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This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Directional Movement system and it made $3,784 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$809,704 PnL in 214 days with about $2,832 per average trade, repeating the same setup 20 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets...

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Daniro

6,200 subscribers

14,074 Aufrufe • vor 9 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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13 Kommentare

Profilbild von qwinsi
qwinsivor 9 Tagen

The ADX filter is probably doing the heavy lifting here. Direction alone gives too many noisy signals.

Profilbild von Daniro
Danirovor 8 Tagen

The main task among a large amount of noise is to find those very signals that will still give an edge

Profilbild von sophs r,
sophs r,vor 8 Tagen

87% win rate and still one bad hour from zero, the math on these bots is always the same story

Profilbild von Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBackvor 8 Tagen

@Dan1ro0 I'd say the one tricky part is managing risk when the setup repeats so often. It’s easy to overlook, but keeping a tight eye on market conditions changes everything.

Profilbild von wast3
wast3vor 8 Tagen

his tool demonstrated a real-world example

Profilbild von GraviOrbit
GraviOrbitvor 8 Tagen

Bi bitmediniz

Profilbild von Anmol Kushwaha
Anmol Kushwahavor 8 Tagen

@grok is this true?

Profilbild von xsonss
xsonssvor 8 Tagen

Trend strength filter makes all difference

Profilbild von Arb Data Desk
Arb Data Deskvor 8 Tagen

$2,832 avg trade on BTC up/down, 20x/hr. that's not edge, that's fill assumptions. show me the fee schedule and slippage per fill before i believe any of it.

Profilbild von Sofi p
Sofi pvor 8 Tagen

87% win rate on btc up/down is wild, what happens when it chops sideways for a week

Profilbild von Humanity Wasted
Humanity Wastedvor 8 Tagen

214 days of consistent PnL is the only number that matters here. Anyone can show a green week, very few can show a green seven months with an automated system.

Profilbild von VALIX
VALIXvor 9 Tagen

I’ve always been amazed to see AI agent systems used for trading

Profilbild von Daniro
Danirovor 8 Tagen

This is becoming more and more common, with AI agents solving their own problems while uniting into a larger system

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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit

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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $123,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 103.8 trades per hour, or 1.73 trades per minute, and trades as a systematic high-frequency directional hedging bot on short-term BTC/ETH markets His strategy is simple: > Enters positions at the start of new 5 and 15-min windows at around 0.50 > When the asset starts moving, it adds to the side that becomes more likely according to its signal > Uses the other side as a hedge His Polymarket account: With this strategy, he turned $19,700 into $123,000 in 2.5 months
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $123,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 103.8 trades per hour, or 1.73 trades per minute, and trades as a systematic high-frequency directional hedging bot on short-term BTC/ETH markets His strategy is simple: > Enters positions at the start of new 5 and 15-min windows at around 0.50 > When the asset starts moving, it adds to the side that becomes more likely according to its signal > Uses the other side as a hedge His Polymarket account: With this strategy, he turned $19,700 into $123,000 in 2.5 months

VALIX

15,939 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)

VALIX

13,971 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital

VALIX

28,577 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$162,512 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets, using a hybrid of 3 elements: 1. Uses limit orders 2. Buys opposite outcomes at different moments so that Up + Down is below $1 3. When his algorithm gives a strong signal, it builds a directional position by overweighting one side His Polymarket username: gansinimen Using this strategy and clean execution, he made +$162k with an average buy size of $33
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He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$162,512 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets, using a hybrid of 3 elements: 1. Uses limit orders 2. Buys opposite outcomes at different moments so that Up + Down is below $1 3. When his algorithm gives a strong signal, it builds a directional position by overweighting one side His Polymarket username: gansinimen Using this strategy and clean execution, he made +$162k with an average buy size of $33

VALIX

47,336 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $10 Result: +$262,402 His bot trades 15-minute BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of two-sided market making, volatility harvesting, and asynchronous complete-set accumulation: 1. It builds positions where Up + Down Buys Up at 42¢, then later buys Down at 53¢ > Complete set = 95¢ -> 5¢ gross edge 2. It leaves a directional residual on top of the paired inventory For example: > Buys 100 Up + 150 Down > 100 Up + 100 Down form complete sets, while the remaining 50 Down maintain directional exposure Around 86% of all purchased shares are part of the paired position, while the remaining inventory acts as the directional layer of the strategy His Polymarket nickname: aswfadq1555 You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This guy’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 324 > Average trade: $10.51 > Win Rate: 50% The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from using volatility within 15-minute markets to asynchronously accumulate Up and Down for less than $1. The unmatched remainder is kept as directional exposure Using this strategy and his algorithm, this guy steadily grows his capital
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $10 Result: +$262,402 His bot trades 15-minute BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of two-sided market making, volatility harvesting, and asynchronous complete-set accumulation: 1. It builds positions where Up + Down Buys Up at 42¢, then later buys Down at 53¢ > Complete set = 95¢ -> 5¢ gross edge 2. It leaves a directional residual on top of the paired inventory For example: > Buys 100 Up + 150 Down > 100 Up + 100 Down form complete sets, while the remaining 50 Down maintain directional exposure Around 86% of all purchased shares are part of the paired position, while the remaining inventory acts as the directional layer of the strategy His Polymarket nickname: aswfadq1555 You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This guy’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 324 > Average trade: $10.51 > Win Rate: 50% The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from using volatility within 15-minute markets to asynchronously accumulate Up and Down for less than $1. The unmatched remainder is kept as directional exposure Using this strategy and his algorithm, this guy steadily grows his capital

VALIX

134,819 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move

VALIX

370,823 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat