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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket and made +$304,915 His bot trades 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for mispricing using its own fair-value model The model constantly tracks BTC relative to the opening price,...

39,031 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

17 Yorum

Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack profil fotoğrafı
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack1 ay önce

@RetroValix that's impressive! the biggest challenge is usually in maintaining that latency edge. how'd you tackle it?

Roan profil fotoğrafı
Roan1 ay önce

this looks interesting

VALIX profil fotoğrafı
VALIX1 ay önce

Thank you, what did you like the most?

Logics profil fotoğrafı
Logics1 ay önce

yoooo bro What a beautiful ball I see Love this terminal

VALIX profil fotoğrafı
VALIX1 ay önce

Thanks for your support. I'm glad you liked it

Mountain Trades profil fotoğrafı
Mountain Trades1 ay önce

UI 100% Trading bot 0%

Vishnu08$M profil fotoğrafı
Vishnu08$M1 ay önce

@grok how ? And real ?

Placar Brasil profil fotoğrafı
Placar Brasil1 ay önce

a matemática bateu

Hyginus profil fotoğrafı
Hyginus1 ay önce

Very interesting ✅✅

Oppeyes profil fotoğrafı
Oppeyes1 ay önce

I'm soddenly seeing a lot of these and they all look like fake sci-fi bullshit.

The Daily Mix profil fotoğrafı
The Daily Mix1 ay önce

@grok is this true

cereal profil fotoğrafı
cereal1 ay önce

Clean workflow, saving this to test later.

Grek profil fotoğrafı
Grek1 ay önce

if the edge was the bot you wouldn’t need the kcex paragraph

AI Studio profil fotoğrafı
AI Studio1 ay önce

Mispricing-Modelle brauchen schnellere Infrastruktur als der Markt. Sonst bleibt nur ein schönes Modell.

ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitrage profil fotoğrafı
ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitrage1 ay önce

Latency and fair value are only half the game. The other half is catching the same event priced differently across books before both sides move. Scanner at watches those locked Poly and Kalshi spreads. Free through 2026.

Carlos Matias Baglieri profil fotoğrafı
Carlos Matias Baglieri1 ay önce

The mispricing detection from your own fair-value model is the hard part most people skip — latency gets you in the game, but hedging those 5-minute windows is what actually compounds into $304k. We've been building production systems for 15+ years, and this reads li ❤️ #zypho_ai

Cami profil fotoğrafı
Cami1 ay önce

absolute madman energy, respect the grind

Benzer Videolar

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$222,374 Its bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets through a hybrid of directional trading and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for directional edge through its own fair probability It gets data on the underlying asset from external sources and compares it with the price on Polymarket Its model includes momentum, acceleration, volatility, order-flow imbalance, and time to resolution If it sees an edge, it starts building a position and increases it while the signal remains active 2. When the signal changes, it hedges the position with the opposite outcome If the price movement reverses, the algorithm starts buying the other side This reduces net exposure while also using new price moves to accumulate the second side If it can buy cheap enough, part of the inventory turns into a complete set where Up + Down costs less than $1 3. It keeps a large directional residual In two-sided markets, the median size of the smaller side is only around 36% of the larger side The hedge covers only part of the position, while the main remainder continues working in the direction of its model’s signal His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Stats: > Trades / active hour: 132.3 > Average trade: $60.02 > Win Rate: 55% This guy’s main edge is built on a combination of two mechanics: it tries to identify the stronger outcome before the market, and when the signal changes, it turns part of the position into a hedge or a cheap complete set

VALIX

12,905 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions change

VALIX

161,286 görüntüleme • 10 gün önce