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WHY MOST PEOPLE WILL NEVER OWN MEANINGFUL BITCOIN Most people will never own meaningful Bitcoin for the same reason they can’t finish a book, hold eye contact, or say no to the “Would you like fries with that?” screen at McDonald’s. Because Bitcoin doesn’t just filter capital. It filters...

33,257 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

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Most people think about Bitcoin treasury companies incorrectly Here is why I think they are good for Bitcoin & why they are misunderstood: 1) Treasury companies are capitalizing the Bitcoin industry for a century to come 2) They are future Bitcoin Banks 3) However, they are developing in the reverse order compared to everything else - monetization first and then later on core business activities -- Bitcoin has traditionally received $1 for every $100 in funds that Crypto took in - it has historically been challenging to raise money for Bitcoin focused businesses. My view is that Treasury companies are changing this, and while the first phase will simply be acquiring as much Bitcoin as possible - they will later need to ensure the value of Bitcoin grows and find ways to use BTC as capital in a larger marketplace. These firms will become the future Bitcoin Banks and also Bitcoin conglomerates. In this exact moment in time the best use of capital is simply buying Bitcoin. It's hard to meaningfully outperform BTC, and as such all these businesses will do for a while is acquire BTC. But eventually that shifts, and these firms will see more incentive to both grow and deploy Bitcoin. They then will provide capital which, among other things, supports Bitcoin businesses and projects. Many people struggle to contextualize the current "land rush" phase with what will come later. You need to take a longer view to understand these firms. The order of operations is also reversed here. Typically you build a business or technology and then as a final step monetize it via an IPO. With Bitcoin, stage 1 is looking more like direct monetization prior to creating value via products, etc. This is deeply counter intuitive to many people in traditional finance, and also to many Bitcoiners. However, because Bitcoin is primarily money at a base level it makes sense the developmental path it is taking differs significantly from other tech. The amount of time it will take for other investors to understand this presents an opportunity for those who see it sooner. More thoughts below 👇

Steven Lubka ☀️

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$MSTR Saifedean is a great thinker, but he’s an ideologue. And the problem with ideologues is they model the future based on past patterns, without accounting for the most disruptive variable of all: changing technology. Saifedean’s world is one where, under a Bitcoin standard, time preference naturally falls. People accumulate hard money, they become patient, credit disappears, and humanity converges on a purely equity-based system. It’s elegant. But it assumes a version of human rationality that technology is actively dismantling in real time. Look around you. The defining trend of the last decade has been the opposite of patience. Instant delivery. Reels over essays. Fast food over cooking. Two-day shipping became same-day. Same-day became one hour. The most consumed content format on earth is a fifteen-second video. Artificial intelligence is accelerating this further, removing every remaining friction between want and fulfillment. The world is not trending towards lower time preference. It is trending towards zero patience at scale… What Saylor understood that Saifedean hasn’t is that real capital markets require you to look at the world the way it is. Bitcoin is a long-horizon, zero-yield, maximum-patience asset living inside a civilization that is becoming structurally more short-term by the day… Most people will never hold Bitcoin. Most of them have rent due, mortgages to pay, and no bandwidth to understand monetary debasement. They need yield now. They need capital now. Saylor’s answer to that has been to build a bridge. $MSTR pulls in the long-term thinkers (Institutions, the Bitcoin maximalists with decade-long conviction) and uses their capital as a foundation to issue products that meet everyone else where they are. The most popular of Strategy’s preferred instruments ($STRC) pays monthly rather than quarterly. And the demand of late is pushing it now towards semi-monthly. This is Saylor reading the market correctly. $STRC went from zero to $8 billion in under a year, filling a massive structural gap in the market. Saifedean is right that Bitcoin changes money. But he’s wrong that it changes human nature. As long as there are people with capital and people who need it, and technology keeps compressing time horizons, there will be credit. There will be yield. There will be instruments that meet people where they are. An ideologue dreams of the world he wants. The capitalist builds for the world that exists. Saylor is the capitalist. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

Zaid 🟧

36,461 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten