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$MSTR It looks increasingly likely that some Bitcoin has been sold to help fund the upcoming $STRC dividend payment on May 31st. And honestly, if you’ve been following the company closely, this shouldn’t come as a surprise. Both Saylor and Phong have repeatedly hinted since the earnings call that... Bitcoin sales were now part of the company’s available capital allocation levers. Given that $MSTR hasn’t exactly been trading in strength, utilizing some of the unrealized tax losses tied to higher-cost-basis Bitcoin purchases, while that window still exists, actually makes a lot of sense. (Credit to ₿itcoin ₿eliever who’s put out extensive work predicting this) Personally, I think it’s a good decision. It shows the evolution of the company and its willingness to actively utilize another lever from its evolving playbook, which ultimately only strengthens its capital market operations over time. That said, if a Bitcoin sale is officially announced next week, shareholders should probably prepare for the narrative that follows. The headlines will inevitably paint it negatively. The bears will claim it’s over. And X will most certainly become a colorful place for a couple weeks. But nothing changes fundamentally. The company is still well on its way to becoming the largest Bitcoin holder on the planet and remains on track to approach the 1 million mark sometime this year. Interesting times ahead. $BTC $MSTR $STRCshow more

Zaid 🟧

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$MSTR Saylor’s response to the Bitcoin monetization framework: “I don’t think there’s a conflict between doing the right thing for Bitcoin, doing the right thing for the equity, doing the right thing for the credit. I think those are all in a dynamic harmony with each other.” Strategy has spent years building its 847,363 BTC balance sheet. That stack exists to create optionality. When the company’s securities become materially mispriced, Bitcoin itself becomes another capital allocation tool. $STRC shareholders don’t measure success by how many Bitcoin the company buys next week. They measure management’s ability to protect the structure, maintain confidence, and continue servicing the product over the long term. $MSTR shareholders understand something equally important. The faster Strategy can rely on $STRC as its primary capital engine, the less dependent it becomes on common equity issuance, making future Bitcoin accumulation increasingly accretive over time. These aren’t competing objectives. Protecting Digital Credit protects access to capital. Access to capital grows the Bitcoin treasury. And a larger Bitcoin treasury gives management even greater flexibility to defend the structure whenever the market misprices it. That’s the dynamic I don’t expect speculators to fully understand. That’s the dynamic that can take this company to a trillion. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

$MSTR Saylor’s response to the Bitcoin monetization framework: “I don’t think there’s a conflict between doing the right thing for Bitcoin, doing the right thing for the equity, doing the right thing for the credit. I think those are all in a dynamic harmony with each other.” Strategy has spent years building its 847,363 BTC balance sheet. That stack exists to create optionality. When the company’s securities become materially mispriced, Bitcoin itself becomes another capital allocation tool. $STRC shareholders don’t measure success by how many Bitcoin the company buys next week. They measure management’s ability to protect the structure, maintain confidence, and continue servicing the product over the long term. $MSTR shareholders understand something equally important. The faster Strategy can rely on $STRC as its primary capital engine, the less dependent it becomes on common equity issuance, making future Bitcoin accumulation increasingly accretive over time. These aren’t competing objectives. Protecting Digital Credit protects access to capital. Access to capital grows the Bitcoin treasury. And a larger Bitcoin treasury gives management even greater flexibility to defend the structure whenever the market misprices it. That’s the dynamic I don’t expect speculators to fully understand. That’s the dynamic that can take this company to a trillion. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

13,766 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$MSTR “I have an idea for $30 trillion.” “We have $60 billion of capital. We could buy anything.” - Michael Saylor $STRC is the multi-trillion-dollar idea. It’s the product Strategy is here to build. It’s also why investing in this company requires a genuinely long time horizon. $STRC has already attracted over $10 billion of capital, but if management is right, it’s still in the very early stages of its journey. Each year of consistent execution, each expansion into the credit markets, and each disciplined capital allocation decision strengthens the structure. As long as the company remains focused on accumulating Bitcoin and strengthening digital credit, I don’t believe there is a more compelling idea for management to pursue. This is the strategy. This is the multi-trillion-dollar bet. This is what you’re ultimately investing in. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

$MSTR “I have an idea for $30 trillion.” “We have $60 billion of capital. We could buy anything.” - Michael Saylor $STRC is the multi-trillion-dollar idea. It’s the product Strategy is here to build. It’s also why investing in this company requires a genuinely long time horizon. $STRC has already attracted over $10 billion of capital, but if management is right, it’s still in the very early stages of its journey. Each year of consistent execution, each expansion into the credit markets, and each disciplined capital allocation decision strengthens the structure. As long as the company remains focused on accumulating Bitcoin and strengthening digital credit, I don’t believe there is a more compelling idea for management to pursue. This is the strategy. This is the multi-trillion-dollar bet. This is what you’re ultimately investing in. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

16,422 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

MSTR Shareholder Questions Strategy: I Bought $73K MSTR for My Kids. Now It’s Worth $20K At Strategy's Q2 2026 investor Q&A, livestreamed on Aug. 17, a shareholder said he had invested $73,000 in MSTR for each of his three children, that each investment is now worth only about $20,000, and asked whether the company would consider paying a dividend to common shareholders. CEO Phong Le responded that the company will not pay a common-stock dividend on MSTR, saying it is not the best use of capital. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor said MSTR is essentially an amplified Bitcoin exposure with volatility likely well above Bitcoin itself, and that common-stock investors should have at least a four-year holding horizon — ideally seven to ten years.

MSTR Shareholder Questions Strategy: I Bought $73K MSTR for My Kids. Now It’s Worth $20K At Strategy's Q2 2026 investor Q&A, livestreamed on Aug. 17, a shareholder said he had invested $73,000 in MSTR for each of his three children, that each investment is now worth only about $20,000, and asked whether the company would consider paying a dividend to common shareholders. CEO Phong Le responded that the company will not pay a common-stock dividend on MSTR, saying it is not the best use of capital. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor said MSTR is essentially an amplified Bitcoin exposure with volatility likely well above Bitcoin itself, and that common-stock investors should have at least a four-year holding horizon — ideally seven to ten years.

Wu Blockchain

16,141 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen

$MSTR With the current weakness across Strategy’s securities and Bitcoin itself, now might be a good time to revisit how management is likely thinking through the coming weeks. A few things stand out. • The June 30th $STRC dividend obligation is coming up. • While $STRC remains well below the $100 mark, management will likely be working on ways to strengthen the instrument while building on the USD reserve, as they’ve discussed. • With $MSTR currently trading at roughly 0.98x mNAV and $STRC unavailable as a capital raising tool, management has an important set of decisions to make around the BTC reserves. What’s most interesting to me isn’t necessarily which lever gets pulled. It’s how those decisions are prioritized. Operationally, certain actions may make perfect sense while simultaneously creating a very different reaction from the market. The sale of the 32 BTC was enough to trigger widespread discussion and panic. That’s the reality of being one of the largest holders of the hardest asset on the planet. Every capital allocation decision becomes part of the broader market conversation. Some very interesting weeks lie ahead. Let’s see what the Strategy is. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

$MSTR With the current weakness across Strategy’s securities and Bitcoin itself, now might be a good time to revisit how management is likely thinking through the coming weeks. A few things stand out. • The June 30th $STRC dividend obligation is coming up. • While $STRC remains well below the $100 mark, management will likely be working on ways to strengthen the instrument while building on the USD reserve, as they’ve discussed. • With $MSTR currently trading at roughly 0.98x mNAV and $STRC unavailable as a capital raising tool, management has an important set of decisions to make around the BTC reserves. What’s most interesting to me isn’t necessarily which lever gets pulled. It’s how those decisions are prioritized. Operationally, certain actions may make perfect sense while simultaneously creating a very different reaction from the market. The sale of the 32 BTC was enough to trigger widespread discussion and panic. That’s the reality of being one of the largest holders of the hardest asset on the planet. Every capital allocation decision becomes part of the broader market conversation. Some very interesting weeks lie ahead. Let’s see what the Strategy is. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

15,329 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$MSTR How does Strategy defend the peg on $STRC if a large seller were to dump? The answer was remarkably simple. The instrument defends itself. That is the design. If you want the best takeaway from today’s call, it’s probably Michael Saylor explaining the mechanics of defending $STRC in the video below. It’s something I had thought about often. But it is incredible how Saylor manages to simplify it and make it make complete sense. As long as Strategy maintains its consistency and its focus on $STRC as its flagship product, the instrument remains remarkably stable. And the reason is the relationships and the pools of capital that surround it. If a large seller pulls $STRC below the peg on any given day, that creates an opportunity for a hedge fund to step in and capture the move back up, knowing Strategy will deploy its resources to restore it. And all of this happens while retail interest continues to pour in from buyers who are not here to hedge. Every large seller is met with another buyer who sees value. The capital base only grows wider over time. This should tell Strategy investors exactly why the company has placed $STRC at the front of everything it does. It now understands just how rigid and stable this instrument is built to be. The more you understand the design, the harder it is to bet against it. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

$MSTR How does Strategy defend the peg on $STRC if a large seller were to dump? The answer was remarkably simple. The instrument defends itself. That is the design. If you want the best takeaway from today’s call, it’s probably Michael Saylor explaining the mechanics of defending $STRC in the video below. It’s something I had thought about often. But it is incredible how Saylor manages to simplify it and make it make complete sense. As long as Strategy maintains its consistency and its focus on $STRC as its flagship product, the instrument remains remarkably stable. And the reason is the relationships and the pools of capital that surround it. If a large seller pulls $STRC below the peg on any given day, that creates an opportunity for a hedge fund to step in and capture the move back up, knowing Strategy will deploy its resources to restore it. And all of this happens while retail interest continues to pour in from buyers who are not here to hedge. Every large seller is met with another buyer who sees value. The capital base only grows wider over time. This should tell Strategy investors exactly why the company has placed $STRC at the front of everything it does. It now understands just how rigid and stable this instrument is built to be. The more you understand the design, the harder it is to bet against it. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

27,390 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.

Chris Millas

36,835 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

Strategy CEO: May sell Bitcoin for long-term shareholder value On May 28, 2026, during an interview with Fox Business, Strategy CEO Phong Le Phong Le stated that while the company's long-term philosophy is to aggregate Bitcoin, they may make week-to-week or day-to-day decisions to sell if it is accretive to shareholders in the long term. He mentioned that utilizing unrealized tax losses due to Bitcoin's volatility for tax planning is a reasonable motive for such sales. Phong Le expressed that despite potential sales at some point, the company will ultimately net increase its overall Bitcoin holdings and Bitcoin per share.

Strategy CEO: May sell Bitcoin for long-term shareholder value On May 28, 2026, during an interview with Fox Business, Strategy CEO Phong Le Phong Le stated that while the company's long-term philosophy is to aggregate Bitcoin, they may make week-to-week or day-to-day decisions to sell if it is accretive to shareholders in the long term. He mentioned that utilizing unrealized tax losses due to Bitcoin's volatility for tax planning is a reasonable motive for such sales. Phong Le expressed that despite potential sales at some point, the company will ultimately net increase its overall Bitcoin holdings and Bitcoin per share.

Wu Blockchain

17,429 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

CryptoKaleo claims MicroStrategy is trapped in an endless cycle that is hurting its shareholders "They are diluting $MSTR holders directly to pay the bill for everything else." "They're buying the Bitcoin as a mask to be able to say, 'Hey, we're still buying Bitcoin,' but they're not increasing Bitcoin per share at all. For the longest time, that was the No. 1 metric." "They can't raise money through $STRC as long as it's trading this far below par... they can't tap that facility, and that was where they were raising the majority of their capital over the past year." "The real options left are dilution via either selling $MSTR or selling Bitcoin. Either way, both are hurting shareholders."

CryptoKaleo claims MicroStrategy is trapped in an endless cycle that is hurting its shareholders "They are diluting $MSTR holders directly to pay the bill for everything else." "They're buying the Bitcoin as a mask to be able to say, 'Hey, we're still buying Bitcoin,' but they're not increasing Bitcoin per share at all. For the longest time, that was the No. 1 metric." "They can't raise money through $STRC as long as it's trading this far below par... they can't tap that facility, and that was where they were raising the majority of their capital over the past year." "The real options left are dilution via either selling $MSTR or selling Bitcoin. Either way, both are hurting shareholders."

Fibonacci 🥷

57,821 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Is Saylor selling Bitcoin low only to buy it back higher with STRC? "Clearly selling Bitcoin is not a problem, and the fact that he's not buying is seemingly not a problem for the market either. But the thing I'm wondering now, and this remains open ended, is now that he's selling Bitcoin to buy STRC, what happens when STRC inevitably gets back to a hundred bucks and the old machine of using STRC to buy Bitcoin kicks back into motion?" "Are they actually going to be selling STRC to buy Bitcoin back at a higher price? Are we selling the lows on Bitcoin after buying the highs, only to buy that Bitcoin back higher with the very same instrument he's buying back? I'd say Michael Saylor here is in a bit of a pickle" "Having this not be the main narrative for crypto at the moment is really good news. Michael Saylor spent years turning dollars into Bitcoin. Now he's discovered there's a reverse button, and I don't love it"

Is Saylor selling Bitcoin low only to buy it back higher with STRC? "Clearly selling Bitcoin is not a problem, and the fact that he's not buying is seemingly not a problem for the market either. But the thing I'm wondering now, and this remains open ended, is now that he's selling Bitcoin to buy STRC, what happens when STRC inevitably gets back to a hundred bucks and the old machine of using STRC to buy Bitcoin kicks back into motion?" "Are they actually going to be selling STRC to buy Bitcoin back at a higher price? Are we selling the lows on Bitcoin after buying the highs, only to buy that Bitcoin back higher with the very same instrument he's buying back? I'd say Michael Saylor here is in a bit of a pickle" "Having this not be the main narrative for crypto at the moment is really good news. Michael Saylor spent years turning dollars into Bitcoin. Now he's discovered there's a reverse button, and I don't love it"

The Wolf Of All Streets

36,187 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $62K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one

🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $62K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one

Simba

65,952 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Watch the market care… Strategy just sold another 1,638 BTC for $105 million. Third sale of 2026. $19,000 loss per coin against their cost basis. Bitcoin is up 2% today anyway. Six months ago every Strategy sale sent Bitcoin lower. The market treated Saylor's moves as the primary demand signal. Now he is selling and nobody cares. That tells you the bid underneath Bitcoin is no longer dependent on one company's capital raises and that is a healthier market structure than we had at the start of the year. The deeper story is that Strategy has not bought a single Bitcoin in over five weeks. The company built its identity around perpetual accumulation. It is now sending proceeds to preferred dividends and STRC buybacks instead. The playbook shifted from offense to defense. The market cares. $BTC

Watch the market care… Strategy just sold another 1,638 BTC for $105 million. Third sale of 2026. $19,000 loss per coin against their cost basis. Bitcoin is up 2% today anyway. Six months ago every Strategy sale sent Bitcoin lower. The market treated Saylor's moves as the primary demand signal. Now he is selling and nobody cares. That tells you the bid underneath Bitcoin is no longer dependent on one company's capital raises and that is a healthier market structure than we had at the start of the year. The deeper story is that Strategy has not bought a single Bitcoin in over five weeks. The company built its identity around perpetual accumulation. It is now sending proceeds to preferred dividends and STRC buybacks instead. The playbook shifted from offense to defense. The market cares. $BTC

Chento

17,973 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

$MSTR “Occasionally we will take a slight dilution in Bitcoin per share to improve the credit worthiness of the company.” In the past two days, the combined impressions across Saylor’s signal, Phong’s follow up, and Monday’s announcement crossed 17.5 MILLION! Love it or hate it, the attention Strategy commands is second to none. Post the announcement, skeptics were quick to point out that the acquisition, combined with the replenishment of the USD reserve, was slightly dilutive to Bitcoin per share. Michael Saylor came out today addressing that directly, reminding the market to look at the entire capital stack and not just one KPI in isolation. Those who have followed this company long enough already understand this. The BTC yield quarter to date is 9.7%. Year to date it sits at 12.8%, tracking toward the 22.8% projection by year end. Not a single quarter has produced a negative Bitcoin per share result. So when you look at yesterday’s transaction in isolation, it tells you very little about the direction this company is actually heading. What it does tell you is that management is doing exactly what it should be doing. Balancing the interests of the credit instruments, the common shareholders, and the long term scaling of $STRC, which remains the most important lever for the company’s future growth. An occasional dilutive transaction in service of all of that is not something long term shareholders should lose sleep over. The speculation that surrounds moves like this is a net positive too. Every week that Strategy dominates the conversation, more eyes land on the thesis. More skeptics read the dashboards and find themselves having to reckon with what is actually being built here. “Attention is the rarest and purest form of generosity.” - Simone Weil In this space, it is also the most powerful form of validation. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

$MSTR “Occasionally we will take a slight dilution in Bitcoin per share to improve the credit worthiness of the company.” In the past two days, the combined impressions across Saylor’s signal, Phong’s follow up, and Monday’s announcement crossed 17.5 MILLION! Love it or hate it, the attention Strategy commands is second to none. Post the announcement, skeptics were quick to point out that the acquisition, combined with the replenishment of the USD reserve, was slightly dilutive to Bitcoin per share. Michael Saylor came out today addressing that directly, reminding the market to look at the entire capital stack and not just one KPI in isolation. Those who have followed this company long enough already understand this. The BTC yield quarter to date is 9.7%. Year to date it sits at 12.8%, tracking toward the 22.8% projection by year end. Not a single quarter has produced a negative Bitcoin per share result. So when you look at yesterday’s transaction in isolation, it tells you very little about the direction this company is actually heading. What it does tell you is that management is doing exactly what it should be doing. Balancing the interests of the credit instruments, the common shareholders, and the long term scaling of $STRC, which remains the most important lever for the company’s future growth. An occasional dilutive transaction in service of all of that is not something long term shareholders should lose sleep over. The speculation that surrounds moves like this is a net positive too. Every week that Strategy dominates the conversation, more eyes land on the thesis. More skeptics read the dashboards and find themselves having to reckon with what is actually being built here. “Attention is the rarest and purest form of generosity.” - Simone Weil In this space, it is also the most powerful form of validation. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

47,335 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$MSTR “My investment thesis is you buy technology companies that have a dominant place in their industry that are going to eat everything, and then you just wait.” - Michael Saylor If you embraced Saylor’s bet in 2020, sat through the volatility, and ignored the general advice along the way, you’ve achieved an annualized return most investors would dream of. Strategy despite two 70–80% drawdowns, has still compounded at 41% annually since adopting the Bitcoin Standard, outperforming Bitcoin itself over the same period. That bet started with 21,454 BTC acquired for $250 million. Today, it stands at 843,775 BTC, representing 4% of the entire Bitcoin network. If you believe Bitcoin remains the dominant monetary network, Strategy now owns roughly 20× more Bitcoin than the world’s second largest corporate holder. And while Bitcoin has spent much of this year under pressure, Strategy has still accumulated roughly 4× the entire treasury of the world’s second largest corporate holder, through its upgraded capital acquisition engine in $STRC I understand why Michael doesn’t spend much time asking for advice. Whether you agree with every decision or not, he’s spent six years executing one thesis with remarkable consistency. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

$MSTR “My investment thesis is you buy technology companies that have a dominant place in their industry that are going to eat everything, and then you just wait.” - Michael Saylor If you embraced Saylor’s bet in 2020, sat through the volatility, and ignored the general advice along the way, you’ve achieved an annualized return most investors would dream of. Strategy despite two 70–80% drawdowns, has still compounded at 41% annually since adopting the Bitcoin Standard, outperforming Bitcoin itself over the same period. That bet started with 21,454 BTC acquired for $250 million. Today, it stands at 843,775 BTC, representing 4% of the entire Bitcoin network. If you believe Bitcoin remains the dominant monetary network, Strategy now owns roughly 20× more Bitcoin than the world’s second largest corporate holder. And while Bitcoin has spent much of this year under pressure, Strategy has still accumulated roughly 4× the entire treasury of the world’s second largest corporate holder, through its upgraded capital acquisition engine in $STRC I understand why Michael doesn’t spend much time asking for advice. Whether you agree with every decision or not, he’s spent six years executing one thesis with remarkable consistency. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

28,537 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This was the most critical takeaway from the entire interview, yet no one is talking about it. Saylor’s final point was essentially this: you can’t extrapolate into the future based on historical data when the market structure has fundamentally shifted—and continues to do so. Before the approval of the Bitcoin ETFs (and the strategic emergence of Bitcoin accretive derivatives like MicroStrategy), 99% of the capital in the world didn’t have access to Bitcoin. Now, a significant portion of that capital finally has a viable on-ramp to Bitcoin. Take a moment to really consider the implications of that. In other words, the motorcycle has entered the bicycle race. ( Can I request Saylor on a motorcycle entering a bicycle race, please?) And all of your bicycle race data is worthless. Basically, If you're trading #Bitcoin or $MSTR based on historical data (and by extension, the old market structure), you’ll lose. Don’t just take my word for it—listen to Saylor himself: “the fundamental structure of the market is changing.” As a result, the outcomes will inevitably change too. Beyond that, Saylor’s core advice, shaped by his first four years in Bitcoin, is clear: hold through the volatility, stay solvent, and stick to the winning strategy—buy and hold. Bitcoin is intense, unpredictable, and nothing like the traditional markets. Don’t try to predict the beast that is Bitcoin. Prepare yourself for the roller coaster ahead, hold strong, and above all, enjoy the ride.

This was the most critical takeaway from the entire interview, yet no one is talking about it. Saylor’s final point was essentially this: you can’t extrapolate into the future based on historical data when the market structure has fundamentally shifted—and continues to do so. Before the approval of the Bitcoin ETFs (and the strategic emergence of Bitcoin accretive derivatives like MicroStrategy), 99% of the capital in the world didn’t have access to Bitcoin. Now, a significant portion of that capital finally has a viable on-ramp to Bitcoin. Take a moment to really consider the implications of that. In other words, the motorcycle has entered the bicycle race. ( Can I request Saylor on a motorcycle entering a bicycle race, please?) And all of your bicycle race data is worthless. Basically, If you're trading #Bitcoin or $MSTR based on historical data (and by extension, the old market structure), you’ll lose. Don’t just take my word for it—listen to Saylor himself: “the fundamental structure of the market is changing.” As a result, the outcomes will inevitably change too. Beyond that, Saylor’s core advice, shaped by his first four years in Bitcoin, is clear: hold through the volatility, stay solvent, and stick to the winning strategy—buy and hold. Bitcoin is intense, unpredictable, and nothing like the traditional markets. Don’t try to predict the beast that is Bitcoin. Prepare yourself for the roller coaster ahead, hold strong, and above all, enjoy the ride.

Mason

141,126 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Michael Saylor: We Sold Bitcoin to Prove It Wouldn't Crash the Market Strategy founder Michael Saylor Michael Saylor said in an August 6 interview with The Diary Of A CEO that the market believed Strategy could not sell Bitcoin because doing so might cause BTC to crash, leaving the company trapped in a "doom loop" of repeatedly selling equity to pay dividends. To break that narrative, Strategy sold Bitcoin when BTC was trading at around $59,000 to $60,000, and the price instead moved higher. Saylor said the company's break-even point is about 3.2%, meaning that if Bitcoin appreciates by that amount, Strategy can sell part of its BTC to pay dividends without continuing to sell equity.

Michael Saylor: We Sold Bitcoin to Prove It Wouldn't Crash the Market Strategy founder Michael Saylor Michael Saylor said in an August 6 interview with The Diary Of A CEO that the market believed Strategy could not sell Bitcoin because doing so might cause BTC to crash, leaving the company trapped in a "doom loop" of repeatedly selling equity to pay dividends. To break that narrative, Strategy sold Bitcoin when BTC was trading at around $59,000 to $60,000, and the price instead moved higher. Saylor said the company's break-even point is about 3.2%, meaning that if Bitcoin appreciates by that amount, Strategy can sell part of its BTC to pay dividends without continuing to sell equity.

Wu Blockchain

22,843 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one

🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one

Aralez 🐕

320,789 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Vinny Lingham on exactly how the MSTR empire could crash step by step "The moment MSTR trades at a discount he cannot raise more cash. He is locked out. He cannot sell MSTR. He cannot sell STRC. Then he starts running out of cash. Call it nine months, eight months, seven months" "The market prices this in well in advance. The biggest buyer of Bitcoin is being removed. People selling Bitcoin are going to push the price down" "There is a void that forms in the market. The person who has been providing liquidity for years is no longer providing it. The price of Bitcoin goes into a deeper bear market. And then he has to sell Bitcoin to pay the interest on the preferreds"

Vinny Lingham on exactly how the MSTR empire could crash step by step "The moment MSTR trades at a discount he cannot raise more cash. He is locked out. He cannot sell MSTR. He cannot sell STRC. Then he starts running out of cash. Call it nine months, eight months, seven months" "The market prices this in well in advance. The biggest buyer of Bitcoin is being removed. People selling Bitcoin are going to push the price down" "There is a void that forms in the market. The person who has been providing liquidity for years is no longer providing it. The price of Bitcoin goes into a deeper bear market. And then he has to sell Bitcoin to pay the interest on the preferreds"

Laura Shin

98,694 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC: “There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about. And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken. We don’t right now, but you always have to look at the underlying technology and the crypto. What the Bitcoin community has been asking itself is: Is there enough encryption in Bitcoin, because quantum computing is coming? And secondly: Is there enough privacy in Bitcoin? And so a lot of Bitcoin OGs or maxis have been looking at Zcash. Zcash is a token. It’s sort of related to Bitcoin with a lot more privacy. The kind of garbage that we got about Bitcoin four years ago was: ‘It’s used for all bad illicit behavior.’ But now everyone kind of realizes that when you move money around on the Bitcoin blockchain, you can see it. You can see it move from one wallet to another. And a lot of people are looking for more privacy.”

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC: “There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about. And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken. We don’t right now, but you always have to look at the underlying technology and the crypto. What the Bitcoin community has been asking itself is: Is there enough encryption in Bitcoin, because quantum computing is coming? And secondly: Is there enough privacy in Bitcoin? And so a lot of Bitcoin OGs or maxis have been looking at Zcash. Zcash is a token. It’s sort of related to Bitcoin with a lot more privacy. The kind of garbage that we got about Bitcoin four years ago was: ‘It’s used for all bad illicit behavior.’ But now everyone kind of realizes that when you move money around on the Bitcoin blockchain, you can see it. You can see it move from one wallet to another. And a lot of people are looking for more privacy.”

Arjun Khemani

569,098 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

🩸 THE BIGGEST BITCOIN TREASURY ON EARTH IS UNWINDING IN REAL TIME. Strategy is down 84% from its high. Tens of billions in market value gone. Its preferred stock $STRC was built to hold a $100 peg. It just broke to $75. Here is why this matters to all of Bitcoin. $MSTR did not just buy Bitcoin. It borrowed to buy Bitcoin. That structure is a rocket when price rises. And a trap when price falls. bitcoin:native is down 52% and the trap is closing. This is the leverage washing out of the entire market.

🩸 THE BIGGEST BITCOIN TREASURY ON EARTH IS UNWINDING IN REAL TIME. Strategy is down 84% from its high. Tens of billions in market value gone. Its preferred stock $STRC was built to hold a $100 peg. It just broke to $75. Here is why this matters to all of Bitcoin. $MSTR did not just buy Bitcoin. It borrowed to buy Bitcoin. That structure is a rocket when price rises. And a trap when price falls. bitcoin:native is down 52% and the trap is closing. This is the leverage washing out of the entire market.

Mister Crypto

17,277 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚀WHAT PRICE WILL MSTR BE AT $1 MILLION BITCOIN?🚀 I handicapped the absolute hell out of this model. Bitcoin rises from $65,993 to $1,000,000 over 8 full years. The entire STR preferred stack remains at a 12% dividend rate for all 96 months. The rate never declines. MSTR common stock is issued to fund every dollar of dividends, so shareholders absorb the dilution. No additional debt is added. No MSTR is sold at a premium to acquire Bitcoin... EVER. mNAV is only permitted to rise modestly as STRC scales. Strategy has already raised approximately $16.4 billion in 2026 through July 19, a roughly $29.9 billion annualized pace. Yet these scenarios allow only $0 to $6 billion of annual STRC issuance: $0/month - no STRC ever issued | 1.023× mNAV | $2,100 MSTR | 21.08× return | 1.39× Bitcoin’s multiple (+39%) $100M/month | $1.2B/year, 4% of current pace | 1.10× mNAV | $2,292 MSTR | 23.01× | 1.52× Bitcoin (+52%) $200M/month | $2.4B/year, 8% of pace | 1.20× mNAV | $2,540 MSTR | 25.50× | 1.68× Bitcoin (+68%) $300M/month | $3.6B/year, 12% of pace | 1.30× mNAV | $2,796 MSTR | 28.07× | 1.85× Bitcoin (+85%) $400M/month | $4.8B/year, 16% of pace | 1.40× mNAV | $3,060 MSTR | 30.73× | 2.03× Bitcoin (+103%) $500M/month | $6B/year, 20% of pace | 1.50× mNAV | $3,333 MSTR | 33.47× | 2.21× Bitcoin (+121%) Bitcoin itself returns 15.15×. The most important result is the first one. With zero new STRC issuance and absolutely zero mNAV expansion, MSTR still reaches approximately $2,100 and outperforms Bitcoin. Stock Multiple = BTC Multiple × CEBE Sats/Share Multiple × CEBE mNAV Multiple 15.15× BTC appreciation × 1.39× CEBE sats/share accretion × 1.00× mNAV change = 21.08× MSTR. The amplification is already embedded in the balance sheet. The market does not need to award MSTR a higher valuation multiple for it to work. Even in the $500M monthly STRC scenario, Strategy finishes with only 987,098 Bitcoin. Yes, the $3,333 model example includes a scenario where they fail to reach 1 million BTC in the next 8 years. If Bitcoin goes up... the machine works:

🚀WHAT PRICE WILL MSTR BE AT $1 MILLION BITCOIN?🚀 I handicapped the absolute hell out of this model. Bitcoin rises from $65,993 to $1,000,000 over 8 full years. The entire STR preferred stack remains at a 12% dividend rate for all 96 months. The rate never declines. MSTR common stock is issued to fund every dollar of dividends, so shareholders absorb the dilution. No additional debt is added. No MSTR is sold at a premium to acquire Bitcoin... EVER. mNAV is only permitted to rise modestly as STRC scales. Strategy has already raised approximately $16.4 billion in 2026 through July 19, a roughly $29.9 billion annualized pace. Yet these scenarios allow only $0 to $6 billion of annual STRC issuance: $0/month - no STRC ever issued | 1.023× mNAV | $2,100 MSTR | 21.08× return | 1.39× Bitcoin’s multiple (+39%) $100M/month | $1.2B/year, 4% of current pace | 1.10× mNAV | $2,292 MSTR | 23.01× | 1.52× Bitcoin (+52%) $200M/month | $2.4B/year, 8% of pace | 1.20× mNAV | $2,540 MSTR | 25.50× | 1.68× Bitcoin (+68%) $300M/month | $3.6B/year, 12% of pace | 1.30× mNAV | $2,796 MSTR | 28.07× | 1.85× Bitcoin (+85%) $400M/month | $4.8B/year, 16% of pace | 1.40× mNAV | $3,060 MSTR | 30.73× | 2.03× Bitcoin (+103%) $500M/month | $6B/year, 20% of pace | 1.50× mNAV | $3,333 MSTR | 33.47× | 2.21× Bitcoin (+121%) Bitcoin itself returns 15.15×. The most important result is the first one. With zero new STRC issuance and absolutely zero mNAV expansion, MSTR still reaches approximately $2,100 and outperforms Bitcoin. Stock Multiple = BTC Multiple × CEBE Sats/Share Multiple × CEBE mNAV Multiple 15.15× BTC appreciation × 1.39× CEBE sats/share accretion × 1.00× mNAV change = 21.08× MSTR. The amplification is already embedded in the balance sheet. The market does not need to award MSTR a higher valuation multiple for it to work. Even in the $500M monthly STRC scenario, Strategy finishes with only 987,098 Bitcoin. Yes, the $3,333 model example includes a scenario where they fail to reach 1 million BTC in the next 8 years. If Bitcoin goes up... the machine works:

Adam Livingston

46,176 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat