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🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying... show more

Mario Nawfal

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60,078 Aufrufe • vor 23 Stunden •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if economic warfare forces Tehran to give Washington something in the short term, the long-term cost could be a financial system that gives America's rivals even more reason to build alternatives to it. A tactical win in Iran could become a strategic loss for U.S. financial power. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if economic warfare forces Tehran to give Washington something in the short term, the long-term cost could be a financial system that gives America's rivals even more reason to build alternatives to it. A tactical win in Iran could become a strategic loss for U.S. financial power. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

38,076 Aufrufe • vor 23 Stunden

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just declared economic war on anyone keeping Iran alive. There's just one HUGE problem: China. Trump's “Economic D-Day” is an attempt to financially isolate Iran on a scale Washington says has never been attempted before. And Treasury Sec. Bessent made the objective brutally clear: They want to collapse the Iranian regime. That means targeting not just Iran, but the countries, banks and businesses that continue trading with it. Which brings Washington directly into collision with Beijing. China buys the overwhelming majority of Iran's shipped oil. So if Trump genuinely intends to economically strangle Tehran, eventually he has to answer the question everyone is asking: What happens when China refuses to stop? He faces two choices: Don't enforce the sanctions aggressively against China, and Tehran retains the economic lifeline Washington is trying to sever. Enforce them, and what began as an economic war against Iran starts becoming an economic confrontation with the world's second-largest economy. And China isn't Iran. Beijing has economic weapons of its own: Rare earths, manufacturing, critical supply chains, and, crucially, an alternative financial architecture it's spent years developing precisely because it never wanted Washington to possess a permanent veto over Chinese commerce. That's the part of this story that could become far more consequential than whatever happens in Hormuz. America's greatest economic weapon isn't an aircraft carrier, it's the dollar. Access to the dollar system gives Washington an extraordinary ability to punish governments, banks and companies almost anywhere on Earth. But that power only remains overwhelming for as long as the rest of the world has no viable alternative. Every time Washington weaponises it, it creates another incentive to build one. And Trump is now threatening to demonstrate that vulnerability on an enormous scale. China doesn't need to overthrow the dollar tomorrow; it just needs enough infrastructure to continue trading when Washington says: Stop, or else. And once that infrastructure exists, other countries gain access to the same insurance policy. Trump's war on Iran exposed the limits of American military power. His economic war may be about to expose the limits of America's financial power too. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just declared economic war on anyone keeping Iran alive. There's just one HUGE problem: China. Trump's “Economic D-Day” is an attempt to financially isolate Iran on a scale Washington says has never been attempted before. And Treasury Sec. Bessent made the objective brutally clear: They want to collapse the Iranian regime. That means targeting not just Iran, but the countries, banks and businesses that continue trading with it. Which brings Washington directly into collision with Beijing. China buys the overwhelming majority of Iran's shipped oil. So if Trump genuinely intends to economically strangle Tehran, eventually he has to answer the question everyone is asking: What happens when China refuses to stop? He faces two choices: Don't enforce the sanctions aggressively against China, and Tehran retains the economic lifeline Washington is trying to sever. Enforce them, and what began as an economic war against Iran starts becoming an economic confrontation with the world's second-largest economy. And China isn't Iran. Beijing has economic weapons of its own: Rare earths, manufacturing, critical supply chains, and, crucially, an alternative financial architecture it's spent years developing precisely because it never wanted Washington to possess a permanent veto over Chinese commerce. That's the part of this story that could become far more consequential than whatever happens in Hormuz. America's greatest economic weapon isn't an aircraft carrier, it's the dollar. Access to the dollar system gives Washington an extraordinary ability to punish governments, banks and companies almost anywhere on Earth. But that power only remains overwhelming for as long as the rest of the world has no viable alternative. Every time Washington weaponises it, it creates another incentive to build one. And Trump is now threatening to demonstrate that vulnerability on an enormous scale. China doesn't need to overthrow the dollar tomorrow; it just needs enough infrastructure to continue trading when Washington says: Stop, or else. And once that infrastructure exists, other countries gain access to the same insurance policy. Trump's war on Iran exposed the limits of American military power. His economic war may be about to expose the limits of America's financial power too. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

523,315 Aufrufe • vor 23 Stunden

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington has blindly stumbled into a devastating proxy trap in Iran, and Beijing is reaping all the rewards. Every single weapon system the U.S. expends in the Middle East is one less deterrent available to stop a Chinese move on Taiwan. Brandon Weichert argued that Trump's recent concessions to China reveal how completely overextended the U.S. is, warning that America will feel extreme economic consequences for the forseeable future. Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington has blindly stumbled into a devastating proxy trap in Iran, and Beijing is reaping all the rewards. Every single weapon system the U.S. expends in the Middle East is one less deterrent available to stop a Chinese move on Taiwan. Brandon Weichert argued that Trump's recent concessions to China reveal how completely overextended the U.S. is, warning that America will feel extreme economic consequences for the forseeable future. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

100,196 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 "THE U.S. ALSO WANTS TO ELIMINATE THE INFLUENCE OF RUSSIA, CHINA, AND IRAN IN VENEZUELA" Former CIA Intel Analyst Larry Johnson says it’s not just about oil deals or Maduro cutting a bargain with Washington. He argues the bigger U.S. goal is to push Russia, China, and Iran out of Venezuela’s orbit, and to stop Caracas from drifting into BRICS and away from a U.S.-dollar-led system. In his view, if Venezuela moves into a different economic lane, the U.S. loses one of its main power tools: sanctions and financial pressure. "The U.S. also wants to eliminate the presence, the influence of Russia, China, and Iran. They have had good relations, cordial relations with Maduro. Maduro has been making sounds of wanting to join BRICS, and I think the U.S. definitely wants to curtail that. Because that’ll just be another important country in this hemisphere that is moving away from the U.S. dollar-controlled economy into something that the U.S. can no longer use economic sanctions and coercion to try to enforce certain behaviors on countries." Larry Johnson

🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 "THE U.S. ALSO WANTS TO ELIMINATE THE INFLUENCE OF RUSSIA, CHINA, AND IRAN IN VENEZUELA" Former CIA Intel Analyst Larry Johnson says it’s not just about oil deals or Maduro cutting a bargain with Washington. He argues the bigger U.S. goal is to push Russia, China, and Iran out of Venezuela’s orbit, and to stop Caracas from drifting into BRICS and away from a U.S.-dollar-led system. In his view, if Venezuela moves into a different economic lane, the U.S. loses one of its main power tools: sanctions and financial pressure. "The U.S. also wants to eliminate the presence, the influence of Russia, China, and Iran. They have had good relations, cordial relations with Maduro. Maduro has been making sounds of wanting to join BRICS, and I think the U.S. definitely wants to curtail that. Because that’ll just be another important country in this hemisphere that is moving away from the U.S. dollar-controlled economy into something that the U.S. can no longer use economic sanctions and coercion to try to enforce certain behaviors on countries." Larry Johnson

Mario Nawfal

27,045 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 BIG | President Donald Trump says the United States is currently "low-keying it" with Iran, signaling that Washington is holding back from another major military escalation while allowing economic pressure on Tehran to build. According to Axios, Trump said the U.S. is maintaining only limited negotiations with Iran while closely watching the country's deteriorating economic situation. "We're only semi-negotiating with them. We're just watching Iran with its huge inflation and the fact that they have no money," Trump said. The president argued that Iran is in "very bad shape" economically and is even struggling to pay its military personnel, while the U.S. naval blockade continues to intensify financial pressure on Tehran. Trump suggested that Washington is prepared to wait rather than immediately return to large-scale military operations, calculating that mounting economic pressure could eventually force Iran toward a more favorable agreement. "It will work out. It always works out. It's like a chess game," Trump said of the confrontation with Tehran. The remarks indicate that, for now, Washington appears willing to let economic pressure do much of the work while keeping military escalation available as leverage if diplomacy fails. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 BIG | President Donald Trump says the United States is currently "low-keying it" with Iran, signaling that Washington is holding back from another major military escalation while allowing economic pressure on Tehran to build. According to Axios, Trump said the U.S. is maintaining only limited negotiations with Iran while closely watching the country's deteriorating economic situation. "We're only semi-negotiating with them. We're just watching Iran with its huge inflation and the fact that they have no money," Trump said. The president argued that Iran is in "very bad shape" economically and is even struggling to pay its military personnel, while the U.S. naval blockade continues to intensify financial pressure on Tehran. Trump suggested that Washington is prepared to wait rather than immediately return to large-scale military operations, calculating that mounting economic pressure could eventually force Iran toward a more favorable agreement. "It will work out. It always works out. It's like a chess game," Trump said of the confrontation with Tehran. The remarks indicate that, for now, Washington appears willing to let economic pressure do much of the work while keeping military escalation available as leverage if diplomacy fails. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

51,776 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making it very clear: Washington is willing to use the full force of its financial system to choke Iran economically. That may look like strength, but it also confirms what much of the world already suspects, that access to the dollar system is conditional and can be weaponised at will. Every time the US turns sanctions into a blunt instrument, it reinforces the case for countries to reduce their exposure to American financial dominance. You don’t have to admire BRICS to understand the dynamic. When the world’s reserve currency is used as leverage, other nations start building alternatives. Not out of ideology,out of self-preservation. Economic coercion doesn’t just pressure adversaries. It signals to neutral states that their sovereignty could be one policy shift away from being constrained. That accelerates diversification, parallel payment systems, and long-term de-dollarisation efforts. Washington may believe it’s tightening control. In reality, it may be steadily teaching the world how to operate without it. Power used recklessly has a cost. And over time, the cost compounds......

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making it very clear: Washington is willing to use the full force of its financial system to choke Iran economically. That may look like strength, but it also confirms what much of the world already suspects, that access to the dollar system is conditional and can be weaponised at will. Every time the US turns sanctions into a blunt instrument, it reinforces the case for countries to reduce their exposure to American financial dominance. You don’t have to admire BRICS to understand the dynamic. When the world’s reserve currency is used as leverage, other nations start building alternatives. Not out of ideology,out of self-preservation. Economic coercion doesn’t just pressure adversaries. It signals to neutral states that their sovereignty could be one policy shift away from being constrained. That accelerates diversification, parallel payment systems, and long-term de-dollarisation efforts. Washington may believe it’s tightening control. In reality, it may be steadily teaching the world how to operate without it. Power used recklessly has a cost. And over time, the cost compounds......

Richard

43,036 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's pressure strategy against Iran may be reaching its breaking point, because Tehran's answer to more pressure is more war Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent says Washington is preparing to move from “Epic Fury” to “Economic Fury,” with unprecedented measures designed to isolate Iran and squeeze its economy even harder. There's just one problem. Tehran is signalling that the more Washington turns up the financial pressure, the more Iran is prepared to turn up the military pressure. An adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader has now warned that if Iran's demands aren't met, Tehran could shift from a defensive posture to an offensive one. Meanwhile, CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper is reportedly becoming increasingly pessimistic that renewed fighting can be avoided. So while Washington publicly talks about pressure creating the conditions for diplomacy, the military appears to be preparing for the possibility that it produces exactly the opposite. And events on the ground are already moving in that direction. Two UAE-owned tankers were attacked by drones while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with the UAE blaming Iran. The Houthis are escalating around Yemen and Saudi Arabia. And during our discussion, reports emerged of another attack targeting Saudi Aramco infrastructure. But America may be preparing for another round of fighting without having solved one of the biggest problems exposed by the last one: Weapons production. The U.S is finally fielding its Dark Eagle hypersonic missile, but the production rate is roughly one missile per month, with ambitions to increase that to two. And increasingly, America's adversaries appear to understand that the economics of warfare matter just as much as the weapons themselves. Fire cheaper weapons, force your enemy to burn expensive interceptors, drain their magazines, then use the weapons you've been saving. Trump's strategy rests on the assumption that enough pain eventually forces Tehran back to the negotiating table. Iran is betting on something very different: That enough pain forces America to decide this war simply isn't worth the price. And if neither side backs down, “Economic Fury” may not be the alternative to another war; it may be the trigger for it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's pressure strategy against Iran may be reaching its breaking point, because Tehran's answer to more pressure is more war Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent says Washington is preparing to move from “Epic Fury” to “Economic Fury,” with unprecedented measures designed to isolate Iran and squeeze its economy even harder. There's just one problem. Tehran is signalling that the more Washington turns up the financial pressure, the more Iran is prepared to turn up the military pressure. An adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader has now warned that if Iran's demands aren't met, Tehran could shift from a defensive posture to an offensive one. Meanwhile, CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper is reportedly becoming increasingly pessimistic that renewed fighting can be avoided. So while Washington publicly talks about pressure creating the conditions for diplomacy, the military appears to be preparing for the possibility that it produces exactly the opposite. And events on the ground are already moving in that direction. Two UAE-owned tankers were attacked by drones while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with the UAE blaming Iran. The Houthis are escalating around Yemen and Saudi Arabia. And during our discussion, reports emerged of another attack targeting Saudi Aramco infrastructure. But America may be preparing for another round of fighting without having solved one of the biggest problems exposed by the last one: Weapons production. The U.S is finally fielding its Dark Eagle hypersonic missile, but the production rate is roughly one missile per month, with ambitions to increase that to two. And increasingly, America's adversaries appear to understand that the economics of warfare matter just as much as the weapons themselves. Fire cheaper weapons, force your enemy to burn expensive interceptors, drain their magazines, then use the weapons you've been saving. Trump's strategy rests on the assumption that enough pain eventually forces Tehran back to the negotiating table. Iran is betting on something very different: That enough pain forces America to decide this war simply isn't worth the price. And if neither side backs down, “Economic Fury” may not be the alternative to another war; it may be the trigger for it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

281,298 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 Trump is preparing to tighten the economic noose around an already battered Iran, betting that unprecedented financial pressure can force Tehran into a deal without immediately returning to large-scale military strikes. According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration is preparing “unprecedented economic measures” against Iran, with the goal of forcing Tehran toward an agreement before the November midterm elections. The move suggests that, for now, Trump prefers economic pressure and diplomacy over renewed strikes, despite calls from parts of the U.S. military leadership for a tougher military approach. Washington’s strategy now appears to be straightforward: use Iran’s weakened post-war economy as the battlefield and sanctions as the weapon. Tehran may have survived the military campaign, but if the U.S. can further restrict its oil revenues, financial access and ability to rebuild, Trump could try to achieve through economic strangulation what another costly round of warfare might not guarantee. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 Trump is preparing to tighten the economic noose around an already battered Iran, betting that unprecedented financial pressure can force Tehran into a deal without immediately returning to large-scale military strikes. According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration is preparing “unprecedented economic measures” against Iran, with the goal of forcing Tehran toward an agreement before the November midterm elections. The move suggests that, for now, Trump prefers economic pressure and diplomacy over renewed strikes, despite calls from parts of the U.S. military leadership for a tougher military approach. Washington’s strategy now appears to be straightforward: use Iran’s weakened post-war economy as the battlefield and sanctions as the weapon. Tehran may have survived the military campaign, but if the U.S. can further restrict its oil revenues, financial access and ability to rebuild, Trump could try to achieve through economic strangulation what another costly round of warfare might not guarantee. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

18,048 Aufrufe • vor 6 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's immediate objective is simple: get the U.S. out of the Strait of Hormuz without allowing Iran to dictate who passes through it. The problem is that Tehran now sees Hormuz as its leverage. That may be the central problem with Washington's strategy. Economic warfare can avoid a ground invasion and nuclear escalation. But if Iran believes control of Hormuz is essential to its survival, sanctions may only convince Tehran to hold the strait tighter. The war may have moved from missiles to economics. The underlying confrontation hasn't moved an inch. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's immediate objective is simple: get the U.S. out of the Strait of Hormuz without allowing Iran to dictate who passes through it. The problem is that Tehran now sees Hormuz as its leverage. That may be the central problem with Washington's strategy. Economic warfare can avoid a ground invasion and nuclear escalation. But if Iran believes control of Hormuz is essential to its survival, sanctions may only convince Tehran to hold the strait tighter. The war may have moved from missiles to economics. The underlying confrontation hasn't moved an inch. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

68,357 Aufrufe • vor 23 Stunden

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 China is officially weaponizing its legal system against Washington. For the first time, Beijing has activated "blocking rules" to nullify U.S. sanctions, leaving global banks trapped between two contradictory legal worlds. Jeffrey Currie argues that while financial traders are ignoring the risk, commodity experts see this as the moment China goes on the offensive to protect its "colonies" in Iran and Russia. "This is part of a bigger dedollarization story that hasn't ran its course."

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 China is officially weaponizing its legal system against Washington. For the first time, Beijing has activated "blocking rules" to nullify U.S. sanctions, leaving global banks trapped between two contradictory legal worlds. Jeffrey Currie argues that while financial traders are ignoring the risk, commodity experts see this as the moment China goes on the offensive to protect its "colonies" in Iran and Russia. "This is part of a bigger dedollarization story that hasn't ran its course."

Mario Nawfal

53,718 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

86,521 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 Washington's pressure campaign is moving toward Iran's trade corridors with China and Pakistan. Ports. Railways. Energy routes. The infrastructure tying Iran into the wider Eurasian economy. “The Americans will try to interfere with all that. There’s no question.” If those links become targets, this stops being just a war over Iran. It becomes a fight over whether Washington can sever Iran from the China-led economic system. Pepe Escobar

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 Washington's pressure campaign is moving toward Iran's trade corridors with China and Pakistan. Ports. Railways. Energy routes. The infrastructure tying Iran into the wider Eurasian economy. “The Americans will try to interfere with all that. There’s no question.” If those links become targets, this stops being just a war over Iran. It becomes a fight over whether Washington can sever Iran from the China-led economic system. Pepe Escobar

Mario Nawfal

50,527 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

The West uses its power over the SWIFT system to strangle any country that refuses to align with Western economic and geopolitical interests. It is imperative for global South countries to establish alternative financial institutions.

The West uses its power over the SWIFT system to strangle any country that refuses to align with Western economic and geopolitical interests. It is imperative for global South countries to establish alternative financial institutions.

Jason Hickel

19,569 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Prof. Jeffrey Sachs: "China🇨🇳 was supposed to develop in a way that is subservient to the United States🇺🇸 (they didn't)...now they have to be punished." China is a target for one reason and one reason only: China refused to develop its economy to resemble a colony of Washington. Instead it developed its economy to staggering heights with an alternative economic system, showing the world that American capitalism is not the only model for development left in the world after the collapse of Soviet communism. Additionally, and perhaps most importantly, China refused to bend the knee to Washington’s hegemonic diktats. The US would rather go to war with China rather than allow it to surpass it economically, and any country that doesn’t obey US diktats is viewed as an enemy.

Prof. Jeffrey Sachs: "China🇨🇳 was supposed to develop in a way that is subservient to the United States🇺🇸 (they didn't)...now they have to be punished." China is a target for one reason and one reason only: China refused to develop its economy to resemble a colony of Washington. Instead it developed its economy to staggering heights with an alternative economic system, showing the world that American capitalism is not the only model for development left in the world after the collapse of Soviet communism. Additionally, and perhaps most importantly, China refused to bend the knee to Washington’s hegemonic diktats. The US would rather go to war with China rather than allow it to surpass it economically, and any country that doesn’t obey US diktats is viewed as an enemy.

Afshin Rattansi

380,783 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is demanding reparations from Iran while Tehran is increasingly concluding there is no point negotiating with him at all. And while Washington waits for Tehran to crack, the Middle East is quietly building a security order designed to rely less on America. Trump told Axios that Washington is only "semi-negotiating" with Tehran and is essentially waiting for its economy to implode. Iran's currency has collapsed, inflation is crushing the country, and Trump thinks this pressure will eventually force Tehran to blink. There’s just one problem: Iran appears increasingly willing to wait him out. Tehran has already demonstrated that it can absorb enormous military and economic punishment without collapsing. And if Iranian leaders conclude Trump cannot be trusted to honour an agreement anyway, why make major concessions to an administration that will be gone in a few years? That creates a potentially dangerous stalemate, and Hormuz sits right in the middle. Trump may ultimately be prepared to walk away without meaningful concessions on the nuclear issue if he can just get the Strait properly reopened. Iran, however, is discussing a dramatically different future for Hormuz; one where Tehran decides which vessels can transit, hostile states face restrictions and violations can trigger fees or penalties. In other words: Trump wants the old Strait back, but Iran appears increasingly determined that version of it no longer exists. And despite his insistence that the economic pressure is working, the underlying energy problem hasn't disappeared. America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve is still being drawn down, China is also returning to the oil market after months of reduced buying, and so the clock isn't only ticking on Tehran, it's ticking on Washington too. And underneath all of this, something potentially much bigger is happening. Saudi Arabia, Turkey and nuclear-armed Pakistan are building a new defence partnership. Israel is openly alarmed, while Iran, surprisingly, is welcoming it. Tehran's foreign ministry now describes the pact as evidence that regional countries have realised they can no longer rely on the U.S and other outside powers to guarantee their security. That may ultimately be the biggest story here. America spent decades building a Middle Eastern security system with Washington at its centre. Instead, the region may now be moving in the opposite direction. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is demanding reparations from Iran while Tehran is increasingly concluding there is no point negotiating with him at all. And while Washington waits for Tehran to crack, the Middle East is quietly building a security order designed to rely less on America. Trump told Axios that Washington is only "semi-negotiating" with Tehran and is essentially waiting for its economy to implode. Iran's currency has collapsed, inflation is crushing the country, and Trump thinks this pressure will eventually force Tehran to blink. There’s just one problem: Iran appears increasingly willing to wait him out. Tehran has already demonstrated that it can absorb enormous military and economic punishment without collapsing. And if Iranian leaders conclude Trump cannot be trusted to honour an agreement anyway, why make major concessions to an administration that will be gone in a few years? That creates a potentially dangerous stalemate, and Hormuz sits right in the middle. Trump may ultimately be prepared to walk away without meaningful concessions on the nuclear issue if he can just get the Strait properly reopened. Iran, however, is discussing a dramatically different future for Hormuz; one where Tehran decides which vessels can transit, hostile states face restrictions and violations can trigger fees or penalties. In other words: Trump wants the old Strait back, but Iran appears increasingly determined that version of it no longer exists. And despite his insistence that the economic pressure is working, the underlying energy problem hasn't disappeared. America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve is still being drawn down, China is also returning to the oil market after months of reduced buying, and so the clock isn't only ticking on Tehran, it's ticking on Washington too. And underneath all of this, something potentially much bigger is happening. Saudi Arabia, Turkey and nuclear-armed Pakistan are building a new defence partnership. Israel is openly alarmed, while Iran, surprisingly, is welcoming it. Tehran's foreign ministry now describes the pact as evidence that regional countries have realised they can no longer rely on the U.S and other outside powers to guarantee their security. That may ultimately be the biggest story here. America spent decades building a Middle Eastern security system with Washington at its centre. Instead, the region may now be moving in the opposite direction. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

296,630 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 The Iran conflict may have just accelerated the world Washington feared most. Brandon Weichert argues the war has been a strategic disaster for the U.S., with no clear path to victory and only one possible upside: forcing America to finally leave the Middle East militarily and focus on its own hemisphere. “At every level, this conflict with Iran in the Middle East has been a strategic disaster for the U.S. There is no win here.” He warns the real winner is China, because the crisis is helping birth a post-American, multipolar world where the U.S. remains powerful but no longer sits alone at the top. He frames the future as China-oriented, not necessarily China-run: a global order where countries orbit Beijing’s economic and political gravity without China having to become the world’s policeman. The U.S. burned power trying to manage the Middle East. China may inherit the influence without firing a shot. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 The Iran conflict may have just accelerated the world Washington feared most. Brandon Weichert argues the war has been a strategic disaster for the U.S., with no clear path to victory and only one possible upside: forcing America to finally leave the Middle East militarily and focus on its own hemisphere. “At every level, this conflict with Iran in the Middle East has been a strategic disaster for the U.S. There is no win here.” He warns the real winner is China, because the crisis is helping birth a post-American, multipolar world where the U.S. remains powerful but no longer sits alone at the top. He frames the future as China-oriented, not necessarily China-run: a global order where countries orbit Beijing’s economic and political gravity without China having to become the world’s policeman. The U.S. burned power trying to manage the Middle East. China may inherit the influence without firing a shot. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

73,324 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Very soon, the world may say au revoir to the US dollar as the global currency. China is now reportedly building an alternative to SWIFT — starting in Africa, then potentially going global. Washington would no longer be able to use the financial system as a remote-control weapon. And parts of the world could finally become more independent. Watch FULL here:

Very soon, the world may say au revoir to the US dollar as the global currency. China is now reportedly building an alternative to SWIFT — starting in Africa, then potentially going global. Washington would no longer be able to use the financial system as a remote-control weapon. And parts of the world could finally become more independent. Watch FULL here:

Rick Sanchez

13,884 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Pepe Escobar: Washington is trying to use the Venezuela playbook on Iran, and he thinks it badly misunderstands who it is dealing with. Escobar says the Trump administration recently revived a back channel to the IRGC through Iraqi Kurdistan’s leader Nechirvan Barzani. The channel was originally set up for diplomacy. According to Escobar, it was later used to offer billions of dollars to senior IRGC figures in exchange for helping weaken Iran’s leadership from within. The offer was rejected. Escobar says Ahmad Vahidi passed it up and the information moved up Iran’s chain of command. His point is that Washington was essentially trying to buy a military coup. The problem: senior IRGC figures spent decades fighting the Iran-Iraq War and see themselves as defenders of Iran against foreign intervention. Taking American money to undermine the state would mean treason, not a payday. Escobar sees the same misunderstanding in Washington’s wider strategy. Iran’s message that the U.S. should leave the region and accept a “new regional order” is, in his view, a statement that the old balance of power is changing. Iran sits at the center of a growing network linking Russia, China, Central Asia and Pakistan. The North-South Transport Corridor, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and expanding Iran-China trade routes are creating alternatives to U.S.-controlled trade and finance. That is why Escobar expects the sanctions campaign to hit more than Iran. Secondary sanctions put China, Russia and other countries trading with Tehran in the same fight. China, he argues, has little reason to comply. Its 2021 anti-foreign-sanctions law explicitly targets the extraterritorial use of foreign sanctions. So Escobar’s bigger point is simple: Washington is trying to isolate Iran, but the pressure may be pushing Iran, China, Russia and the wider Global South into closer cooperation. The fight over Iran is increasingly a fight over who gets to shape the system around it. Pepe Escobar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Pepe Escobar: Washington is trying to use the Venezuela playbook on Iran, and he thinks it badly misunderstands who it is dealing with. Escobar says the Trump administration recently revived a back channel to the IRGC through Iraqi Kurdistan’s leader Nechirvan Barzani. The channel was originally set up for diplomacy. According to Escobar, it was later used to offer billions of dollars to senior IRGC figures in exchange for helping weaken Iran’s leadership from within. The offer was rejected. Escobar says Ahmad Vahidi passed it up and the information moved up Iran’s chain of command. His point is that Washington was essentially trying to buy a military coup. The problem: senior IRGC figures spent decades fighting the Iran-Iraq War and see themselves as defenders of Iran against foreign intervention. Taking American money to undermine the state would mean treason, not a payday. Escobar sees the same misunderstanding in Washington’s wider strategy. Iran’s message that the U.S. should leave the region and accept a “new regional order” is, in his view, a statement that the old balance of power is changing. Iran sits at the center of a growing network linking Russia, China, Central Asia and Pakistan. The North-South Transport Corridor, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and expanding Iran-China trade routes are creating alternatives to U.S.-controlled trade and finance. That is why Escobar expects the sanctions campaign to hit more than Iran. Secondary sanctions put China, Russia and other countries trading with Tehran in the same fight. China, he argues, has little reason to comply. Its 2021 anti-foreign-sanctions law explicitly targets the extraterritorial use of foreign sanctions. So Escobar’s bigger point is simple: Washington is trying to isolate Iran, but the pressure may be pushing Iran, China, Russia and the wider Global South into closer cooperation. The fight over Iran is increasingly a fight over who gets to shape the system around it. Pepe Escobar

Mario Nawfal

263,707 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington is trying to treat Beijing like an enforcement arm rather than a global superpower by demanding they push Iran into total submission. Sami Hamdi said that China has absolutely zero interest in playing that game to secure a win for a highly untrustworthy U.S. administration. Sami suggested that with a possible land route for Iran to deliver oil to China, they may have no real incentive to see an end to the war. Sami Hamdi سامي الهاشمي الحامدي

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington is trying to treat Beijing like an enforcement arm rather than a global superpower by demanding they push Iran into total submission. Sami Hamdi said that China has absolutely zero interest in playing that game to secure a win for a highly untrustworthy U.S. administration. Sami suggested that with a possible land route for Iran to deliver oil to China, they may have no real incentive to see an end to the war. Sami Hamdi سامي الهاشمي الحامدي

Mario Nawfal

51,830 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have reached the point where every option makes America's position worse. Middle East expert Joshua Landis says Iran isn't just retaliating to U.S. pressure anymore. It's deliberately expanding the battlefield to convince Washington that escalation carries a higher cost than compromise. Start with the recent strikes. An American response inside Iran is followed by Iranian attacks on U.S. assets in Jordan and on ships in Egypt. If Washington turns to economic warfare or tries to blockade Iran, Tehran will simply drag the conflict back into military escalation. Landis agrees. He argues the White House still believes it can force Iran to back down by gradually degrading its economy, missile capabilities and military infrastructure. But every new round of pressure pushes Iran to widen the conflict instead, creating economic pain for America's regional partners and demonstrating that no country is insulated from the consequences. Egypt is the perfect example. Even if American ships are the intended target, attacks near Egypt threaten tourism, Suez Canal traffic and one of the region's most fragile economies. The point isn't necessarily Egypt itself. It's proving that pressure on Iran can quickly become pressure on everyone else. That brings Landis to the real issue: the Strait of Hormuz. He argues this war is ultimately about who controls one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. For decades, American dominance in the Gulf has underpinned its global influence. But Landis says preserving that dominance through military force is becoming increasingly difficult. His argument is that even if Washington steps back, Iran cannot simply shut off global oil forever. Tehran also depends on exporting its own energy, meaning every Gulf state ultimately has an incentive to reach some form of accommodation. The real question isn't whether oil will keep flowing, but whether the United States remains the power that guarantees it. Landis warns that continuing to escalate may actually accelerate the decline Washington is trying to prevent. Joshua Landis

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have reached the point where every option makes America's position worse. Middle East expert Joshua Landis says Iran isn't just retaliating to U.S. pressure anymore. It's deliberately expanding the battlefield to convince Washington that escalation carries a higher cost than compromise. Start with the recent strikes. An American response inside Iran is followed by Iranian attacks on U.S. assets in Jordan and on ships in Egypt. If Washington turns to economic warfare or tries to blockade Iran, Tehran will simply drag the conflict back into military escalation. Landis agrees. He argues the White House still believes it can force Iran to back down by gradually degrading its economy, missile capabilities and military infrastructure. But every new round of pressure pushes Iran to widen the conflict instead, creating economic pain for America's regional partners and demonstrating that no country is insulated from the consequences. Egypt is the perfect example. Even if American ships are the intended target, attacks near Egypt threaten tourism, Suez Canal traffic and one of the region's most fragile economies. The point isn't necessarily Egypt itself. It's proving that pressure on Iran can quickly become pressure on everyone else. That brings Landis to the real issue: the Strait of Hormuz. He argues this war is ultimately about who controls one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. For decades, American dominance in the Gulf has underpinned its global influence. But Landis says preserving that dominance through military force is becoming increasingly difficult. His argument is that even if Washington steps back, Iran cannot simply shut off global oil forever. Tehran also depends on exporting its own energy, meaning every Gulf state ultimately has an incentive to reach some form of accommodation. The real question isn't whether oil will keep flowing, but whether the United States remains the power that guarantees it. Landis warns that continuing to escalate may actually accelerate the decline Washington is trying to prevent. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

272,598 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen