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$MSTR With the current weakness across Strategy’s securities and Bitcoin itself, now might be a good time to revisit how management is likely thinking through the coming weeks. A few things stand out. • The June 30th $STRC dividend obligation is coming up. • While $STRC remains well below...

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Zaid 🟧

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15,329 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Literally my whole timeline is about Michael Saylor selling 32 BTC, which leaves them with JUST 843,706. What I do find interesting is the reasoning behind selling 32 BTC. And let me tell you what I think the reason is: $MSTR is so focused on $STRC lately, and a lot of the noise comes from people thinking they won't pay their holders the dividend. Saylor posted his "Working Better" post and the next few posts were about $STRC. First about maintaining the dividend rate at 11.50%. The second post "Our goal is to make $STRC the best credit instrument in the world." Strategy isn't panic selling Bitcoin because they're about to go down. They're selling to reassure STRC holders that Strategy WILL pay you the dividend. Panic over 0.004% of holdings is peak noise. They're paying STRC holders what they promised so the capital machine keeps fueling more Bitcoin.
2:28

Literally my whole timeline is about Michael Saylor selling 32 BTC, which leaves them with JUST 843,706. What I do find interesting is the reasoning behind selling 32 BTC. And let me tell you what I think the reason is: $MSTR is so focused on $STRC lately, and a lot of the noise comes from people thinking they won't pay their holders the dividend. Saylor posted his "Working Better" post and the next few posts were about $STRC. First about maintaining the dividend rate at 11.50%. The second post "Our goal is to make $STRC the best credit instrument in the world." Strategy isn't panic selling Bitcoin because they're about to go down. They're selling to reassure STRC holders that Strategy WILL pay you the dividend. Panic over 0.004% of holdings is peak noise. They're paying STRC holders what they promised so the capital machine keeps fueling more Bitcoin.

Marc ₿

143,335 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

$MSTR “I have an idea for $30 trillion.” “We have $60 billion of capital. We could buy anything.” - Michael Saylor $STRC is the multi-trillion-dollar idea. It’s the product Strategy is here to build. It’s also why investing in this company requires a genuinely long time horizon. $STRC has already attracted over $10 billion of capital, but if management is right, it’s still in the very early stages of its journey. Each year of consistent execution, each expansion into the credit markets, and each disciplined capital allocation decision strengthens the structure. As long as the company remains focused on accumulating Bitcoin and strengthening digital credit, I don’t believe there is a more compelling idea for management to pursue. This is the strategy. This is the multi-trillion-dollar bet. This is what you’re ultimately investing in. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC
1:52

$MSTR “I have an idea for $30 trillion.” “We have $60 billion of capital. We could buy anything.” - Michael Saylor $STRC is the multi-trillion-dollar idea. It’s the product Strategy is here to build. It’s also why investing in this company requires a genuinely long time horizon. $STRC has already attracted over $10 billion of capital, but if management is right, it’s still in the very early stages of its journey. Each year of consistent execution, each expansion into the credit markets, and each disciplined capital allocation decision strengthens the structure. As long as the company remains focused on accumulating Bitcoin and strengthening digital credit, I don’t believe there is a more compelling idea for management to pursue. This is the strategy. This is the multi-trillion-dollar bet. This is what you’re ultimately investing in. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

16,422 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

$MSTR How does Strategy defend the peg on $STRC if a large seller were to dump? The answer was remarkably simple. The instrument defends itself. That is the design. If you want the best takeaway from today’s call, it’s probably Michael Saylor explaining the mechanics of defending $STRC in the video below. It’s something I had thought about often. But it is incredible how Saylor manages to simplify it and make it make complete sense. As long as Strategy maintains its consistency and its focus on $STRC as its flagship product, the instrument remains remarkably stable. And the reason is the relationships and the pools of capital that surround it. If a large seller pulls $STRC below the peg on any given day, that creates an opportunity for a hedge fund to step in and capture the move back up, knowing Strategy will deploy its resources to restore it. And all of this happens while retail interest continues to pour in from buyers who are not here to hedge. Every large seller is met with another buyer who sees value. The capital base only grows wider over time. This should tell Strategy investors exactly why the company has placed $STRC at the front of everything it does. It now understands just how rigid and stable this instrument is built to be. The more you understand the design, the harder it is to bet against it. $BTC $MSTR $STRC
2:50

$MSTR How does Strategy defend the peg on $STRC if a large seller were to dump? The answer was remarkably simple. The instrument defends itself. That is the design. If you want the best takeaway from today’s call, it’s probably Michael Saylor explaining the mechanics of defending $STRC in the video below. It’s something I had thought about often. But it is incredible how Saylor manages to simplify it and make it make complete sense. As long as Strategy maintains its consistency and its focus on $STRC as its flagship product, the instrument remains remarkably stable. And the reason is the relationships and the pools of capital that surround it. If a large seller pulls $STRC below the peg on any given day, that creates an opportunity for a hedge fund to step in and capture the move back up, knowing Strategy will deploy its resources to restore it. And all of this happens while retail interest continues to pour in from buyers who are not here to hedge. Every large seller is met with another buyer who sees value. The capital base only grows wider over time. This should tell Strategy investors exactly why the company has placed $STRC at the front of everything it does. It now understands just how rigid and stable this instrument is built to be. The more you understand the design, the harder it is to bet against it. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

27,390 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

$MSTR It looks increasingly likely that some Bitcoin has been sold to help fund the upcoming $STRC dividend payment on May 31st. And honestly, if you’ve been following the company closely, this shouldn’t come as a surprise. Both Saylor and Phong have repeatedly hinted since the earnings call that Bitcoin sales were now part of the company’s available capital allocation levers. Given that $MSTR hasn’t exactly been trading in strength, utilizing some of the unrealized tax losses tied to higher-cost-basis Bitcoin purchases, while that window still exists, actually makes a lot of sense. (Credit to ₿itcoin ₿eliever who’s put out extensive work predicting this) Personally, I think it’s a good decision. It shows the evolution of the company and its willingness to actively utilize another lever from its evolving playbook, which ultimately only strengthens its capital market operations over time. That said, if a Bitcoin sale is officially announced next week, shareholders should probably prepare for the narrative that follows. The headlines will inevitably paint it negatively. The bears will claim it’s over. And X will most certainly become a colorful place for a couple weeks. But nothing changes fundamentally. The company is still well on its way to becoming the largest Bitcoin holder on the planet and remains on track to approach the 1 million mark sometime this year. Interesting times ahead. $BTC $MSTR $STRC
0:40

$MSTR It looks increasingly likely that some Bitcoin has been sold to help fund the upcoming $STRC dividend payment on May 31st. And honestly, if you’ve been following the company closely, this shouldn’t come as a surprise. Both Saylor and Phong have repeatedly hinted since the earnings call that Bitcoin sales were now part of the company’s available capital allocation levers. Given that $MSTR hasn’t exactly been trading in strength, utilizing some of the unrealized tax losses tied to higher-cost-basis Bitcoin purchases, while that window still exists, actually makes a lot of sense. (Credit to ₿itcoin ₿eliever who’s put out extensive work predicting this) Personally, I think it’s a good decision. It shows the evolution of the company and its willingness to actively utilize another lever from its evolving playbook, which ultimately only strengthens its capital market operations over time. That said, if a Bitcoin sale is officially announced next week, shareholders should probably prepare for the narrative that follows. The headlines will inevitably paint it negatively. The bears will claim it’s over. And X will most certainly become a colorful place for a couple weeks. But nothing changes fundamentally. The company is still well on its way to becoming the largest Bitcoin holder on the planet and remains on track to approach the 1 million mark sometime this year. Interesting times ahead. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

98,664 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚀WHAT PRICE WILL MSTR BE AT $1 MILLION BITCOIN?🚀 I handicapped the absolute hell out of this model. Bitcoin rises from $65,993 to $1,000,000 over 8 full years. The entire STR preferred stack remains at a 12% dividend rate for all 96 months. The rate never declines. MSTR common stock is issued to fund every dollar of dividends, so shareholders absorb the dilution. No additional debt is added. No MSTR is sold at a premium to acquire Bitcoin... EVER. mNAV is only permitted to rise modestly as STRC scales. Strategy has already raised approximately $16.4 billion in 2026 through July 19, a roughly $29.9 billion annualized pace. Yet these scenarios allow only $0 to $6 billion of annual STRC issuance: $0/month - no STRC ever issued | 1.023× mNAV | $2,100 MSTR | 21.08× return | 1.39× Bitcoin’s multiple (+39%) $100M/month | $1.2B/year, 4% of current pace | 1.10× mNAV | $2,292 MSTR | 23.01× | 1.52× Bitcoin (+52%) $200M/month | $2.4B/year, 8% of pace | 1.20× mNAV | $2,540 MSTR | 25.50× | 1.68× Bitcoin (+68%) $300M/month | $3.6B/year, 12% of pace | 1.30× mNAV | $2,796 MSTR | 28.07× | 1.85× Bitcoin (+85%) $400M/month | $4.8B/year, 16% of pace | 1.40× mNAV | $3,060 MSTR | 30.73× | 2.03× Bitcoin (+103%) $500M/month | $6B/year, 20% of pace | 1.50× mNAV | $3,333 MSTR | 33.47× | 2.21× Bitcoin (+121%) Bitcoin itself returns 15.15×. The most important result is the first one. With zero new STRC issuance and absolutely zero mNAV expansion, MSTR still reaches approximately $2,100 and outperforms Bitcoin. Stock Multiple = BTC Multiple × CEBE Sats/Share Multiple × CEBE mNAV Multiple 15.15× BTC appreciation × 1.39× CEBE sats/share accretion × 1.00× mNAV change = 21.08× MSTR. The amplification is already embedded in the balance sheet. The market does not need to award MSTR a higher valuation multiple for it to work. Even in the $500M monthly STRC scenario, Strategy finishes with only 987,098 Bitcoin. Yes, the $3,333 model example includes a scenario where they fail to reach 1 million BTC in the next 8 years. If Bitcoin goes up... the machine works:
0:23

🚀WHAT PRICE WILL MSTR BE AT $1 MILLION BITCOIN?🚀 I handicapped the absolute hell out of this model. Bitcoin rises from $65,993 to $1,000,000 over 8 full years. The entire STR preferred stack remains at a 12% dividend rate for all 96 months. The rate never declines. MSTR common stock is issued to fund every dollar of dividends, so shareholders absorb the dilution. No additional debt is added. No MSTR is sold at a premium to acquire Bitcoin... EVER. mNAV is only permitted to rise modestly as STRC scales. Strategy has already raised approximately $16.4 billion in 2026 through July 19, a roughly $29.9 billion annualized pace. Yet these scenarios allow only $0 to $6 billion of annual STRC issuance: $0/month - no STRC ever issued | 1.023× mNAV | $2,100 MSTR | 21.08× return | 1.39× Bitcoin’s multiple (+39%) $100M/month | $1.2B/year, 4% of current pace | 1.10× mNAV | $2,292 MSTR | 23.01× | 1.52× Bitcoin (+52%) $200M/month | $2.4B/year, 8% of pace | 1.20× mNAV | $2,540 MSTR | 25.50× | 1.68× Bitcoin (+68%) $300M/month | $3.6B/year, 12% of pace | 1.30× mNAV | $2,796 MSTR | 28.07× | 1.85× Bitcoin (+85%) $400M/month | $4.8B/year, 16% of pace | 1.40× mNAV | $3,060 MSTR | 30.73× | 2.03× Bitcoin (+103%) $500M/month | $6B/year, 20% of pace | 1.50× mNAV | $3,333 MSTR | 33.47× | 2.21× Bitcoin (+121%) Bitcoin itself returns 15.15×. The most important result is the first one. With zero new STRC issuance and absolutely zero mNAV expansion, MSTR still reaches approximately $2,100 and outperforms Bitcoin. Stock Multiple = BTC Multiple × CEBE Sats/Share Multiple × CEBE mNAV Multiple 15.15× BTC appreciation × 1.39× CEBE sats/share accretion × 1.00× mNAV change = 21.08× MSTR. The amplification is already embedded in the balance sheet. The market does not need to award MSTR a higher valuation multiple for it to work. Even in the $500M monthly STRC scenario, Strategy finishes with only 987,098 Bitcoin. Yes, the $3,333 model example includes a scenario where they fail to reach 1 million BTC in the next 8 years. If Bitcoin goes up... the machine works:

Adam Livingston

46,305 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

$MSTR Saylor’s response to the Bitcoin monetization framework: “I don’t think there’s a conflict between doing the right thing for Bitcoin, doing the right thing for the equity, doing the right thing for the credit. I think those are all in a dynamic harmony with each other.” Strategy has spent years building its 847,363 BTC balance sheet. That stack exists to create optionality. When the company’s securities become materially mispriced, Bitcoin itself becomes another capital allocation tool. $STRC shareholders don’t measure success by how many Bitcoin the company buys next week. They measure management’s ability to protect the structure, maintain confidence, and continue servicing the product over the long term. $MSTR shareholders understand something equally important. The faster Strategy can rely on $STRC as its primary capital engine, the less dependent it becomes on common equity issuance, making future Bitcoin accumulation increasingly accretive over time. These aren’t competing objectives. Protecting Digital Credit protects access to capital. Access to capital grows the Bitcoin treasury. And a larger Bitcoin treasury gives management even greater flexibility to defend the structure whenever the market misprices it. That’s the dynamic I don’t expect speculators to fully understand. That’s the dynamic that can take this company to a trillion. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC
2:33

$MSTR Saylor’s response to the Bitcoin monetization framework: “I don’t think there’s a conflict between doing the right thing for Bitcoin, doing the right thing for the equity, doing the right thing for the credit. I think those are all in a dynamic harmony with each other.” Strategy has spent years building its 847,363 BTC balance sheet. That stack exists to create optionality. When the company’s securities become materially mispriced, Bitcoin itself becomes another capital allocation tool. $STRC shareholders don’t measure success by how many Bitcoin the company buys next week. They measure management’s ability to protect the structure, maintain confidence, and continue servicing the product over the long term. $MSTR shareholders understand something equally important. The faster Strategy can rely on $STRC as its primary capital engine, the less dependent it becomes on common equity issuance, making future Bitcoin accumulation increasingly accretive over time. These aren’t competing objectives. Protecting Digital Credit protects access to capital. Access to capital grows the Bitcoin treasury. And a larger Bitcoin treasury gives management even greater flexibility to defend the structure whenever the market misprices it. That’s the dynamic I don’t expect speculators to fully understand. That’s the dynamic that can take this company to a trillion. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

13,766 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

STRC bi-monthly dividend & Institutional Signal - The market wants a high yield money market, something different than any equity or fixed income instrument that exists today. - This only works because Bitcoin is a closed system. - Phong Le: “We think one of the big opportunities of STRC is to borrow against it” - So long as STRC's market cap continues to grow, i.e. more buyers than sellers, there will exist an overnight arbitrage on the ex dividend date greater than the 11.5% annualized return of STRC. - This video scratches the surface of how STRC will price and what the liquidity will look like in a rising Bitcoin and STRC market cap environment.
10:59

STRC bi-monthly dividend & Institutional Signal - The market wants a high yield money market, something different than any equity or fixed income instrument that exists today. - This only works because Bitcoin is a closed system. - Phong Le: “We think one of the big opportunities of STRC is to borrow against it” - So long as STRC's market cap continues to grow, i.e. more buyers than sellers, there will exist an overnight arbitrage on the ex dividend date greater than the 11.5% annualized return of STRC. - This video scratches the surface of how STRC will price and what the liquidity will look like in a rising Bitcoin and STRC market cap environment.

Dan Hillery

35,213 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

How does Strategy navigate a challenging Bitcoin market, return $STRC to par, and continue compounding Bitcoin per share? In our Q2 earnings call, we laid out the strategy, reviewed our financial position and capital-management framework, and answered questions from equity analysts and industry experts. Prepared Remarks 00:00:00 - Welcome 00:01:20 - 843,775 BTC, 203,683 sats per share, $17B raised year to date, and Strategy’s position as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin 00:03:27 - Q2 balance sheet: $49.7B of digital assets, $3.75B current USD reserve, lower debt, higher preferred equity, and strong stress-case coverage 00:08:57 - Bitcoin KPIs: 4.5% BTC Yield, 29,997 BTC Gain, and ~3.6x growth in Bitcoin per share since 2020 00:12:47 - Q2 execution: higher Bitcoin holdings, lower debt, larger USD reserves, stronger Bitcoin per share, and active capital management 00:15:03 - Strategy as a net buyer of Bitcoin and net issuer of Digital Credit: 48x more BTC bought than sold and 300x more Digital Credit issued than repurchased 00:18:47 - Returning $STRC to $99–$100 through USD reserves, Bitcoin monetization, repurchases, dividend management, and disciplined issuance 00:24:50 - Bitcoin liquidity: why Strategy’s bitcoin purchases and sales are not material to overall Bitcoin trading volume 00:33:03 - Bitcoin as Digital Capital: website metrics, the 200-week moving average, current headwinds, Bitcoin Dominance, banking adoption, and security coordination 00:44:08 - $STRC as flagship Digital Credit: liquidity, lower volatility, market depth, yield, investor base, path to par, and updated credit metrics 01:05:04 - Equity framework: hurdle rate, breakeven rate, floor rate, market skepticism, $MSTR outperformance, franchise advantages, and Strategy’s long-term ambition Q&A 01:19:31 - Why Bitcoin-backed borrowing is not currently the preferred path to build USD reserves 01:23:11 - Why Strategy is consolidating around $STRC instead of creating more instruments or selling volatility 01:40:37 - Equitizing, repaying, or refinancing convertible debt 01:43:18 - Covered calls, cash-secured puts, Digital Credit, Bitcoin as money, and marketing products to the 99% outside Bitcoin 01:59:22 - USD reserve minimums and the path to $STRC trading at par 02:00:55 - Amplification, USD/BTC reserve mix, and countercyclical capital management 02:12:04 - Why Strategy does not intend to issue $STRC below par 02:20:34 - Lessons from 2022 and 2026, tokenized securities, Digital Money, and the June 26 $STRC dislocation 02:34:54 - Closing remarks
2:35:11

How does Strategy navigate a challenging Bitcoin market, return $STRC to par, and continue compounding Bitcoin per share? In our Q2 earnings call, we laid out the strategy, reviewed our financial position and capital-management framework, and answered questions from equity analysts and industry experts. Prepared Remarks 00:00:00 - Welcome 00:01:20 - 843,775 BTC, 203,683 sats per share, $17B raised year to date, and Strategy’s position as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin 00:03:27 - Q2 balance sheet: $49.7B of digital assets, $3.75B current USD reserve, lower debt, higher preferred equity, and strong stress-case coverage 00:08:57 - Bitcoin KPIs: 4.5% BTC Yield, 29,997 BTC Gain, and ~3.6x growth in Bitcoin per share since 2020 00:12:47 - Q2 execution: higher Bitcoin holdings, lower debt, larger USD reserves, stronger Bitcoin per share, and active capital management 00:15:03 - Strategy as a net buyer of Bitcoin and net issuer of Digital Credit: 48x more BTC bought than sold and 300x more Digital Credit issued than repurchased 00:18:47 - Returning $STRC to $99–$100 through USD reserves, Bitcoin monetization, repurchases, dividend management, and disciplined issuance 00:24:50 - Bitcoin liquidity: why Strategy’s bitcoin purchases and sales are not material to overall Bitcoin trading volume 00:33:03 - Bitcoin as Digital Capital: website metrics, the 200-week moving average, current headwinds, Bitcoin Dominance, banking adoption, and security coordination 00:44:08 - $STRC as flagship Digital Credit: liquidity, lower volatility, market depth, yield, investor base, path to par, and updated credit metrics 01:05:04 - Equity framework: hurdle rate, breakeven rate, floor rate, market skepticism, $MSTR outperformance, franchise advantages, and Strategy’s long-term ambition Q&A 01:19:31 - Why Bitcoin-backed borrowing is not currently the preferred path to build USD reserves 01:23:11 - Why Strategy is consolidating around $STRC instead of creating more instruments or selling volatility 01:40:37 - Equitizing, repaying, or refinancing convertible debt 01:43:18 - Covered calls, cash-secured puts, Digital Credit, Bitcoin as money, and marketing products to the 99% outside Bitcoin 01:59:22 - USD reserve minimums and the path to $STRC trading at par 02:00:55 - Amplification, USD/BTC reserve mix, and countercyclical capital management 02:12:04 - Why Strategy does not intend to issue $STRC below par 02:20:34 - Lessons from 2022 and 2026, tokenized securities, Digital Money, and the June 26 $STRC dislocation 02:34:54 - Closing remarks

Michael Saylor

328,957 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🎙️ New The Edge Podcast 🟠 Michael Saylor's BTC-Backed STRC Is Coming For A $300T Market 0:00 - Intro 2:46 - CJ’s background and role 7:23 - What Strategy does with Bitcoin 10:40 - Why offer perpetual preferred equity 14:58 - Which instrument is most senior? 16:44 - How AI helped design Strategy instruments 19:18 - What is STRC? 23:23 - Where does STRC yield come from? 26:14 - ATM program explained 29:21 - How STRC enables Strategy to buy BTC 36:49 - A $300T market + impact on BTC price 41:48 - MSTR vs STRC investors 44:36 - Who is buying STRC right now? 47:04 - DeFi teams tokenizing STRC 51:41 - What are the real risks for STRC? 55:00 - Would Strategy ever sell BTC? 57:50 - Why STRC is Strategy’s "iPhone moment" 1:01:55 - Closing 🙏 Thanks to Chaitanya Jain from Strategy for joining us!
1:03:14

🎙️ New The Edge Podcast 🟠 Michael Saylor's BTC-Backed STRC Is Coming For A $300T Market 0:00 - Intro 2:46 - CJ’s background and role 7:23 - What Strategy does with Bitcoin 10:40 - Why offer perpetual preferred equity 14:58 - Which instrument is most senior? 16:44 - How AI helped design Strategy instruments 19:18 - What is STRC? 23:23 - Where does STRC yield come from? 26:14 - ATM program explained 29:21 - How STRC enables Strategy to buy BTC 36:49 - A $300T market + impact on BTC price 41:48 - MSTR vs STRC investors 44:36 - Who is buying STRC right now? 47:04 - DeFi teams tokenizing STRC 51:41 - What are the real risks for STRC? 55:00 - Would Strategy ever sell BTC? 57:50 - Why STRC is Strategy’s "iPhone moment" 1:01:55 - Closing 🙏 Thanks to Chaitanya Jain from Strategy for joining us!

DeFi Dad ⟠ defidad.eth

179,210 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

"We're the largest holder of Bitcoin in the world. We're the largest purchaser of Bitcoin in the world. And we'll continue to be". Watch my conversation with CNBC Power Lunch below. 00:00 — "We're net purchasers of Bitcoin." The 32 BTC sale helped inoculate the market, test our processes, and capture tax losses over time 1:47 — We balance the needs of our constituents: $MSTR and $STRC shareholders, $BTC hodlers, and debt holders 3:07 — Four-year cycles, macro volatility, geopolitical conflict, inflation uncertainty, Fed policy, Clarity 4:15 — Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation and big government 5:32 — Capital that rotates from $BTC to AI will come back to $BTC 6:42 — With clearer rules, every major bank is going to flood into $BTC and crypto 7:27 — Expanding financial-system access is good for Bitcoin
7:34

"We're the largest holder of Bitcoin in the world. We're the largest purchaser of Bitcoin in the world. And we'll continue to be". Watch my conversation with CNBC Power Lunch below. 00:00 — "We're net purchasers of Bitcoin." The 32 BTC sale helped inoculate the market, test our processes, and capture tax losses over time 1:47 — We balance the needs of our constituents: $MSTR and $STRC shareholders, $BTC hodlers, and debt holders 3:07 — Four-year cycles, macro volatility, geopolitical conflict, inflation uncertainty, Fed policy, Clarity 4:15 — Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation and big government 5:32 — Capital that rotates from $BTC to AI will come back to $BTC 6:42 — With clearer rules, every major bank is going to flood into $BTC and crypto 7:27 — Expanding financial-system access is good for Bitcoin

Phong Le

238,330 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

“The credit inherits the liquidity and the performance of the capital. It makes logical sense that the highest powered capital will create the highest powered credit.” - Michael Saylor Build on the best performing foundation. Manhattan isn’t built on sand or ice cubes. Its foundation can support the infrastructure. One of the reasons why it’s become the global financial highway. Strategy is building on the network that’s growing the fastest. What stops them? Clip from David Bitcoin News discussion with Saylor at 2026 BTC conference. $MSTR $STRC
1:18

“The credit inherits the liquidity and the performance of the capital. It makes logical sense that the highest powered capital will create the highest powered credit.” - Michael Saylor Build on the best performing foundation. Manhattan isn’t built on sand or ice cubes. Its foundation can support the infrastructure. One of the reasons why it’s become the global financial highway. Strategy is building on the network that’s growing the fastest. What stops them? Clip from David Bitcoin News discussion with Saylor at 2026 BTC conference. $MSTR $STRC

J64 - SignalStation.app

107,677 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

"Strategy is the JPMorgan of the crypto economy." I join Kelly Evans and Dominic Chu on CNBC today to discuss $MSTR and $BTC. 00:53 - Bitcoin’s bear cycle, macro headwinds, and how Strategy is navigating volatility through active capital management 02:05 - Legislative clarity as the catalyst for tokenization, stablecoins, bank adoption, and Bitcoin’s role as an inflation hedge 02:45 - Why Strategy is not a forced seller of $BTC, and why Bitcoin Per Share matters more than average cost 03:43 - Net Bitcoin accumulation: ~170,000 BTC added this year and 35x more bitcoin bought than sold 04:02 - Why Strategy sells bitcoin: funding dividends, buying back $STRC below par, and increasing Bitcoin Per Share 05:01 - Strategy’s Bitcoin scale: 842,138 BTC, over 4% of total supply, and the largest institutional Bitcoin position 05:36 - Balance sheet flexibility: $4B of USD reserves and multiple ways to fund dividend obligations 06:00 - The Clarity Act, executive rulemaking, and why regulatory decisions matter for the broader digital asset industry
7:00

"Strategy is the JPMorgan of the crypto economy." I join Kelly Evans and Dominic Chu on CNBC today to discuss $MSTR and $BTC. 00:53 - Bitcoin’s bear cycle, macro headwinds, and how Strategy is navigating volatility through active capital management 02:05 - Legislative clarity as the catalyst for tokenization, stablecoins, bank adoption, and Bitcoin’s role as an inflation hedge 02:45 - Why Strategy is not a forced seller of $BTC, and why Bitcoin Per Share matters more than average cost 03:43 - Net Bitcoin accumulation: ~170,000 BTC added this year and 35x more bitcoin bought than sold 04:02 - Why Strategy sells bitcoin: funding dividends, buying back $STRC below par, and increasing Bitcoin Per Share 05:01 - Strategy’s Bitcoin scale: 842,138 BTC, over 4% of total supply, and the largest institutional Bitcoin position 05:36 - Balance sheet flexibility: $4B of USD reserves and multiple ways to fund dividend obligations 06:00 - The Clarity Act, executive rulemaking, and why regulatory decisions matter for the broader digital asset industry

Phong Le

427,941 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🔥THE SIMPLE PATH TO $1,000 MSTR🔥 I modeled Strategy buying BTC at its current 2026 pace of 1,822 BTC per business day all the way through EOY 2027. Assumptions: BTC goes from $77K to $275K ($275k is the Power Law trend price EOY 2027, not moonboi nonsense) Every purchase is funded with 100% STRC issuance STRC costs 11.5% Strategy sells BTC every month to pay the dividend The cool part about this is that it shows what happens if STRC adoption stays flat from here, when in reality it is scaling quickly. Starting point: 843,738 BTC $13.52B preferred $8.21B debt 384.2M diluted shares Result by Dec 2027: Gross BTC bought: 743,246 BTC sold for dividends: 66,942 Net BTC added: 676,304 Ending stack: 1,520,042 BTC CEBE/share: 146K sats → 251K sats CEBE NAV/share: $112.56 → $691.01 If the market keeps paying today’s 1.48x price-to-CEBE multiple, the common stock projects to: $166.63 → $1,022.75 So the “crippling” 11.5% cost of capital ends up forcing monthly BTC sales of only 66.9K BTC total, while the machine inhales 743K BTC gross. Wall Street built a preferred-stock blood bank for a Bitcoin black hole, and the black hole is still hungry. Boom. Not hard. Bitcoin reverts back to trend price and Strategy stays on the pace they're on. $1,000 MSTR. If this math is even directionally right, people are grotesquely underestimating what happens when scarce collateral is funded by infinite boomer paper.
0:20

🔥THE SIMPLE PATH TO $1,000 MSTR🔥 I modeled Strategy buying BTC at its current 2026 pace of 1,822 BTC per business day all the way through EOY 2027. Assumptions: BTC goes from $77K to $275K ($275k is the Power Law trend price EOY 2027, not moonboi nonsense) Every purchase is funded with 100% STRC issuance STRC costs 11.5% Strategy sells BTC every month to pay the dividend The cool part about this is that it shows what happens if STRC adoption stays flat from here, when in reality it is scaling quickly. Starting point: 843,738 BTC $13.52B preferred $8.21B debt 384.2M diluted shares Result by Dec 2027: Gross BTC bought: 743,246 BTC sold for dividends: 66,942 Net BTC added: 676,304 Ending stack: 1,520,042 BTC CEBE/share: 146K sats → 251K sats CEBE NAV/share: $112.56 → $691.01 If the market keeps paying today’s 1.48x price-to-CEBE multiple, the common stock projects to: $166.63 → $1,022.75 So the “crippling” 11.5% cost of capital ends up forcing monthly BTC sales of only 66.9K BTC total, while the machine inhales 743K BTC gross. Wall Street built a preferred-stock blood bank for a Bitcoin black hole, and the black hole is still hungry. Boom. Not hard. Bitcoin reverts back to trend price and Strategy stays on the pace they're on. $1,000 MSTR. If this math is even directionally right, people are grotesquely underestimating what happens when scarce collateral is funded by infinite boomer paper.

Adam Livingston

54,471 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🔥I BOUGHT MORE MSTR BECAUSE THE MATH IS INSANE!🔥 In this video, I expose why Strategy (MSTR) is the most undervalued Bitcoin superweapon in the market. And why Wall Street still thinks it’s a Bitcoin ETF with a gambling problem. While your financial advisor is feeding your retirement into a 60/40 woodchipper, Saylor is out here issuing STRC like it’s methadone for bond managers. 11% yield, monthly payouts, and they don’t even realize they’re buying him more Bitcoin on your behalf. STRC is the fixed-income trojan horse. MSTR is the orange citadel it funds. I break down the STRC flywheel, the 5% mNAV premium arbitrage, the recursive BTC-per-share compounding mechanism, and how MSTR can grow your Bitcoin stack by 17%, 34%, or even 51% this year alone... WITHOUT A SINGLE DOLLAR OF NEW DILUTION! THIS IS THE ORANGE SINGULARITY:
20:52

🔥I BOUGHT MORE MSTR BECAUSE THE MATH IS INSANE!🔥 In this video, I expose why Strategy (MSTR) is the most undervalued Bitcoin superweapon in the market. And why Wall Street still thinks it’s a Bitcoin ETF with a gambling problem. While your financial advisor is feeding your retirement into a 60/40 woodchipper, Saylor is out here issuing STRC like it’s methadone for bond managers. 11% yield, monthly payouts, and they don’t even realize they’re buying him more Bitcoin on your behalf. STRC is the fixed-income trojan horse. MSTR is the orange citadel it funds. I break down the STRC flywheel, the 5% mNAV premium arbitrage, the recursive BTC-per-share compounding mechanism, and how MSTR can grow your Bitcoin stack by 17%, 34%, or even 51% this year alone... WITHOUT A SINGLE DOLLAR OF NEW DILUTION! THIS IS THE ORANGE SINGULARITY:

Adam Livingston

31,581 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

$MSTR “Occasionally we will take a slight dilution in Bitcoin per share to improve the credit worthiness of the company.” In the past two days, the combined impressions across Saylor’s signal, Phong’s follow up, and Monday’s announcement crossed 17.5 MILLION! Love it or hate it, the attention Strategy commands is second to none. Post the announcement, skeptics were quick to point out that the acquisition, combined with the replenishment of the USD reserve, was slightly dilutive to Bitcoin per share. Michael Saylor came out today addressing that directly, reminding the market to look at the entire capital stack and not just one KPI in isolation. Those who have followed this company long enough already understand this. The BTC yield quarter to date is 9.7%. Year to date it sits at 12.8%, tracking toward the 22.8% projection by year end. Not a single quarter has produced a negative Bitcoin per share result. So when you look at yesterday’s transaction in isolation, it tells you very little about the direction this company is actually heading. What it does tell you is that management is doing exactly what it should be doing. Balancing the interests of the credit instruments, the common shareholders, and the long term scaling of $STRC, which remains the most important lever for the company’s future growth. An occasional dilutive transaction in service of all of that is not something long term shareholders should lose sleep over. The speculation that surrounds moves like this is a net positive too. Every week that Strategy dominates the conversation, more eyes land on the thesis. More skeptics read the dashboards and find themselves having to reckon with what is actually being built here. “Attention is the rarest and purest form of generosity.” - Simone Weil In this space, it is also the most powerful form of validation. $BTC $MSTR $STRC
2:20

$MSTR “Occasionally we will take a slight dilution in Bitcoin per share to improve the credit worthiness of the company.” In the past two days, the combined impressions across Saylor’s signal, Phong’s follow up, and Monday’s announcement crossed 17.5 MILLION! Love it or hate it, the attention Strategy commands is second to none. Post the announcement, skeptics were quick to point out that the acquisition, combined with the replenishment of the USD reserve, was slightly dilutive to Bitcoin per share. Michael Saylor came out today addressing that directly, reminding the market to look at the entire capital stack and not just one KPI in isolation. Those who have followed this company long enough already understand this. The BTC yield quarter to date is 9.7%. Year to date it sits at 12.8%, tracking toward the 22.8% projection by year end. Not a single quarter has produced a negative Bitcoin per share result. So when you look at yesterday’s transaction in isolation, it tells you very little about the direction this company is actually heading. What it does tell you is that management is doing exactly what it should be doing. Balancing the interests of the credit instruments, the common shareholders, and the long term scaling of $STRC, which remains the most important lever for the company’s future growth. An occasional dilutive transaction in service of all of that is not something long term shareholders should lose sleep over. The speculation that surrounds moves like this is a net positive too. Every week that Strategy dominates the conversation, more eyes land on the thesis. More skeptics read the dashboards and find themselves having to reckon with what is actually being built here. “Attention is the rarest and purest form of generosity.” - Simone Weil In this space, it is also the most powerful form of validation. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

47,335 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

$521.50 per MSTR. This is my current base case for Strategy's price by March 31, 2028, calculated using Strategy Simulator. The calculation is based on 7 input assumptions used to produce the price. I provide each of my assumptions and the rationale for each below. 1) Bitcoin price: $126,000 I chose March 2028 because I assume BTC will return to its old all-time high at or before this date, as it did in March 2024 in the previous cycle. Bull and bear cycles are muting, but also accelerating. The bulk of a bull cycle's gains and losses are now happening well before the post-halving year. Given we're at the cycle 200WMA, the power law floor, and we tend to bottom near midterms, I believe we will make an accelerated return to the previous high within the next 18 months, aided by capital rotation out of AI. This will be followed by months of chop close to that level, like in 2024. 2) mNAV: 2.0 This is in the realm of Strategy's bull market EV mNAV based on data from last cycle. In the particular months when it broke all-time highs, EV mNAV could expand as high as 2.5X. I do not doubt that people will buy in at 1.5X to 2.5X premiums again as BTC continues ripping: in a bull market, FOMO is a helluva drug. 3) Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding: 696.7M Since the start of 2023, Strategy has increased MSTR's share count at a rate of 40.5% per year. I assume this rate continues, moving from 402M shares today to 696M by March 2028. 4) Cost of Capital: 12% I assume Strategy will return STRC to par and begin heavy issuance again in the near future. I predict they will use proceeds from STRC to retire their convertible debt and all other preferred instruments, as was alluded into in Strategy's last earnings call, bringing their overall cost of capital to a blended, uniform 12%, as reflected by the current STRC dividend rate. I don't expect this rate to change soon. 5) The Balance Sheet Senior Claims: $95.79B Bitcoin Reserve: 2,058,409 BTC USD Reserve: $28.79B Here it gets really crazy. We have two clues from management as to how much STRC they'd like to issue at any given time. Firstly, they'd like to target a 90/10 BTC-to-USD split. Secondly, they'd like to target a range 2 to 3 years of USD coverage. Based on these clues, we can calculate how much STRC Strategy will issue based on how big we expect their balance sheet to get - using my previous assumptions of Bitcoin price, mNAV, and share issuance. It gets rather complex after that, since the amount of STRC issued also impacts the balance sheet assets - so it's a reflexive relationship. Running the numbers through Claude, these figures work out to the above. The numbers may seem astronomical now, but I daresay they're likely given how fast Strategy has proven it can accumulate BTC now - even in a bear market. Strategy is becoming a "MonSTR" and will likely be a growing method by which people get their BTC exposure going forward. I expect the business model to grow and continue to be validated (yet misunderstood) with time.
1:17

$521.50 per MSTR. This is my current base case for Strategy's price by March 31, 2028, calculated using Strategy Simulator. The calculation is based on 7 input assumptions used to produce the price. I provide each of my assumptions and the rationale for each below. 1) Bitcoin price: $126,000 I chose March 2028 because I assume BTC will return to its old all-time high at or before this date, as it did in March 2024 in the previous cycle. Bull and bear cycles are muting, but also accelerating. The bulk of a bull cycle's gains and losses are now happening well before the post-halving year. Given we're at the cycle 200WMA, the power law floor, and we tend to bottom near midterms, I believe we will make an accelerated return to the previous high within the next 18 months, aided by capital rotation out of AI. This will be followed by months of chop close to that level, like in 2024. 2) mNAV: 2.0 This is in the realm of Strategy's bull market EV mNAV based on data from last cycle. In the particular months when it broke all-time highs, EV mNAV could expand as high as 2.5X. I do not doubt that people will buy in at 1.5X to 2.5X premiums again as BTC continues ripping: in a bull market, FOMO is a helluva drug. 3) Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding: 696.7M Since the start of 2023, Strategy has increased MSTR's share count at a rate of 40.5% per year. I assume this rate continues, moving from 402M shares today to 696M by March 2028. 4) Cost of Capital: 12% I assume Strategy will return STRC to par and begin heavy issuance again in the near future. I predict they will use proceeds from STRC to retire their convertible debt and all other preferred instruments, as was alluded into in Strategy's last earnings call, bringing their overall cost of capital to a blended, uniform 12%, as reflected by the current STRC dividend rate. I don't expect this rate to change soon. 5) The Balance Sheet Senior Claims: $95.79B Bitcoin Reserve: 2,058,409 BTC USD Reserve: $28.79B Here it gets really crazy. We have two clues from management as to how much STRC they'd like to issue at any given time. Firstly, they'd like to target a 90/10 BTC-to-USD split. Secondly, they'd like to target a range 2 to 3 years of USD coverage. Based on these clues, we can calculate how much STRC Strategy will issue based on how big we expect their balance sheet to get - using my previous assumptions of Bitcoin price, mNAV, and share issuance. It gets rather complex after that, since the amount of STRC issued also impacts the balance sheet assets - so it's a reflexive relationship. Running the numbers through Claude, these figures work out to the above. The numbers may seem astronomical now, but I daresay they're likely given how fast Strategy has proven it can accumulate BTC now - even in a bear market. Strategy is becoming a "MonSTR" and will likely be a growing method by which people get their BTC exposure going forward. I expect the business model to grow and continue to be validated (yet misunderstood) with time.

Strategy Simulator

19,434 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

I think MSTR could go to around all-time high at only a 1.4x mNAV + $150k BTC. $150k Bitcoin is going to be incredibly cheap compared to the long term trend 1 year from now. If we start the climb back now, STRC gets turned back w/ $2b per month issued, and $500m of MSTR gets issued per month. This pace would still be under their 2026 YTD capital raising pace. The beach ball is being held underwater it's just waiting for Bitcoin to move.
0:26

I think MSTR could go to around all-time high at only a 1.4x mNAV + $150k BTC. $150k Bitcoin is going to be incredibly cheap compared to the long term trend 1 year from now. If we start the climb back now, STRC gets turned back w/ $2b per month issued, and $500m of MSTR gets issued per month. This pace would still be under their 2026 YTD capital raising pace. The beach ball is being held underwater it's just waiting for Bitcoin to move.

Adam Livingston

115,146 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🔥STRATEGY WILL BE THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY - BITCOIN WILL FLIP GOLD🔥 Think Bitcoin is going to eventually flip gold as the world's #1 asset? In that case, you should be bullish on $MSTR! NAPKIN MATH: Let's make it simple with 20 million circulating BTC and gold also sees some inflows so it's $40T by the time the BTC flippening of gold happens. $40T / 20 million = $2 million per Bitcoin. When does this happen? No idea. Let's say it happens in 2038. Let's say zero MSTR mNAV expansion. Zero new Bitcoin acquired. They pay 12% on STRC until then. Dividends paid with MSTR issuance. They pay 0.55% on their debt and it never goes away (lol). RESULT: Bitcoin goes from $62,875 to $2 million. BTC return: 31.81x MSTR goes from $93.28 to approximately $4,253. MSTR return: 45.60x Again: Zero new Bitcoin acquired. Zero mNAV expansion. The preferreds remain outstanding. The debt remains outstanding. MSTR spends approximately $22.7 billion servicing STRC dividends and debt interest over the 12 years, entirely through common-stock issuance. And MSTR still outperforms Bitcoin. HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN? At the beginning, MSTR’s net senior claims equal approximately 292,251 BTC. At $2 million per Bitcoin, those exact same dollar claims equal only 9,188 BTC. The liabilities never disappear. They simply get beaten within an inch of their economic lives by the denominator. That releases approximately 283,064 BTC of residual value to the common equity without Strategy purchasing one additional sat. Common shareholders’ residual claim rises: 551,524 BTC → 834,587 BTC Paying 12 years of dividends and interest through MSTR issuance increases the share count by only: 384.6 million → 406.0 million Just 5.6% dilution. So CEBE per share rises: 143,404 sats → 205,562 sats That is 43.3% growth in claims-adjusted Bitcoin exposure per share while the gross Bitcoin treasury remains completely unchanged. The return equation becomes: 31.81x BTC appreciation × 1.433x CEBE-per-share growth × 1.00x mNAV change = 45.60x MSTR $10,000 invested in Bitcoin becomes approximately $318,000. $10,000 invested in MSTR becomes approximately. $456,000 MSTR creates roughly $138,000 of additional terminal wealth on the same $10,000 investment while buying zero additional Bitcoin. This is the part MSTR bears cannot process because their mental model of a capital structure is a shoebox with the word “DEBT” written on the lid in crayon. MSTR is not merely a static jar of Bitcoin. Common shareholders own the residual claim behind fixed-fiat liabilities wrapped around scarce collateral. As Bitcoin appreciates, those dollar liabilities consume fewer sats. The value released by that compression flows to common equity. At $2 million Bitcoin, the debt is still technically there. It just has the economic significance of a parking ticket taped to an aircraft carrier. The Bitcoin flippening would not merely dethrone gold. It would turn MSTR’s capital structure into a 12 year public execution of the dollar denominator:
0:30

🔥STRATEGY WILL BE THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY - BITCOIN WILL FLIP GOLD🔥 Think Bitcoin is going to eventually flip gold as the world's #1 asset? In that case, you should be bullish on $MSTR! NAPKIN MATH: Let's make it simple with 20 million circulating BTC and gold also sees some inflows so it's $40T by the time the BTC flippening of gold happens. $40T / 20 million = $2 million per Bitcoin. When does this happen? No idea. Let's say it happens in 2038. Let's say zero MSTR mNAV expansion. Zero new Bitcoin acquired. They pay 12% on STRC until then. Dividends paid with MSTR issuance. They pay 0.55% on their debt and it never goes away (lol). RESULT: Bitcoin goes from $62,875 to $2 million. BTC return: 31.81x MSTR goes from $93.28 to approximately $4,253. MSTR return: 45.60x Again: Zero new Bitcoin acquired. Zero mNAV expansion. The preferreds remain outstanding. The debt remains outstanding. MSTR spends approximately $22.7 billion servicing STRC dividends and debt interest over the 12 years, entirely through common-stock issuance. And MSTR still outperforms Bitcoin. HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN? At the beginning, MSTR’s net senior claims equal approximately 292,251 BTC. At $2 million per Bitcoin, those exact same dollar claims equal only 9,188 BTC. The liabilities never disappear. They simply get beaten within an inch of their economic lives by the denominator. That releases approximately 283,064 BTC of residual value to the common equity without Strategy purchasing one additional sat. Common shareholders’ residual claim rises: 551,524 BTC → 834,587 BTC Paying 12 years of dividends and interest through MSTR issuance increases the share count by only: 384.6 million → 406.0 million Just 5.6% dilution. So CEBE per share rises: 143,404 sats → 205,562 sats That is 43.3% growth in claims-adjusted Bitcoin exposure per share while the gross Bitcoin treasury remains completely unchanged. The return equation becomes: 31.81x BTC appreciation × 1.433x CEBE-per-share growth × 1.00x mNAV change = 45.60x MSTR $10,000 invested in Bitcoin becomes approximately $318,000. $10,000 invested in MSTR becomes approximately. $456,000 MSTR creates roughly $138,000 of additional terminal wealth on the same $10,000 investment while buying zero additional Bitcoin. This is the part MSTR bears cannot process because their mental model of a capital structure is a shoebox with the word “DEBT” written on the lid in crayon. MSTR is not merely a static jar of Bitcoin. Common shareholders own the residual claim behind fixed-fiat liabilities wrapped around scarce collateral. As Bitcoin appreciates, those dollar liabilities consume fewer sats. The value released by that compression flows to common equity. At $2 million Bitcoin, the debt is still technically there. It just has the economic significance of a parking ticket taped to an aircraft carrier. The Bitcoin flippening would not merely dethrone gold. It would turn MSTR’s capital structure into a 12 year public execution of the dollar denominator:

Adam Livingston

24,380 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

What if everyone is measuring $MSTR wrong? In this conversation with Adrian Morris, founding member of True North (True North), we challenge some of the biggest assumptions in the Bitcoin Treasury space: • Why mNAV is really a sentiment metric • Why Bitcoin per share isn't a valuation metric • Why Strategy shouldn't defend its mNAV • The real story behind Strategy selling 32 $BTC • Why $STRC and $SATA may evolve very differently than investors expect • Why AI is attracting some of Bitcoin's capital One of the most thought-provoking $MSTR conversations we've had. If Adrian is right, investors may be looking at $MSTR completely wrong. $MSTR $ASST $MPJPY 00:00 Adrian Morris' Bitcoin Journey & Why He Bought MSTR 05:02 The Real Meaning of mNAV (Market Sentiment) 10:10 Why Bitcoin Treasury mNAVs Eventually Collapse 11:22 Should Bitcoin Treasury Companies Defend Their mNAV? 15:56 The Fatal Flaw in mNAV Buybacks 17:57 Why Strategy Should NOT Sell Bitcoin to Buy Back Shares 20:15 Why Did Strategy Sell 32 Bitcoin? 23:55 MSTR Myths, Margin Calls & X Misinformation 25:38 Why Bitcoin Per Share May Be Misleading Investors 31:09 The Endgame for Bitcoin Treasury Companies 34:42 The Future: REITs, Options & Bitcoin Financial Products 36:46 STRC, SATA & Bitcoin Preferred Shares Explained 41:22 Does STRC Guidance Even Matter? 43:12 Why SATA Outperformed STRC 45:42 Daily Dividends: Innovation or Hype? 48:30 Will STRC & SATA Eventually Cut Dividends? 54:54 Is AI Stealing Capital From Bitcoin? 01:00:51 Can Bitcoin Become AI's Security Layer? 01:03:56 Adrian's Message to Bitcoin Investors Watch the full episode 👇
1:05:21

What if everyone is measuring $MSTR wrong? In this conversation with Adrian Morris, founding member of True North (True North), we challenge some of the biggest assumptions in the Bitcoin Treasury space: • Why mNAV is really a sentiment metric • Why Bitcoin per share isn't a valuation metric • Why Strategy shouldn't defend its mNAV • The real story behind Strategy selling 32 $BTC • Why $STRC and $SATA may evolve very differently than investors expect • Why AI is attracting some of Bitcoin's capital One of the most thought-provoking $MSTR conversations we've had. If Adrian is right, investors may be looking at $MSTR completely wrong. $MSTR $ASST $MPJPY 00:00 Adrian Morris' Bitcoin Journey & Why He Bought MSTR 05:02 The Real Meaning of mNAV (Market Sentiment) 10:10 Why Bitcoin Treasury mNAVs Eventually Collapse 11:22 Should Bitcoin Treasury Companies Defend Their mNAV? 15:56 The Fatal Flaw in mNAV Buybacks 17:57 Why Strategy Should NOT Sell Bitcoin to Buy Back Shares 20:15 Why Did Strategy Sell 32 Bitcoin? 23:55 MSTR Myths, Margin Calls & X Misinformation 25:38 Why Bitcoin Per Share May Be Misleading Investors 31:09 The Endgame for Bitcoin Treasury Companies 34:42 The Future: REITs, Options & Bitcoin Financial Products 36:46 STRC, SATA & Bitcoin Preferred Shares Explained 41:22 Does STRC Guidance Even Matter? 43:12 Why SATA Outperformed STRC 45:42 Daily Dividends: Innovation or Hype? 48:30 Will STRC & SATA Eventually Cut Dividends? 54:54 Is AI Stealing Capital From Bitcoin? 01:00:51 Can Bitcoin Become AI's Security Layer? 01:03:56 Adrian's Message to Bitcoin Investors Watch the full episode 👇

One Chair

45,460 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇
1:16:43

Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇

One Chair

33,719 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce