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🇯🇵ruling LDP is undertaking a never-before-used measure to potentially remove PM Ishiba from office over next several weeks Bond markets beware as 🌎 most dangerous market heads into… who knows Scenario guide to navigate markets amidst 🇯🇵 political leadership turmoil coming

34,169 views • 11 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 WARNING: U.S. AND IRAN ARE MANIPULATING THE STOCK MARKET... You've seen this movie before: - Two days ago attacks on ships in Hormuz. - Drone strikes on Bahrain. - Trump publicly threatening to erase Iran from the map. - $7.5 trillion wiped from global markets in a single week. And just 1 hour before futures market opens they agreed to halt strikes. Meeting is scheduled this week and everything is fine. Oil drops. Markets bounce. Retail exhales and starts buying again. That's exactly what's supposed to happen. Look at the pattern over the last few weeks. Peace deal → markets pump → Iran violates ceasefire → markets dump → new agreement → markets pump → Iran attacks again → markets dump Almost every weekend. Like clockwork. With surgical precision. Every time markets fall too deep a positive headline appears. Every time markets recover too far a new attack or provocation hits the tape. This is not diplomacy. This is a trading range with a geopolitical trigger. Someone is buying the panic bottom and selling the optimism pump every single cycle. Over and over, while retail is trying to figure out whether there's going to be a war or not. That's the wrong question. The right question is who knows the next headline before the market does. Because whoever knows the sequence isn't guessing. They're just executing. Today's peace deal gives you the pump. Enjoy it. The next dump is already on the calendar. This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON, as I will share my strategy soon Many will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

280,899 views • 17 days ago

“NKY price is WELCOMING YOU” -🇯🇵MOF Katayama / 🇺🇸Bessent (JPY/USD) Satsuki Katayama: 🇯🇵PM Takaichi’s Finance Minister Career MOF insider ↓ Elected to Upper House Became famous figure w/ big personality on media, outspoken MOF critic ↓ Back at (top of) MOF MOF hates Takaichi, whose foremost signature campaign point was “aggressive fiscal policy” (recently adding“responsibly” to the phrase). She embraces “anti-MOF” - meaning “anti-austerity” & not anti-the institution itself. That said, the bureaucracy within MOF (“🇯🇵’s best & brightest”) does have & exercise unofficial political influence based on MOF’s preferences, while still executing the top down policy - i.e. “can do this the easy way or the hard way” type of thing (this is not “deep state conspiracy” - this is just simple public reality, ask any normal 🇯🇵person about “zaimu” (MOF) & they’ll associate with some force of political power) MOF not happy when Takaichi surprisingly won LDP leadership race, & MOF highly alarmed when coming back from behind & elected PM - but, “🇯🇵best & brightest” can always throw sand in the gears of directed policy, which I’m sure was/is the plan But then PM Takaichi brings in Katayama - who loudly & publicly had supported & shares Takaichi’s policy views, & also personally knows MOF’s inner workings & systemic nuances. & is not exactly the shy, hold-back type (making Bessent seem like the “quiet” one of the 2) This appointment is Takaichi essentially signaling - I’ve hired a credible experienced veteran to oversee & execute the careful snapping of MOF’s neck. Responsibly. Btw - Katayama also knows Trump personally & was the only 🇯🇵MP to attend both Trump inaugurations ‘17 & ‘25 by 🇺🇸official invitation

Weston Nakamura

16,507 views • 8 months ago

🚨 THE GLOBAL AI BUBBLE MAY BE STARTING TO BREAK. Over $2.2 TRILLION has already been wiped out from global stock markets today. This is not a normal selloff anymore. This is starting to look like the first real unwinding of the AI mania that has been carrying global markets for the last two years. South Korea’s KOSPI crashed 10% today, triggering another circuit breaker as AI and semiconductor stocks completely collapsed. Samsung and SK Hynix both crashed more than 12%. And the reason behind it shocked markets. Reports started circulating that SK Hynix may slow expansion of advanced AI memory chip production and shift focus toward lower cost commodity chips instead. For one of the most important companies behind the entire AI infrastructure boom, markets interpreted this as a massive warning sign: AI demand expectations may have become way too aggressive. Then panic turned into chaos. South Korean lawmakers proposed taxing unrealized stock gains and real estate gains. Meaning investors could potentially get taxed on profits they never even sold. That instantly triggered fear across one of the most retail-leveraged stock markets in the world. And once the selling started, leverage completely accelerated the collapse. Now the contagion is spreading globally. Over $1.4 TRILLION was wiped out from US stocks alone today as S&P500 dumped -1.5% at market open. But DOW JONES recovered instantly. That divergence matters. Because it shows this is not a broad economic collapse yet. This is concentrated panic specifically inside AI, semiconductors, and high-valuation tech stocks. The exact trade that has been driving global markets higher. JPMorgan has also warned that up to $165 billion of forced institutional equity selling could still hit markets from quarter end pension and sovereign fund rebalancing. And there are growing fears that the yen carry trade may finally be starting to unwind after violent USD/JPY moves near intervention levels. That is one of the most dangerous setups for global markets. Because when the carry trade unwinds, investors are forced to dump multiple assets at the same time to reduce leverage. Which is exactly what markets are doing right now. Stocks down. Gold down. Silver down. Everything is being sold together. And for the first time in a long time, the AI trade suddenly looks vulnerable.

Crypto Rover

166,539 views • 22 days ago

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY COULD BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! Urgently take a quick look before the weekend. Markets will be hit from ALL sides. → Fed just confirmed rate HIKES. → Iran violated the ceasefire, and the peace deal is CANCELLED. → Japan is DUMPING U.S. Treasuries. → The AI bubble is starting to COLLAPSE. If you hold any assets today, you MUST read this: When markets open next week, this won't be “just another dip.” Stocks will dump. Bonds will dump. Gold and Silver will dump. Bitcoin will collapse. And insiders already know what's coming. They are not buying assets right now. They are reducing exposure and preparing for the biggest sell-off event of the year. At the same time, pressure is intensifying throughout the global financial system. China is continuing to reduce Treasury exposure. Japan's bond market remains under severe pressure, forcing the BOJ into continued support operations. When the world's largest creditors step away from sovereign debt markets simultaneously, liquidity evaporates. → Global bond markets are under extreme stress → Japanese bond yields continue surging higher → Demand for U.S. Treasuries is deteriorating → Liquidity conditions are tightening across markets → Volatility is spreading through every major asset class → Energy markets remain highly unstable → The AI bubble is starting to deflate as equities already weaken → Asset managers are dumping stocks and reducing market exposure This is no longer a localized issue. This is systemic stress building across MULTIPLE sectors simultaneously. And now geopolitical risk has escalated even further. New strikes between the U.S. and Iran have erupted after the ceasefire was violated. That is how energy markets become impossible to control. Oil does not rise slowly. It goes parabolic. Inflation accelerates worldwide. Which means interest rates stay higher for longer. And risk assets? They do not dip. They DUMP HARD. This is exactly how financial chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing long-term instability instead of short-term uncertainty, everything changes. Liquidity is already being withdrawn across multiple layers of the financial system. This is no longer about positioning alone - it is about the systemic stress. When one node breaks, it does not stay contained. It collapses EVERYTHING. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

93,252 views • 13 days ago

When I was 8 years old, growing up in Taipei, I called my aunt in San Francisco and asked: What is the best science and technology school in the world? She said MIT. I went on the internet, found it, and decided that was where I was going. All because of a Steven Spielberg movie about a little robot boy who wanted to find his mom. I grew up as an only child. What stayed with me from that movie was not just the technology. It was the possibility that one day, an artificial companion could understand how I felt. That was the first time I remember being moved by a technology that could change how humans experience reality. Years later, I did get to MIT. I studied AI before it became obvious. I became a machine learning engineer, built my first company, joined a $3.5B VC fund, left to build again, failed, started again, moved to New York alone, and built through one of the hardest crypto markets as a solo founder after the collapse of FTX. I kept going because I have always been drawn to technologies that change how humans understand the world. AI was the first version of that. Crypto and prediction markets are the next. I believe the future I am building toward is inevitable. The only question is whether I get to be one of the people who helps realize it. That future is a world where markets become information-first. The old model of trading was asset-first. It rewarded people with capital, financial education, institutional access, and better tools. But the next generation of markets will be shaped by information flow, narrative, attention, politics, culture, sentiment, and collective belief. Prediction markets make this shift obvious. They are one of the first asset classes where the value is informational, not purely financial in the traditional sense. Your edge does not have to come from technical analysis or a traditional finance background. Your edge can come from knowing something before it becomes consensus. From seeing reality shift before the market prices it in. Someone with firsthand knowledge of an unfolding event can have more alpha than an institution with a much bigger balance sheet. They turn belief into price. But price alone is not enough. Polymarket shows what the market thinks will happen. ARES is built to understand why the market is changing. We are building an information-first trading platform for prediction markets and other narrative-driven assets. One that does not just show traders what is moving, but helps them understand why odds are shifting, why narratives are forming, and why the future is moving in a certain direction. But the bigger vision is not just a better trading terminal. We want to turn every trade into an information object. Every position can become a piece of content. Every market view can become a signal. Every trader can build a reputation around conviction and accuracy. Most feeds rank information by engagement. Who got the most likes. Who already has the biggest audience. Markets allow us to rank information differently. How much are you willing to stake on what you believe? How often have you been right? That creates a fundamentally different kind of media feed. One powered by conviction, track record, and market incentives. One that becomes harder to fake. One that can help people understand not just what the market thinks will happen, but why reality is changing. I also believe prediction markets are one of the few markets where humans can still have a real edge over AI. AI knows what is already on the internet. But humans experience reality before it becomes data. We see things before they become headlines. We hear things before they become reports. We feel shifts before they become consensus. If those signals can be priced, organized, and made legible, then more people can gain access to financial opportunity, information agency, and power. That is what Ares is building toward. I spent years watching founders from the VC side of the table, always thinking: I wish that was me. Now it is. I talked about this journey and the thesis behind Ares in my conversation with Dmitry on Predict Time If you are building, trading, investing, or thinking deeply about prediction markets and information markets, I would love for you to watch it. And if you want to collaborate on what we are building, contribute to the vision, or join the team, we are always open to exceptional people across functions. DMs are open.

Morgan Lai

302,663 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: THE MARKET IS MANIPULATED RIGHT NOW... Market is manipulated for 3 weeks already. Look at the pattern without emotion. Just the sequence. Just the timing. WEEK 1 Peace deal announced, markets pump, oil drops. Retail buys back everything they panic sold. 48 to 72 hours later attack, markets dump, oil spikes. Everyone who bought the pump is now holding a loss. WEEK 2 New agreement, doha meeting, official statements. Markets pump again, retail loads back in again. 48 to 72 hours later new attack, new dump, new losses for everyone who believed in the deal. WEEK 3 Ultimatum, negotiations, hints of progress. Markets start recovering. Weekend - Iran attacks again. This is not diplomacy, this is not war. This looks like a market instrument. Every pump creates exit liquidity for someone. Every dump creates an entry for someone. The same player buys the panic and sells the euphoria every single cycle while retail is busy trying to figure out whether there's going to be peace or conflict. That's the wrong question. The right question is who controls the timing of the next headline. Because whoever knows the sequence isn't guessing. They're executing trades before the market has time to react. The weekend timing is not accidental, weekends are chosen deliberately. Minimum liquidity, maximum gap on open. Futures move while everyone sleeps. By the time retail reads the headline the price has already moved. And here's what makes this cycle dangerous to trade against. It doesn't end until one side gets what they want. The US wants an open Strait and Iranian compliance. Iran wants sanctions removed and military forces withdrawn. These positions are not compatible. Which means the cycle continues. Next pump is already scheduled, next dump is already scheduled. The only question is which side of that cycle you're positioned on when it happens. This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here. When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money. Many will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

326,948 views • 3 days ago

A lot of discussion and announcements around prediction markets: purely for fun, I've built a demo app. Meet Betcha, my attempt to broaden the prediction markets TAM. 📊 Current state: Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are powerful truth-seeking tools because money on the line and arbitrage keep prices honest as new information hits. Most participants today are traders and bettors who are very fee-sensitive, so raising fees will be challenging. Growth has to come from much higher volume, which is achievable, but it will take time. 🏛️ Sportsbook/Regulatory Environment: Because CFTC-regulated event contracts create a potential path into some states that have not legalized sports betting, prediction-market rails can help sportsbooks reach markets they previously could not. Reframing parlays and prop-style outcomes as “predictions” is clever and expands reach from zero revenue in states where they can't operate sportsbooks to something. Still, these products will likely remain volume-constrained, struggling to match a traditional sportsbook’s vig. The positive is that the sportsbooks won't be getting gouged by state-level taxes as part of the process of leveraging prediction markets vs. sportsbooks. I still think this will be an exciting category that emerges, but it will take time. I want to see Polymarket build its own PM sports-specific app to compete here vs whitelabel (cc: Shayne Coplan 🦅) 📈 Market expansion thesis: Stop optimizing just for traders. Try building for the culture that lives on TikTok/Twitter/Reddit. They're already making predictions - just give them a scoreboard and an easier way to participate in returns. 🎪 Behavioral unlock: The mass market will never identify as "bettors." They want social proof, bragging rights, and gamified experiences. Critically, they're far less fee-sensitive when entertainment value is high, and that's the opportunity Prediction markets have a volume and take rate dilemma, and I think fun consumer apps like this can help solve it. Fine-tune the algorithm to serve event contracts I actually care about, let me lock in a pick fast, and build simple social features on top. Anyway, here's my demo. Any feedback/discussion is welcome!

Ryan Wyatt

83,651 views • 10 months ago

Wall Street just figured out Trump is bluffing. And that's way more dangerous than anyone realizes. Today the S&P 500 hit an all-time high of 7,126. Third record this week. The Nasdaq is on its longest winning streak since 1992. All during an active war with Iran. Most people read this as: "Markets shrugged off geopolitics again." But that's not what's really happening... This rally has a name: The TACO trade. Trump Always Chickens Out. Coined by FT columnist Robert Armstrong in May 2025. The pattern traders cracked: Trump threatens something extreme like tariffs, war, or strikes. Markets panic. Stocks drop. He backs down. Stocks rip to new highs. Rinse. Repeat. Print money. "The more extreme the position, the more likely a compromise is going to occur." So traders now BUY every Trump threat. Escalation is a buy signal. Panic is a discount. Ceasefire is the exit. Today's rally proves it: Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz. Oil crashes 9.4% to $82.59. S&P rips to a record. Wall Street just collected another paycheck from Trump's brinkmanship. For 4 years, markets were Trump's biggest constraint. Every time he threatened something crazy, stocks would tank. That pressure forced him to walk it back. The market was the guardrail. But that guardrail just disappeared. So what happens if markets stop acting as a constraint on Trump? Think about this carefully. If every threat becomes a buying opportunity, markets can no longer pressure him to back down. So what does a leader do when his leverage stops working? He pushes HARDER. Bigger threats. Scarier ultimatums. Real consequences. Because bluffs only work if the audience believes them. And right now, Wall Street is openly betting he's bluffing. The TACO trade might be the most profitable strategy in a decade. It's also creating the exact conditions that force Trump into a war he can't exit. The numbers are genuinely insane too: When Trump paused Iran strikes minutes before his 8pm deadline on April 7, markets rallied $1.5 trillion. When he actually strikes something, markets crash. Which means every TACO trade increases the cost of him backing down. At some point, the math flips. The political cost of being called a chicken > the market cost of following through That's the moment he strikes. And this also means the gap between Main Street and Wall Street is widening. Wall Street is hitting records while regular Americans pay higher gas, higher groceries, higher everything. The TACO trade profits the people who already have assets. Everyone else pays for the brinkmanship. This is the most cynical trade in modern market history. Traders profit from every threat. Trump gets cornered by his own pattern. Main Street pays the bill. And the endgame is that Trump has to start actually following through just to regain credibility. Wall Street thinks it's outsmarted the president. What they've actually done is remove the only guardrail that kept him from pushing too far. What do you think?

Ricardo

65,210 views • 2 months ago

My script turned $100 into $60,535 in one month I decided to build my own script with the help of Claude It took me exactly one day and the result was worth it Literally overnight the script made $2,542 The average win rate of the script is 68% Copytrade: Here is the full strategy: Timezone information arbitrage on Polymarket The system monitors global political and economic events that resolve while most US traders are asleep Information before the market moves The agent continuously scans international sources such as government RSS feeds parliamentary livestreams financial wires central bank announcements and regional news streams When local information clearly indicates the outcome but Polymarket prices have not adjusted yet the opportunity appears Alert based execution The agent is configured to alert when a market resolving during US sleep hours 2 to 6 AM EST shows more than a 30 percent edge Once detected it sends a notification for approval and the capital is deployed into mispriced outcomes before the broader market reacts Speed of information Local sources often confirm outcomes minutes or hours before global traders notice During this window markets can still trade at 15 to 30 cents even when the probability is already much higher Automation compounds the edge Instead of relying on a single large trade the system captures multiple information advantages across global markets As these events resolve the positions convert into full payouts stacking several small informational edges into a large overall return All that is left is expanding the data sources improving detection speed and scaling the capital behind it

winkle.

10,547 views • 4 months ago

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! → Fed just confirmed rate HIKES. → Iran violated the ceasefire, and the peace deal is CANCELLED. → Japan is DUMPING U.S. Treasuries. → The AI bubble is starting to COLLAPSE. If you hold any assets today, you MUST read this: When markets open next week, this won't be “just another dip.” Stocks will dump. Bonds will dump. Gold and Silver will dump. Bitcoin will collapse. And insiders already know what's coming. They are not buying assets right now. They are reducing exposure and preparing for the biggest sell-off event of the year. At the same time, pressure is intensifying throughout the global financial system. China is continuing to reduce Treasury exposure. Japan's bond market remains under severe pressure, forcing the BOJ into continued support operations. When the world's largest creditors step away from sovereign debt markets simultaneously, liquidity evaporates. → Global bond markets are under extreme stress → Japanese bond yields continue surging higher → Demand for U.S. Treasuries is deteriorating → Liquidity conditions are tightening across markets → Volatility is spreading through every major asset class → Energy markets remain highly unstable → The AI bubble is starting to deflate as equities already weaken → Asset managers are dumping stocks and reducing market exposure This is no longer a localized issue. This is systemic stress building across MULTIPLE sectors simultaneously. And now geopolitical risk has escalated even further. New strikes between the U.S. and Iran have erupted after the ceasefire was violated. That is how energy markets become impossible to control. Oil does not rise slowly. It goes parabolic. Inflation accelerates worldwide. Which means interest rates stay higher for longer. And risk assets? They do not dip. They DUMP HARD. This is exactly how financial chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing long-term instability instead of short-term uncertainty, everything changes. Liquidity is already being withdrawn across multiple layers of the financial system. This is no longer about positioning alone - it is about the systemic stress. When one node breaks, it does not stay contained. It collapses EVERYTHING. I have spent decades studying macro cycles, liquidity flows, and systemic market reactions like this. That's how I knew Bitcoin would top out in October 2025 and called the $126K top. When the next move becomes clear, I will share it here first. Follow and turn notifications on. By the time mainstream media starts reporting it, it's already too late.

0xNobler

185,880 views • 19 days ago