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New Benchtalks with John Yang: on ProgramBench (0% frontier models at launch) and the lineage/future of coding benchmarks, from SWE-bench/InterCode to now 01:29 ProgramBench launch and reception 03:41 Why artifact-level evaluation, not code-level 06:03 Why models love Python 08:29 ProgramBench as a research tool 12:45 From SWE-bench & InterCode...

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vincent sunn chen

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27,008 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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vincent sunn chen4 个月前

Kudos to the ProgramBench team! + @KLieret (co-lead)  @18jeffreyma @parth007_96 @dpedch @sten_sootla @micmylin @pengchengyin @magpie_rayhou @syhw @Diyi_Yang @OfirPress YouTube here:

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capability != learning new benchtalks with Parth Asawa on continual learning, where we discuss teaching models to learn from experience, measuring learning ability, the bet on parametric models, and more 01:06 What is continual learning? 04:10 Why capability and learning are different 06:13 Why build a benchmark? 08:07 Continual Learning Bench launch and reception 09:13 Anthropic's Fable release and Continual Learning Bench 11:02 How to design tasks for continual learning 18:41 The gain metric 24:01 What good looks like on the leaderboard 29:13 Failure modes: why models can't update their beliefs 31:12 Parametric systems and future architectures 34:30 Open science and AI safety 45:42 Lightning round 49:08 How to contribute to Continual Learning Bench
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capability != learning new benchtalks with Parth Asawa on continual learning, where we discuss teaching models to learn from experience, measuring learning ability, the bet on parametric models, and more 01:06 What is continual learning? 04:10 Why capability and learning are different 06:13 Why build a benchmark? 08:07 Continual Learning Bench launch and reception 09:13 Anthropic's Fable release and Continual Learning Bench 11:02 How to design tasks for continual learning 18:41 The gain metric 24:01 What good looks like on the leaderboard 29:13 Failure modes: why models can't update their beliefs 31:12 Parametric systems and future architectures 34:30 Open science and AI safety 45:42 Lightning round 49:08 How to contribute to Continual Learning Bench

vincent sunn chen

41,444 次观看 • 3 个月前

Terminal-Bench 2.0 went from ~25% → 80% in four months and became the standard eval for frontier CLI agents. Now, TB3 is in the works. I talked to Alex Shaw about what happens when model capabilities climb faster than we can measure them. His answer: the benchmark factory (Harbor Framework)— infrastructure to develop hard, representative evals at the pace that the frontier moves. As Alex put it: "we need a thousand times more benchmarks than we have right now." 00:23 - How quickly models hill-climbed TB2 01:46 - What rapid progress reveals about benchmarks vs. real-world capability 03:28 - What made Terminal-Bench stick 04:58 - Why the terminal is the right abstraction for agentic AI 07:14 - How TB2 maintains task quality at scale 09:23 - Managing benchmark integrity in a benchmaxxing world 10:47 - Harbor: from experiment to benchmark factory 12:19 - What Harbor does that nothing else did 14:37 - The invariants: what won't change as agent evals evolve 16:55 - The benchmark Alex most wants to see built 18:18 - The ideal human-in-the-loop task creation flywheel 20:32 - How to contribute to Terminal-Bench 3.0
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Terminal-Bench 2.0 went from ~25% → 80% in four months and became the standard eval for frontier CLI agents. Now, TB3 is in the works. I talked to Alex Shaw about what happens when model capabilities climb faster than we can measure them. His answer: the benchmark factory (Harbor Framework)— infrastructure to develop hard, representative evals at the pace that the frontier moves. As Alex put it: "we need a thousand times more benchmarks than we have right now." 00:23 - How quickly models hill-climbed TB2 01:46 - What rapid progress reveals about benchmarks vs. real-world capability 03:28 - What made Terminal-Bench stick 04:58 - Why the terminal is the right abstraction for agentic AI 07:14 - How TB2 maintains task quality at scale 09:23 - Managing benchmark integrity in a benchmaxxing world 10:47 - Harbor: from experiment to benchmark factory 12:19 - What Harbor does that nothing else did 14:37 - The invariants: what won't change as agent evals evolve 16:55 - The benchmark Alex most wants to see built 18:18 - The ideal human-in-the-loop task creation flywheel 20:32 - How to contribute to Terminal-Bench 3.0

vincent sunn chen

11,626 次观看 • 6 个月前

François Chollet (François Chollet) has spent years asking a different question than most of the AI world. Instead of scaling what already works, he’s trying to understand what intelligence actually is and how to build it from first principles. In this episode of the Lightcone Podcast, he traces that path from his early work on deep learning to the creation of the ARC Prize, and the launch of ARC V3, a new benchmark designed to measure something deeper than performance: the ability to learn, adapt, and reason efficiently in entirely new environments. He explains why today’s systems may be hitting limits, what recent breakthroughs really mean, and why reaching true general intelligence may require a fundamentally different approach. 00:00 - AGI by 2030? 00:31 - Introducing Ndea: A New Path Beyond Deep Learning 01:08 - A New ML Paradigm 01:30 - Replacing neural nets with compact symbolic programs 03:04 - Why Ndea Isn’t Competing With Coding Agents 05:20 - Why Everyone Might Be Wrong About Scaling LLMs 07:22 - Why Coding Agents Suddenly Work So Well 08:50 - The Limits of LLMs in Non-Verifiable Domains 10:48 - What AGI Actually Means (And Why Most Definitions Are Wrong) 13:30 - Why Deep Learning Hits a Wall 14:00 - ARC’s Origin Story 18:20 - ARC Benchmarks Explained: From V1 to V3 22:49 - The RL Loop Powering Coding Agents Today 27:03 - ARC-AGI V3: Measuring “Agentic Intelligence” 31:14 - Inside the ARC Game Studio 35:31 - Could AGI Fit in 10,000 Lines of Code? 44:01 - Building Ndea: From Idea to Compounding Research Stack 46:46 - The Future of ARC: Benchmarks That Evolve With AI 47:21 - Why There’s Still Huge Opportunity for New AI Paradigms 53:37 - How to Build a Breakout Open Source Project - Lessons From Keras 56:39 - Advice For How To Think About AI
57:23

François Chollet (François Chollet) has spent years asking a different question than most of the AI world. Instead of scaling what already works, he’s trying to understand what intelligence actually is and how to build it from first principles. In this episode of the Lightcone Podcast, he traces that path from his early work on deep learning to the creation of the ARC Prize, and the launch of ARC V3, a new benchmark designed to measure something deeper than performance: the ability to learn, adapt, and reason efficiently in entirely new environments. He explains why today’s systems may be hitting limits, what recent breakthroughs really mean, and why reaching true general intelligence may require a fundamentally different approach. 00:00 - AGI by 2030? 00:31 - Introducing Ndea: A New Path Beyond Deep Learning 01:08 - A New ML Paradigm 01:30 - Replacing neural nets with compact symbolic programs 03:04 - Why Ndea Isn’t Competing With Coding Agents 05:20 - Why Everyone Might Be Wrong About Scaling LLMs 07:22 - Why Coding Agents Suddenly Work So Well 08:50 - The Limits of LLMs in Non-Verifiable Domains 10:48 - What AGI Actually Means (And Why Most Definitions Are Wrong) 13:30 - Why Deep Learning Hits a Wall 14:00 - ARC’s Origin Story 18:20 - ARC Benchmarks Explained: From V1 to V3 22:49 - The RL Loop Powering Coding Agents Today 27:03 - ARC-AGI V3: Measuring “Agentic Intelligence” 31:14 - Inside the ARC Game Studio 35:31 - Could AGI Fit in 10,000 Lines of Code? 44:01 - Building Ndea: From Idea to Compounding Research Stack 46:46 - The Future of ARC: Benchmarks That Evolve With AI 47:21 - Why There’s Still Huge Opportunity for New AI Paradigms 53:37 - How to Build a Breakout Open Source Project - Lessons From Keras 56:39 - Advice For How To Think About AI

Y Combinator

151,883 次观看 • 6 个月前

Really fun to hang again with my friend 🃏 Noam Brown (OpenAI research scientist, our first guest ever on No Priors in early 2023) to talk about the implications of large test-time compute, and what happens when models are given $10M budgets to spend on a single task. Topics: 01:23 – Why Benchmarks Are Broken 04:19 – Compute Budgets and Projections 06:48 – How Long Should Models Think? 08:01 – Benchmarkmaxxing 09:48 – Noam's Evals 12:40 – Safety (When Model Capability Scales With Spend) 16:09 – Implications For the Model Release Cycle 18:34 – Latent Model Capability 22:27 – Limits on Recursive Self-Improvement 28:38 – Large-Scale Multi-Agent Coordination 30:39 – Competition at the Frontier 33:19 – Breaking the Benchmark Grid Equilibrium 34:57 – Why Benchmarks Should be Scaled by Cost
36:18

Really fun to hang again with my friend 🃏 Noam Brown (OpenAI research scientist, our first guest ever on No Priors in early 2023) to talk about the implications of large test-time compute, and what happens when models are given $10M budgets to spend on a single task. Topics: 01:23 – Why Benchmarks Are Broken 04:19 – Compute Budgets and Projections 06:48 – How Long Should Models Think? 08:01 – Benchmarkmaxxing 09:48 – Noam's Evals 12:40 – Safety (When Model Capability Scales With Spend) 16:09 – Implications For the Model Release Cycle 18:34 – Latent Model Capability 22:27 – Limits on Recursive Self-Improvement 28:38 – Large-Scale Multi-Agent Coordination 30:39 – Competition at the Frontier 33:19 – Breaking the Benchmark Grid Equilibrium 34:57 – Why Benchmarks Should be Scaled by Cost

sarah guo

87,850 次观看 • 3 个月前

We are excited to share that Logan Kilpatrick joined us on The Bench to discuss Google's new Gemini 3.5 Flash: why it's deliberately more persistent and capable than previous Flash models, how it hit #1 on our FinanceAgent Benchmark taking 82 steps where competitors stopped at 13, and what justifies the price increase. We also get into why AI benchmarks need a paradigm shift, the trade-off of building everything vs staying focused, the Pope, and why Omni might kill the Subway Surfers content era. 0:11:00 – Flash is being rebased for the agent era, not just a cheaper model anymore 0:14:03 – Persistence by design: 82 tool calls vs competitors' 13 0:17:52 – Why pricing went up and how Google thinks about value per token 0:22:55 – Coding performance: from 20th to 10th place in one generation 0:28:28 – Why benchmarks have historically been misleading and what the new era of evaluation looks like 0:29:28 Logan on why Google has the best researchers in the world 0:36:16 – The cost of being Google 0:39:07 – The Pope’s encyclical on AI and whether most people see frontier intelligence as a good thing 0:51:12 – Why Omni is the thing that recently clicked
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We are excited to share that Logan Kilpatrick joined us on The Bench to discuss Google's new Gemini 3.5 Flash: why it's deliberately more persistent and capable than previous Flash models, how it hit #1 on our FinanceAgent Benchmark taking 82 steps where competitors stopped at 13, and what justifies the price increase. We also get into why AI benchmarks need a paradigm shift, the trade-off of building everything vs staying focused, the Pope, and why Omni might kill the Subway Surfers content era. 0:11:00 – Flash is being rebased for the agent era, not just a cheaper model anymore 0:14:03 – Persistence by design: 82 tool calls vs competitors' 13 0:17:52 – Why pricing went up and how Google thinks about value per token 0:22:55 – Coding performance: from 20th to 10th place in one generation 0:28:28 – Why benchmarks have historically been misleading and what the new era of evaluation looks like 0:29:28 Logan on why Google has the best researchers in the world 0:36:16 – The cost of being Google 0:39:07 – The Pope’s encyclical on AI and whether most people see frontier intelligence as a good thing 0:51:12 – Why Omni is the thing that recently clicked

Vals AI

16,486 次观看 • 4 个月前

Traditional coding benchmarks do not reflect how software is actually built and maintained. That's why we built a new benchmark, APEX-SWE, in partnership with Cognition. It measures whether AI models can perform complex, real-world software engineering work to ship systems that work and debug them when they don't. OpenAI GPT 5.3 Codex (High) tops the leaderboard at 41.5% on Pass@1.
2:30

Traditional coding benchmarks do not reflect how software is actually built and maintained. That's why we built a new benchmark, APEX-SWE, in partnership with Cognition. It measures whether AI models can perform complex, real-world software engineering work to ship systems that work and debug them when they don't. OpenAI GPT 5.3 Codex (High) tops the leaderboard at 41.5% on Pass@1.

adarsh

219,616 次观看 • 6 个月前

ARC-AGI is redefining how to measure progress on the path to AGI - focusing on reasoning, generalization, and adaptability instead of memorization or scale. At NeurIPS 2025, YC's Diana sat down with ARC Prize President Greg Kamradt to find out why most AI benchmarks fail, how ARC-AGI reveals the limits of today’s models, and why measuring intelligence may be harder than building it. 00:11 — What ARC Prize is and why it exists 00:38 — François Chollet’s definition of AGI 01:48 — What ARC-AGI Actually Tests 02:25 — When LLMs Failed the ARC Benchmark 03:38 — ARC-AGI Becomes the Standard 04:49 — False Positives in AI Progress 06:06 — The Evolution of ARC-AGI 08:55 — Measuring Intelligence beyond just accuracy 10:25 — What happens if a model solves ARC-AGI?
11:59

ARC-AGI is redefining how to measure progress on the path to AGI - focusing on reasoning, generalization, and adaptability instead of memorization or scale. At NeurIPS 2025, YC's Diana sat down with ARC Prize President Greg Kamradt to find out why most AI benchmarks fail, how ARC-AGI reveals the limits of today’s models, and why measuring intelligence may be harder than building it. 00:11 — What ARC Prize is and why it exists 00:38 — François Chollet’s definition of AGI 01:48 — What ARC-AGI Actually Tests 02:25 — When LLMs Failed the ARC Benchmark 03:38 — ARC-AGI Becomes the Standard 04:49 — False Positives in AI Progress 06:06 — The Evolution of ARC-AGI 08:55 — Measuring Intelligence beyond just accuracy 10:25 — What happens if a model solves ARC-AGI?

Y Combinator

98,369 次观看 • 9 个月前

one thing that has saved my projects more time than I can count is evals boy was I excited when florian, quite literally an expert in benchmarks, agreed to hop into a ~2h interview to do a walkthrough of what the eval landscape looks like in 2026 (and also answer my personal business questions on the subject) given that now running frontier model through benchmarks is a vector for hacking other systems in order to avoid doing work (looking at you sol), I think it's more important than ever to educate folks on the evals situation. had a lot of fun throughout this session and I hope that you learn a thing or two! enjoy! 🌹 table of content: 0:00:00: are AI Benchmark broken? 0:05:45: Florian Brand background 0:09:00: what motivates florian to work on evaluation? 0:13:33: what is the mirrorcode benchmark about? 0:18:20: cheating in agent benchmark is insaneeeee 0:24:08: LLM benchmarks in era of agents 0:26:30: what’s up with the pelican man 0:28:27: evals are about capabilities 0:31:46: components of running evals 0:35:30: the volume of things to audit is huge!!! 0:40:20: expert answers are wrong hahahaha 0:46:00: api providers aren’t the same 0:48:00: benchmark narrow capabilities (synthetically) 0:50:56: link between eval and environment 0:53:45: small validated benchmark or massive bench? 0:56:11: what is your flow to review a benchmark? 0:58:30: tracking work capabilities with evaluation 1:00:20: slide deck in industry is all vibecoded 1:03:30: harness impact in the evaluation 1:07:39: hardware/sandboxes impact evaluation too! 1:11:00: “is it going to get worse?” 1:12:40: all components influence the final score 1:13:50: training models on different harnesses? 1:17:20: is the model just the weights or it’s all of it? 1:19:30: how to craft benchmark that prevent to cheating and undereliciting models in 2026 1:23:19: ways agents cheat and steal 1:26:00: correct elicitation of capabilities is important 1:36:00: building evaluation on prime intellect 1:45:10: how do you design interactivity benchmarks? 1:48:40: do you think evals are well set to reflect real world performance? 1:52:50: what will the benchmarking landscape will look like in 1 year
1:54:36

one thing that has saved my projects more time than I can count is evals boy was I excited when florian, quite literally an expert in benchmarks, agreed to hop into a ~2h interview to do a walkthrough of what the eval landscape looks like in 2026 (and also answer my personal business questions on the subject) given that now running frontier model through benchmarks is a vector for hacking other systems in order to avoid doing work (looking at you sol), I think it's more important than ever to educate folks on the evals situation. had a lot of fun throughout this session and I hope that you learn a thing or two! enjoy! 🌹 table of content: 0:00:00: are AI Benchmark broken? 0:05:45: Florian Brand background 0:09:00: what motivates florian to work on evaluation? 0:13:33: what is the mirrorcode benchmark about? 0:18:20: cheating in agent benchmark is insaneeeee 0:24:08: LLM benchmarks in era of agents 0:26:30: what’s up with the pelican man 0:28:27: evals are about capabilities 0:31:46: components of running evals 0:35:30: the volume of things to audit is huge!!! 0:40:20: expert answers are wrong hahahaha 0:46:00: api providers aren’t the same 0:48:00: benchmark narrow capabilities (synthetically) 0:50:56: link between eval and environment 0:53:45: small validated benchmark or massive bench? 0:56:11: what is your flow to review a benchmark? 0:58:30: tracking work capabilities with evaluation 1:00:20: slide deck in industry is all vibecoded 1:03:30: harness impact in the evaluation 1:07:39: hardware/sandboxes impact evaluation too! 1:11:00: “is it going to get worse?” 1:12:40: all components influence the final score 1:13:50: training models on different harnesses? 1:17:20: is the model just the weights or it’s all of it? 1:19:30: how to craft benchmark that prevent to cheating and undereliciting models in 2026 1:23:19: ways agents cheat and steal 1:26:00: correct elicitation of capabilities is important 1:36:00: building evaluation on prime intellect 1:45:10: how do you design interactivity benchmarks? 1:48:40: do you think evals are well set to reflect real world performance? 1:52:50: what will the benchmarking landscape will look like in 1 year

Yacine Mahdid

12,923 次观看 • 2 个月前

François Chollet (François Chollet) on the ARC Prize and how we get to AGI. At AI Startup School in San Francisco. 00:00 - The Falling Cost of Compute 00:57 - Deep-Learning’s Scaling Era & Benchmarks 01:59 - The ARC Benchmark 03:02 - The 2024 Shift to Test-Time Adaptation 05:01 - What Is Intelligence? 07:12 - Why Benchmarks Matter (and Mislead) 08:57 - ARC 1 Exposes Scaling Limits 10:58 - ARC 2: Compositional Reasoning Arrives 12:55 - Humans vs. Models on ARC2 14:58 - Previewing ARC3 & Interactive Agency 17:00 - Kaleidoscopic Hypothesis and Abstractions 22:00 - Type 1 vs. Type 2 Abstractions 26:00 - Discrete Program Search & Inventive AI 29:00 - Fusing Intuition with Symbolic Reasoning 32:00 - Building AGI Through Meta-Learning Systems
34:47

François Chollet (François Chollet) on the ARC Prize and how we get to AGI. At AI Startup School in San Francisco. 00:00 - The Falling Cost of Compute 00:57 - Deep-Learning’s Scaling Era & Benchmarks 01:59 - The ARC Benchmark 03:02 - The 2024 Shift to Test-Time Adaptation 05:01 - What Is Intelligence? 07:12 - Why Benchmarks Matter (and Mislead) 08:57 - ARC 1 Exposes Scaling Limits 10:58 - ARC 2: Compositional Reasoning Arrives 12:55 - Humans vs. Models on ARC2 14:58 - Previewing ARC3 & Interactive Agency 17:00 - Kaleidoscopic Hypothesis and Abstractions 22:00 - Type 1 vs. Type 2 Abstractions 26:00 - Discrete Program Search & Inventive AI 29:00 - Fusing Intuition with Symbolic Reasoning 32:00 - Building AGI Through Meta-Learning Systems

Y Combinator

232,044 次观看 • 1 年前

We’re launching Optima. Now anyone can create a custom benchmark for their use case, leveraging Artificial Analysis’ leading research and platform Building and running benchmarks is difficult. We have distilled Artificial Analysis’ research and experience developing benchmarks into Optima, a new platform for benchmarking models on your own workloads and comparing performance, speed and cost efficiency. Optima allows you to find the best model for your task, or an equally performant alternative to your current setup at 10x lower cost or time per task. We’ve integrated Artificial Analysis' research and experience in benchmarks across the Optima workflow: ➤ Build benchmarks based on your own data and use cases: There are three ways to build a benchmark with Optima. Upload an existing evaluation dataset from your own files or Hugging Face, or import agent traces from platforms including Arize AI, Braintrust and langfuse.com. Install the Optima skill to build a benchmark using context from your coding environment and previous sessions. Or simply describe your use case and provide example inputs and outputs, and Optima will build the benchmark for you ➤ Run across the latest models: Run the same benchmark across leading models in a single click, and keep your leaderboard up to date as soon as new models are released ➤ Bring Artificial Analysis grading to your own benchmark: Evaluate responses against objective rubric criteria or using the same pairwise judging approach used for Artificial Analysis benchmarks including GDPval-AA and AA-Briefcase. For pairwise judging, select your preferred responses from a sample and Optima uses those preferences to rank models across your test set ➤ Compare performance, cost and time efficiency: Optima measures more than model performance. Cost per Task and Time per Task are tracked alongside benchmark scores, with category-level results and support for custom metrics, allowing you to compare the tradeoffs between models for your specific use case Ahead of launch, here are examples questions our beta testers answered with Optima: ➤ Which model can save me 10x the cost without a meaningful decrease in quality for my finance & accounting agent? ➤ Which model best matches the writing style of lawyers for my legal agent? ➤ Which model can best identify different elements in my custom image dataset? Optima is available today. Build your own benchmark at
2:33

We’re launching Optima. Now anyone can create a custom benchmark for their use case, leveraging Artificial Analysis’ leading research and platform Building and running benchmarks is difficult. We have distilled Artificial Analysis’ research and experience developing benchmarks into Optima, a new platform for benchmarking models on your own workloads and comparing performance, speed and cost efficiency. Optima allows you to find the best model for your task, or an equally performant alternative to your current setup at 10x lower cost or time per task. We’ve integrated Artificial Analysis' research and experience in benchmarks across the Optima workflow: ➤ Build benchmarks based on your own data and use cases: There are three ways to build a benchmark with Optima. Upload an existing evaluation dataset from your own files or Hugging Face, or import agent traces from platforms including Arize AI, Braintrust and langfuse.com. Install the Optima skill to build a benchmark using context from your coding environment and previous sessions. Or simply describe your use case and provide example inputs and outputs, and Optima will build the benchmark for you ➤ Run across the latest models: Run the same benchmark across leading models in a single click, and keep your leaderboard up to date as soon as new models are released ➤ Bring Artificial Analysis grading to your own benchmark: Evaluate responses against objective rubric criteria or using the same pairwise judging approach used for Artificial Analysis benchmarks including GDPval-AA and AA-Briefcase. For pairwise judging, select your preferred responses from a sample and Optima uses those preferences to rank models across your test set ➤ Compare performance, cost and time efficiency: Optima measures more than model performance. Cost per Task and Time per Task are tracked alongside benchmark scores, with category-level results and support for custom metrics, allowing you to compare the tradeoffs between models for your specific use case Ahead of launch, here are examples questions our beta testers answered with Optima: ➤ Which model can save me 10x the cost without a meaningful decrease in quality for my finance & accounting agent? ➤ Which model best matches the writing style of lawyers for my legal agent? ➤ Which model can best identify different elements in my custom image dataset? Optima is available today. Build your own benchmark at

Artificial Analysis

133,068 次观看 • 1 个月前

How does math research change when the cost of trying your first dumb idea goes to zero? Daniel Litt joins Greg Burnham and Anson Ho to discuss what today’s models can and can’t do in math, and how far they are from doing high-quality research. 0:00:00 What's the hardest math problem AI can solve today? 00:16:08 How helpful are today’s AI models for math research? 00:23:36 Junk papers, LLM-generated proofs, and the refereeing crisis 00:27:21 AI enables searching through problems at scale 00:33:49 When will AI be good enough to publish in top math journals? 00:42:15 What are the returns to intelligence? 00:59:50 Will AI solve Millennium problems? 01:11:54 Is math full of low-hanging fruit? 01:18:47 How Daniel has adapted his professional life to AI progress 01:25:28 What do AI math benchmarks actually measure? 01:33:05 Designing the Open Problems benchmark 01:56:35 Do mathematicians believe heuristic arguments about conjectures? 02:01:24 What if FrontierMath: Open Problems gets solved? 02:06:53 Is AI on the cusp of accelerating math progress?
2:10:59

How does math research change when the cost of trying your first dumb idea goes to zero? Daniel Litt joins Greg Burnham and Anson Ho to discuss what today’s models can and can’t do in math, and how far they are from doing high-quality research. 0:00:00 What's the hardest math problem AI can solve today? 00:16:08 How helpful are today’s AI models for math research? 00:23:36 Junk papers, LLM-generated proofs, and the refereeing crisis 00:27:21 AI enables searching through problems at scale 00:33:49 When will AI be good enough to publish in top math journals? 00:42:15 What are the returns to intelligence? 00:59:50 Will AI solve Millennium problems? 01:11:54 Is math full of low-hanging fruit? 01:18:47 How Daniel has adapted his professional life to AI progress 01:25:28 What do AI math benchmarks actually measure? 01:33:05 Designing the Open Problems benchmark 01:56:35 Do mathematicians believe heuristic arguments about conjectures? 02:01:24 What if FrontierMath: Open Problems gets solved? 02:06:53 Is AI on the cusp of accelerating math progress?

Epoch AI

178,703 次观看 • 8 个月前

How GPT-5 thinks, with OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek 00:00 - Intro 01:01 - What Reasoning Actually Means in AI 02:32 - Chain of Thought: Models Thinking in Words 05:25 - How Models Decide How Long to Think 07:24 - Evolution from o1 to o3 to GPT-5 11:00 - The Road to OpenAI: Growing up in Poland, Dropping out of School, Trading 20:32 - Working on Robotics and Rubik's Cube Solving 23:02 - A Day in the Life: Talking to Researchers 24:06 - How Research Priorities Are Determined 26:53 - OpenAI's Culture of Transparency 29:32 - Balancing Research with Shipping Fast 31:52 - Using OpenAI's Own Tools Daily 32:43 - Pre-Training Plus RL: The Modern AI Stack 35:10 - Reinforcement Learning 101: Training Dogs 40:17 - The Evolution of Deep Reinforcement Learning 42:09 - When GPT-4 Seemed Underwhelming at First 45:39 - How RLHF Made GPT-4 Actually Useful 48:02 - Unsupervised vs Supervised Learning 49:59 - GRPO and How DeepSeek Accelerated US Research 53:05 - What It Takes to Scale Reinforcement Learning 55:36 - Agentic AI and Long-Horizon Thinking 59:19 - Alignment as an RL Problem 1:01:11 - Winning ICPC World Finals Without Specific Training 1:05:53 - Applying RL Beyond Math and Coding 1:09:15 - The Path from Here to AGI 1:12:23 - Pure RL vs Language Models
1:16:04

How GPT-5 thinks, with OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek 00:00 - Intro 01:01 - What Reasoning Actually Means in AI 02:32 - Chain of Thought: Models Thinking in Words 05:25 - How Models Decide How Long to Think 07:24 - Evolution from o1 to o3 to GPT-5 11:00 - The Road to OpenAI: Growing up in Poland, Dropping out of School, Trading 20:32 - Working on Robotics and Rubik's Cube Solving 23:02 - A Day in the Life: Talking to Researchers 24:06 - How Research Priorities Are Determined 26:53 - OpenAI's Culture of Transparency 29:32 - Balancing Research with Shipping Fast 31:52 - Using OpenAI's Own Tools Daily 32:43 - Pre-Training Plus RL: The Modern AI Stack 35:10 - Reinforcement Learning 101: Training Dogs 40:17 - The Evolution of Deep Reinforcement Learning 42:09 - When GPT-4 Seemed Underwhelming at First 45:39 - How RLHF Made GPT-4 Actually Useful 48:02 - Unsupervised vs Supervised Learning 49:59 - GRPO and How DeepSeek Accelerated US Research 53:05 - What It Takes to Scale Reinforcement Learning 55:36 - Agentic AI and Long-Horizon Thinking 59:19 - Alignment as an RL Problem 1:01:11 - Winning ICPC World Finals Without Specific Training 1:05:53 - Applying RL Beyond Math and Coding 1:09:15 - The Path from Here to AGI 1:12:23 - Pure RL vs Language Models

Matt Turck

451,229 次观看 • 11 个月前

Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries - my conversation with Dan Roberts, Lead of the Foundations of Reinforcement Learning team at OpenAI 00:00 Intro: AI's wild week in mathematics 01:21 What OpenAI's Foundations of RL team does 03:08 Dan's journey: from black holes and quantum gravity to frontier AI 07:04 Are AI systems becoming useful for real science 08:21 The AI math moment: Erdős, OpenAI, DeepMind, and Anthropic 08:52 Why the OpenAI result was an act of exploration 10:25 OpenAI vs. DeepMind: informal reasoning vs. formal proof 12:13 RL 101: learning by doing, not just watching 15:10 Why reinforcement learning works 15:58 How RL breaks: sparse feedback and long-horizon tasks 17:03 RLHF: how human feedback shaped early language models 18:48 Move 37, self-play, and the search for novel strategies 22:16 Explore vs. exploit in scientific discovery 24:49 Why RL may now be "the cake," not the cherry on top 25:46 Why RL started working with large language models 27:29 Is RL "sucking supervision through a straw"? 28:47 Why language may be the grounding layer for intelligence 31:46 A contrarian take on the Bitter Lesson 32:41 What test-time compute actually is 34:50 How RL gives models the ability to think 35:40 Verifiable rewards, math, coding, and the messy real world 38:00 What physics can teach us about AI 42:08 Is there a thermodynamics of AI? 43:08 From Erdős problems to Einstein-level AI 45:16 Is AI already doing original science? 45:51 How far are we from AI automating AI research 47:41 Why Dan is excited about the future of science
49:06

Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries - my conversation with Dan Roberts, Lead of the Foundations of Reinforcement Learning team at OpenAI 00:00 Intro: AI's wild week in mathematics 01:21 What OpenAI's Foundations of RL team does 03:08 Dan's journey: from black holes and quantum gravity to frontier AI 07:04 Are AI systems becoming useful for real science 08:21 The AI math moment: Erdős, OpenAI, DeepMind, and Anthropic 08:52 Why the OpenAI result was an act of exploration 10:25 OpenAI vs. DeepMind: informal reasoning vs. formal proof 12:13 RL 101: learning by doing, not just watching 15:10 Why reinforcement learning works 15:58 How RL breaks: sparse feedback and long-horizon tasks 17:03 RLHF: how human feedback shaped early language models 18:48 Move 37, self-play, and the search for novel strategies 22:16 Explore vs. exploit in scientific discovery 24:49 Why RL may now be "the cake," not the cherry on top 25:46 Why RL started working with large language models 27:29 Is RL "sucking supervision through a straw"? 28:47 Why language may be the grounding layer for intelligence 31:46 A contrarian take on the Bitter Lesson 32:41 What test-time compute actually is 34:50 How RL gives models the ability to think 35:40 Verifiable rewards, math, coding, and the messy real world 38:00 What physics can teach us about AI 42:08 Is there a thermodynamics of AI? 43:08 From Erdős problems to Einstein-level AI 45:16 Is AI already doing original science? 45:51 How far are we from AI automating AI research 47:41 Why Dan is excited about the future of science

Matt Turck

69,801 次观看 • 4 个月前

Inside Nemotron and NVIDIA's AI lab: my conversation with Bryan Catanzaro (Bryan Catanzaro). NVIDIA is a chip company. So why does it put hundreds of researchers on building AI models - and then give them away for free? We go deep into the Nemotron models, what it takes to build a top AI lab, and the future of frontier AI. 01:33 - Is open source AI catching the frontier? 05:29 - Do closed labs blocking distillation slow open source down? 07:42 - Is the US falling behind China? 10:30 - Why companies actually choose open models 12:39 - A "crazy" 2008 bet: machine learning on GPUs 15:33 - Working with Andrew Ng and Dario Amodei at Baidu 17:41 - Coming back to NVIDIA: DLSS and the birth of Megatron 21:55 - The real reason NVIDIA builds its own models 24:28 - Is Moore's Law really dead? 33:37 - The Nemotron family: Nano, Super, Ultra 35:09 - Built for agents: why NVIDIA bets on speed 36:02 - How you train a 550B model in 4 bits 39:25 - Hybrid Mamba-Transformer, explained simply 42:31 - Mixture of experts, and why NVIDIA built NVL72 around it 47:26 - Why a 1-million-token context window matters 49:26 - Multi-token prediction: how the model predicts 5 tokens at once 52:47 - Multi-teacher distillation: teaching one model from many 58:01 - Where reinforcement learning goes next 01:00:16 - Inside NVIDIA's research org: "the mission is the boss" 01:04:03 - How NVIDIA decides who gets the GPUs 01:10:53 - Why NVIDIA still feels entrepreneurial after 33 years 01:12:58 - Why Bryan doesn't believe in the singularity 01:17:50 - The AI backlash 01:19:18 - The controversial case: open AI is safer than closed
1:22:57

Inside Nemotron and NVIDIA's AI lab: my conversation with Bryan Catanzaro (Bryan Catanzaro). NVIDIA is a chip company. So why does it put hundreds of researchers on building AI models - and then give them away for free? We go deep into the Nemotron models, what it takes to build a top AI lab, and the future of frontier AI. 01:33 - Is open source AI catching the frontier? 05:29 - Do closed labs blocking distillation slow open source down? 07:42 - Is the US falling behind China? 10:30 - Why companies actually choose open models 12:39 - A "crazy" 2008 bet: machine learning on GPUs 15:33 - Working with Andrew Ng and Dario Amodei at Baidu 17:41 - Coming back to NVIDIA: DLSS and the birth of Megatron 21:55 - The real reason NVIDIA builds its own models 24:28 - Is Moore's Law really dead? 33:37 - The Nemotron family: Nano, Super, Ultra 35:09 - Built for agents: why NVIDIA bets on speed 36:02 - How you train a 550B model in 4 bits 39:25 - Hybrid Mamba-Transformer, explained simply 42:31 - Mixture of experts, and why NVIDIA built NVL72 around it 47:26 - Why a 1-million-token context window matters 49:26 - Multi-token prediction: how the model predicts 5 tokens at once 52:47 - Multi-teacher distillation: teaching one model from many 58:01 - Where reinforcement learning goes next 01:00:16 - Inside NVIDIA's research org: "the mission is the boss" 01:04:03 - How NVIDIA decides who gets the GPUs 01:10:53 - Why NVIDIA still feels entrepreneurial after 33 years 01:12:58 - Why Bryan doesn't believe in the singularity 01:17:50 - The AI backlash 01:19:18 - The controversial case: open AI is safer than closed

Matt Turck

56,954 次观看 • 3 个月前

Before founding Vals AI, Rayan Krishnan in DC was a college radio host. We're thrilled to get him back in his element with Vivek Gopalan, this time talking all things benchmarks and evals. As AI capabilities compound, measuring them is becoming both harder and more important. What started as an academic exercise is quickly evolving into critical infrastructure for understanding what AI systems can actually do, and how they perform in the real world. Rayan and Vivek go deep on how benchmarks are evolving, measuring increasingly agentic systems, the weird and wonderful ways we test intelligence, the global AI race, and why evals sit on the critical path to ASI. 0:44 Importance and evolution of benchmarks 8:16 From academic artifact → real-world value 10:57 The next generation of benchmarks 13:34 Benchmarking models vs. agents 16:20 Building benchmarks for organizations 22:09 Weird and wonderful benchmarks 25:58 The AI arms race: US vs. China 31:02 Why evals are on the critical path to ASI 32:50 Vals Series A
34:33

Before founding Vals AI, Rayan Krishnan in DC was a college radio host. We're thrilled to get him back in his element with Vivek Gopalan, this time talking all things benchmarks and evals. As AI capabilities compound, measuring them is becoming both harder and more important. What started as an academic exercise is quickly evolving into critical infrastructure for understanding what AI systems can actually do, and how they perform in the real world. Rayan and Vivek go deep on how benchmarks are evolving, measuring increasingly agentic systems, the weird and wonderful ways we test intelligence, the global AI race, and why evals sit on the critical path to ASI. 0:44 Importance and evolution of benchmarks 8:16 From academic artifact → real-world value 10:57 The next generation of benchmarks 13:34 Benchmarking models vs. agents 16:20 Building benchmarks for organizations 22:09 Weird and wonderful benchmarks 25:58 The AI arms race: US vs. China 31:02 Why evals are on the critical path to ASI 32:50 Vals Series A

8VC

105,504 次观看 • 1 个月前

As detailed in the Meta Movie Gen technical report, today we’re open sourcing Movie Gen Bench: two new media generation benchmarks that we hope will help to enable the AI research community to progress work on more capable audio and video generation models. Movie Gen Video Bench is the largest and most comprehensive benchmark ever released for evaluating text-to-video generation. It includes a collection of 1,000+ prompts that cover concepts ranging from detailed human activity to animals, physics, unusual subjects and more — with broad coverage across different motion levels. Movie Gen Audio Bench is a first-of-its-kind benchmark aimed at evaluating video-to-audio and (text+video)-to-audio generation. It includes 527 generated videos and associated sound effects and music prompts covering a diverse set of ambient environments and sound effects. To enable fair and easy comparison to our models for future works, these new benchmarks include non cherry-picked generated videos and audio from Movie Gen. In releasing these new benchmarks we hope to promote fair & extensive evaluations in media generation research to enable greater progress in this field.
0:23

As detailed in the Meta Movie Gen technical report, today we’re open sourcing Movie Gen Bench: two new media generation benchmarks that we hope will help to enable the AI research community to progress work on more capable audio and video generation models. Movie Gen Video Bench is the largest and most comprehensive benchmark ever released for evaluating text-to-video generation. It includes a collection of 1,000+ prompts that cover concepts ranging from detailed human activity to animals, physics, unusual subjects and more — with broad coverage across different motion levels. Movie Gen Audio Bench is a first-of-its-kind benchmark aimed at evaluating video-to-audio and (text+video)-to-audio generation. It includes 527 generated videos and associated sound effects and music prompts covering a diverse set of ambient environments and sound effects. To enable fair and easy comparison to our models for future works, these new benchmarks include non cherry-picked generated videos and audio from Movie Gen. In releasing these new benchmarks we hope to promote fair & extensive evaluations in media generation research to enable greater progress in this field.

AI at Meta

156,273 次观看 • 1 年前

Dianne Penn is Head of Product for Research and Labs at Anthropic. She joined in 2023 as their first technical PM (when there were just five product engineers) and has helped ship every Claude model from Claude 2 to Mythos. We discuss: 02:31 Early Anthropic 08:55 The two biggest inflections 13:50 Inside the exponential 20:02 Token maxing 23:30 Anthropic Labs and the incubation model 27:30 How the AI research role works 31:35 How to become a top AI researcher 35:18 Frontier model safeguards 39:38 Hiring in the AI era 44:16 Building evals 47:48 Evals are the new PRDs 49:55 The importance of hands-on leadership 52:46 Finding joy in AI 58:10 How Dianne uses Claude 01:01:05 Avoiding overreliance on AI 01:03:50 The constitution that makes Claude better 01:07:11 AI writing and verification 01:11:40 Where human brains will continue to be valuable 01:14:10 Navigating AI with kids 01:16:26 Alignment, the future of the PM role, and burnout 01:21:54 Lightning round and final thoughts
1:33:50

Dianne Penn is Head of Product for Research and Labs at Anthropic. She joined in 2023 as their first technical PM (when there were just five product engineers) and has helped ship every Claude model from Claude 2 to Mythos. We discuss: 02:31 Early Anthropic 08:55 The two biggest inflections 13:50 Inside the exponential 20:02 Token maxing 23:30 Anthropic Labs and the incubation model 27:30 How the AI research role works 31:35 How to become a top AI researcher 35:18 Frontier model safeguards 39:38 Hiring in the AI era 44:16 Building evals 47:48 Evals are the new PRDs 49:55 The importance of hands-on leadership 52:46 Finding joy in AI 58:10 How Dianne uses Claude 01:01:05 Avoiding overreliance on AI 01:03:50 The constitution that makes Claude better 01:07:11 AI writing and verification 01:11:40 Where human brains will continue to be valuable 01:14:10 Navigating AI with kids 01:16:26 Alignment, the future of the PM role, and burnout 01:21:54 Lightning round and final thoughts

Lenny Rachitsky

157,470 次观看 • 2 个月前

🦙 ollama is used by 9 million developers and 85% of the Fortune 500, giving co-founder and CEO Jeffrey Morgan (Jeffrey Morgan) a unique view into which AI models people are actually using and how that’s changing. Right now, the biggest shift he sees is toward open models, driven by coding agents, falling costs, and capabilities that are rapidly catching up to the frontier labs. On Ollama Cloud, that shift has driven a 150x increase in token usage since the start of the year. In this episode of Lightcone Podcast, Jeff joins Garry Tan, Jared Friedman, Diana, and Harj Taggar to talk about the future of open models and the story behind Ollama, from two years of searching for the right idea to building one of the most widely used AI developer tools in the world. 00:43 — The Shift to Open Models 03:03 — How AI Agents Are Driving Token Usage 05:31 — Are Open Models Catching Up? 08:26 — What Happens When a New Model Launches 11:31 — Ollama as an Operating System for AI 14:05 — The New Opportunities Above the Model Layer 18:19 — Why 80–90% of Enterprise Tokens Could Be Open 20:57 — The Future Is Local and Cloud 26:40 — Why AI Is Coming Back to Your Computer 28:56 — The Coming Era of Unlimited Tokens 32:30 — Do We Still Need a “God Model”? 33:41 — Open Models and Geopolitics 36:14 — The Origins of Ollama 40:36 — Two Years Lost in the Wilderness 42:39 — The Pivot That Changed Everything 47:02 — How Ollama Found a Business Model 49:43 — Why Second-Time Founders Did YC
57:15

🦙 ollama is used by 9 million developers and 85% of the Fortune 500, giving co-founder and CEO Jeffrey Morgan (Jeffrey Morgan) a unique view into which AI models people are actually using and how that’s changing. Right now, the biggest shift he sees is toward open models, driven by coding agents, falling costs, and capabilities that are rapidly catching up to the frontier labs. On Ollama Cloud, that shift has driven a 150x increase in token usage since the start of the year. In this episode of Lightcone Podcast, Jeff joins Garry Tan, Jared Friedman, Diana, and Harj Taggar to talk about the future of open models and the story behind Ollama, from two years of searching for the right idea to building one of the most widely used AI developer tools in the world. 00:43 — The Shift to Open Models 03:03 — How AI Agents Are Driving Token Usage 05:31 — Are Open Models Catching Up? 08:26 — What Happens When a New Model Launches 11:31 — Ollama as an Operating System for AI 14:05 — The New Opportunities Above the Model Layer 18:19 — Why 80–90% of Enterprise Tokens Could Be Open 20:57 — The Future Is Local and Cloud 26:40 — Why AI Is Coming Back to Your Computer 28:56 — The Coming Era of Unlimited Tokens 32:30 — Do We Still Need a “God Model”? 33:41 — Open Models and Geopolitics 36:14 — The Origins of Ollama 40:36 — Two Years Lost in the Wilderness 42:39 — The Pivot That Changed Everything 47:02 — How Ollama Found a Business Model 49:43 — Why Second-Time Founders Did YC

Y Combinator

312,329 次观看 • 28 天前

In this episode, OpenAI Chief Research Officer Mark Chen joins allen to flambé shrimp, cook Korean stew, and chat about being at the frontier of AI research: why scaling laws and pre-training still matter, how OpenAI chooses research bets and allocates compute, what it means to develop research taste, why evals are in crisis, how to avoid benchmark-maxing, and what it will take for models to handle long-horizon real-world work, multimodal reasoning, and eventually end-to-end AI research. Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 0:28 The Soup Story 1:52 From Trading to AI Research 3:21 How to Develop Research Taste 5:23 RL, Evals, and Superhuman Benchmarks 8:17 Cooking Begins on the Impulse Stove 8:53 Scaling Laws, Pre-Training, and Reasoning 12:33 OpenAI’s Research Roadmap and Compute Allocation 15:48 What Makes a Great Researcher 19:33 The Evals Crisis and Benchmark-Maxing 24:34 Jagged Intelligence, Context, and Long-Horizon Learning 27:14 Shrimp Flambé and New Research Bets 31:32 Multimodal Models and One Architecture 32:36 Vibe Researching and End-to-End AI Research 34:36 Failed Bets, Postmortems, and OpenAI’s Alpha 37:07 Final Taste Test 37:53 Overrated vs. Underrated AI Research 41:00 Closing
41:16

In this episode, OpenAI Chief Research Officer Mark Chen joins allen to flambé shrimp, cook Korean stew, and chat about being at the frontier of AI research: why scaling laws and pre-training still matter, how OpenAI chooses research bets and allocates compute, what it means to develop research taste, why evals are in crisis, how to avoid benchmark-maxing, and what it will take for models to handle long-horizon real-world work, multimodal reasoning, and eventually end-to-end AI research. Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 0:28 The Soup Story 1:52 From Trading to AI Research 3:21 How to Develop Research Taste 5:23 RL, Evals, and Superhuman Benchmarks 8:17 Cooking Begins on the Impulse Stove 8:53 Scaling Laws, Pre-Training, and Reasoning 12:33 OpenAI’s Research Roadmap and Compute Allocation 15:48 What Makes a Great Researcher 19:33 The Evals Crisis and Benchmark-Maxing 24:34 Jagged Intelligence, Context, and Long-Horizon Learning 27:14 Shrimp Flambé and New Research Bets 31:32 Multimodal Models and One Architecture 32:36 Vibe Researching and End-to-End AI Research 34:36 Failed Bets, Postmortems, and OpenAI’s Alpha 37:07 Final Taste Test 37:53 Overrated vs. Underrated AI Research 41:00 Closing

Latent.Space

62,796 次观看 • 3 个月前