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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 NEGOTIATIONS FAIL AS BLOCKADE BEGINS The recent collapse of high-level talks and Trump’s new naval blockade justify the cautious pessimism held by JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre. While some saw a silver lining in the 21-hour direct dialogue, Eyre notes that the U.S. continues to wrongly expect total Iranian...

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Mario Nawfal

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58,990 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN’S EXISTENTIAL REBUILD Even though the U.S. has targeted steel and petrochemical plants, JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre warns that Tehran is playing a weak hand very strongly. Alan notes that the regime is single-mindedly focused on surviving the bombardment and finding revenue to rebuild its missile and drone inventory. Eyre observes that while the U.S. focuses on midterms, Iran is focused on an existential battle for long-term deterrence. Alan Eyre
3:03

🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN’S EXISTENTIAL REBUILD Even though the U.S. has targeted steel and petrochemical plants, JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre warns that Tehran is playing a weak hand very strongly. Alan notes that the regime is single-mindedly focused on surviving the bombardment and finding revenue to rebuild its missile and drone inventory. Eyre observes that while the U.S. focuses on midterms, Iran is focused on an existential battle for long-term deterrence. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

46,394 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S.-Iran nuclear talks are falling apart before they've even started. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says the current chaos mirrors the early Obama-era nuclear negotiations years wasted debating where to meet, not what to agree on. He calls the White House claim that Iran needed extra days because its government was "too fragmented" to respond flat-out "nonsense." Iran refused to negotiate while the U.S. blockade is still in place. Alan Eyre
1:55

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S.-Iran nuclear talks are falling apart before they've even started. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says the current chaos mirrors the early Obama-era nuclear negotiations years wasted debating where to meet, not what to agree on. He calls the White House claim that Iran needed extra days because its government was "too fragmented" to respond flat-out "nonsense." Iran refused to negotiate while the U.S. blockade is still in place. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

60,522 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇾🇪🇺🇸 THE RED SEA THREAT: SCARING THE MARKETS The threat of closing the Bab el-Mandeb strait is a powerful card that JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre believes Iran is saving for a potential U.S. strike on its infrastructure. Alan argues that a formal military closure isn't even necessary; the regime only needs to scare the insurance markets to halt global maritime traffic. Eyre points out that Trump’s blockade strategy may backfire by irritating key allies like India and China. Alan Eyre
2:39

🇾🇪🇺🇸 THE RED SEA THREAT: SCARING THE MARKETS The threat of closing the Bab el-Mandeb strait is a powerful card that JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre believes Iran is saving for a potential U.S. strike on its infrastructure. Alan argues that a formal military closure isn't even necessary; the regime only needs to scare the insurance markets to halt global maritime traffic. Eyre points out that Trump’s blockade strategy may backfire by irritating key allies like India and China. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

59,103 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 REPARATIONS OR RE-DETERRENCE? Iran is reportedly seeking $27B in what Alan Eyre, JCPOA Negotiator, identifies as a demand for reparations or the unblocking of frozen assets. While Alan notes that the U.S. will never officially pay "reparations," Tehran is using its control of the Strait as a new form of strategic deterrence. Eyre explains that for the regime, this isn't just about money; it's about a binding guarantee to prevent future economic warfare. Alan Eyre
1:56

🇺🇸🇮🇷 REPARATIONS OR RE-DETERRENCE? Iran is reportedly seeking $27B in what Alan Eyre, JCPOA Negotiator, identifies as a demand for reparations or the unblocking of frozen assets. While Alan notes that the U.S. will never officially pay "reparations," Tehran is using its control of the Strait as a new form of strategic deterrence. Eyre explains that for the regime, this isn't just about money; it's about a binding guarantee to prevent future economic warfare. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

55,621 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇱 JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says the U.S. wouldn't be in this war if it weren't for the suspect arguments presented by Israel. Alan notes that Netanyahu has a tremendous sway over Trump, successfully pushing for a hardline stance that previous presidents had rejected for decades. Eyre suggests that both leaders are facing domestic pressures that make scuttling these negotiations politically advantageous for them. Alan Eyre
1:31

🇺🇸🇮🇱 JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says the U.S. wouldn't be in this war if it weren't for the suspect arguments presented by Israel. Alan notes that Netanyahu has a tremendous sway over Trump, successfully pushing for a hardline stance that previous presidents had rejected for decades. Eyre suggests that both leaders are facing domestic pressures that make scuttling these negotiations politically advantageous for them. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

24,853 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The deal that stumped diplomats for years fits on two pages, and that might be exactly the point. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre explained what may happen next. "Ambiguity is the feature and not the bug." Iran wants Lebanon in the ceasefire. Whether that's a bridge too far is the question nobody has answered yet. Alan Eyre
1:39

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The deal that stumped diplomats for years fits on two pages, and that might be exactly the point. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre explained what may happen next. "Ambiguity is the feature and not the bug." Iran wants Lebanon in the ceasefire. Whether that's a bridge too far is the question nobody has answered yet. Alan Eyre

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41,324 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions are easy to impose but nearly impossible to unwind. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that Iran is playing the long game to avoid a "win-humiliation" scenario that Trump is still fantasizing about. Alan argued that the Iranian regime is highly skeptical of the prospect of any deal because they expect the threat of U.S. strikes to return the moment they get the upper hand. "The U.S. can lift sanctions on a Monday and reimpose them on a Tuesday." Alan Eyre
5:29

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions are easy to impose but nearly impossible to unwind. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that Iran is playing the long game to avoid a "win-humiliation" scenario that Trump is still fantasizing about. Alan argued that the Iranian regime is highly skeptical of the prospect of any deal because they expect the threat of U.S. strikes to return the moment they get the upper hand. "The U.S. can lift sanctions on a Monday and reimpose them on a Tuesday." Alan Eyre

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54,970 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 WERE THEY STALLING? Alan Eyre clarifies that during the JCPOA negotiations, Iran was not stalling... they desperately wanted sanctions lifted. A successful negotiation is one where both sides walk away slightly unsatisfied; both the U.S. and Iran felt that way in 2015. Good faith engagement is the only way to reach a deal that actually functions. Alan Eyre
4:58

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 WERE THEY STALLING? Alan Eyre clarifies that during the JCPOA negotiations, Iran was not stalling... they desperately wanted sanctions lifted. A successful negotiation is one where both sides walk away slightly unsatisfied; both the U.S. and Iran felt that way in 2015. Good faith engagement is the only way to reach a deal that actually functions. Alan Eyre

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74,078 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷Diplomacy isn't a one-page memo; it's a "Bataan Death March" of grueling technical sessions that both sides are currently avoiding. Alan Eyre emphasizes that strategic messaging discipline has vanished, replaced by social media outbursts that sabotage the negotiating table. As a former JCPOA Negotiator, Alan argues that Iran is "fully ready" for a return to war simply because they no longer trust the U.S. to offer anything in return for peace. Alan Eyre
7:26

🇺🇸🇮🇷Diplomacy isn't a one-page memo; it's a "Bataan Death March" of grueling technical sessions that both sides are currently avoiding. Alan Eyre emphasizes that strategic messaging discipline has vanished, replaced by social media outbursts that sabotage the negotiating table. As a former JCPOA Negotiator, Alan argues that Iran is "fully ready" for a return to war simply because they no longer trust the U.S. to offer anything in return for peace. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

19,948 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre compares the current administration to a car with a stuck accelerator and no steering wheel or reverse gear. Alan contends that Trump is conflating military ability with strategic success, mistakenly viewing a carrier group as a "Swiss Army knife" that can solve any geopolitical crisis. Eyre warns that military escalation alone will not force Iran to relinquish its leverage over the world's energy supply. Alan Eyre
2:19

JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre compares the current administration to a car with a stuck accelerator and no steering wheel or reverse gear. Alan contends that Trump is conflating military ability with strategic success, mistakenly viewing a carrier group as a "Swiss Army knife" that can solve any geopolitical crisis. Eyre warns that military escalation alone will not force Iran to relinquish its leverage over the world's energy supply. Alan Eyre

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44,790 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The gap between public threats and private talks is bigger than anyone is admitting. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre says both sides are still miles apart, and the dramatic rhetoric changes nothing. "There's no dialog. There's just two monologues passing each other in the night." Half of what's being said is to scare Iran. The other half is to calm the markets. Alan Eyre
5:47

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The gap between public threats and private talks is bigger than anyone is admitting. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre says both sides are still miles apart, and the dramatic rhetoric changes nothing. "There's no dialog. There's just two monologues passing each other in the night." Half of what's being said is to scare Iran. The other half is to calm the markets. Alan Eyre

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33,154 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Former senior U.S. diplomat and Iran expert Alan Eyre says talks between the U.S. and Iran aren’t happening, as positions are “ridiculously far apart” with no real path forward. With Iran still choking the Strait of Hormuz and both sides looking for a win, a deal isn’t politically viable right now. Alan Eyre
6:11

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Former senior U.S. diplomat and Iran expert Alan Eyre says talks between the U.S. and Iran aren’t happening, as positions are “ridiculously far apart” with no real path forward. With Iran still choking the Strait of Hormuz and both sides looking for a win, a deal isn’t politically viable right now. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

88,794 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 INSIDE THE MIND OF THE SUPREME LEADER Alan Eyre reveals the two axioms that guide Iran’s leadership: the U.S. seeks regime change, and Iran is ultimately on its own. The 2013-2015 negotiations happened only because of a unique confluence of economic pressure and political will on both sides. Understanding this mindset is key to understanding why they negotiate... and why they don't. Alan Eyre
3:33

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 INSIDE THE MIND OF THE SUPREME LEADER Alan Eyre reveals the two axioms that guide Iran’s leadership: the U.S. seeks regime change, and Iran is ultimately on its own. The 2013-2015 negotiations happened only because of a unique confluence of economic pressure and political will on both sides. Understanding this mindset is key to understanding why they negotiate... and why they don't. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

62,370 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Every leak coming out of the U.S.-Iran negotiations is spin full stop. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says no government official leaks to inform the press. They leak to shape reality in their favor. "None of them are genuine. They're all leaks." U.S. and Israeli officials are doing propaganda, not keeping the public informed. Trust nothing sourced only to governments at war with each other. Alan Eyre
0:46

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Every leak coming out of the U.S.-Iran negotiations is spin full stop. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says no government official leaks to inform the press. They leak to shape reality in their favor. "None of them are genuine. They're all leaks." U.S. and Israeli officials are doing propaganda, not keeping the public informed. Trust nothing sourced only to governments at war with each other. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

58,601 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇺🇸 POLITICS OVER PEACE: THE VANCE FACTOR All politics is local, and JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggests JD Vance entered the room more as a presidential frontrunner than a traditional diplomat. Alan believes the U.S. wasn't looking for a true compromise, but rather a simple "yes" to demands that now include the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Mr. Eyre highlights that the Vice President's need for a political win makes a flexible deal nearly impossible. Alan Eyre
2:01

🇺🇸 POLITICS OVER PEACE: THE VANCE FACTOR All politics is local, and JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggests JD Vance entered the room more as a presidential frontrunner than a traditional diplomat. Alan believes the U.S. wasn't looking for a true compromise, but rather a simple "yes" to demands that now include the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Mr. Eyre highlights that the Vice President's need for a political win makes a flexible deal nearly impossible. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

50,969 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may have survived the war, but surviving and coming out intact are two very different things. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says it's like being stabbed on adrenaline once it wears off, you look down and see the wound. The economy was already collapsing before the war. Whatever money comes in now goes straight to missiles and drones, not rebuilding. Israel's goal was to collapse the Iranian state and Alan says they're closer to that now than ever. Alan Eyre
3:07

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may have survived the war, but surviving and coming out intact are two very different things. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre says it's like being stabbed on adrenaline once it wears off, you look down and see the wound. The economy was already collapsing before the war. Whatever money comes in now goes straight to missiles and drones, not rebuilding. Israel's goal was to collapse the Iranian state and Alan says they're closer to that now than ever. Alan Eyre

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45,946 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ceasefire won't stop Iran from quietly building toward a nuclear weapon. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre says Tehran's military will assume that it's only a matter of time before the U.S. poses another existential threat to the nations leadership. "One month, two months, six months, a year after this war ends, the military in charge of Iran, barring the unforeseen, will be thinking it's just a matter of time unless we have enough strategic deterrence." The Strait of Hormuz, missile rebuilds, and a nuclear push. None of that was on the table when Khamenei was alive. Alan Eyre
3:59

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ceasefire won't stop Iran from quietly building toward a nuclear weapon. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre says Tehran's military will assume that it's only a matter of time before the U.S. poses another existential threat to the nations leadership. "One month, two months, six months, a year after this war ends, the military in charge of Iran, barring the unforeseen, will be thinking it's just a matter of time unless we have enough strategic deterrence." The Strait of Hormuz, missile rebuilds, and a nuclear push. None of that was on the table when Khamenei was alive. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

46,844 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The public might never lay eyes on whatever was agreed to with Iran. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre warns the fine print could stay buried, wrapped in spin from every direction. "There's going to be a lot of lying by the US and a lot of spinning by everybody." If they hide the text, nothing can be verified, and nobody is accountable. Alan Eyre
2:33

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The public might never lay eyes on whatever was agreed to with Iran. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre warns the fine print could stay buried, wrapped in spin from every direction. "There's going to be a lot of lying by the US and a lot of spinning by everybody." If they hide the text, nothing can be verified, and nobody is accountable. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

78,320 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Trump administration is failing to sustain any momentum in the negotiations with Iran. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre believes that's the only sign you need to know how likely it is a deal will materialize. "It's about the same as the odds of Iran having a nuclear weapon. They'll get a phase one agreement. But look at the phase two for Gaza; they don't believe in a phase two. This administration cannot do the serious and sustained detailed negotiations that would result in a comprehensive nuclear agreement." Alan Eyre
5:06

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Trump administration is failing to sustain any momentum in the negotiations with Iran. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre believes that's the only sign you need to know how likely it is a deal will materialize. "It's about the same as the odds of Iran having a nuclear weapon. They'll get a phase one agreement. But look at the phase two for Gaza; they don't believe in a phase two. This administration cannot do the serious and sustained detailed negotiations that would result in a comprehensive nuclear agreement." Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

36,925 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A massive shift is underway in the Persian Gulf as details emerge regarding the memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. In a notable strategic pivot, Trump has chosen a path of diplomatic ambiguity over immediate military bombardment. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that the current framework represents a clear tactical victory for Iran. He argued Iran is on track to secure an end to the war that involves a firm ceasefire on the Lebanon front while not giving up control over the Strait of Hormuz. Alan Eyre
2:45

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A massive shift is underway in the Persian Gulf as details emerge regarding the memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. In a notable strategic pivot, Trump has chosen a path of diplomatic ambiguity over immediate military bombardment. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that the current framework represents a clear tactical victory for Iran. He argued Iran is on track to secure an end to the war that involves a firm ceasefire on the Lebanon front while not giving up control over the Strait of Hormuz. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

108,405 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce