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This guy works at coinbase. in his spare time he built the largest open dataset for polymarket and kalshi 72,100,000 trades. 7,680,000 markets. open source - figured out who actually makes money on prediction markets - wrote a research paper with the math to prove it - 3,100 stars... show more

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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

VALIX

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5 free GitHub bots for trading on Polymarket… 5 different strategies for 5 different trading situations. Each of these tools comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English: 1. This bot can automatically manage your limit orders to maximize liquidity rewards (useful for liquidity providers on Polymarket). GitHub: 2. The bot, which analyzes the real behavior of any Polymarket trader, finds repeated patterns in his trades, explains which strategies he uses and how you can actually adapt them to your own trading. GitHub: 3. A bot with 118+ ready to use strategies and tools for prediction markets, including Smart Money, Binance-Polymarket latency, Mean Reversion and more… The most interesting one is Polymarket - Kalshi Cross Arbitrage - it finds differences in prices between platforms and can manage trades automatically. GitHub: 4. A Chinese weather bot that analyzes multiple sources in real time, like forecasts, public airport data and aviation observations (METAR + SPECI) and then generates a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: 5. This is a bot-toolkit that includes copy trading, arbitrage, market making, spread farming, whale alerts, sports trading and more… GitHub: Almost every tool here has a DRY RUN mode, so you can test them on real markets, but with fake funds.

5 free GitHub bots for trading on Polymarket… 5 different strategies for 5 different trading situations. Each of these tools comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English: 1. This bot can automatically manage your limit orders to maximize liquidity rewards (useful for liquidity providers on Polymarket). GitHub: 2. The bot, which analyzes the real behavior of any Polymarket trader, finds repeated patterns in his trades, explains which strategies he uses and how you can actually adapt them to your own trading. GitHub: 3. A bot with 118+ ready to use strategies and tools for prediction markets, including Smart Money, Binance-Polymarket latency, Mean Reversion and more… The most interesting one is Polymarket - Kalshi Cross Arbitrage - it finds differences in prices between platforms and can manage trades automatically. GitHub: 4. A Chinese weather bot that analyzes multiple sources in real time, like forecasts, public airport data and aviation observations (METAR + SPECI) and then generates a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: 5. This is a bot-toolkit that includes copy trading, arbitrage, market making, spread farming, whale alerts, sports trading and more… GitHub: Almost every tool here has a DRY RUN mode, so you can test them on real markets, but with fake funds.

Recogard

14,162 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

this 40 min MIT lecture on Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than 5 years in trading it's 106 years old and wrote in 1906 > Google used it to build their search engine > quants use it to crush prediction markets > you can watch it for free tonight the algorithm that built the internet is the same one printing money on Polymarket Fastest way to copy-trade anyone even with $10 using:

this 40 min MIT lecture on Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than 5 years in trading it's 106 years old and wrote in 1906 > Google used it to build their search engine > quants use it to crush prediction markets > you can watch it for free tonight the algorithm that built the internet is the same one printing money on Polymarket Fastest way to copy-trade anyone even with $10 using:

Ricker

58,280 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

VALIX

41,036 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

this is legitimately brilliant trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like Polymarket i just gone through The Smart Ape 🔥's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything. the insight here gathered is perfect: - top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots. - they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality. - markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane: - AI scrapes every major publisher - flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart - updates in minutes. for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40% I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free absolute gold here i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets. the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

this is legitimately brilliant trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like Polymarket i just gone through The Smart Ape 🔥's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything. the insight here gathered is perfect: - top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots. - they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality. - markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane: - AI scrapes every major publisher - flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart - updates in minutes. for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40% I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free absolute gold here i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets. the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

arndxt

105,303 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

19-YEAR-OLD MADE $1.5M ON POLYMARKET USING AI His secret? He doesn’t trade himself. He built an AI agent that trades for him 24/7 And it’s not just prediction markets: - trading algos - funded accounts - any tech product Polymarket profile with video : Copying his bets in one click: Just a guy who figured out one thing before you did: in 2026 you either give AI a task, or you become a task for someone else’s AI.

AdiiX

10,145 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

I BUILT THE FIRST BOT THAT ARBITRAGES BETWEEN POLYMARKET AND KALSHI SIMULTANEOUSLY $100 -> $5,214 in 24 hours 847 trades, zero directional risk polymarket and kalshi are the two biggest prediction markets both trade the same events but their pricing algorithms are different which means their prices drift apart the gaps are small - 3 to 8 c, but they happen constantly if you trade that difference automatically fast thousands of times the math starts working for you the bot spots the gap in milliseconds buys YES on polymarket at $0.61 sells YES on kalshi at $0.67 while people are still looking at the chart the bot already closed the trade and moved on they say arbitrage in prediction markets is impossible they say the spreads are too small they say the market is efficient $5,214 in one night says otherwise

I BUILT THE FIRST BOT THAT ARBITRAGES BETWEEN POLYMARKET AND KALSHI SIMULTANEOUSLY $100 -> $5,214 in 24 hours 847 trades, zero directional risk polymarket and kalshi are the two biggest prediction markets both trade the same events but their pricing algorithms are different which means their prices drift apart the gaps are small - 3 to 8 c, but they happen constantly if you trade that difference automatically fast thousands of times the math starts working for you the bot spots the gap in milliseconds buys YES on polymarket at $0.61 sells YES on kalshi at $0.67 while people are still looking at the chart the bot already closed the trade and moved on they say arbitrage in prediction markets is impossible they say the spreads are too small they say the market is efficient $5,214 in one night says otherwise

zostaff

67,361 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $123,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 103.8 trades per hour, or 1.73 trades per minute, and trades as a systematic high-frequency directional hedging bot on short-term BTC/ETH markets His strategy is simple: > Enters positions at the start of new 5 and 15-min windows at around 0.50 > When the asset starts moving, it adds to the side that becomes more likely according to its signal > Uses the other side as a hedge His Polymarket account: With this strategy, he turned $19,700 into $123,000 in 2.5 months

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $123,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 103.8 trades per hour, or 1.73 trades per minute, and trades as a systematic high-frequency directional hedging bot on short-term BTC/ETH markets His strategy is simple: > Enters positions at the start of new 5 and 15-min windows at around 0.50 > When the asset starts moving, it adds to the side that becomes more likely according to its signal > Uses the other side as a hedge His Polymarket account: With this strategy, he turned $19,700 into $123,000 in 2.5 months

VALIX

15,939 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

VALIX

30,078 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

This trader made $328,000 on Polymarket with a bot that hunts mispricing in the final seconds of 5 minute crypto markets. It waits for the order book to lag, hits with limit orders, and keeps stacking small edges into serious money.

This trader made $328,000 on Polymarket with a bot that hunts mispricing in the final seconds of 5 minute crypto markets. It waits for the order book to lag, hits with limit orders, and keeps stacking small edges into serious money.

0xMarioNawfal

59,362 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $143,000 on Polymarket His bot trades mispricings in short crypto Up/Down markets with a median trade size of $7.19 and an average edge of 2.0% It builds positions with limit orders and hedges part of the volume His strategy is simple: > Tracks BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP price movements and compares them with Polymarket prices > Enters a trade when Polymarket probabilities look undervalued > Buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or builds an arbitrage position This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he keeps steadily growing his deposit

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $143,000 on Polymarket His bot trades mispricings in short crypto Up/Down markets with a median trade size of $7.19 and an average edge of 2.0% It builds positions with limit orders and hedges part of the volume His strategy is simple: > Tracks BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP price movements and compares them with Polymarket prices > Enters a trade when Polymarket probabilities look undervalued > Buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or builds an arbitrage position This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he keeps steadily growing his deposit

VALIX

56,217 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Why is nobody talking about Polymarket's official API? You open Polymarket Wait for it to load... Click on a market... Wait again... Try to check another one... More waiting... By the time you see the price, it's already stale The opportunity moved while you were clicking through pages Someone else got there first There's a better way // Found the gem hiding in plain sight - library py-clob-client Official from Polymarket. MIT license I spent a week working with multiple markets Checking prices across different positions Monitoring various categories Tracking market movements Then discovered this library Game changer for workflow efficiency // Real example from last week: UI approach: Checking markets one by one through the interface API approach: Monitoring all relevant markets simultaneously with live updates Having comprehensive real-time data makes a meaningful difference Speed and information clarity are valuable advantages // Want to go deeper? Build an arbitrage bot You'll need Rust for execution speed Deploy the server geographically close to Polymarket's infrastructure Every millisecond counts when opportunities last 1-2 seconds. I built mine in Go for monitoring and analysis. Works great for that. But if you're hunting arbitrage at scale against other bots, Rust + low latency setup is the only way. The infrastructure race is real // "But I can't code" With today's AI tools you actually can Cursor, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Kimi, Grok - they write code for you You just describe what you want AI generates it You copy-paste and run Join Polymarket to create: Programming is no longer a barrier Anyone can build now

Why is nobody talking about Polymarket's official API? You open Polymarket Wait for it to load... Click on a market... Wait again... Try to check another one... More waiting... By the time you see the price, it's already stale The opportunity moved while you were clicking through pages Someone else got there first There's a better way // Found the gem hiding in plain sight - library py-clob-client Official from Polymarket. MIT license I spent a week working with multiple markets Checking prices across different positions Monitoring various categories Tracking market movements Then discovered this library Game changer for workflow efficiency // Real example from last week: UI approach: Checking markets one by one through the interface API approach: Monitoring all relevant markets simultaneously with live updates Having comprehensive real-time data makes a meaningful difference Speed and information clarity are valuable advantages // Want to go deeper? Build an arbitrage bot You'll need Rust for execution speed Deploy the server geographically close to Polymarket's infrastructure Every millisecond counts when opportunities last 1-2 seconds. I built mine in Go for monitoring and analysis. Works great for that. But if you're hunting arbitrage at scale against other bots, Rust + low latency setup is the only way. The infrastructure race is real // "But I can't code" With today's AI tools you actually can Cursor, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Kimi, Grok - they write code for you You just describe what you want AI generates it You copy-paste and run Join Polymarket to create: Programming is no longer a barrier Anyone can build now

BuBBliK

44,204 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $671,000 on Polymarket His bot trades Up/Down markets at high frequency and combines asynchronous two-sided arbitrage with short-term directional trading His Polymarket account: His strategy is simple: > Places limit orders on both sides of crypto markets > Buys Up and Down one after another when each side temporarily becomes undervalued > At the same time, keeps a directional skew toward the side his model sees as more likely Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and keeps growing his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $671,000 on Polymarket His bot trades Up/Down markets at high frequency and combines asynchronous two-sided arbitrage with short-term directional trading His Polymarket account: His strategy is simple: > Places limit orders on both sides of crypto markets > Buys Up and Down one after another when each side temporarily becomes undervalued > At the same time, keeps a directional skew toward the side his model sees as more likely Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

21,655 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

I found a bot that REALLY beats 15min BTC markets on Polymarket. 300% profit per day. This is NOT CLICKBAIT, post really does contain working code and all links. Below you can find links to the code, bot creator wallet, my test wallet where I ran this bot + a clear setup guide: GitHub bot link: Bot creator wallet: My test wallet: Bot creator achieved 300% ROI on invested capital in less than 24 hours - $45 to $150. I made test $50 deposit, ran the software and in exactly 24 hours we will check the result. The bot's strategy is super simple and has positive expected value: - works on Polymarket BTC 15min prediction markets - places 45c limit orders on both UP and DOWN outcomes - monitors positions with real-time WebSocket prices - auto redeems resolved positions via gasless relayer If both limit orders fill, total cost for both sides comes to $0.90 instead of $1.00 - guaranteeing 10% profit per cycle. According to the creator's observations, 45¢ limits fill in 9 out of 10 cases. For profitability, we only need about 6 out of 10 successful cycles. There's also a built-in protection feature: if one side spikes above 72¢ while the other remains unfilled, it sells the filled side to cut losses. To set it up, you'll need: - your EVM wallet's private key (use burner wallet) - fund wallet address on Polymarket - Polymarket builder API (Polymarket->Profile->Settings->Builder) - test deposit of $50-100 (script is tuned for $100, adjust share quantities in the code for smaller amounts) Any AI (even ChatGPT) can help you get it running - Python scripts like this are beginner-friendly. If you don't want to risk your own money or deal with setup, just follow me - tomorrow I'll update with the actual results: Does this bot really deliver hundreds of percent returns?

cvxv666

39,668 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $87,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using high-frequency scalping, with elements of swing arbitrage and hedged trading His strategy is simple: > Compares the underlying asset price with the price on Polymarket and trades mispricings > First buys one side, then after the price moves, buys the opposite side so that Up + Down stays below $1 > Uses asymmetric sizing: small size on cheap tails, while most of the volume goes into the 60-97c range This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $19.7k into $87.1k in one month of trading

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $87,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using high-frequency scalping, with elements of swing arbitrage and hedged trading His strategy is simple: > Compares the underlying asset price with the price on Polymarket and trades mispricings > First buys one side, then after the price moves, buys the opposite side so that Up + Down stays below $1 > Uses asymmetric sizing: small size on cheap tails, while most of the volume goes into the 60-97c range This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $19.7k into $87.1k in one month of trading

VALIX

21,254 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

VALIX

82,823 Aufrufe • vor 8 Tagen

I built a Claude trading bot for 5/15 minute BTC markets > $380 -> $1063 in 24 hours Everything runs on a local server, which helps it work 24/7. The bot trades all fast markets, not just BTC but also ETH, SOL, XRP It uses the improved Fast-Loop strategy this is the exact strategy the most profitable traders on Polymarket use after a quick BTC pump, Polymarket doesn't always update the price in time, and there's a delay Δt ≈ 5ms exploitable window These 5 seconds are exactly what helps traders make from $20,000 a day

I built a Claude trading bot for 5/15 minute BTC markets > $380 -> $1063 in 24 hours Everything runs on a local server, which helps it work 24/7. The bot trades all fast markets, not just BTC but also ETH, SOL, XRP It uses the improved Fast-Loop strategy this is the exact strategy the most profitable traders on Polymarket use after a quick BTC pump, Polymarket doesn't always update the price in time, and there's a delay Δt ≈ 5ms exploitable window These 5 seconds are exactly what helps traders make from $20,000 a day

Noisy

68,687 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

We built the ultimate arbitrage machine. it literally scans every prediction market into one single dashboard: > live tracking for spreads across Polymarket, Kalshi, Drift & 12+ platforms > real-time price feeds from every market > executes both sides in you profit no matter who wins > 24/7 automated scanning > free to use - we only take a cut when you profit while you're reading news and picking sides, this is running in the background. we didn't build a bot. we built infrastructure.

We built the ultimate arbitrage machine. it literally scans every prediction market into one single dashboard: > live tracking for spreads across Polymarket, Kalshi, Drift & 12+ platforms > real-time price feeds from every market > executes both sides in you profit no matter who wins > 24/7 automated scanning > free to use - we only take a cut when you profit while you're reading news and picking sides, this is running in the background. we didn't build a bot. we built infrastructure.

PolyArbiter

354,298 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

I’ve seen a lot of “trading bots” that are basically just hype wrapped in a dashboard. PolyFill looks different. ( It connects to your Polymarket account, watches markets 24/7, processes a ton of live data, and executes only when the setup is there. More importantly, you can actually watch the bot activity alongside real Polymarket market action — which makes it a lot more interesting than the usual black-box claims. They also made the smart move of keeping paper trading free, so anyone can test it without risking real money first. Honestly, that’s how more products in this space should work. If you trade on Polymarket, this is one to keep an eye on.

I’ve seen a lot of “trading bots” that are basically just hype wrapped in a dashboard. PolyFill looks different. ( It connects to your Polymarket account, watches markets 24/7, processes a ton of live data, and executes only when the setup is there. More importantly, you can actually watch the bot activity alongside real Polymarket market action — which makes it a lot more interesting than the usual black-box claims. They also made the smart move of keeping paper trading free, so anyone can test it without risking real money first. Honestly, that’s how more products in this space should work. If you trade on Polymarket, this is one to keep an eye on.

Sparco DeFi

130,564 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

.Martin Shkreli explains why he's both bearish on prediction markets and runs a bot that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute Polymarket markets: "How much are you just financializing for financializing's sake, and is that sustainable when you actually need people with tons of money to fight the arbitrage gradient?" "For example, I've been running this bot on Polymarket that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute markets, which are somewhat inefficient." "Nobody needs to trade this. There's no actual benefit to trading this, other than that you can take two-to-N bets - you get around 96 bets a day - and with the money velocity of getting a lot of those right, you can compound insanely well." "Of course, it's random. But people's hope springs eternal that they could somehow get the rhythm of the market every 15 minutes. I think it's a waste of ingenuity and engineering."

.Martin Shkreli explains why he's both bearish on prediction markets and runs a bot that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute Polymarket markets: "How much are you just financializing for financializing's sake, and is that sustainable when you actually need people with tons of money to fight the arbitrage gradient?" "For example, I've been running this bot on Polymarket that makes a market in the Bitcoin 15-minute markets, which are somewhat inefficient." "Nobody needs to trade this. There's no actual benefit to trading this, other than that you can take two-to-N bets - you get around 96 bets a day - and with the money velocity of getting a lot of those right, you can compound insanely well." "Of course, it's random. But people's hope springs eternal that they could somehow get the rhythm of the market every 15 minutes. I think it's a waste of ingenuity and engineering."

TBPN

151,807 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten