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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket and made +$304,915 His bot trades 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for mispricing using its own fair-value model The model constantly tracks BTC relative to the opening price,...

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VALIX

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39,031 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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17 条评论

Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack 的头像
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack1 个月前

@RetroValix that's impressive! the biggest challenge is usually in maintaining that latency edge. how'd you tackle it?

Roan 的头像
Roan1 个月前

this looks interesting

VALIX 的头像
VALIX1 个月前

Thank you, what did you like the most?

Logics 的头像
Logics1 个月前

yoooo bro What a beautiful ball I see Love this terminal

VALIX 的头像
VALIX1 个月前

Thanks for your support. I'm glad you liked it

Mountain Trades 的头像
Mountain Trades1 个月前

UI 100% Trading bot 0%

Vishnu08$M 的头像
Vishnu08$M1 个月前

@grok how ? And real ?

Placar Brasil 的头像
Placar Brasil1 个月前

a matemática bateu

Hyginus 的头像
Hyginus1 个月前

Very interesting ✅✅

Oppeyes 的头像
Oppeyes1 个月前

I'm soddenly seeing a lot of these and they all look like fake sci-fi bullshit.

The Daily Mix 的头像
The Daily Mix1 个月前

@grok is this true

cereal 的头像
cereal1 个月前

Clean workflow, saving this to test later.

Grek 的头像
Grek1 个月前

if the edge was the bot you wouldn’t need the kcex paragraph

AI Studio 的头像
AI Studio1 个月前

Mispricing-Modelle brauchen schnellere Infrastruktur als der Markt. Sonst bleibt nur ein schönes Modell.

ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitrage 的头像
ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitrage1 个月前

Latency and fair value are only half the game. The other half is catching the same event priced differently across books before both sides move. Scanner at watches those locked Poly and Kalshi spreads. Free through 2026.

Carlos Matias Baglieri 的头像
Carlos Matias Baglieri1 个月前

The mispricing detection from your own fair-value model is the hard part most people skip — latency gets you in the game, but hedging those 5-minute windows is what actually compounds into $304k. We've been building production systems for 15+ years, and this reads li ❤️ #zypho_ai

Cami 的头像
Cami1 个月前

absolute madman energy, respect the grind

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket that trades markets with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$254,000 His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It finds mispricing using its own model It receives spot/perp data for the underlying asset and constantly compares it with prices on Polymarket The model also analyzes volatility, momentum, acceleration, and order-flow imbalance, then buys when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal reverses, it starts accumulating the opposite side as a hedge If the underlying asset changes direction, it starts buying the opposite outcome. This reduces its net directional exposure If both sides can be bought cheaply enough, part of the position turns into complete sets His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from identifying the stronger outcome and properly managing its open positions
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket that trades markets with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$254,000 His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It finds mispricing using its own model It receives spot/perp data for the underlying asset and constantly compares it with prices on Polymarket The model also analyzes volatility, momentum, acceleration, and order-flow imbalance, then buys when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal reverses, it starts accumulating the opposite side as a hedge If the underlying asset changes direction, it starts buying the opposite outcome. This reduces its net directional exposure If both sides can be bought cheaply enough, part of the position turns into complete sets His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from identifying the stronger outcome and properly managing its open positions

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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital
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This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

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50,580 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it
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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

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27,231 次观看 • 2 个月前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)

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13,971 次观看 • 2 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

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15,778 次观看 • 2 个月前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$295,910 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a late-resolution strategy, where most of the position size is deployed when the outcome is getting close to final: 1. It starts with a small directional position At the beginning of each market, it records the reference price and tracks Chainlink TWAP along with external spot/perp feeds During the early stage, it builds a small position. This acts like a probe while the model’s confidence is still relatively low 2. It increases the position as the outcome gets closer to certainty The algorithm constantly recalculates probability. As resolution gets closer, it can estimate more accurately whether the result can still change 3. If the signal changes, it buys the opposite side In 88.2% of markets, it trades only one outcome. In 11.8% of cases, it buys both Up and Down. The opposite side works as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm appears during the final minutes of the market. It estimates how close the outcome is to being locked in and concentrates most of its position size where the model sees mispricing
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$295,910 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a late-resolution strategy, where most of the position size is deployed when the outcome is getting close to final: 1. It starts with a small directional position At the beginning of each market, it records the reference price and tracks Chainlink TWAP along with external spot/perp feeds During the early stage, it builds a small position. This acts like a probe while the model’s confidence is still relatively low 2. It increases the position as the outcome gets closer to certainty The algorithm constantly recalculates probability. As resolution gets closer, it can estimate more accurately whether the result can still change 3. If the signal changes, it buys the opposite side In 88.2% of markets, it trades only one outcome. In 11.8% of cases, it buys both Up and Down. The opposite side works as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm appears during the final minutes of the market. It estimates how close the outcome is to being locked in and concentrates most of its position size where the model sees mispricing

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96,299 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$228,209 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Compares the current asset price from external sources with the price on Polymarket 2. Enters a position when his model sees one side is undervalued 3. If the asset’s direction changes, it starts buying the opposite outcome or fully flips the position 4. Constantly rebalances positions based on new information 5. Buying both sides works either as a hedge or as an arbitrage opportunity His Polymarket username: nj23adsknml3 Using high-frequency directional trading with constant position rebalancing, he turned $9.5k into $228k
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$228,209 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Compares the current asset price from external sources with the price on Polymarket 2. Enters a position when his model sees one side is undervalued 3. If the asset’s direction changes, it starts buying the opposite outcome or fully flips the position 4. Constantly rebalances positions based on new information 5. Buying both sides works either as a hedge or as an arbitrage opportunity His Polymarket username: nj23adsknml3 Using high-frequency directional trading with constant position rebalancing, he turned $9.5k into $228k

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19,104 次观看 • 2 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit

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25,607 次观看 • 3 个月前

This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions change
0:27

This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions change

VALIX

161,286 次观看 • 10 天前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital

VALIX

28,577 次观看 • 2 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k
0:25

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k

VALIX

18,729 次观看 • 2 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

11,216 次观看 • 2 个月前

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital
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This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

VALIX

44,885 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $38.62 Result: +$489,494 The bot trades 5 minute BTC and ETH Up/Down markets using two-sided accumulation, complete sets, and a directional residual: 1. Starts accumulating both sides almost immediately The bot first buys one side and begins buying the opposite outcome almost immediately The median delay between its first Up and Down purchases is 7.5 seconds It then continues accumulating both sides as prices change within the market 2. Builds complete sets below $1 The main goal of the paired inventory is to achieve: VWAP(Up) + VWAP(Down) < $1 Its average combined VWAP is 97.93c, giving it an edge of 2.07c 3. Keeps a directional residual on top of the hedge The bot does not try to maintain a 1:1 balance between Up and Down In paired markets, the median ratio between the larger and smaller sides of its inventory is 1.44× If its fair probability leans more strongly toward Up or Down, the algorithm increases its inventory on that side while keeping the opposite outcome as a hedge leg Its Polymarket account: x-MoneyForWhiskas The bot’s main edge comes from combining complete sets with directional skew: the core position is hedged through Up + Down below $1, while additional inventory remains on the side its model considers underpriced
0:28

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $38.62 Result: +$489,494 The bot trades 5 minute BTC and ETH Up/Down markets using two-sided accumulation, complete sets, and a directional residual: 1. Starts accumulating both sides almost immediately The bot first buys one side and begins buying the opposite outcome almost immediately The median delay between its first Up and Down purchases is 7.5 seconds It then continues accumulating both sides as prices change within the market 2. Builds complete sets below $1 The main goal of the paired inventory is to achieve: VWAP(Up) + VWAP(Down) < $1 Its average combined VWAP is 97.93c, giving it an edge of 2.07c 3. Keeps a directional residual on top of the hedge The bot does not try to maintain a 1:1 balance between Up and Down In paired markets, the median ratio between the larger and smaller sides of its inventory is 1.44× If its fair probability leans more strongly toward Up or Down, the algorithm increases its inventory on that side while keeping the opposite outcome as a hedge leg Its Polymarket account: x-MoneyForWhiskas The bot’s main edge comes from combining complete sets with directional skew: the core position is hedged through Up + Down below $1, while additional inventory remains on the side its model considers underpriced

VALIX

142,266 次观看 • 18 天前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 次观看 • 4 个月前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k
0:22

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$143,740 in 3 months His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy built around 3 elements: 1. Compares current Polymarket prices with the underlying asset price from external sources 2. Buys the more likely outcome based on his model 3. When market conditions change, hedges the original entry by buying the opposite side His Polymarket username: antsaslyku Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he turned $68k into $143.7k

VALIX

14,753 次观看 • 2 个月前