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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The downed pilot rescue may have been a footnote to a catastrophically failed attempt to seize Iran's nuclear material from the inside. Trita Parsi says one theory gaining traction is that U.S. forces tried to build an airstrip INSIDE Iran, fly troops in, and take the material, but... that mission failed. "I'm not claiming that this is true... But the cover story, which may not be false in and of itself, is that there was an F-15 shot down and there wasn't a rescue effort to save those two pilots... But that is just a marginal part of the story compared to what ACTUALLY happened." If true, Trump's civilization-ending threat and sudden ceasefire weren't bluster... they were the aftermath. Trita Parsishow more

Mario Nawfal

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91,223 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 There may be a much darker story behind the downed F-15 and the rescued pilots than anyone has said publicly. Trita Parsi, Iran expert and president of the Quincy Institute, joined the show with a theory he said he was raising for the first time on air: "One theory, in the absence of a credible explanation by the government, is that there was some sort of effort to go at the nuclear sites, which required taking over an airway in Iran, or going in with forces to build one... and that this whole thing was that attempt, and it failed miserably. The cover story, which may not be false in and of itself, is that there was an F-15 shot down and a rescue effort to save those two pilots, but that's just a marginal part of the story compared to what actually happened." He tied the timing directly to what came next: "Keep in mind, it is about two days after all of this that Trump comes out with that threat of saying he's going to end an entire civilization, and 12 hours later he agrees to a ceasefire." On the deeper cause of the collapse, he pointed to the Tomahawk numbers: "The U.S. lost more aircraft that weekend than it has since Vietnam, 12 in total. Was there ever a U.S. interest that warranted this war? The answer is absolutely clear, there never was." He wasn't buying the headline numbers on the Hormuz fee reports rattling markets: "I've seen a lot of reporting coming out of Reuters that's been highly questionable. I've not come across those numbers in any conversations I've had." A conversation that got a lot more serious than either of us expected. Appreciate you coming on, Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 There may be a much darker story behind the downed F-15 and the rescued pilots than anyone has said publicly. Trita Parsi, Iran expert and president of the Quincy Institute, joined the show with a theory he said he was raising for the first time on air: "One theory, in the absence of a credible explanation by the government, is that there was some sort of effort to go at the nuclear sites, which required taking over an airway in Iran, or going in with forces to build one... and that this whole thing was that attempt, and it failed miserably. The cover story, which may not be false in and of itself, is that there was an F-15 shot down and a rescue effort to save those two pilots, but that's just a marginal part of the story compared to what actually happened." He tied the timing directly to what came next: "Keep in mind, it is about two days after all of this that Trump comes out with that threat of saying he's going to end an entire civilization, and 12 hours later he agrees to a ceasefire." On the deeper cause of the collapse, he pointed to the Tomahawk numbers: "The U.S. lost more aircraft that weekend than it has since Vietnam, 12 in total. Was there ever a U.S. interest that warranted this war? The answer is absolutely clear, there never was." He wasn't buying the headline numbers on the Hormuz fee reports rattling markets: "I've seen a lot of reporting coming out of Reuters that's been highly questionable. I've not come across those numbers in any conversations I've had." A conversation that got a lot more serious than either of us expected. Appreciate you coming on, Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

385,437 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has dropped every demand except the nuclear weapons one, and that may be the key to avoiding war. Trita Parsi broke down why this shift in tone changes everything. "That may prove to be absolutely crucial, because that was the original red line that he had a year and a half ago. And had he stuck with that red line and not shifted to the Israeli red line of no enrichment, then there wouldn't have been a war back in the summer in the first place." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has dropped every demand except the nuclear weapons one, and that may be the key to avoiding war. Trita Parsi broke down why this shift in tone changes everything. "That may prove to be absolutely crucial, because that was the original red line that he had a year and a half ago. And had he stuck with that red line and not shifted to the Israeli red line of no enrichment, then there wouldn't have been a war back in the summer in the first place." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

63,087 views • 4 months ago

🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

29,346 views • 3 months ago

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

62,515 views • 6 months ago

🇮🇷🇱🇧 If Israel remains inside southern Lebanon, Trita Parsi argues a lasting regional ceasefire may be impossible. He says Iran's priority isn't simply strengthening Hezbollah, but also securing a ceasefire that holds across the region. As long as Israeli forces remain in Lebanon, armed resistance will continue, risking a collapse of any broader agreement. He also notes that some areas in southern Lebanon have significant military value for Hezbollah, making an Israeli withdrawal important not just politically, but strategically. "The priority is a ceasefire that is region-wide and stops the fighting everywhere." Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇱🇧 If Israel remains inside southern Lebanon, Trita Parsi argues a lasting regional ceasefire may be impossible. He says Iran's priority isn't simply strengthening Hezbollah, but also securing a ceasefire that holds across the region. As long as Israeli forces remain in Lebanon, armed resistance will continue, risking a collapse of any broader agreement. He also notes that some areas in southern Lebanon have significant military value for Hezbollah, making an Israeli withdrawal important not just politically, but strategically. "The priority is a ceasefire that is region-wide and stops the fighting everywhere." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

80,885 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Striking a country dramatically increases their determination to build a nuclear weapon as a deterrent, and every previous president understood that paradox. Trita Parsi argues the calculus has now shifted toward those inside Iran who want the bomb. "If you were to bomb them, you would maximize the likelihood that they would get a bomb." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Striking a country dramatically increases their determination to build a nuclear weapon as a deterrent, and every previous president understood that paradox. Trita Parsi argues the calculus has now shifted toward those inside Iran who want the bomb. "If you were to bomb them, you would maximize the likelihood that they would get a bomb." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

38,181 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 A single 32-second offhand comment may have quietly upended 25 years of Washington consensus on Iran. Trita Parsi breaks down why it was anything but offhand. "The Israelis know that it's false." Trump is laying the groundwork, and he's only just getting started. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 A single 32-second offhand comment may have quietly upended 25 years of Washington consensus on Iran. Trita Parsi breaks down why it was anything but offhand. "The Israelis know that it's false." Trump is laying the groundwork, and he's only just getting started. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

64,338 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸 The old rules of the strait may already be dead. Trita Parsi explains why Washington is now scrambling to split allies apart before the negotiating table is even set. "There was clearly some sort of an effort to decouple the Iranians from the Omanis." If Oman and Iran are singing from the same sheet, the Trump administration's leverage just got a lot thinner. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 The old rules of the strait may already be dead. Trita Parsi explains why Washington is now scrambling to split allies apart before the negotiating table is even set. "There was clearly some sort of an effort to decouple the Iranians from the Omanis." If Oman and Iran are singing from the same sheet, the Trump administration's leverage just got a lot thinner. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

59,826 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A humiliated Trump after the midterms may be more willing to strike Iran, not less. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, says Tehran expects a weakened president to be easier to handle, and he thinks that reads the man backwards. He points to late 2020, when he says Trump went looking for a confrontation with Iran and the Joint Chiefs stepped in to stop it: "This is an administration whose strategic compass is the mood of the president on any given day." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A humiliated Trump after the midterms may be more willing to strike Iran, not less. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, says Tehran expects a weakened president to be easier to handle, and he thinks that reads the man backwards. He points to late 2020, when he says Trump went looking for a confrontation with Iran and the Joint Chiefs stepped in to stop it: "This is an administration whose strategic compass is the mood of the president on any given day." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

27,768 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Israel may be using unchecked AI to pick targets in Iran, leading to the bombing of civilian parks based on nothing but a name. Trita Parsi reveals that a park called "Park Police" in Tehran was struck likely because an algorithm flagged the word "police" without any human oversight. Trita warns that this recklessness is causing a massive buildup of societal pain that will boil over once the war ends. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Israel may be using unchecked AI to pick targets in Iran, leading to the bombing of civilian parks based on nothing but a name. Trita Parsi reveals that a park called "Park Police" in Tehran was struck likely because an algorithm flagged the word "police" without any human oversight. Trita warns that this recklessness is causing a massive buildup of societal pain that will boil over once the war ends. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

57,646 views • 4 months ago

Trita Parsi Trita Parsi, Executive Vice President of Quincy Institute, is reportedly being investigated by the U.S. Administration and may be in danger of being deported. I can only hope that is a scare tactic, or just fake news, bc not only would such an attempt to silence a critic of America's foolish war in Iran be unconstitutional, it would be incredibly foolish. Trita has been on our show many times, and has ALWAYS been a voice of reason, of intelligence, and perhaps most of all: pro-America. He is a genuine America-firster and all of his advice and critique has been centered on trying to convince the government to avoid policies that are harmful to us and to pursue policies from which we can benefit. We need more men like Trita Parsi in the national dialogue.

Trita Parsi Trita Parsi, Executive Vice President of Quincy Institute, is reportedly being investigated by the U.S. Administration and may be in danger of being deported. I can only hope that is a scare tactic, or just fake news, bc not only would such an attempt to silence a critic of America's foolish war in Iran be unconstitutional, it would be incredibly foolish. Trita has been on our show many times, and has ALWAYS been a voice of reason, of intelligence, and perhaps most of all: pro-America. He is a genuine America-firster and all of his advice and critique has been centered on trying to convince the government to avoid policies that are harmful to us and to pursue policies from which we can benefit. We need more men like Trita Parsi in the national dialogue.

Daniel Davis Deep Dive

167,585 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest surprise of the war may have been that Iran wasn't improvising. Quincy Institute executive vice president Trita Parsi argues that many of Tehran's prewar signals were designed to mislead opponents about its intentions and level of preparedness. "The American side had one plan, get rid of the Supreme Leader and then expect everything to collapse. And ever since, when that plan didn't work, they just been improvising the war, whereas the Iranians were clearly following a structure that had been decided a long time ago." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest surprise of the war may have been that Iran wasn't improvising. Quincy Institute executive vice president Trita Parsi argues that many of Tehran's prewar signals were designed to mislead opponents about its intentions and level of preparedness. "The American side had one plan, get rid of the Supreme Leader and then expect everything to collapse. And ever since, when that plan didn't work, they just been improvising the war, whereas the Iranians were clearly following a structure that had been decided a long time ago." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

29,383 views • 4 months ago

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Trita Parsi put a number on it: better than 80% odds the fighting escalates past March and April's intensity, inside the next month. He's clear it isn't there yet. Fewer targets, lower tempo. He just doesn't think the direction is in question. "Some of the nightmare scenarios we talked about last time that did not happen are happening now, which means that some of the other ones that did not happen may happen as well" Parsi says that restraint is gone. Whatever gets hit now, Iran intends to hit something equivalent back. Escalation risk accepted rather than avoided. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Trita Parsi put a number on it: better than 80% odds the fighting escalates past March and April's intensity, inside the next month. He's clear it isn't there yet. Fewer targets, lower tempo. He just doesn't think the direction is in question. "Some of the nightmare scenarios we talked about last time that did not happen are happening now, which means that some of the other ones that did not happen may happen as well" Parsi says that restraint is gone. Whatever gets hit now, Iran intends to hit something equivalent back. Escalation risk accepted rather than avoided. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

21,455 views • 2 months ago

🇮🇱🇹🇷 Before the ink dries on any Iran deal, Israeli officials are already naming Turkey as the next existential threat. Trita Parsi says this is a pattern, not a pivot. "They were thinking that Iran already had been defeated. So they're already in search of who the next enemy was. And this is exactly what happened in the early 1990s." History rhymes, and right now it's shouting. Trita Parsi

🇮🇱🇹🇷 Before the ink dries on any Iran deal, Israeli officials are already naming Turkey as the next existential threat. Trita Parsi says this is a pattern, not a pivot. "They were thinking that Iran already had been defeated. So they're already in search of who the next enemy was. And this is exactly what happened in the early 1990s." History rhymes, and right now it's shouting. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

109,822 views • 3 months ago

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's bet is that dragging this into the midterms squeezes Trump politically. Trita Parsi thinks that bet may be backwards, and he's not saying it as a critic of Tehran. Iran isn't rushing back to the table because returning on demand would let Trump treat war and diplomacy as a switch he flips whenever it suits him. Refusing takes the switch away. "I do fear that they're going to drag it out, and they may have miscalculated" Meanwhile Kuwait's desalination and power plants were both hit days after the U.S. struck the same categories inside Iran. Nobody's behaving like they want off-ramps. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's bet is that dragging this into the midterms squeezes Trump politically. Trita Parsi thinks that bet may be backwards, and he's not saying it as a critic of Tehran. Iran isn't rushing back to the table because returning on demand would let Trump treat war and diplomacy as a switch he flips whenever it suits him. Refusing takes the switch away. "I do fear that they're going to drag it out, and they may have miscalculated" Meanwhile Kuwait's desalination and power plants were both hit days after the U.S. struck the same categories inside Iran. Nobody's behaving like they want off-ramps. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

74,391 views • 2 months ago

Parsi: There is no doubt that we have now, after 20 years of hearing from the hawks, that the only solution is to go to war, we tried it. One third of the U.S. Navy was there in the region. This was not a small operation. This was a major operation short of an actual invasion, and it failed. There is just no doubt that the military operation was not a success. And hopefully, at a minimum, we will not be having that debate again. It has now been settled. It's no longer a theoretical or academic topic. It has been tried, proven to be a failure.

Parsi: There is no doubt that we have now, after 20 years of hearing from the hawks, that the only solution is to go to war, we tried it. One third of the U.S. Navy was there in the region. This was not a small operation. This was a major operation short of an actual invasion, and it failed. There is just no doubt that the military operation was not a success. And hopefully, at a minimum, we will not be having that debate again. It has now been settled. It's no longer a theoretical or academic topic. It has been tried, proven to be a failure.

Acyn

133,670 views • 3 months ago

Trita Parsi, executive vice president at the Quincy Institute, explains why he believes the greatest threat to the US-Iran ceasefire agreement is not the Persian Gulf, but Israel’s potential refusal to fully adhere to the regional ceasefire and halt its bombardment of Lebanon. Parsi says that, for Tehran, tying Israel to the ceasefire is ultimately a test of America’s willingness — and ability — to restrain its closest regional ally.

Trita Parsi, executive vice president at the Quincy Institute, explains why he believes the greatest threat to the US-Iran ceasefire agreement is not the Persian Gulf, but Israel’s potential refusal to fully adhere to the regional ceasefire and halt its bombardment of Lebanon. Parsi says that, for Tehran, tying Israel to the ceasefire is ultimately a test of America’s willingness — and ability — to restrain its closest regional ally.

Middle East Eye

18,585 views • 4 months ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE U.S. AND IRAN DISAGREE ON WHAT THE CEASEFIRE COVERS Middle East geopolitical analyst, Trita Parsi, says that's Netanyahu building his own off-ramp. If the threat is gone, the war can stop without admitting defeat. But he's also excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire and escalating against Hezbollah. The White House agreed. Iran and Pakistan say Lebanon is included. Parsi says Iran will push this specifically to answer one question: can Trump actually control Israel? Friday in Islamabad may give us the answer. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE U.S. AND IRAN DISAGREE ON WHAT THE CEASEFIRE COVERS Middle East geopolitical analyst, Trita Parsi, says that's Netanyahu building his own off-ramp. If the threat is gone, the war can stop without admitting defeat. But he's also excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire and escalating against Hezbollah. The White House agreed. Iran and Pakistan say Lebanon is included. Parsi says Iran will push this specifically to answer one question: can Trump actually control Israel? Friday in Islamabad may give us the answer. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

36,683 views • 5 months ago