This coastal low / nor'easter is going to be... a doozy Sunday into Monday. Not tropical (will have fronts attached to it), but will basically bring tropical storm impacts without a name. @WINKNewsshow more

Best way to think about it is that Florida... will see a one-two punch. The first one will bring us rain Sunday into Monday with an area of low pressure along a stalled out front. Then the 2nd, main punch from tropical storm or hurricane approaches on Tuesday into Wednesday. WINK Newsshow more

Hurricane Gabrielle will track across the Atlantic this week,... becoming an Ex-tropical system before reaching western Europe 🌀 This system could influence the weather fronts we see going into the weekend, but the low itself is likely to fizzle out in the Bay of Biscayshow more

The record warm Gulf along with relatively light shear... will allow Tropical Depression Two to strengthen into Tropical Storm #BERTHA later today. However, strong northerly wind shear will blow Bertha out like a candle as it approaches the Gulf Coast midweek. #tropicalupdate 🌀show more

A surge of tropical moisture associated with the Central... American Gyre will being higher rain chances to Florida later this week and into the weekend. The good news is tropical development is not expected at this time in the Gulf at this time. #flwxshow more

Once inland later this week, Helene will be pulled... the northwest, rotating around an upper low over Arkansas. This is known as the "Fujiwhara effect", which is pretty unusual at this latitude. The tropical system and the upper low will basically rotate around each other.show more

It can be hard to visualize how big Interceptor... 015 is, so here's a bagel for scale. *we tried to get a banana but couldn’t find one following tropical storm Rafael.show more

An upper level low is forecast to develop near... Cuba this weekend. The lurking low is expected to bring a surge of tropical moisture and higher rain chances to Florida through early next week.#flwxshow more

⛈️ Heavy rainfall and flooding threat from South Texas... to the lower Mississippi Valley A multi-day episode of heavy rain will be driven by the interaction of a nearly stationary cold front, tropical moisture, and a tropical disturbance. The tropical disturbance is currently located over Mexico and will gradually move toward South Texas. According to the NHC/NOAA, the chance that it will organize into a tropical cyclone remains low, around 30%. Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone actually forms, the system may bring intense showers and thunderstorms along the western and central Gulf Coast. Over the next four days, widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected from the Texas coast into Louisiana, with locally higher amounts possible. Such rainfall totals could trigger flash and river flooding, posing a significant threat to life and property. ⚠️ Please monitor official warnings and follow the instructions of local authorities.show more

Major Hurricane #Kirk (cat 4) is now in the... Atlantic. It will continue moving towards Europe. 🧐 By mid-week, it is expected to weaken into a post-tropical storm and reach France (see wind gust map for the next 5 days).show more

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way... across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!show more

TROPICAL UPDATE: Here's the latest GRAF model for the... area pinned with a 20% chance of tropical development. The model historically is more aggressive / stronger than others, but does highlight the development of a low in the Gulf by the weekend. Regardless of development, it will help to bump up rain chances for Florida the next several days.show more

This swirling low-pressure storm is very nearly a Medicane,... or Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, and she could be on a trajectory to make landfall into the deserts of northern Libya soon. Notice the huge plume of dust on the eastern side of the storm getting pulled out to sea by the counter-clockwise circulation.show more

A low pressure system is developing, named by Météo... France as Storm Goretti It will bring strong winds, heavy rain & snow to the UK Small forecast changes could have large impacts on the location and intensity of wind and snow, so stay #WeatherAware 👉show more

Watch as a strong Bermuda high and persistent southerly... fetch funnels a plume of tropical moisture north into the Gulf. The main event will start this weekend and persistent into next week. The details are fuzzy, but you can bet some folks along the Gulf Coast, from Louisiana to Florida will get 10” of rain over the next two weeks. Pinpointing exactly where though is still unclear, but all will see #drought relief! Stay tuned! #florida #rain #tropicalshow more

It may have just missed us here in DC,... but the Blizzard of 2026 will be remembered for a long time in the coastal Northeast! What a storm.show more

The previously unnamed Tropical Storm in the shallow Malacca... Strait has since been given the name Senyar. The system made landfall over the city of Langsa in Aceh, Indonesia at a 50 mph (80 kph), 996 mbar peak intensity. But Senyar isn’t done. The storm has now RE-EMERGED into the Malacca Strait and is forecast to soon make a second landfall, this one in Malaysia. While Senyar won’t be very strong (potentially only ~40 mph), a Malaysian landfall by a bonafide tropical cyclone is historically rare, as few storms on record have formed this close to the equator (due to the weakness of the Coriolis Effect here).show more

Wait for it. Major Hurricane Erin is intense, but... soon it will be massive in size. As the storm moves north the wind field will expand, as is typical of hurricanes. Tropical storm force gusts will extend all the way from the beaches of the Eastern Seaboard to Bermuda around 700 miles, with hurricane gusts over 300 miles wide. #erin #hurricane #fyp #HurricaneErinshow more

Nick says he is not doing a show tomorrow,... he will be back on Monday. "I'm going to be busy."show more

Moist Conveyer Belt Builds over Florida! And a big... shift too. The models are coming into much better agreement on a significant, but not deluge, rain event for West-Central Florida this weekend through next week. Heaviest totals will be along the coast. Emphasis “coast”. Expect on and off downpours - not always a washout - with the worst weather Sunday & Monday. Models show a widespread 2-4” Sanibel to Tampa to Crystal River to Panama City, but obviously with tropical bands/ downpours some spots will see much more with some localized flooding too. *BUT there’s been a noticeable shift “West” into the #Gulf next week with the moisture blob pulling away. So the spigot shuts down more quickly from Tampa southward by Tuesday. #florida #stormshow more