Jorginho is the laziest midfielder of all time.. He played at Chelsea and I know what I'm talking about! Again it's clear how Bruno Guimarães is fighting for the ball... These incedences are far different from Gabriel Maghales slaps!!
1:03

Arsenal fans can be funny. We all know how Jorginho is the laziest midfielder of all time.. He played at Chelsea and I know what I'm talking about! Again it's clear how Bruno Guimarães is fighting for the ball... These incedences are far different from Gabriel Maghales slaps!!

Leah

114,184 次观看 • 11 个月前

From King Charles Christmas message: "As I meet people of different faiths I find it enrmously encouraging to hear about how much we have in common" "A shared longing for peace" "And a deep respect for all life" "IF we can spend time in our journey of life to think of these virtues, we can all make the future more hopeful" Well said 👏
1:53

From King Charles Christmas message: "As I meet people of different faiths I find it enrmously encouraging to hear about how much we have in common" "A shared longing for peace" "And a deep respect for all life" "IF we can spend time in our journey of life to think of these virtues, we can all make the future more hopeful" Well said 👏

Farrukh

35,281 次观看 • 8 个月前

The most interesting Scottish election commentary yesterday from Ailsa Henderson. Some good pointers for what the “independence majority” should do, at least in terms of tone, next: “I’m not talking about the rights and wrongs of holding a referendum or of independence, but just how people react to the issue. And we pick up in the data frustration about the way in which the constitutional issue has pushed other issues off the agenda. We absolutely see that in the data. But one thing we also see is that the Scottish electorate is much less nostalgic than the English electorate. And the same is true in Northern Ireland as well. And the thinking is that by having these important debates about our constitutional future, yes, they may well crowd out debates about how to improve education or how to improve health. But they also do shift our temporal focus from thinking about the glory days that we used to have to thinking about how can we build a different future. And regardless of what side of the constitutional debate you’re on, that shift in temporal framing does change the mindset. As a result, the Scottish electorate is also much less angry than the English electorate…”
1:00

The most interesting Scottish election commentary yesterday from Ailsa Henderson. Some good pointers for what the “independence majority” should do, at least in terms of tone, next: “I’m not talking about the rights and wrongs of holding a referendum or of independence, but just how people react to the issue. And we pick up in the data frustration about the way in which the constitutional issue has pushed other issues off the agenda. We absolutely see that in the data. But one thing we also see is that the Scottish electorate is much less nostalgic than the English electorate. And the same is true in Northern Ireland as well. And the thinking is that by having these important debates about our constitutional future, yes, they may well crowd out debates about how to improve education or how to improve health. But they also do shift our temporal focus from thinking about the glory days that we used to have to thinking about how can we build a different future. And regardless of what side of the constitutional debate you’re on, that shift in temporal framing does change the mindset. As a result, the Scottish electorate is also much less angry than the English electorate…”

Pat Kane

22,908 次观看 • 3 个月前

Shuler: If you think about every industrial revolution we’ve been through, working people have helped us make that transition. It’s really because we’ve helped tame the technology and figured out how to use it in the most effective way. So I think your question about augmentation versus replacement is the big question we have. If we can all agree that this is about making our jobs better, safer, easier, and more productive, then we’re all in. But if you’re looking to de-skill, dehumanize, and replace workers, to put people out on the street with no path forward, then absolutely you’re going to have a revolution. So I think that’s something we all need to be very real about and think seriously about. If we’re going to have productivity gains, working people—the ones who make these industries happen—need to share in that. There hasn’t been a lot of discussion about that here. Of course, in terms of how we create policies, how we create tax infrastructure, whether or not we are redistributing—yes, that word is a dirty word around here—we need to talk about it and confront how we’re going to make sure working people share in the gains of these technologies. And if you look at the numbers of jobs, let’s talk about job quality. Yes, maybe there are a lot of jobs created, but what kind of jobs are we talking about? Are they jobs that can sustain a family? Is it a job where people can actually work one job? One job should be enough.
1:40

Shuler: If you think about every industrial revolution we’ve been through, working people have helped us make that transition. It’s really because we’ve helped tame the technology and figured out how to use it in the most effective way. So I think your question about augmentation versus replacement is the big question we have. If we can all agree that this is about making our jobs better, safer, easier, and more productive, then we’re all in. But if you’re looking to de-skill, dehumanize, and replace workers, to put people out on the street with no path forward, then absolutely you’re going to have a revolution. So I think that’s something we all need to be very real about and think seriously about. If we’re going to have productivity gains, working people—the ones who make these industries happen—need to share in that. There hasn’t been a lot of discussion about that here. Of course, in terms of how we create policies, how we create tax infrastructure, whether or not we are redistributing—yes, that word is a dirty word around here—we need to talk about it and confront how we’re going to make sure working people share in the gains of these technologies. And if you look at the numbers of jobs, let’s talk about job quality. Yes, maybe there are a lot of jobs created, but what kind of jobs are we talking about? Are they jobs that can sustain a family? Is it a job where people can actually work one job? One job should be enough.

Acyn

41,942 次观看 • 7 个月前

We recently shared a case study of 30 different clinics throughout Europe utilizing our tech stack to be able to conduct clinical investigations in the medical space. In this particular example, as with many others, there are laws that prohibit the disclosure of certain types of data across national boundaries, across institutional boundaries, and about specific patients in a medical context. However, because of our tech stack’s flexibility and the disclosures and selective disclosure, these clinical investigators are able to perform medical research on this data that otherwise would be impossible to share and to aggregate to be able to achieve such an outcome. In addition to enabling better experiences for things like airdrops, ensuring that bots and sybils are not receiving tokens, our tech stack is also enabling the frontier of science to move forward in places where it is otherwise blocked. My challenge to the questions of the privacy paradox around what we're discussing here is the plethora of use cases where the immense amount of value on the other end far outweighs a question of personal preference or immediate value exchange. I would like to know: How often do you think about those larger scale use cases versus individual interactions when you think about privacy? Source: Billions CEO Evin McMullen evin speaking at House of Chimera Spaces Event Dec 3, 2025
1:28

We recently shared a case study of 30 different clinics throughout Europe utilizing our tech stack to be able to conduct clinical investigations in the medical space. In this particular example, as with many others, there are laws that prohibit the disclosure of certain types of data across national boundaries, across institutional boundaries, and about specific patients in a medical context. However, because of our tech stack’s flexibility and the disclosures and selective disclosure, these clinical investigators are able to perform medical research on this data that otherwise would be impossible to share and to aggregate to be able to achieve such an outcome. In addition to enabling better experiences for things like airdrops, ensuring that bots and sybils are not receiving tokens, our tech stack is also enabling the frontier of science to move forward in places where it is otherwise blocked. My challenge to the questions of the privacy paradox around what we're discussing here is the plethora of use cases where the immense amount of value on the other end far outweighs a question of personal preference or immediate value exchange. I would like to know: How often do you think about those larger scale use cases versus individual interactions when you think about privacy? Source: Billions CEO Evin McMullen evin speaking at House of Chimera Spaces Event Dec 3, 2025

Billions Network

69,337 次观看 • 9 个月前

We asked rahul about the global reach of @ChatGPTApp and the emphasis on personality in AI models. "When you want to get to the one to like the remaining 90% of the users, do you want a model that thinks for longer? You want more personality?" "They definitely leaned in on personality, which I think is interesting." "It's kind of different than a (social media) feed in some ways because you have this person you talk to. It's like a relationship and then it just switches up on how it talks to you."
0:50

We asked rahul about the global reach of @ChatGPTApp and the emphasis on personality in AI models. "When you want to get to the one to like the remaining 90% of the users, do you want a model that thinks for longer? You want more personality?" "They definitely leaned in on personality, which I think is interesting." "It's kind of different than a (social media) feed in some ways because you have this person you talk to. It's like a relationship and then it just switches up on how it talks to you."

TBPN

92,172 次观看 • 1 年前