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The Monty Hall problem visualized with a bomb [🎞️ Zack D. Films]

225,932 次观看 • 2 年前 •via X (Twitter)

9 条评论

PadawanFrancis 的头像
PadawanFrancis2 年前

Easier to intuitively understand this with larger values. Say there’s 100 wires, and the bomber tells you that 98 of them would cause the explosion, leaving you with your original choice and another cable. The odds that you picked the right cable from the get go are very slim.

Kirk Fletcher 的头像
Kirk Fletcher2 年前

Not the Monty Hall problem. The key to MH is that it isn't random. The game show host always eliminates one of the duds. In the above example, it isn't clear this is the case.

Adoring fan fan account 的头像
Adoring fan fan account2 年前

This is BS. Probabilities don't care about past results o expected results, the scenario, once you have cut red, must be analized as a new and isolated scenario, which is a 50/50. This or I am not understanding the problem.

Tesla and DOGE 的头像
Tesla and DOGE2 年前

This is wrong. What if the manufacturer had informed that the yellow wire would go boom. Then the odds of one of other two wires being correct would not stay 2/3rds. They would be 100%. The odds change after the phone call.

SongEternal 🎶🧝‍♂️ 的头像
SongEternal 🎶🧝‍♂️2 年前

The Monty Hall problem explained by someone who learned about fractions through funhouse mirrors.

Mileto 💎 的头像
Mileto 💎2 年前

If had chosen blue from the beginning, the 2/3 would have been on the yellow, so.after all it's 50/50 on both options

Todd Hopkinson 的头像
Todd Hopkinson2 年前

Why on earth would the red's chances be 'reflected' onto the blue and not onto the yellow?

Mochiwochi, Avenger Kitty 的头像
Mochiwochi, Avenger Kitty2 年前

I hate this. I think its Game Theory.

DrElectronX 的头像
DrElectronX2 年前

I would just pull the detonator out.