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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket and made +$304,915 His bot trades 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for mispricing using its own fair-value model The model constantly tracks BTC relative to the opening price,...

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VALIX

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39,031 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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17 Kommentare

Profilbild von Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBackvor 1 Monat

@RetroValix that's impressive! the biggest challenge is usually in maintaining that latency edge. how'd you tackle it?

Profilbild von Roan
Roanvor 1 Monat

this looks interesting

Profilbild von VALIX
VALIXvor 1 Monat

Thank you, what did you like the most?

Profilbild von Logics
Logicsvor 1 Monat

yoooo bro What a beautiful ball I see Love this terminal

Profilbild von VALIX
VALIXvor 1 Monat

Thanks for your support. I'm glad you liked it

Profilbild von Mountain Trades
Mountain Tradesvor 1 Monat

UI 100% Trading bot 0%

Profilbild von Vishnu08$M
Vishnu08$Mvor 1 Monat

@grok how ? And real ?

Profilbild von Placar Brasil
Placar Brasilvor 1 Monat

a matemática bateu

Profilbild von Hyginus
Hyginusvor 1 Monat

Very interesting ✅✅

Profilbild von Oppeyes
Oppeyesvor 1 Monat

I'm soddenly seeing a lot of these and they all look like fake sci-fi bullshit.

Profilbild von The Daily Mix
The Daily Mixvor 1 Monat

@grok is this true

Profilbild von cereal
cerealvor 1 Monat

Clean workflow, saving this to test later.

Profilbild von Grek
Grekvor 1 Monat

if the edge was the bot you wouldn’t need the kcex paragraph

Profilbild von AI Studio
AI Studiovor 1 Monat

Mispricing-Modelle brauchen schnellere Infrastruktur als der Markt. Sonst bleibt nur ein schönes Modell.

Profilbild von ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitrage
ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitragevor 1 Monat

Latency and fair value are only half the game. The other half is catching the same event priced differently across books before both sides move. Scanner at watches those locked Poly and Kalshi spreads. Free through 2026.

Profilbild von Carlos Matias Baglieri
Carlos Matias Baglierivor 1 Monat

The mispricing detection from your own fair-value model is the hard part most people skip — latency gets you in the game, but hedging those 5-minute windows is what actually compounds into $304k. We've been building production systems for 15+ years, and this reads li ❤️ #zypho_ai

Profilbild von Cami
Camivor 1 Monat

absolute madman energy, respect the grind

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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital
0:31

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

11,216 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital
0:27

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

VALIX

44,885 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $38.62 Result: +$489,494 The bot trades 5 minute BTC and ETH Up/Down markets using two-sided accumulation, complete sets, and a directional residual: 1. Starts accumulating both sides almost immediately The bot first buys one side and begins buying the opposite outcome almost immediately The median delay between its first Up and Down purchases is 7.5 seconds It then continues accumulating both sides as prices change within the market 2. Builds complete sets below $1 The main goal of the paired inventory is to achieve: VWAP(Up) + VWAP(Down) < $1 Its average combined VWAP is 97.93c, giving it an edge of 2.07c 3. Keeps a directional residual on top of the hedge The bot does not try to maintain a 1:1 balance between Up and Down In paired markets, the median ratio between the larger and smaller sides of its inventory is 1.44× If its fair probability leans more strongly toward Up or Down, the algorithm increases its inventory on that side while keeping the opposite outcome as a hedge leg Its Polymarket account: x-MoneyForWhiskas The bot’s main edge comes from combining complete sets with directional skew: the core position is hedged through Up + Down below $1, while additional inventory remains on the side its model considers underpriced
0:28

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $38.62 Result: +$489,494 The bot trades 5 minute BTC and ETH Up/Down markets using two-sided accumulation, complete sets, and a directional residual: 1. Starts accumulating both sides almost immediately The bot first buys one side and begins buying the opposite outcome almost immediately The median delay between its first Up and Down purchases is 7.5 seconds It then continues accumulating both sides as prices change within the market 2. Builds complete sets below $1 The main goal of the paired inventory is to achieve: VWAP(Up) + VWAP(Down) < $1 Its average combined VWAP is 97.93c, giving it an edge of 2.07c 3. Keeps a directional residual on top of the hedge The bot does not try to maintain a 1:1 balance between Up and Down In paired markets, the median ratio between the larger and smaller sides of its inventory is 1.44× If its fair probability leans more strongly toward Up or Down, the algorithm increases its inventory on that side while keeping the opposite outcome as a hedge leg Its Polymarket account: x-MoneyForWhiskas The bot’s main edge comes from combining complete sets with directional skew: the core position is hedged through Up + Down below $1, while additional inventory remains on the side its model considers underpriced

VALIX

142,266 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k

VALIX

14,753 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten