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This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Temporal Arbitrage system and it made $874 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$50,666 PnL in 58 days with about $464 per market traded, repeating the same setup roughly 11 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down"... markets Several AI agents work together as one algorithm: 1. The bot looks for short delays between BTC movement and market quotes BTC can move first while the corresponding Up or Down level takes a moment to react Latency Edge = Reference Probability - Market Quote If BTC implies 61% Up while Up is still at 56¢: Latency Edge = 5¢ The bot enters before that gap disappears 2. The position is closed once the market catches up The same BTC move that created the entry eventually gets reflected in Up or Down PnL = (Exit Quote - Entry Quote) × Shares - Fees For example: Entry = 56¢ Exit = 60¢ Edge captured = 4¢ per share So the bot enters during the short delay and exits once the repricing is complete This trader’s Polymarket account: Most profitable trades: $1,307 → $2,593 (+$1,286) $1,023 → $2,232 (+$1,209) $675 → $1,773 (+$1,098) The bot exploits short delays between BTC movement and Up or Down repricingshow more

Daniro

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68,112 görüntüleme • 2 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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18 Yorum

Stewy profil fotoğrafı

Stewy1 gün önce

That's cool, I should try making my own bot.

币咖酋 profil fotoğrafı

币咖酋1 gün önce

视频用什么软件生成

Petr Kubelka profil fotoğrafı

Petr Kubelka1 gün önce

Rough math on your own example: 56¢ to 60¢ is a 4¢ edge, but taker fees at those prices are ~1.7¢ each way. Is the $50,666 after fees? And was the bot making or taking? Worth saying the profile link is a referral too.

M. profil fotoğrafı

M.1 gün önce

100% bullsh*t.

Gabriel profil fotoğrafı

Gabriel1 gün önce

@bot is this true?

مولد بالذكاء البشري profil fotoğrafı

مولد بالذكاء البشري1 gün önce

Swear to the god the one who tech me how to build trading bot I will give him 1000 $ I have my own strategy and it's working very well

Roland Green profil fotoğrafı

Roland Green1 gün önce

send this to someone with zero context and don't reply to them

tim777 profil fotoğrafı

tim7771 gün önce

whats the wallet? $50k in 58 days on polymarket is fully verifiable on chain, so a link would settle it

Alex Vasquez profil fotoğrafı

Alex Vasquez1 gün önce

@grok is this real?

Celebs Hub profil fotoğrafı

Celebs Hub2 gün önce

If the edge is only a few cents per share, how much of that $874 a day survives once other bots crowd the same latency gap?

Alex Lee profil fotoğrafı

Alex Lee1 gün önce

$874 a day just from catching price delays? sounds great, but I'd love to see the full trade history 😂

亗RĒXĒN亗 profil fotoğrafı

亗RĒXĒN亗1 gün önce

Quant arbitrage on prediction markets is easily the most slept-on meta right now. Clean breakdown 📈

Interesting as f... profil fotoğrafı

Interesting as f...2 gün önce

An interesting real-world example of latency arbitrage, though it would be worth seeing how consistent that edge stays as competition grows.

Vinay soni profil fotoğrafı

Vinay soni1 gün önce

That guy made insane momeyb

magsimich profil fotoğrafı

magsimich1 gün önce

No competition of grok bot in trading

DR profil fotoğrafı

DR1 gün önce

Total bullshit, but nice idea

Wealth finance profil fotoğrafı

Wealth finance1 gün önce

As a full grown sceptic to where “too good to be true” applies, im always thinking, what are these people trying to prove? Do they want to advertise grok or maybe they want victim to jump in the markets, so they could milk them dry of their savings.Signal to noise ratio is near 0

Jolly Fellow profil fotoğrafı

Jolly Fellow1 gün önce

“Quant Temporal Arbitrage” sounds like it needs a lab coat before it needs an API key.

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This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL

Daniro

31,221 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)

VALIX

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This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $197,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 167.4 trades per hour or 2.79 trades per minute and combines arbitrage, market making, and scalping on price repricing His strategy is simple: > Tracks live BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP moves and catches when Polymarket lags > When an imbalance appears in the order book, buys the cheap side > If it sees arbitrage edge, buys the opposite side and turns the position into an arbitrage pair His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he generates consistent profit and grows his capital

VALIX

82,817 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with a $50 average trade size Result: +$220,792 His bot trades 5-minute BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of inventory rebalancing, dynamic hedging, and accumulating cheap complete sets: 1. It builds complete sets so that Up + Down costs less than $1 It uses limit orders to buy different sides during different phases of the underlying asset’s movement Average cost of a matched complete set: $0.9387. Edge = 6.13¢ 2. It leaves directional residual on top of the hedged inventory Part of the capital gets a structural edge through pairing, while the rest keeps exposure on the side the algorithm sees as stronger For example: 200 Up + 150 Down 150 Up + 150 Down form complete sets, while the remaining 50 Up stay as a directional position You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Stats: > Trades / active hour: 284 > Average trade: $49.8 > Win Rate: 50% His Polymarket nickname: hot-garbage This guy’s edge is built on two main layers: he turns most of his inventory into Up + Down < $1, while using the unmatched remainder as a directional position Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his PnL

VALIX

87,974 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

how to build the fastest Polymarket latency bot +$100k/month PnL if you hit 1,000+ trades/day cleanly 0x8dxd is just a latency bot that farms the 200–500ms gap between Binance moving and Polymarket waking up. the part that matters isn't some alpha model, it's reading spot first and hitting the book before odds adjust. where the $100k+/month comes from it's not one massive bet. it's clipping tiny edges thousands of times. 0x8dxd started with $313 and ended month one around $438k, now sits north of $550k all‑time PnL with ~5.6k–7k trades at 96–98% win rate on BTC/ETH/SOL 15‑minute windows. if you're consistently pulling 1–2% per cycle over 1,000+ trades/month with real size, six figures is just arithmetic. first, the edge: spot (Binance/Coinbase) moves first, Polymarket's 15‑minute up/down windows lag by 200–500ms before odds fully reprice. latency bots live in that window: spot already moved, book still thinks it's 50/50, bot fixes the misprice and takes the edge. what you actually need: - Python + official py‑clob‑client to prove the idea, Rust CLOB client if you want to compete with 0x8dxd‑level bots. - WebSocket feeds for BTC/ETH/SOL from Binance/Coinbase (REST polling is too slow). Dedicated Polygon RPC node so your orders don't die in public rate limits. - VPS physically close to Polymarket's infra (ping is literally part of your edge). where people mess up: they try "HFT" from a laptop with Python + public RPC and wonder why their 300ms reaction gets farmed by a 30ms Rust engine. the bot loop (in plain English) pull real‑time spot for BTC/ETH/SOL via WebSocket, track short‑term % moves over a few seconds. for each 15‑minute crypto market on Polymarket: check if spot moved beyond your threshold (e.g. ±2%) while Polymarket odds barely changed. if BTC rips and the "down" contract is still priced like a coinflip, load NO at stale odds. if BTC nukes and "up" is still fat, fade that with NO or take YES on "down" depending on the market structure. log market, entry odds, exit odds, realized edge. that's it. no AI, no news scraping, just enforcing what spot already told you. where to get real references: Finbold/MEXC breakdowns: exactly how a bot took $313 to $438k on Polymarket using BTC 15‑minute windows and latency between spot and odds. BlakeNastri's X thread: dug through 0x8dxd's stats, ~5.6k trades and ~96%+ win rate, called it latency arbitrage not insider magic. two real‑world gotchas (that decide profit vs loss) edge decay: as more bots pile in, the 200–500ms lag shrinks and your edge turns into noise. research on Polymarket shows arbitrage bots already extracted tens of millions. self‑slippage: once you scale to real size, you start moving the book yourself - without proper sizing and staggering, you donate your edge back to the market. how to make it feel "pro" fast run only on high‑volume crypto windows: (BTC/ETH/SOL 15‑minute) where size actually fills and you can hit 1,000+ trades/month without breaking the market. start with tiny tickets ($20–50 per trade), prove the edge over thousands of logs with fees and slippage included, only then scale size not risk per trade. use official libs and known clients as your backbone, treat random "Polymarket bot" repos as hostile until you audit them - there are already GitHub bots caught stealing keys

how to build the fastest Polymarket latency bot +$100k/month PnL if you hit 1,000+ trades/day cleanly 0x8dxd is just a latency bot that farms the 200–500ms gap between Binance moving and Polymarket waking up. the part that matters isn't some alpha model, it's reading spot first and hitting the book before odds adjust. where the $100k+/month comes from it's not one massive bet. it's clipping tiny edges thousands of times. 0x8dxd started with $313 and ended month one around $438k, now sits north of $550k all‑time PnL with ~5.6k–7k trades at 96–98% win rate on BTC/ETH/SOL 15‑minute windows. if you're consistently pulling 1–2% per cycle over 1,000+ trades/month with real size, six figures is just arithmetic. first, the edge: spot (Binance/Coinbase) moves first, Polymarket's 15‑minute up/down windows lag by 200–500ms before odds fully reprice. latency bots live in that window: spot already moved, book still thinks it's 50/50, bot fixes the misprice and takes the edge. what you actually need: - Python + official py‑clob‑client to prove the idea, Rust CLOB client if you want to compete with 0x8dxd‑level bots. - WebSocket feeds for BTC/ETH/SOL from Binance/Coinbase (REST polling is too slow). Dedicated Polygon RPC node so your orders don't die in public rate limits. - VPS physically close to Polymarket's infra (ping is literally part of your edge). where people mess up: they try "HFT" from a laptop with Python + public RPC and wonder why their 300ms reaction gets farmed by a 30ms Rust engine. the bot loop (in plain English) pull real‑time spot for BTC/ETH/SOL via WebSocket, track short‑term % moves over a few seconds. for each 15‑minute crypto market on Polymarket: check if spot moved beyond your threshold (e.g. ±2%) while Polymarket odds barely changed. if BTC rips and the "down" contract is still priced like a coinflip, load NO at stale odds. if BTC nukes and "up" is still fat, fade that with NO or take YES on "down" depending on the market structure. log market, entry odds, exit odds, realized edge. that's it. no AI, no news scraping, just enforcing what spot already told you. where to get real references: Finbold/MEXC breakdowns: exactly how a bot took $313 to $438k on Polymarket using BTC 15‑minute windows and latency between spot and odds. BlakeNastri's X thread: dug through 0x8dxd's stats, ~5.6k trades and ~96%+ win rate, called it latency arbitrage not insider magic. two real‑world gotchas (that decide profit vs loss) edge decay: as more bots pile in, the 200–500ms lag shrinks and your edge turns into noise. research on Polymarket shows arbitrage bots already extracted tens of millions. self‑slippage: once you scale to real size, you start moving the book yourself - without proper sizing and staggering, you donate your edge back to the market. how to make it feel "pro" fast run only on high‑volume crypto windows: (BTC/ETH/SOL 15‑minute) where size actually fills and you can hit 1,000+ trades/month without breaking the market. start with tiny tickets ($20–50 per trade), prove the edge over thousands of logs with fees and slippage included, only then scale size not risk per trade. use official libs and known clients as your backbone, treat random "Polymarket bot" repos as hostile until you audit them - there are already GitHub bots caught stealing keys

0xCryptoGirl

25,586 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

This trader made $303,000 on Polymarket using a trading bot, buying markets for $14 His trading bot makes 10.26 trades per minute or 615.6 trades per hour. It trades 5 and 15-min crypto markets and looks for micro inefficiencies His strategy is simple: > Tracks Up and Down prices within the same market and across related markets > When it sees an imbalance, it starts buying the undervalued side with limit orders > Sometimes uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy and good trade execution, he generates profit consistently

This trader made $303,000 on Polymarket using a trading bot, buying markets for $14 His trading bot makes 10.26 trades per minute or 615.6 trades per hour. It trades 5 and 15-min crypto markets and looks for micro inefficiencies His strategy is simple: > Tracks Up and Down prices within the same market and across related markets > When it sees an imbalance, it starts buying the undervalued side with limit orders > Sometimes uses arbitrage if it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy and good trade execution, he generates profit consistently

VALIX

17,343 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit

VALIX

25,607 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions change

This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions change

VALIX

161,286 görüntüleme • 10 gün önce

After 6 Hours of Searching, I Finally Found the Only Arbitrage Bot Worth Using I went through all of GitHub looking for a real prediction-market bot. 98% of repos were trash. But at 4 AM, I finally found one that looked like something real. The trader whose strategy I’m referencing is "0x8dxd", appears to be running a bot built on the exact same idea. > over $614,965 with a 97%+ win rate in one month His profile: Here’s the exact loop the GitHub bot uses: > Reads real-time BTC moves Continuously tracks Binance’s 5-minute candle momentum and reacts the moment volatility appears. > Checks Polymarket’s delayed pricing Compares the fresh Binance move to Polymarket’s slower-updating odds, looking for brief desynchronization. > Enters during the lag window If BTC pumps → buys YES before Polymarket adjusts. If BTC dumps → buys NO before the market wakes up. > Exits once pricing catches up Sometimes it’s worth taking someone else’s edge and rebuilding it into something even stronger.

may.crypto {🦅}

38,835 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

VALIX

27,231 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce