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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran thinks time is running out and so does America. Tehran is still publicly asking Washington for a deal. Former U.S. diplomat and JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre thinks that’s genuine. Tehran wants sanctions lifted, frozen assets released and a return to something resembling the Islamabad MoU. Trump thinks...

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Mario Nawfal

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225,668 görüntüleme • 2 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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17 Yorum

Geoff B profil fotoğrafı
Geoff B2 gün önce

A deal could be the best kind of economic stimulus, who knew diplomacy could be so productive? It’s always encouraging to see nations eyeing cooperation over…

𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗕𝗕𝗜𝗥 profil fotoğrafı
𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗕𝗕𝗜𝗥2 gün önce

Interesting times ahead. Let’s see how this unfolds.

Ghost of Empire profil fotoğrafı
Ghost of Empire2 gün önce

"Sorry Mario But you are not the One I think The One Is Nima"

psalm_blaq. SALMONCALLS 📈 profil fotoğrafı
psalm_blaq. SALMONCALLS 📈2 gün önce

Hmm so basically this is a slow motion standoff where the clock matters more than the bombs

ChainNova AI profil fotoğrafı
ChainNova AI2 gün önce

Whoever runs out of patience first loses and right now neither side looks ready to fold

Kane profil fotoğrafı
Kane2 gün önce

time's running out for sure, let's see what happens hehe

Pompliano profil fotoğrafı
Pompliano2 gün önce

Iran wants the sanctions off. Trump wants more. Both think the other guy’s clock runs out first. That’s not a plan That’s a staring contest with oil in the middle.

kingnk profil fotoğrafı
kingnk2 gün önce

So the US is protecting tankers it cant protect forever while Iran waits for the bill to get to big to pay? wild strategy tbh

SPINECALL 📈 profil fotoğrafı
SPINECALL 📈2 gün önce

NEITHER SIDE WANTS TO BACK DOWN BUT NEITHER CAN AFFORD TO KEEP THIS UP FOREVER SOMETHING HAS TO GIVE

fragments profil fotoğrafı
fragments2 gün önce

Trump extracting more sounds great until the system cracks under its own weight and everyone scrambles

Sheikh Rabbi Avi Hayawen Ibn Kalb wa Abu Louti. profil fotoğrafı
Sheikh Rabbi Avi Hayawen Ibn Kalb wa Abu Louti.2 gün önce

My God how dumb these pricks are. They clearly dont understand strategy. So so ignorant.

MAGA-MAFIA-MEDIA profil fotoğrafı
MAGA-MAFIA-MEDIA2 gün önce

Again nobody knows wtf they’re talking about….. the Navy can continue this for a very long time…. Iran cannot keep going at this rate…. They’re are totally locked down they can’t move a drop of oil out of the strait, their economy is crashing… their troops aren’t getting paid

Sleepy profil fotoğrafı
Sleepy2 gün önce

Some one make the DAMM deal What happened to the art of the deal DJT

Luthfi S profil fotoğrafı
Luthfi S2 gün önce

Sustainable

Ayomide profil fotoğrafı
Ayomide2 gün önce

Both sides are essentially betting the other blinks first and that is a very dangerous game to play with global oil supply on the line

AssetMarketCap profil fotoğrafı
AssetMarketCap2 gün önce

Perhaps both sides see it’s time for a deal before their calendars become too filled with regrets.

Juanf Gonzalez profil fotoğrafı
Juanf Gonzalez2 gün önce

A democrat, when they're going to help iran🤡🤡😂

Benzer Videolar

🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN’S EXISTENTIAL REBUILD Even though the U.S. has targeted steel and petrochemical plants, JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre warns that Tehran is playing a weak hand very strongly. Alan notes that the regime is single-mindedly focused on surviving the bombardment and finding revenue to rebuild its missile and drone inventory. Eyre observes that while the U.S. focuses on midterms, Iran is focused on an existential battle for long-term deterrence. Alan Eyre
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN’S EXISTENTIAL REBUILD Even though the U.S. has targeted steel and petrochemical plants, JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre warns that Tehran is playing a weak hand very strongly. Alan notes that the regime is single-mindedly focused on surviving the bombardment and finding revenue to rebuild its missile and drone inventory. Eyre observes that while the U.S. focuses on midterms, Iran is focused on an existential battle for long-term deterrence. Alan Eyre

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Squeeze Iran hard enough and it takes Gulf energy down long before its own economy breaks. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre says that's the trap in the pressure campaign, because Tehran has the means to inflict serious pain on the region's infrastructure well before any collapse arrives at home: "America at this point can't even surrender." Washington has lost the initiative in a war it started, and the people running it still talk like the clock belongs to them. Alan Eyre

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions are easy to impose but nearly impossible to unwind. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that Iran is playing the long game to avoid a "win-humiliation" scenario that Trump is still fantasizing about. Alan argued that the Iranian regime is highly skeptical of the prospect of any deal because they expect the threat of U.S. strikes to return the moment they get the upper hand. "The U.S. can lift sanctions on a Monday and reimpose them on a Tuesday." Alan Eyre
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions are easy to impose but nearly impossible to unwind. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that Iran is playing the long game to avoid a "win-humiliation" scenario that Trump is still fantasizing about. Alan argued that the Iranian regime is highly skeptical of the prospect of any deal because they expect the threat of U.S. strikes to return the moment they get the upper hand. "The U.S. can lift sanctions on a Monday and reimpose them on a Tuesday." Alan Eyre

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🇾🇪🇺🇸 THE RED SEA THREAT: SCARING THE MARKETS The threat of closing the Bab el-Mandeb strait is a powerful card that JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre believes Iran is saving for a potential U.S. strike on its infrastructure. Alan argues that a formal military closure isn't even necessary; the regime only needs to scare the insurance markets to halt global maritime traffic. Eyre points out that Trump’s blockade strategy may backfire by irritating key allies like India and China. Alan Eyre
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 For the first time, both sides are actually moving. Trump is reportedly open to sanctions relief and releasing frozen Iranian assets in exchange for concrete nuclear steps. Iran, meanwhile, has softened how its own demands would be implemented, including offering to reopen the Strait of Hormuz before every part of an agreement is completed. It still isn’t convincing that it ends in a deal. But unlike the previous rounds of diplomatic noise, there's a real reason Washington might want one now. Oil is above $108. Diesel is around historic highs. Bond markets are under pressure. And the midterms are approaching. Trump may now need to “freeze the problem” before the economic consequences get worse. Iran has pressure of its own. Its strongest leverage is no longer necessarily the nuclear program, but Hormuz. That creates the first real overlap in months: Iran has something Washington urgently wants reopened. Washington has sanctions and frozen assets Iran wants removed. But what about what happens after the midterms? For once, the two sides aren’t merely talking... they’re beginning to trade. Brandon Weichert
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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis
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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran wants everything up front, because sanctions relief can be reversed the moment the ink dries. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre explains why Tehran refuses to open the strait on promises, since anything Washington grants today it can reimpose tomorrow, and Iran has watched that happen before: "They've got the US and President Trump in a hard place right now, and so they're going to need a lot up front to begin to increase the maritime traffic to the strait." The 130 ships a day that used to move through Hormuz are gone, and nothing on the table right now brings them back. Alan Eyre
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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran wants everything up front, because sanctions relief can be reversed the moment the ink dries. Fmr. U.S. diplomat Alan Eyre explains why Tehran refuses to open the strait on promises, since anything Washington grants today it can reimpose tomorrow, and Iran has watched that happen before: "They've got the US and President Trump in a hard place right now, and so they're going to need a lot up front to begin to increase the maritime traffic to the strait." The 130 ships a day that used to move through Hormuz are gone, and nothing on the table right now brings them back. Alan Eyre

