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$PLTR this analyst gets it: - Palantir is the AI Operating System - Palantir provides the environment and context layer (ontology + security model) for enterprises to deploy AI models and agents - This is a structural growth opportunity - The ROI for enterprises to deploy AI and use...

112,551 次观看 • 10 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Why is Palantir so expensive? You don’t need to look at spreadsheets. Just consider this: The market knows NVIDIA sells the shovels for the AI goldrush. The market is realizing that AI isn’t being monetized at the commercial level because although it’s cool, it’s not unlocking any real insights yet. The market now anticipates that Palantir is selling the maps to find the gold…. Gold being AI-driven insights that actually solve difficult problems. Software that works. Since 2021, NVIDIA’s revenue has exploded from $16B to $96B. Palantir’s TTM revenue is $2.5B. The trajectory of Palantir has changed since AIP released in 2023, which is enabling the company to scale. If NVIDIA sells the shovels, and Palantir provides the maps, then the market believes Palantir will see the same explosion of growth within the commercial market, which the market believes has an almost unlimited TAM for Palantir. A lot of people missed out on NVIDIA. While Palantir’s market cap is expensive at $95B, it is nothing compared to NVIDIA’s $3.26T market cap in terms of size. The market doesn’t want to miss out on the next big thing. At this point, investors have thrown all standard methods of valuation out of the window… Those days were years ago. To me, at this point, buying the stock is betting on NVIDIA-like growth (No I’m not saying the company will shoot to a $3T market cap in 2 years — you get the point). If the company does not show this sort of revenue growth, the stock will be punished. This is the risk investors are willing to take. While I am very bullish on the company in the long run, I, like everyone else, have no clue what will actually happen in the short term. This is not a stock to play on the short term. This is why I continue to hold, regardless of how “expensive” the stock gets. I personally believe Palantir does in fact carry the potential to see explosive revenue growth to more than enough justify its current ratios. I’m not saying it will happen this quarter. But the potential is there. It’s a matter of when, in my opinion. I would never risk selling what I view as my golden ticket to wealth with the justification of “it’s too expensive, the price will come back down and I can buy even more then”. If the stock crashes, I can start buying more shares regardless — I don’t want to get greedy and try to time the market. I would never forgive myself if I sold and the stock ended up soaring so high that even after a crash, it would be far too expensive for me to get back in with my original position size (plus capital gains tax). I don’t care who agrees with me or who thinks I’m crazy for saying this — it’s a real risk to me and I’m not willing to take it. This is not me telling you to buy $PLTR. My average is $8.50. Only you can decide what is right, and your decision should be made on your own level of conviction from studying the company — nothing else. This is me telling you why it’s so expensive. Again, I believe that if the stock does not continue to crush earnings each quarter, even the slightest miss, the stock will be punished in the short term. For longs, it’s another opportunity to accumulate more. This is my opinion, of course. 5-10 years from now, we’ll see who was right. Chips & Ontology.

Jack Prescott

258,450 次观看 • 1 年前

$PLTR Satya Nadella, in March 2025, is waking up to large language models being commoditized. Microsoft invested $13B in OpenAI two years ago. I believe if they understood what Shyam Sankar and Alex Karp of Palantir were discussing as early as June 2023, they would not have made that investment. Here is a clip below from Palantir’s FIRST ever AIPCon. This was 2 months after launching AIP and Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar already understood at the time that the value was NOT going to be in the models but rather the application layer. “Where is the value likely to accrete? I believe it’s going to be in the workflow and application layer. The models are already commodities.” OpenAI is now worth around $300B for building a model that xAI, Anthropic, Google and many others are competing against. Margins are limited and switching costs are $0. I recently canceled my ChatGPT+ subscription for Grok. If OpenAI is losing money on consumer subscriptions and the enterprise is not as easy for them to succeed in (especially if businesses start using the Grok API or Claude API more than GPT) than where does Microsoft get an ROI on the $13B they put into OpenAI? Palantir understood years ago that this would happen, just like they do for many technology trends. It is now happening. The reason Palantir’s valuation has expanded is because the market has also realized the application layer is where AI will become actionable & it is VERY difficult to create an application that brings value to an enterprise but VERY easy to switch between competing models. It seems more & more that the implementation of these models is where the value will lie & Palantir is at the center of meaningfully attaching these models to real world value for enterprises.

amit

319,118 次观看 • 1 年前

$PLTR alright folks superbowl coming up after the bell regardless of what happens to the stock, being part of this community and getting to cover Palantir's journey has been one of the greatest blessings in my life. i really can't express my gratitude for people trusting me as a source for their Palantir news and coverage. it's been 4 years, 2k videos, 200 episodes of a weekly Palantir podcast...and I wouldn't have changed a single thing. having said that, we've got a ton of storylines going into earnings that can affect the stock: - is the SARs expense priced in or not? how bad is the hit? - does Palantir need to guide upwards of 35% YoY growth in 2025 for the street to be happy given the multiple its trading at or can they be at 30% and below? - if topline growth isn't as strong, are FCF growth, operating income margins, rule of 40, etc. enough to allow the street to feel Palantir will continue to grow into their potential? - if DeepSeek proved that LLMs are commodities and an LLM company like OpenAI is about to raise at $340B, what does that mean for a company like Palantir that's profitable and growing in the public markets? - what does government growth look like now with DOGE and can Palantir guide for some type of catalyst because of the government's willingness to spend more on software? Overall, I think Dr. Karp, Shaym Sankar and the entire team are going to crush it by essentially making the same argument they have made for 2 years: Palantir creates outcomes and that is what their customers pay for, not LLMs that can be found a dime-a-dozen and simply plugged into AIP, which is the software layered on Foundry that Palantir believes can create such incredible and transformative use cases (and we've seen many case studies of this already) that lead to them becoming one of the most important companies in the world. The stock will likely see algos and headlines that can move it, but this quarter is going to be determined by guidance, their ability to show continued growth and the market's overall interpretation of where Palantir lies in the broader AI sector. TIME TO EMBRACE ANOTHER CHAPTER IN THE ONGOING STORY OF ONE OF THE MOST EXCITING COMPANIES ON PLANET EARTH. & the best part is, we get to all embrace that chapter together, as a community. LFG.

amit

180,556 次观看 • 1 年前