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🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying to use economic pressure to isolate Tehran, while its biggest economic partner is building ways to make that pressure harder to enforce. The irony is brutal: The more aggressively the U.S. weaponizes the financial system, the more incentive its rivals have to build a system that can operate without it. Brandon Weichert
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🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying to use economic pressure to isolate Tehran, while its biggest economic partner is building ways to make that pressure harder to enforce. The irony is brutal: The more aggressively the U.S. weaponizes the financial system, the more incentive its rivals have to build a system that can operate without it. Brandon Weichert

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A massive shift is underway in the Persian Gulf as details emerge regarding the memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. In a notable strategic pivot, Trump has chosen a path of diplomatic ambiguity over immediate military bombardment. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that the current framework represents a clear tactical victory for Iran. He argued Iran is on track to secure an end to the war that involves a firm ceasefire on the Lebanon front while not giving up control over the Strait of Hormuz. Alan Eyre
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A massive shift is underway in the Persian Gulf as details emerge regarding the memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. In a notable strategic pivot, Trump has chosen a path of diplomatic ambiguity over immediate military bombardment. JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre suggested that the current framework represents a clear tactical victory for Iran. He argued Iran is on track to secure an end to the war that involves a firm ceasefire on the Lebanon front while not giving up control over the Strait of Hormuz. Alan Eyre

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‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 BIG | President Donald Trump says the United States is currently "low-keying it" with Iran, signaling that Washington is holding back from another major military escalation while allowing economic pressure on Tehran to build. According to Axios, Trump said the U.S. is maintaining only limited negotiations with Iran while closely watching the country's deteriorating economic situation. "We're only semi-negotiating with them. We're just watching Iran with its huge inflation and the fact that they have no money," Trump said. The president argued that Iran is in "very bad shape" economically and is even struggling to pay its military personnel, while the U.S. naval blockade continues to intensify financial pressure on Tehran. Trump suggested that Washington is prepared to wait rather than immediately return to large-scale military operations, calculating that mounting economic pressure could eventually force Iran toward a more favorable agreement. "It will work out. It always works out. It's like a chess game," Trump said of the confrontation with Tehran. The remarks indicate that, for now, Washington appears willing to let economic pressure do much of the work while keeping military escalation available as leverage if diplomacy fails. See the latest updates with us: Visioner
0:30

‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 BIG | President Donald Trump says the United States is currently "low-keying it" with Iran, signaling that Washington is holding back from another major military escalation while allowing economic pressure on Tehran to build. According to Axios, Trump said the U.S. is maintaining only limited negotiations with Iran while closely watching the country's deteriorating economic situation. "We're only semi-negotiating with them. We're just watching Iran with its huge inflation and the fact that they have no money," Trump said. The president argued that Iran is in "very bad shape" economically and is even struggling to pay its military personnel, while the U.S. naval blockade continues to intensify financial pressure on Tehran. Trump suggested that Washington is prepared to wait rather than immediately return to large-scale military operations, calculating that mounting economic pressure could eventually force Iran toward a more favorable agreement. "It will work out. It always works out. It's like a chess game," Trump said of the confrontation with Tehran. The remarks indicate that, for now, Washington appears willing to let economic pressure do much of the work while keeping military escalation available as leverage if diplomacy fails. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

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51,951 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Prof. Mohammad Marandi: Iran isn’t interested in another deal. It’s waiting for America to honor the last one. Washington appears to be betting that economic pressure will eventually force Iran back to the negotiating table. Prof. Mohammad Marandi thinks that fundamentally misunderstands Tehran’s position. Iran, he says, believes the negotiation is already over. Trump signed an agreement. Tehran now expects Washington to implement it, and until that happens, Marandi says there will be no new negotiations. “We have a deal. You signed that piece of paper. Whenever you implement the deal, then come talking.” That creates a dangerous problem. The U.S. is continuing its economic siege while Iran has explicitly warned that if Washington succeeds in seriously damaging its economy, Tehran will respond militarily. Iran cannot sanction American banks or shut down the U.S. economy, Marandi argues, so its response would be against U.S. economic assets, or assets it considers linked to Washington, across the region. Then America faces pressure to retaliate. And the cycle starts again. Marandi says a larger war in the coming weeks or months is now a serious possibility, whether triggered by Iranian retaliation, a desperate U.S. escalation, or another Israeli attack that pulls Washington back in. The two sides aren't negotiating toward the same finish line anymore. Washington is waiting for Iran to concede. Iran, meanwhile, is waiting for Washington to concede first. Seyed Mohammad Marandi
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Prof. Mohammad Marandi: Iran isn’t interested in another deal. It’s waiting for America to honor the last one. Washington appears to be betting that economic pressure will eventually force Iran back to the negotiating table. Prof. Mohammad Marandi thinks that fundamentally misunderstands Tehran’s position. Iran, he says, believes the negotiation is already over. Trump signed an agreement. Tehran now expects Washington to implement it, and until that happens, Marandi says there will be no new negotiations. “We have a deal. You signed that piece of paper. Whenever you implement the deal, then come talking.” That creates a dangerous problem. The U.S. is continuing its economic siege while Iran has explicitly warned that if Washington succeeds in seriously damaging its economy, Tehran will respond militarily. Iran cannot sanction American banks or shut down the U.S. economy, Marandi argues, so its response would be against U.S. economic assets, or assets it considers linked to Washington, across the region. Then America faces pressure to retaliate. And the cycle starts again. Marandi says a larger war in the coming weeks or months is now a serious possibility, whether triggered by Iranian retaliation, a desperate U.S. escalation, or another Israeli attack that pulls Washington back in. The two sides aren't negotiating toward the same finish line anymore. Washington is waiting for Iran to concede. Iran, meanwhile, is waiting for Washington to concede first. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Mario Nawfal

335,898 görüntüleme • 18 gün önce

⭕️ U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio complained that Iran was spending its resources to bolster allies in the “Axis of Resistance” rather than on the domestic needs of its citizens. Alan Eyre, a former senior U.S. diplomat and the State Department’s first Persian-language spokesperson, pointed to the irony: “…says the country seeking a USD 1.5 trillion dollar ‘war’ budget.” Eyre spent much of his 40-year government career working on Iran and Middle East policy. Rubio also said Sunday that Washington remains open to diplomacy, but that the MOU could not be considered “alive” while Iran was attacking ships and restricting passage through the Strait of Hormuz. He claimed Tehran had sent signals through direct and indirect channels that it wanted to negotiate, but said Washington would continue its military response unless Iran changed course.
2:04

⭕️ U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio complained that Iran was spending its resources to bolster allies in the “Axis of Resistance” rather than on the domestic needs of its citizens. Alan Eyre, a former senior U.S. diplomat and the State Department’s first Persian-language spokesperson, pointed to the irony: “…says the country seeking a USD 1.5 trillion dollar ‘war’ budget.” Eyre spent much of his 40-year government career working on Iran and Middle East policy. Rubio also said Sunday that Washington remains open to diplomacy, but that the MOU could not be considered “alive” while Iran was attacking ships and restricting passage through the Strait of Hormuz. He claimed Tehran had sent signals through direct and indirect channels that it wanted to negotiate, but said Washington would continue its military response unless Iran changed course.

Drop Site

118,697 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ Donald Trump is changing course on Iran, ordering his senior representatives to halt negotiations with Tehran as Washington prepares to replace stop-and-start diplomacy with a longer campaign of sustained economic and military pressure. According to CNN, the administration is simultaneously moving away from the idea of immediately launching another massive wave of strikes. Instead, Trump wants to gradually “strangle” Iran through economic isolation and sustained military pressure, steadily increasing the cost for Tehran while denying it the relief it seeks. The objective is to weaken Iran’s position over time until its leadership becomes more willing to accept Washington’s conditions. CNN had previously reported that the administration was preparing a broader “economic isolation” strategy against Iran. This represents a shift in method rather than a reduction in pressure. Washington appears to be betting that Iran can be forced into concessions without immediately committing the U.S. to another expensive round of large-scale warfare. The strategy gives Trump room to preserve military escalation as a later option while sanctions, the blockade and economic pressure steadily erode Tehran’s ability to sustain the confrontation. The crucial question is whether Iran bends first, or decides that renewed escalation is preferable to being slowly squeezed. See the latest updates with us: Visioner
0:21

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ Donald Trump is changing course on Iran, ordering his senior representatives to halt negotiations with Tehran as Washington prepares to replace stop-and-start diplomacy with a longer campaign of sustained economic and military pressure. According to CNN, the administration is simultaneously moving away from the idea of immediately launching another massive wave of strikes. Instead, Trump wants to gradually “strangle” Iran through economic isolation and sustained military pressure, steadily increasing the cost for Tehran while denying it the relief it seeks. The objective is to weaken Iran’s position over time until its leadership becomes more willing to accept Washington’s conditions. CNN had previously reported that the administration was preparing a broader “economic isolation” strategy against Iran. This represents a shift in method rather than a reduction in pressure. Washington appears to be betting that Iran can be forced into concessions without immediately committing the U.S. to another expensive round of large-scale warfare. The strategy gives Trump room to preserve military escalation as a later option while sanctions, the blockade and economic pressure steadily erode Tehran’s ability to sustain the confrontation. The crucial question is whether Iran bends first, or decides that renewed escalation is preferable to being slowly squeezed. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

13,610 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if economic warfare forces Tehran to give Washington something in the short term, the long-term cost could be a financial system that gives America's rivals even more reason to build alternatives to it. A tactical win in Iran could become a strategic loss for U.S. financial power. Brandon Weichert
4:11

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if economic warfare forces Tehran to give Washington something in the short term, the long-term cost could be a financial system that gives America's rivals even more reason to build alternatives to it. A tactical win in Iran could become a strategic loss for U.S. financial power. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

47,895 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 TRUMP’S WAY OUT? WALK AWAY AND CALL IT A WIN Former senior U.S. diplomat and Iran expert Alan Eyre floats a blunt scenario: Trump exits the war, claims victory, and leaves the Strait of Hormuz effectively under Iran’s control. That would let Iran keep the Strait as a pressure point, or toll booth to recover some of its losses without a formal settlement. His argument is simple: take the political hit now, or risk turning a bad war into a far worse one. Alan Eyre
4:02

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 TRUMP’S WAY OUT? WALK AWAY AND CALL IT A WIN Former senior U.S. diplomat and Iran expert Alan Eyre floats a blunt scenario: Trump exits the war, claims victory, and leaves the Strait of Hormuz effectively under Iran’s control. That would let Iran keep the Strait as a pressure point, or toll booth to recover some of its losses without a formal settlement. His argument is simple: take the political hit now, or risk turning a bad war into a far worse one. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

94,171 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's latest attack struck U.S military facilities in Kuwait and the UAE, but the timing may be more important than the attack itself. The previous U.S-Iran exchange had effectively stopped. Washington decided not to retaliate against Iran's last barrage and reports suggest Trump’s team is actively trying to avoid another major escalation before the midterms. Iran attacked again anyway. And to understand why, look at what Washington is doing behind the scenes. The U.S is intensifying its economic campaign against Tehran, reportedly instructing embassies around the world to pressure governments to cut Iranian trade, with countries, companies and individuals potentially threatened with sanctions or a loss of access to the dollar system. Meanwhile, the UAE has become an important partner in Washington's attempt to keep oil moving through Hormuz and tighten the economic screws on Iran. Then Iran hits U.S-linked military infrastructure in the UAE and Kuwait. That makes these strikes look less like retaliation for something America already did and more like a warning about what comes next: If Washington turns the Gulf into the infrastructure for an economic war against Iran, Tehran may turn that same infrastructure into the battlefield. And that creates a serious problem for Trump's apparent pivot from military war to economic war. Sanctions were supposed to provide a way of squeezing Iran without another major exchange of missiles. Iran may be signalling that it doesn't intend to let America separate the two. Brandon Weichert
1:08:27

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's latest attack struck U.S military facilities in Kuwait and the UAE, but the timing may be more important than the attack itself. The previous U.S-Iran exchange had effectively stopped. Washington decided not to retaliate against Iran's last barrage and reports suggest Trump’s team is actively trying to avoid another major escalation before the midterms. Iran attacked again anyway. And to understand why, look at what Washington is doing behind the scenes. The U.S is intensifying its economic campaign against Tehran, reportedly instructing embassies around the world to pressure governments to cut Iranian trade, with countries, companies and individuals potentially threatened with sanctions or a loss of access to the dollar system. Meanwhile, the UAE has become an important partner in Washington's attempt to keep oil moving through Hormuz and tighten the economic screws on Iran. Then Iran hits U.S-linked military infrastructure in the UAE and Kuwait. That makes these strikes look less like retaliation for something America already did and more like a warning about what comes next: If Washington turns the Gulf into the infrastructure for an economic war against Iran, Tehran may turn that same infrastructure into the battlefield. And that creates a serious problem for Trump's apparent pivot from military war to economic war. Sanctions were supposed to provide a way of squeezing Iran without another major exchange of missiles. Iran may be signalling that it doesn't intend to let America separate the two. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

340,144 görüntüleme • 27 gün önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Something genuinely different is happening between Washington and Tehran. U.S. and Iranian negotiators are discussing a phased agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Washington lifting its economic blockade and potentially releasing frozen Iranian assets. Iran is even reportedly considering setting aside its demand for transit fees through Hormuz while retaining administrative control. After months of escalation, absolutely everybody wants the diplomacy to work. But the contradiction is hard to miss. Iran is still attacking shipping. Tehran is warning that another U.S. attack could expand the war into the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb. And U.S. aerial refueling tankers remain positioned at Al Udeid in Qatar. Then there's also the variable nobody in Washington fully controls: Israel. The two sides suddenly have powerful reasons to stop. They also still have all the machinery required to start again. For the first time in months, diplomacy looks real. And so does the war. Brandon Weichert
51:32

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Something genuinely different is happening between Washington and Tehran. U.S. and Iranian negotiators are discussing a phased agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Washington lifting its economic blockade and potentially releasing frozen Iranian assets. Iran is even reportedly considering setting aside its demand for transit fees through Hormuz while retaining administrative control. After months of escalation, absolutely everybody wants the diplomacy to work. But the contradiction is hard to miss. Iran is still attacking shipping. Tehran is warning that another U.S. attack could expand the war into the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb. And U.S. aerial refueling tankers remain positioned at Al Udeid in Qatar. Then there's also the variable nobody in Washington fully controls: Israel. The two sides suddenly have powerful reasons to stop. They also still have all the machinery required to start again. For the first time in months, diplomacy looks real. And so does the war. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

326,217 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. can level Iranian society and still lose. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre explains why raw firepower has never meant the U.S. will win the war. "This is Tic-Tac-Toe. The U.S. cannot attack Iran enough to cause Iran to capitulate on its red lines. It's not a question of whether the U.S. can collapse Iran into a failed state. If it moves in that direction, the response by Iran is to threaten shipping. All you need is a guy in a fast attack craft, you know, in a handheld rocket launcher, so it's not worth it." A collapsed nation of 95 million people is not a victory. It's a different catastrophe. Alan Eyre
1:36

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. can level Iranian society and still lose. Ex-JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre explains why raw firepower has never meant the U.S. will win the war. "This is Tic-Tac-Toe. The U.S. cannot attack Iran enough to cause Iran to capitulate on its red lines. It's not a question of whether the U.S. can collapse Iran into a failed state. If it moves in that direction, the response by Iran is to threaten shipping. All you need is a guy in a fast attack craft, you know, in a handheld rocket launcher, so it's not worth it." A collapsed nation of 95 million people is not a victory. It's a different catastrophe. Alan Eyre

Mario Nawfal

30,379 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 Trump is preparing to tighten the economic noose around an already battered Iran, betting that unprecedented financial pressure can force Tehran into a deal without immediately returning to large-scale military strikes. According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration is preparing “unprecedented economic measures” against Iran, with the goal of forcing Tehran toward an agreement before the November midterm elections. The move suggests that, for now, Trump prefers economic pressure and diplomacy over renewed strikes, despite calls from parts of the U.S. military leadership for a tougher military approach. Washington’s strategy now appears to be straightforward: use Iran’s weakened post-war economy as the battlefield and sanctions as the weapon. Tehran may have survived the military campaign, but if the U.S. can further restrict its oil revenues, financial access and ability to rebuild, Trump could try to achieve through economic strangulation what another costly round of warfare might not guarantee. See the latest updates with us: Visioner
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 Trump is preparing to tighten the economic noose around an already battered Iran, betting that unprecedented financial pressure can force Tehran into a deal without immediately returning to large-scale military strikes. According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration is preparing “unprecedented economic measures” against Iran, with the goal of forcing Tehran toward an agreement before the November midterm elections. The move suggests that, for now, Trump prefers economic pressure and diplomacy over renewed strikes, despite calls from parts of the U.S. military leadership for a tougher military approach. Washington’s strategy now appears to be straightforward: use Iran’s weakened post-war economy as the battlefield and sanctions as the weapon. Tehran may have survived the military campaign, but if the U.S. can further restrict its oil revenues, financial access and ability to rebuild, Trump could try to achieve through economic strangulation what another costly round of warfare might not guarantee. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

18,048 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has tried military force and economic strangulation against Iran; now Tehran has concluded that pressure simply does not work Iran has taken enormous punishment. Its economy is reeling, inflation is brutal, and its military has absorbed repeated strikes. But six months into the war, the regime is still standing, and crucially, Iran can still disrupt the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East scholar Joshua Landis believes that has fundamentally changed Tehran's calculation. Washington has moved from military force to its new “Economic D-Day,” but the regional cooperation needed to make that strategy truly devastating isn't materialising. Iraq, Turkey, the UAE and Qatar still have powerful incentives to trade with Iran. Oman is negotiating with Tehran. Pakistan and Qatar are talking to the Iranians. These countries don't want another regional war or a permanently closed Persian Gulf, and Iran knows it. Joshua says Tehran increasingly believes America has already played its strongest cards, which makes surrender even less attractive. Iranian leaders now believe that if they cave to Trump's demands, America and Israel will simply return once Iran has recovered and hit it again. In Joshua's words, Iran fears becoming another Gaza, Lebanon or Syria; periodically attacked to keep it permanently weak. So Tehran has reached the opposite conclusion: It has to make resisting Iran more painful than living with it. Tehran may finally have learned the difference between America having the power to hurt it, and having the power to make it surrender. Joshua Landis Brandon Weichert
26:59

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has tried military force and economic strangulation against Iran; now Tehran has concluded that pressure simply does not work Iran has taken enormous punishment. Its economy is reeling, inflation is brutal, and its military has absorbed repeated strikes. But six months into the war, the regime is still standing, and crucially, Iran can still disrupt the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East scholar Joshua Landis believes that has fundamentally changed Tehran's calculation. Washington has moved from military force to its new “Economic D-Day,” but the regional cooperation needed to make that strategy truly devastating isn't materialising. Iraq, Turkey, the UAE and Qatar still have powerful incentives to trade with Iran. Oman is negotiating with Tehran. Pakistan and Qatar are talking to the Iranians. These countries don't want another regional war or a permanently closed Persian Gulf, and Iran knows it. Joshua says Tehran increasingly believes America has already played its strongest cards, which makes surrender even less attractive. Iranian leaders now believe that if they cave to Trump's demands, America and Israel will simply return once Iran has recovered and hit it again. In Joshua's words, Iran fears becoming another Gaza, Lebanon or Syria; periodically attacked to keep it permanently weak. So Tehran has reached the opposite conclusion: It has to make resisting Iran more painful than living with it. Tehran may finally have learned the difference between America having the power to hurt it, and having the power to make it surrender. Joshua Landis Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

215,721 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce