Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Ana Sayfaya Dön

DAVID JENSEN: $270 TRILLION BUBBLE COLLAPSE: IRAN WAR TRIGGERS MASSIVE SHIFT TO REAL ASSETS David Jensen suspects that the war against Iran is no coincidence — it is the exact trigger detonating the unwind of the $270 trillion global credit asset bubble. Decades of cheap credit and suppressed metals...

Mark4XX's profile picture

Mark

38,151 subscribers

39,036 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

Haberler & PolitikaFinans
LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Yorum

Yorum bulunmuyor

Orijinal gönderinin yorumları burada görünecek

Benzer Videolar

EIGHT YEARS SILVER DEFICIT: WHY THIS CORRECTION IS THE LAST CHANCE TO LOAD UP Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger has spent 44 years in finance including 30 years focused on commodities. He watched gold drop 25 percent and silver plunge 45 percent from their peaks yet he refuses to back down. What he reveals about Asia's relentless buying and the structural supply crunch will make you rethink everything you thought you knew about this correction. THE EXPERT STANDS FIRM ➡️ Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger with 44 years of experience will not throw in the towel. ➡️ He calls gold's 25 percent correction understandable after the massive prior advance. ➡️ Silver's 45 percent decline he describes as totally overdone and exaggerated. ➡️ "I would never throw in the towel" Staiger declares without hesitation. THE GOLD TARGETS AHEAD ➡️ Gold is set to recover swiftly and target the 4800 to 5000 range in the near term. ➡️ It will then move toward 5600 as it retests previous highs. ➡️ The ultimate goal stands at 6300 as this decade unfolds. THE SILVER EXPLOSION COMING ➡️ Silver could reach 164 by the end of this year according to his chart. ➡️ The 184 level comes into view by the first half of 2027 at the latest. ➡️ By the end of the decade he sees 236 to 250 with 300 still on the table. THE ASIAN BUYING FRENZY ➡️ A huge shift is moving metal from weak Western hands straight into strong Asian hands. ➡️ China imported 25000 tons of silver in the first four months alone. ➡️ Physical markets are booming in Singapore Hong Kong Shanghai and now Dubai with instant delivery. ➡️ The COMEX paper system is fading as real physical demand takes center stage. THE SILVER SUPPLY CRUNCH ➡️ The market is now in its eighth consecutive year of structural deficits. ➡️ 1.3 billion ounces have already vanished from inventories. ➡️ COMEX holds just 325 million ounces and new supply from mines will not arrive fast enough. ➡️ Demand from solar power electric vehicles and high tech keeps climbing. THE SMART MONEY OPPORTUNITY ➡️ Retail investors still allocate only 2.7 percent to gold well below past cycles. ➡️ Family offices are slowly raising exposure from 2 to just 3 percent. ➡️ This is far from a crowded trade and the dip presents a rare chance to average down. THE BOTTOM LINE Gold and silver suffered a sharp but healthy correction after a powerful advance. The fundamentals remain rock solid with Asia leading demand and supply constraints tightening every quarter. Those who buy this dip with a clear plan will be rewarded handsomely in the years ahead. The correction ends here. The real rally in gold and silver is about to begin. MY TAKE I don’t think the correction is over yet – not just yet. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SilverTo250 #GoldTo6300 #AsiaGoldDemand #BuyTheDip
1:28

EIGHT YEARS SILVER DEFICIT: WHY THIS CORRECTION IS THE LAST CHANCE TO LOAD UP Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger has spent 44 years in finance including 30 years focused on commodities. He watched gold drop 25 percent and silver plunge 45 percent from their peaks yet he refuses to back down. What he reveals about Asia's relentless buying and the structural supply crunch will make you rethink everything you thought you knew about this correction. THE EXPERT STANDS FIRM ➡️ Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger with 44 years of experience will not throw in the towel. ➡️ He calls gold's 25 percent correction understandable after the massive prior advance. ➡️ Silver's 45 percent decline he describes as totally overdone and exaggerated. ➡️ "I would never throw in the towel" Staiger declares without hesitation. THE GOLD TARGETS AHEAD ➡️ Gold is set to recover swiftly and target the 4800 to 5000 range in the near term. ➡️ It will then move toward 5600 as it retests previous highs. ➡️ The ultimate goal stands at 6300 as this decade unfolds. THE SILVER EXPLOSION COMING ➡️ Silver could reach 164 by the end of this year according to his chart. ➡️ The 184 level comes into view by the first half of 2027 at the latest. ➡️ By the end of the decade he sees 236 to 250 with 300 still on the table. THE ASIAN BUYING FRENZY ➡️ A huge shift is moving metal from weak Western hands straight into strong Asian hands. ➡️ China imported 25000 tons of silver in the first four months alone. ➡️ Physical markets are booming in Singapore Hong Kong Shanghai and now Dubai with instant delivery. ➡️ The COMEX paper system is fading as real physical demand takes center stage. THE SILVER SUPPLY CRUNCH ➡️ The market is now in its eighth consecutive year of structural deficits. ➡️ 1.3 billion ounces have already vanished from inventories. ➡️ COMEX holds just 325 million ounces and new supply from mines will not arrive fast enough. ➡️ Demand from solar power electric vehicles and high tech keeps climbing. THE SMART MONEY OPPORTUNITY ➡️ Retail investors still allocate only 2.7 percent to gold well below past cycles. ➡️ Family offices are slowly raising exposure from 2 to just 3 percent. ➡️ This is far from a crowded trade and the dip presents a rare chance to average down. THE BOTTOM LINE Gold and silver suffered a sharp but healthy correction after a powerful advance. The fundamentals remain rock solid with Asia leading demand and supply constraints tightening every quarter. Those who buy this dip with a clear plan will be rewarded handsomely in the years ahead. The correction ends here. The real rally in gold and silver is about to begin. MY TAKE I don’t think the correction is over yet – not just yet. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SilverTo250 #GoldTo6300 #AsiaGoldDemand #BuyTheDip

Mark

77,301 görüntüleme • 17 gün önce

90 PERCENT PAPER GOLD: INSIDER FROM GOLDMAN AND JP MORGAN REVEALS THE REAL BACKING The Swiss Tonia Zimmermann from S spent decades structuring derivatives at Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Credit Suisse before co-founding her financial platform. She just laid out exactly what paper gold really is and why the gap between paper promises and physical metal matters more than most investors realize. The numbers she shared turn conventional gold ownership on its head. What happens when everyone finally demands the real thing at once? THE PAPER GOLD EXPLAINED ➡️ Paper gold and paper silver are derivatives, mainly futures contracts that let traders buy or sell metal at a set future price without ever moving physical bars today. ➡️ These paper instruments generate daily trading volumes many times larger than the entire annual global mine production of gold or silver. ➡️ Because the paper market is so enormous, it alone drives price discovery for actual physical metal across the world. THE FRACTIONAL BACKING SHOCK ➡️ Gold accounts at banks function exactly like cash accounts and are not 100 percent backed by real metal in the vault. ➡️ Typical reserves sit between 10 and 20 percent, so for every seven ounces an investor believes they own, only about one ounce may actually exist in physical form. ➡️ Futures contracts work the same way: only a small margin is required, not the full value of the gold. THE PHYSICAL DELIVERY CRISIS ➡️ The entire system runs without issue as long as clients never actually demand physical delivery from their gold accounts or futures positions. ➡️ The moment broad physical demand hits, whether through bank accounts or major exchanges, only around 10 percent of the claimed gold is truly available in metal. ➡️ "The faster one wins," she noted, describing exactly who gets the real gold when a rush begins. THE CREDIT FOUNDATION OF EVERYTHING ➡️ Our whole economy creates assets and money through credit, meaning every piece of wealth has a matching debt created somewhere else in the system. ➡️ If debts across the board must be reset or wiped, the corresponding wealth on the other side disappears at the same moment. ➡️ This credit mechanism is why paper gold can trade at such extreme multiples of real physical supply without immediate problems. THE BOTTOM LINE Paper gold creates the comfortable feeling of ownership while resting on a thin slice of actual metal and endless credit creation. The day physical demand tests the structure, the gap between promises and reality becomes impossible to ignore. Insiders have always known the difference. The rest of the market is about to find out. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #PaperGold #PhysicalGold #FractionalReserves #GoldAccounts #FuturesReality #DeliveryRisk #CreditSystem
1:08

90 PERCENT PAPER GOLD: INSIDER FROM GOLDMAN AND JP MORGAN REVEALS THE REAL BACKING The Swiss Tonia Zimmermann from S spent decades structuring derivatives at Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Credit Suisse before co-founding her financial platform. She just laid out exactly what paper gold really is and why the gap between paper promises and physical metal matters more than most investors realize. The numbers she shared turn conventional gold ownership on its head. What happens when everyone finally demands the real thing at once? THE PAPER GOLD EXPLAINED ➡️ Paper gold and paper silver are derivatives, mainly futures contracts that let traders buy or sell metal at a set future price without ever moving physical bars today. ➡️ These paper instruments generate daily trading volumes many times larger than the entire annual global mine production of gold or silver. ➡️ Because the paper market is so enormous, it alone drives price discovery for actual physical metal across the world. THE FRACTIONAL BACKING SHOCK ➡️ Gold accounts at banks function exactly like cash accounts and are not 100 percent backed by real metal in the vault. ➡️ Typical reserves sit between 10 and 20 percent, so for every seven ounces an investor believes they own, only about one ounce may actually exist in physical form. ➡️ Futures contracts work the same way: only a small margin is required, not the full value of the gold. THE PHYSICAL DELIVERY CRISIS ➡️ The entire system runs without issue as long as clients never actually demand physical delivery from their gold accounts or futures positions. ➡️ The moment broad physical demand hits, whether through bank accounts or major exchanges, only around 10 percent of the claimed gold is truly available in metal. ➡️ "The faster one wins," she noted, describing exactly who gets the real gold when a rush begins. THE CREDIT FOUNDATION OF EVERYTHING ➡️ Our whole economy creates assets and money through credit, meaning every piece of wealth has a matching debt created somewhere else in the system. ➡️ If debts across the board must be reset or wiped, the corresponding wealth on the other side disappears at the same moment. ➡️ This credit mechanism is why paper gold can trade at such extreme multiples of real physical supply without immediate problems. THE BOTTOM LINE Paper gold creates the comfortable feeling of ownership while resting on a thin slice of actual metal and endless credit creation. The day physical demand tests the structure, the gap between promises and reality becomes impossible to ignore. Insiders have always known the difference. The rest of the market is about to find out. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #PaperGold #PhysicalGold #FractionalReserves #GoldAccounts #FuturesReality #DeliveryRisk #CreditSystem

Mark

70,356 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

INSTITUTIONS SHORTING TO DEATH: TOP EXPERT REVEALS THE HIDDEN COMEX DESPERATION German-Swiss silver expert Jochen Staiger just laid bare the true cause of silver's savage collapse. The metal fell from a January peak of $115 an ounce all the way to $57 today. That is a brutal 50 percent loss in a matter of months. Yet Staiger insists the fundamentals have never looked stronger and the real story lies in desperate futures market games. THE MANIPULATION MECHANISM ➡️ Huge institutions have piled into massive short positions on the COMEX silver futures market. ➡️ Open interest now sits above 104,000 contracts which equals more than 500 million ounces on paper. ➡️ The whole COMEX only holds around 326 million ounces with roughly 86 million available for actual trading. ➡️ These players are shorting themselves deeper into trouble just to stay afloat for a little longer. THE PHYSICAL MARKET THEY CANNOT CONTROL ➡️ The world has suffered through eight straight years of silver deficit that removed 1.3 billion ounces from available stocks. ➡️ Industrial demand continues to surge for solar power, electronics, defense and more. ➡️ New mine supply cannot possibly close the gap fast enough even if everything goes perfectly. ➡️ China has turned into an unstoppable buyer while controlling 70 percent of the world's silver refining capacity. THE DESPERATE BANK PLAY ➡️ American banks have already racked up 316 billion dollars in unrealized losses this quarter. ➡️ They are using the futures market to manage positions and avoid even bigger disasters. ➡️ Staiger warns this approach is like trying to put out a fire with gasoline and sets the stage for explosive moves. THE CORRECT RESPONSE RIGHT NOW ➡️ Most retail investors buy at the top in excitement and sell at the bottom in fear. ➡️ The winning move is to buy every dip in smaller tranches and hold physical metal tight. ➡️ Staiger himself keeps adding to his silver stack daily because he sees this drop as a gift. THE BOTTOM LINE Silver's plunge is nothing more than a paper market illusion created by institutions fighting for survival while the physical world tightens under relentless demand and Chinese accumulation. The fundamentals scream for much higher prices and the window to buy is wide open. This is the sound of a manipulated market beginning to crack under its own weight. #SilverCrash #COMEXManipulation #PaperVsPhysical #SilverDeficit #BuyTheDip #PhysicalSilver #JochenStaiger
1:02

INSTITUTIONS SHORTING TO DEATH: TOP EXPERT REVEALS THE HIDDEN COMEX DESPERATION German-Swiss silver expert Jochen Staiger just laid bare the true cause of silver's savage collapse. The metal fell from a January peak of $115 an ounce all the way to $57 today. That is a brutal 50 percent loss in a matter of months. Yet Staiger insists the fundamentals have never looked stronger and the real story lies in desperate futures market games. THE MANIPULATION MECHANISM ➡️ Huge institutions have piled into massive short positions on the COMEX silver futures market. ➡️ Open interest now sits above 104,000 contracts which equals more than 500 million ounces on paper. ➡️ The whole COMEX only holds around 326 million ounces with roughly 86 million available for actual trading. ➡️ These players are shorting themselves deeper into trouble just to stay afloat for a little longer. THE PHYSICAL MARKET THEY CANNOT CONTROL ➡️ The world has suffered through eight straight years of silver deficit that removed 1.3 billion ounces from available stocks. ➡️ Industrial demand continues to surge for solar power, electronics, defense and more. ➡️ New mine supply cannot possibly close the gap fast enough even if everything goes perfectly. ➡️ China has turned into an unstoppable buyer while controlling 70 percent of the world's silver refining capacity. THE DESPERATE BANK PLAY ➡️ American banks have already racked up 316 billion dollars in unrealized losses this quarter. ➡️ They are using the futures market to manage positions and avoid even bigger disasters. ➡️ Staiger warns this approach is like trying to put out a fire with gasoline and sets the stage for explosive moves. THE CORRECT RESPONSE RIGHT NOW ➡️ Most retail investors buy at the top in excitement and sell at the bottom in fear. ➡️ The winning move is to buy every dip in smaller tranches and hold physical metal tight. ➡️ Staiger himself keeps adding to his silver stack daily because he sees this drop as a gift. THE BOTTOM LINE Silver's plunge is nothing more than a paper market illusion created by institutions fighting for survival while the physical world tightens under relentless demand and Chinese accumulation. The fundamentals scream for much higher prices and the window to buy is wide open. This is the sound of a manipulated market beginning to crack under its own weight. #SilverCrash #COMEXManipulation #PaperVsPhysical #SilverDeficit #BuyTheDip #PhysicalSilver #JochenStaiger

Mark

108,840 görüntüleme • 11 gün önce

IRAN WAR FORCES RECESSION: WHY LAYOFFS AND MARGIN COLLAPSE ARE NOW INEVITABLE Ed Dow, Ex- Blackrock and veteran market analyst, joined Capital Cosmos to deliver a sobering warning. The Iran war has unleashed an oil price shock that is now making a U.S. recession inevitable. While markets chase AI highs, the real economy faces cost-push inflation that companies simply cannot pass on. Demand destruction is coming fast. THE CORE PROBLEM: OIL SHOCK MEETS WEAK ECONOMY ➡️ Producer prices have surged far beyond headline CPI because of the Iran conflict. ➡️ Companies cannot pass these higher costs to consumers. ➡️ Revenues stall while margins get crushed. THE LAYOFF WAVE BUILDING ➡️ Massive layoffs are now inevitable from this oil price shock. ➡️ Tech layoffs are already accelerating on top of it. ➡️ Demand destruction will hit hard in the second half of 2026. THE SEMICONDUCTOR VULNERABILITY ➡️ Helium shortages tied directly to the Iran war triggered forward ordering and double ordering. ➡️ Power constraints and potential capex pause will expose excess inventory. ➡️ Semiconductors, 18% of the S&P, are heading for a reckoning after their blowoff top. THE BROADER MACRO COLLAPSE ➡️ Headline inflation accelerates from the war while core inflation falls with weakening demand. ➡️ This classic cost-push spiral ends in squeezed corporate profits and a slowing global economy. ➡️ China’s crisis plus the war shock creates the perfect setup for the downturn. THE BOTTOM LINE The Iran war didn’t just spike oil — it delivered the final blow to an already fragile economy that can no longer absorb these costs. Recession is now inevitable. HT: YouTube CapitalCosm #IranWarRecession #OilShock #DemandDestruction #MarginSqueeze #TechLayoffs #MarketReckoning #EconomicCrisis
0:21

IRAN WAR FORCES RECESSION: WHY LAYOFFS AND MARGIN COLLAPSE ARE NOW INEVITABLE Ed Dow, Ex- Blackrock and veteran market analyst, joined Capital Cosmos to deliver a sobering warning. The Iran war has unleashed an oil price shock that is now making a U.S. recession inevitable. While markets chase AI highs, the real economy faces cost-push inflation that companies simply cannot pass on. Demand destruction is coming fast. THE CORE PROBLEM: OIL SHOCK MEETS WEAK ECONOMY ➡️ Producer prices have surged far beyond headline CPI because of the Iran conflict. ➡️ Companies cannot pass these higher costs to consumers. ➡️ Revenues stall while margins get crushed. THE LAYOFF WAVE BUILDING ➡️ Massive layoffs are now inevitable from this oil price shock. ➡️ Tech layoffs are already accelerating on top of it. ➡️ Demand destruction will hit hard in the second half of 2026. THE SEMICONDUCTOR VULNERABILITY ➡️ Helium shortages tied directly to the Iran war triggered forward ordering and double ordering. ➡️ Power constraints and potential capex pause will expose excess inventory. ➡️ Semiconductors, 18% of the S&P, are heading for a reckoning after their blowoff top. THE BROADER MACRO COLLAPSE ➡️ Headline inflation accelerates from the war while core inflation falls with weakening demand. ➡️ This classic cost-push spiral ends in squeezed corporate profits and a slowing global economy. ➡️ China’s crisis plus the war shock creates the perfect setup for the downturn. THE BOTTOM LINE The Iran war didn’t just spike oil — it delivered the final blow to an already fragile economy that can no longer absorb these costs. Recession is now inevitable. HT: YouTube CapitalCosm #IranWarRecession #OilShock #DemandDestruction #MarginSqueeze #TechLayoffs #MarketReckoning #EconomicCrisis

Mark

31,805 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain
0:49

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain

Mark

104,322 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver
0:55

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver

Mark

24,678 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance
1:18

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance

Mark

148,732 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

D. JENSEN: SILVER – THE AVALANCHE HAS BEEN TRIGGERED AND CAN NO LONGER BE STOPPED This is the core of the coming crisis. The numbers are so extreme they defy any orderly solution. THE IMBALANCE IN ONE STAT: ➡️Global Bond & Equity Markets: ~$270 TRILLION ➡️Annual New Debt Issuance: ~$27.5 TRILLION ➡️Annual Total Silver Supply (Value): ~$80 BILLION The potential demand from a fractional reallocation of paper wealth into physical silver is over 300 times larger than the entire annual market. THE CONSEQUENCE: EXPONENTIAL DEMAND vs. LINEAR SUPPLY We face a compounding problem - when investment demand comes on top of industrial demand: ✅ Demand is exponential: Driven by monetary fear, de-dollarization, and the failure of paper promises. ✅ Supply is linear: Mining output increases only marginally each year. The two curves do not meet. The system cannot clear. THE AVALANCHE THEORY: "STABLE UNTIL IT ISN'T" David Jensen applies criticality theory: The LBMA's paper market is a metastable system, like a snowfield on a steep mountain. ➡️It can appear calm for decades. ➡️A single trigger (e.g., a delivery failure, a major buyer demanding physical) can initiate a catastrophic failure. Once movement starts, the entire structure collapses non-linearly and uncontrollably. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR PRICE FORECASTS ❌Traditional analysis is useless. You cannot apply gradual, linear price targets to a system experiencing binary, catastrophic failure. ❌Bullion bank forecasts of $40-50/oz are not just wrong—they are irrelevant. They model a functioning paper market, not its collapse. ✅The true price discovery will happen when the paper claim system shatters and the global bid for any available physical metal meets minuscule supply. THE ONLY PRICE CONCLUSION: The price will move to whatever level is required to destroy excess paper demand and allocate the scarce physical metal to the highest bidder. In a world of $270 trillion in financial assets, that level is orders of magnitude higher than today. HT: maneco64 I recommend watching the entire fascinating conversation between Mario Inneco and David Jenssen. YouTube video link in the comment. #Silver #LBMA #FinancialMath #PreciousMetals #AvalancheTheory #Investing #Finance $SLV
1:28

D. JENSEN: SILVER – THE AVALANCHE HAS BEEN TRIGGERED AND CAN NO LONGER BE STOPPED This is the core of the coming crisis. The numbers are so extreme they defy any orderly solution. THE IMBALANCE IN ONE STAT: ➡️Global Bond & Equity Markets: ~$270 TRILLION ➡️Annual New Debt Issuance: ~$27.5 TRILLION ➡️Annual Total Silver Supply (Value): ~$80 BILLION The potential demand from a fractional reallocation of paper wealth into physical silver is over 300 times larger than the entire annual market. THE CONSEQUENCE: EXPONENTIAL DEMAND vs. LINEAR SUPPLY We face a compounding problem - when investment demand comes on top of industrial demand: ✅ Demand is exponential: Driven by monetary fear, de-dollarization, and the failure of paper promises. ✅ Supply is linear: Mining output increases only marginally each year. The two curves do not meet. The system cannot clear. THE AVALANCHE THEORY: "STABLE UNTIL IT ISN'T" David Jensen applies criticality theory: The LBMA's paper market is a metastable system, like a snowfield on a steep mountain. ➡️It can appear calm for decades. ➡️A single trigger (e.g., a delivery failure, a major buyer demanding physical) can initiate a catastrophic failure. Once movement starts, the entire structure collapses non-linearly and uncontrollably. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR PRICE FORECASTS ❌Traditional analysis is useless. You cannot apply gradual, linear price targets to a system experiencing binary, catastrophic failure. ❌Bullion bank forecasts of $40-50/oz are not just wrong—they are irrelevant. They model a functioning paper market, not its collapse. ✅The true price discovery will happen when the paper claim system shatters and the global bid for any available physical metal meets minuscule supply. THE ONLY PRICE CONCLUSION: The price will move to whatever level is required to destroy excess paper demand and allocate the scarce physical metal to the highest bidder. In a world of $270 trillion in financial assets, that level is orders of magnitude higher than today. HT: maneco64 I recommend watching the entire fascinating conversation between Mario Inneco and David Jenssen. YouTube video link in the comment. #Silver #LBMA #FinancialMath #PreciousMetals #AvalancheTheory #Investing #Finance $SLV

Mark

138,282 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

GOLD AND SILVER FACE SHORT-TERM PRESSURE BEFORE MASSIVE UPSIDE Veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie and Dario, host of the JustDario Cigar podcast,have both mapped out the same clear divergence. Short-term weakness in gold and silver looks likely even if peace talks advance, driven by specific selling flows and the oil situation. Yet the medium- and long-term forces are aligning for immense upside through tighter physical supply and monetary expansion. THE SHORT-TERM WEAKNESS FACTORS ➡️ Turkey’s central bank is selling gold reserves to defend the lira amid a deepening monetary crisis. ➡️ India is offloading gold to secure dollars for oil imports while the rupee weakens under high energy costs. ➡️ Retail investors in Japan and Korea are rotating out of precious metals into stocks showing stronger recent performance. ➡️ Relief rallies remain largely speculative bets on a fast resolution to the oil crisis rather than broad fundamental demand. THE MEDIUM-TERM PHYSICAL SUPPLY TIGHTENING ➡️ Higher energy prices will sharply raise mining and refining costs for both gold and silver. ➡️ Silver production, mostly a byproduct of other metals, will face reduced output as energy-intensive operations squeeze margins. ➡️ Miners will need materially higher prices simply to cover elevated costs and keep supply flowing. ➡️ This setup repeats the pattern seen after the 1970s oil crisis, when precious metals prices surged once supply constraints fully emerged. THE LONG-TERM MONETARY AND DEMAND DRIVERS ➡️ Producer price inflation above 6 percent will eventually pass through to consumers as companies protect their margins. ➡️ Central banks will continue providing ample liquidity to support massive global debt loads and avoid systemic stress. ➡️ Chronic silver deficits near 150 million ounces per year collide with rising industrial demand from EVs, solar, and electronics that cannot be recycled economically at current prices. ➡️ As Jeff Currie highlights, the dedollarization story is still early, with massive upside for gold once monetary conditions turn supportive. THE BOTTOM LINE Peace deal or not, short-term downside pressure on gold and silver is probable until the oil crisis stabilizes and immediate selling pressures ease. The combination of physical supply constraints, persistent inflation, and structural monetary growth creates one of the strongest long-term setups in decades. The same forces that propelled precious metals higher after the 1970s oil shocks are aligning again today from an even stronger base. HT: Jeffrey Currie 🆔++ JustDario #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SupplyCrunch #InflationHedge #Dedollarization #OilCrisis
1:09

GOLD AND SILVER FACE SHORT-TERM PRESSURE BEFORE MASSIVE UPSIDE Veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie and Dario, host of the JustDario Cigar podcast,have both mapped out the same clear divergence. Short-term weakness in gold and silver looks likely even if peace talks advance, driven by specific selling flows and the oil situation. Yet the medium- and long-term forces are aligning for immense upside through tighter physical supply and monetary expansion. THE SHORT-TERM WEAKNESS FACTORS ➡️ Turkey’s central bank is selling gold reserves to defend the lira amid a deepening monetary crisis. ➡️ India is offloading gold to secure dollars for oil imports while the rupee weakens under high energy costs. ➡️ Retail investors in Japan and Korea are rotating out of precious metals into stocks showing stronger recent performance. ➡️ Relief rallies remain largely speculative bets on a fast resolution to the oil crisis rather than broad fundamental demand. THE MEDIUM-TERM PHYSICAL SUPPLY TIGHTENING ➡️ Higher energy prices will sharply raise mining and refining costs for both gold and silver. ➡️ Silver production, mostly a byproduct of other metals, will face reduced output as energy-intensive operations squeeze margins. ➡️ Miners will need materially higher prices simply to cover elevated costs and keep supply flowing. ➡️ This setup repeats the pattern seen after the 1970s oil crisis, when precious metals prices surged once supply constraints fully emerged. THE LONG-TERM MONETARY AND DEMAND DRIVERS ➡️ Producer price inflation above 6 percent will eventually pass through to consumers as companies protect their margins. ➡️ Central banks will continue providing ample liquidity to support massive global debt loads and avoid systemic stress. ➡️ Chronic silver deficits near 150 million ounces per year collide with rising industrial demand from EVs, solar, and electronics that cannot be recycled economically at current prices. ➡️ As Jeff Currie highlights, the dedollarization story is still early, with massive upside for gold once monetary conditions turn supportive. THE BOTTOM LINE Peace deal or not, short-term downside pressure on gold and silver is probable until the oil crisis stabilizes and immediate selling pressures ease. The combination of physical supply constraints, persistent inflation, and structural monetary growth creates one of the strongest long-term setups in decades. The same forces that propelled precious metals higher after the 1970s oil shocks are aligning again today from an even stronger base. HT: Jeffrey Currie 🆔++ JustDario #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SupplyCrunch #InflationHedge #Dedollarization #OilCrisis

Mark

53,783 görüntüleme • 27 gün önce

GOLD & SILVER CRASHING NOW: SWISS TOP MANAGER REVEALS THE FINAL MANIPULATION BEFORE THE EXPLOSION Dieter Lüscher from Premium Strategy Partners AG is one of Switzerland’s most decorated wealth managers. Multiple times named best in the conservative risk class after managing ultra-high-net-worth clients at a major Swiss bank. In his latest interview he cuts through the noise and delivers a crystal-clear warning on gold and silver right now. What he says will stop you mid-scroll. THE QUARTER-END TRAP EXPOSED ➡️ Commercial banks and shorts still hold massive positions and options expiring in just nine days. ➡️ Their only goal is to push gold and silver as low as possible so those options expire worthless and they pocket maximum profit. ➡️ This exact game has run for fifteen years but Dieter says we are now in the endgame. THE LOW IS COMING FAST ➡️ The bottom in precious metals arrives in the next few days, maybe already today. ➡️ Even with war escalating daily the price action is purely technical, driven by futures and option expiry. ➡️ Once that window closes the structural bid returns with force. THE ASIA POWER SHIFT ACCELERATES ➡️ India just announced that from April 1 gold and silver ETFs will price at the local Indian spot, not LBMA. ➡️ China is openly pushing yuan-denominated gold pricing and demanding it gains importance. ➡️ COMEX inventories are plunging while Shanghai Gold Exchange official stocks sit at just 600 tonnes. THE PHYSICAL DEMAND REALITY ➡️ Silver supply is turning chaotic with mines shipping directly to producers, bypassing exchanges entirely. ➡️ Physical metal carries zero counterparty risk, exactly what investors and nations now demand. ➡️ Wars and exploding debt force massive new money printing that only gold and silver can truly absorb. THE BOTTOM LINE Dieter’s message is simple and urgent: this engineered dip is the final gift before the real bull market resumes and pricing power permanently shifts east. Buy the physical metal now while the manipulators still control the paper price. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #GoldSilver #GoldLow #SilverShortage #COMEXDrain #IndiaGold #YuanPricing #PreciousMetalsBull
1:33

GOLD & SILVER CRASHING NOW: SWISS TOP MANAGER REVEALS THE FINAL MANIPULATION BEFORE THE EXPLOSION Dieter Lüscher from Premium Strategy Partners AG is one of Switzerland’s most decorated wealth managers. Multiple times named best in the conservative risk class after managing ultra-high-net-worth clients at a major Swiss bank. In his latest interview he cuts through the noise and delivers a crystal-clear warning on gold and silver right now. What he says will stop you mid-scroll. THE QUARTER-END TRAP EXPOSED ➡️ Commercial banks and shorts still hold massive positions and options expiring in just nine days. ➡️ Their only goal is to push gold and silver as low as possible so those options expire worthless and they pocket maximum profit. ➡️ This exact game has run for fifteen years but Dieter says we are now in the endgame. THE LOW IS COMING FAST ➡️ The bottom in precious metals arrives in the next few days, maybe already today. ➡️ Even with war escalating daily the price action is purely technical, driven by futures and option expiry. ➡️ Once that window closes the structural bid returns with force. THE ASIA POWER SHIFT ACCELERATES ➡️ India just announced that from April 1 gold and silver ETFs will price at the local Indian spot, not LBMA. ➡️ China is openly pushing yuan-denominated gold pricing and demanding it gains importance. ➡️ COMEX inventories are plunging while Shanghai Gold Exchange official stocks sit at just 600 tonnes. THE PHYSICAL DEMAND REALITY ➡️ Silver supply is turning chaotic with mines shipping directly to producers, bypassing exchanges entirely. ➡️ Physical metal carries zero counterparty risk, exactly what investors and nations now demand. ➡️ Wars and exploding debt force massive new money printing that only gold and silver can truly absorb. THE BOTTOM LINE Dieter’s message is simple and urgent: this engineered dip is the final gift before the real bull market resumes and pricing power permanently shifts east. Buy the physical metal now while the manipulators still control the paper price. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #GoldSilver #GoldLow #SilverShortage #COMEXDrain #IndiaGold #YuanPricing #PreciousMetalsBull

Mark

376,682 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

ED STEER: "Throw Technical Analysis Out the Window" - Why This Silver Rally is Different. 📈 Silver's price acceleration is entering parabolic territory. Here’s how fast each $10 move has happened: ➡️ $20 to $30: 145 days ➡️ $30 to $40: 145 days ➡️ $40 to $50: 39 days ➡️ $50 to $60: 12 days The intervals are collapsing. This is a classic signature of a parabolic rise. 🛑 Why technical analysis doesn’t matter right now. As Ed Steer states: “We've been in a managed market for 50 years... you can throw that stuff all out the window.” This isn’t a normal market. It’s the end of a multi-decade price management scheme. Forget moving averages. Watch physical supply, COMEX movements, and what the big traders are doing. The smoking gun: U.S. bullion banks are out. ➡️The latest Bank Participation Report shows the 5 U.S. bullion banks hold their lowest short position in history in silver. ➡️They’ve been covering for months. They no longer have an incentive to cap the price. What this means: ➡️The "cracks in the wall" are now full breaches. The physical shortage (92 million oz left COMEX since Oct 1) is meeting a paper short cover. ➡️This could be the "silver equivalent of the failure of the London Gold Pool" in the 1960s. The investment takeaway (from a 25-year veteran): ➡️Physical first. Before any stock, own the metal. It may become "unobtainium." ➡️Then, consider broad equity exposure in miners The lagging silver miners (up 146% vs. silver's 109% YTD) have massive catch-up potential. The Bottom Line: The mechanisms that suppressed silver for 50+ years are breaking down in real-time. When managed markets fail, prices don't rise—they explode. Watch the physical flows, not the charts. HT: CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Markets #COMEX #Parabolic #Bullion #ShortSqueeze #Miners $SILJ
1:02

ED STEER: "Throw Technical Analysis Out the Window" - Why This Silver Rally is Different. 📈 Silver's price acceleration is entering parabolic territory. Here’s how fast each $10 move has happened: ➡️ $20 to $30: 145 days ➡️ $30 to $40: 145 days ➡️ $40 to $50: 39 days ➡️ $50 to $60: 12 days The intervals are collapsing. This is a classic signature of a parabolic rise. 🛑 Why technical analysis doesn’t matter right now. As Ed Steer states: “We've been in a managed market for 50 years... you can throw that stuff all out the window.” This isn’t a normal market. It’s the end of a multi-decade price management scheme. Forget moving averages. Watch physical supply, COMEX movements, and what the big traders are doing. The smoking gun: U.S. bullion banks are out. ➡️The latest Bank Participation Report shows the 5 U.S. bullion banks hold their lowest short position in history in silver. ➡️They’ve been covering for months. They no longer have an incentive to cap the price. What this means: ➡️The "cracks in the wall" are now full breaches. The physical shortage (92 million oz left COMEX since Oct 1) is meeting a paper short cover. ➡️This could be the "silver equivalent of the failure of the London Gold Pool" in the 1960s. The investment takeaway (from a 25-year veteran): ➡️Physical first. Before any stock, own the metal. It may become "unobtainium." ➡️Then, consider broad equity exposure in miners The lagging silver miners (up 146% vs. silver's 109% YTD) have massive catch-up potential. The Bottom Line: The mechanisms that suppressed silver for 50+ years are breaking down in real-time. When managed markets fail, prices don't rise—they explode. Watch the physical flows, not the charts. HT: CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Markets #COMEX #Parabolic #Bullion #ShortSqueeze #Miners $SILJ

Mark

90,730 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

WAR ENDS TODAY? DOESN'T MATTER - MASSIVE DISRUPTIONS LOCKED IN SAYS CURRIE Commodities expert Jeff Currie drops hard truth on the energy markets. Even if peace breaks out in the next five minutes, the damage is done. Global supply chains have been shattered across oil, gas, fertilizer, metals and more. This disruption will take months to unwind and no quick policy fix can stop it. THE BAKED IN CHAOS ➡️ Ships are in the wrong places with insurance policies being canceled everywhere. ➡️ Pressure has been taken off key fields in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the UAE. ➡️ The list of impacts goes on and on with damage that cannot be reversed overnight. THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE ➡️ Strategic reserve releases of 400 million barrels sound impressive but are minuscule. ➡️ They offset almost nothing against a net disruption of around 18 million barrels per day. ➡️ It would take 200 days just to move that reserve volume at max flow rates. THE HOARDING DANGER ➡️ China has been rewarded for hoarding aggressively over the last year. ➡️ Japan, Korea and individual drivers are now topping up tanks far earlier than normal. ➡️ This extra demand spike could add millions of barrels per day just like the 1970s crisis. REGIME CHANGE IS HERE ➡️ We are leaving the asset-light tech boom world for a new asset-heavy reality. ➡️ Own hard assets like oil, metals and gold as everything gets repriced higher. ➡️ This geopolitical shift mirrors the post-dot com boom move into commodities. THE ENERGY DOMINANCE PARADOX ➡️ America may look safe as a net exporter at the cash flow level. ➡️ But at wealth and credit levels the US is highly vulnerable with energy at just 3% of markets. ➡️ Sanctions have turned the old petrodollar shock absorber into a shock amplifier. THE BOTTOM LINE Jeff Currie makes one thing crystal clear: the world's crude policies have changed permanently. Even if the war stops immediately, the shortages and repricing are already baked in for the USA and global economy. Get ready for the revenge of the old economy. #JeffCurrie #OilCrisis #SupplyChainChaos #EnergyShortages #CommoditiesBoom #HoardingPanic #HardAssetsNow
0:59

WAR ENDS TODAY? DOESN'T MATTER - MASSIVE DISRUPTIONS LOCKED IN SAYS CURRIE Commodities expert Jeff Currie drops hard truth on the energy markets. Even if peace breaks out in the next five minutes, the damage is done. Global supply chains have been shattered across oil, gas, fertilizer, metals and more. This disruption will take months to unwind and no quick policy fix can stop it. THE BAKED IN CHAOS ➡️ Ships are in the wrong places with insurance policies being canceled everywhere. ➡️ Pressure has been taken off key fields in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the UAE. ➡️ The list of impacts goes on and on with damage that cannot be reversed overnight. THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE ➡️ Strategic reserve releases of 400 million barrels sound impressive but are minuscule. ➡️ They offset almost nothing against a net disruption of around 18 million barrels per day. ➡️ It would take 200 days just to move that reserve volume at max flow rates. THE HOARDING DANGER ➡️ China has been rewarded for hoarding aggressively over the last year. ➡️ Japan, Korea and individual drivers are now topping up tanks far earlier than normal. ➡️ This extra demand spike could add millions of barrels per day just like the 1970s crisis. REGIME CHANGE IS HERE ➡️ We are leaving the asset-light tech boom world for a new asset-heavy reality. ➡️ Own hard assets like oil, metals and gold as everything gets repriced higher. ➡️ This geopolitical shift mirrors the post-dot com boom move into commodities. THE ENERGY DOMINANCE PARADOX ➡️ America may look safe as a net exporter at the cash flow level. ➡️ But at wealth and credit levels the US is highly vulnerable with energy at just 3% of markets. ➡️ Sanctions have turned the old petrodollar shock absorber into a shock amplifier. THE BOTTOM LINE Jeff Currie makes one thing crystal clear: the world's crude policies have changed permanently. Even if the war stops immediately, the shortages and repricing are already baked in for the USA and global economy. Get ready for the revenge of the old economy. #JeffCurrie #OilCrisis #SupplyChainChaos #EnergyShortages #CommoditiesBoom #HoardingPanic #HardAssetsNow

Mark

38,496 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

CHINA FORFEITS 450 MILLION BARRELS IN ONE MONTH: WHY OIL PRICES ARE CRASHING DESPITE RECORD INVENTORY DRAWS Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, revealed the single biggest reason oil prices have collapsed despite record-low inventories. China quietly slashed its oil imports by 4.9 million barrels per day in June alone, forfeiting nearly 450 million barrels and draining its own hidden stocks. This massive move has temporarily masked the true tightness in the physical market and created one of the largest disconnects between fundamentals and price in decades. The result is oil trading in the high 60s while the real balance sheet screams much higher. THE INVENTORY REALITY CHECK ➡️ Global oil inventories are at the lowest levels ever seen for this time of year. ➡️ We have moved from a 177 million barrel surplus before the war to a 141 million barrel deficit relative to the five-year average. ➡️ Total inventory draws since the conflict began reach 430 million barrels, creating a 508 million barrel swing compared to last year. ➡️ US commercial oil inventories now sit at their lowest level since at least 2016. THE PRODUCT SHORTAGE SIGNAL ➡️ Gasoline and distillate stocks show clear shortages in key regions. ➡️ Refinery crack spreads for gasoline and diesel have hit all-time highs, up 182 percent year to date. ➡️ These extreme margins prove strong underlying product demand that contradicts the weak price action. THE STRATEGIC RESERVE FLOOR ➡️ US strategic petroleum reserves have fallen to 325 million barrels. ➡️ That is the lowest level since June of 1983. ➡️ Advisers close to the issue see 300 million barrels as a practical floor the market cannot breach without serious consequences. THE CHINA STOCKPILE DRAIN ➡️ China cut oil imports by a staggering 4.9 million barrels per day in June. ➡️ They have forfeited nearly 450 million barrels of imports in a single month, drawing down invisible domestic stocks. ➡️ Yet every mobility indicator from flights to road traffic shows demand remains very strong. ➡️ This buying behavior is unsustainable and the return of Chinese demand will expose the real tightness. THE TEMPORARY SUPPLY SURGE ➡️ Post-truce tanker traffic out of the Strait has surged to about 10 ships per day. ➡️ Roughly 140 million barrels of previously sanctioned Iranian oil are now accessible to the market. ➡️ Still, 9.4 million barrels per day of regional production remains shut in across the Middle East. ➡️ The market is absorbing a short-term flood that analysts expect will fade within one to two months. THE FINANCIAL MARKET BLIND SPOT ➡️ Speculative net length in oil has collapsed back to pre-war levels. ➡️ The paper market is pricing oil as if the anticipated glut from before the conflict is still here. ➡️ Physical fundamentals point to an implied fair value of 130 to 140 dollars per barrel. THE ADMINISTRATION RESPONSE ➡️ Vice President JD Vance stated the goal is to refill the world's oil economy and restock supplies. "What the president has told us to do is to use this to sort of refill the world's oil economy to refill some stocks and then see where the hand is." ➡️ The timing of the truce announcement right before the market open showed clear concern over energy price impacts ahead of the midterms. THE BOTTOM LINE The oil market is far tighter than current prices suggest because China temporarily drained its stocks and a post-truce supply surge is hitting all at once. Once those barrels are absorbed and China returns as a buyer, the real shortage will become impossible to ignore. Energy stocks are already discounting around 60 dollar oil while the marginal cost of new supply sits near 70 dollars. The rebound in oil prices is closer than the market thinks. HT: YouTube Ninepoint Partners Eric Nuttall #OilShortage #ChinaOil #InventoryCrisis #EnergyMarkets #OilPrices #MarketRebound #GeopoliticalOil
1:43

CHINA FORFEITS 450 MILLION BARRELS IN ONE MONTH: WHY OIL PRICES ARE CRASHING DESPITE RECORD INVENTORY DRAWS Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, revealed the single biggest reason oil prices have collapsed despite record-low inventories. China quietly slashed its oil imports by 4.9 million barrels per day in June alone, forfeiting nearly 450 million barrels and draining its own hidden stocks. This massive move has temporarily masked the true tightness in the physical market and created one of the largest disconnects between fundamentals and price in decades. The result is oil trading in the high 60s while the real balance sheet screams much higher. THE INVENTORY REALITY CHECK ➡️ Global oil inventories are at the lowest levels ever seen for this time of year. ➡️ We have moved from a 177 million barrel surplus before the war to a 141 million barrel deficit relative to the five-year average. ➡️ Total inventory draws since the conflict began reach 430 million barrels, creating a 508 million barrel swing compared to last year. ➡️ US commercial oil inventories now sit at their lowest level since at least 2016. THE PRODUCT SHORTAGE SIGNAL ➡️ Gasoline and distillate stocks show clear shortages in key regions. ➡️ Refinery crack spreads for gasoline and diesel have hit all-time highs, up 182 percent year to date. ➡️ These extreme margins prove strong underlying product demand that contradicts the weak price action. THE STRATEGIC RESERVE FLOOR ➡️ US strategic petroleum reserves have fallen to 325 million barrels. ➡️ That is the lowest level since June of 1983. ➡️ Advisers close to the issue see 300 million barrels as a practical floor the market cannot breach without serious consequences. THE CHINA STOCKPILE DRAIN ➡️ China cut oil imports by a staggering 4.9 million barrels per day in June. ➡️ They have forfeited nearly 450 million barrels of imports in a single month, drawing down invisible domestic stocks. ➡️ Yet every mobility indicator from flights to road traffic shows demand remains very strong. ➡️ This buying behavior is unsustainable and the return of Chinese demand will expose the real tightness. THE TEMPORARY SUPPLY SURGE ➡️ Post-truce tanker traffic out of the Strait has surged to about 10 ships per day. ➡️ Roughly 140 million barrels of previously sanctioned Iranian oil are now accessible to the market. ➡️ Still, 9.4 million barrels per day of regional production remains shut in across the Middle East. ➡️ The market is absorbing a short-term flood that analysts expect will fade within one to two months. THE FINANCIAL MARKET BLIND SPOT ➡️ Speculative net length in oil has collapsed back to pre-war levels. ➡️ The paper market is pricing oil as if the anticipated glut from before the conflict is still here. ➡️ Physical fundamentals point to an implied fair value of 130 to 140 dollars per barrel. THE ADMINISTRATION RESPONSE ➡️ Vice President JD Vance stated the goal is to refill the world's oil economy and restock supplies. "What the president has told us to do is to use this to sort of refill the world's oil economy to refill some stocks and then see where the hand is." ➡️ The timing of the truce announcement right before the market open showed clear concern over energy price impacts ahead of the midterms. THE BOTTOM LINE The oil market is far tighter than current prices suggest because China temporarily drained its stocks and a post-truce supply surge is hitting all at once. Once those barrels are absorbed and China returns as a buyer, the real shortage will become impossible to ignore. Energy stocks are already discounting around 60 dollar oil while the marginal cost of new supply sits near 70 dollars. The rebound in oil prices is closer than the market thinks. HT: YouTube Ninepoint Partners Eric Nuttall #OilShortage #ChinaOil #InventoryCrisis #EnergyMarkets #OilPrices #MarketRebound #GeopoliticalOil

Mark

80,009 görüntüleme • 8 gün önce

ERIC NUTTAL: DAY 55 OIL CRISIS EXPLODES - 600 MILLION BARRELS GONE WHILE STOCKS HIT ALL-TIME HIGHS Day 55 of the US-Iranian war and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The world has lost roughly 600 million barrels of oil supply at a staggering 12 to 13 million barrels per day and the damage keeps getting worse. Goldman Sachs just released a graph confirming global inventories will plunge well below record lows even if the strait opens tomorrow. THE DAMAGE IS ALREADY DONE ➡️ Multiple independent sources now triangulate the exact same catastrophic supply loss. ➡️ Voyage times mean the pain is locked in regardless of any sudden breakthrough. ➡️ This is the biggest energy crisis of our lifetimes playing out in real time. THE MARKET DISCONNECT ➡️ The Dow and S&P trade at or near all-time highs. ➡️ Everyone watching CNBC or Bloomberg terminals sees oil prices that still ignore reality. ➡️ Physical barrels face enormous demand while paper markets stay strangely calm. THE COMPLACENCY EXPLAINED ➡️ White House advisers are thrilled at how well tweets and unnamed sources have jawboned oil prices lower. ➡️ A single random rumor can crash paper oil five dollars in a day. ➡️ The second and bigger reason is simple: markets are waiting for physical shortages they cannot ignore. THE PHYSICAL SHORTAGE WAVE ➡️ Australia’s prime minister just held a press conference to announce they secured new supply equal to one single day of demand. ➡️ Parts of Africa can no longer afford to bid for barrels in the global battle underway. ➡️ Europe is running out of jet fuel with major airlines already canceling flights. THE US REALITY CHECK ➡️ Safety buffers and vessel inventories have now been completely exhausted. ➡️ Seasonal driving demand is just beginning its uptick. ➡️ The battle for every barrel is now hitting Cushing, jet fuel tanks, and gasoline stocks. THE PRICE BREAKING POINT ➡️ To balance the market without massive inventory draws you need meaningful demand reduction. ➡️ Historically that only happens above $175 per barrel. ➡️ Anything less and the physical shortage simply cannot be resolved. THE INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY ➡️ Current complacency in energy stocks creates one of the most attractive setups in years. ➡️ Quality US oil companies with market caps from 10 to 35 billion dollars now trade at 17 to 21 percent free cash flow yields using an $80 oil price. ➡️ The long-term floor is heading to $80 while 2027 futures sit absurdly at just $72. THE BOTTOM LINE The biggest energy crisis of our lifetimes is here yet markets remain asleep thanks to jawboning and the wait for physical pain. Physical shortages will force reality into prices faster than anyone expects. HT: YouTube Ninepoint Partners Eric Nuttall #OilCrisis #StraitOfHormuz #EnergyShortage #PhysicalBarrels #OilTo175 #EnergyInvesting #DemandDestruction
1:31

ERIC NUTTAL: DAY 55 OIL CRISIS EXPLODES - 600 MILLION BARRELS GONE WHILE STOCKS HIT ALL-TIME HIGHS Day 55 of the US-Iranian war and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The world has lost roughly 600 million barrels of oil supply at a staggering 12 to 13 million barrels per day and the damage keeps getting worse. Goldman Sachs just released a graph confirming global inventories will plunge well below record lows even if the strait opens tomorrow. THE DAMAGE IS ALREADY DONE ➡️ Multiple independent sources now triangulate the exact same catastrophic supply loss. ➡️ Voyage times mean the pain is locked in regardless of any sudden breakthrough. ➡️ This is the biggest energy crisis of our lifetimes playing out in real time. THE MARKET DISCONNECT ➡️ The Dow and S&P trade at or near all-time highs. ➡️ Everyone watching CNBC or Bloomberg terminals sees oil prices that still ignore reality. ➡️ Physical barrels face enormous demand while paper markets stay strangely calm. THE COMPLACENCY EXPLAINED ➡️ White House advisers are thrilled at how well tweets and unnamed sources have jawboned oil prices lower. ➡️ A single random rumor can crash paper oil five dollars in a day. ➡️ The second and bigger reason is simple: markets are waiting for physical shortages they cannot ignore. THE PHYSICAL SHORTAGE WAVE ➡️ Australia’s prime minister just held a press conference to announce they secured new supply equal to one single day of demand. ➡️ Parts of Africa can no longer afford to bid for barrels in the global battle underway. ➡️ Europe is running out of jet fuel with major airlines already canceling flights. THE US REALITY CHECK ➡️ Safety buffers and vessel inventories have now been completely exhausted. ➡️ Seasonal driving demand is just beginning its uptick. ➡️ The battle for every barrel is now hitting Cushing, jet fuel tanks, and gasoline stocks. THE PRICE BREAKING POINT ➡️ To balance the market without massive inventory draws you need meaningful demand reduction. ➡️ Historically that only happens above $175 per barrel. ➡️ Anything less and the physical shortage simply cannot be resolved. THE INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY ➡️ Current complacency in energy stocks creates one of the most attractive setups in years. ➡️ Quality US oil companies with market caps from 10 to 35 billion dollars now trade at 17 to 21 percent free cash flow yields using an $80 oil price. ➡️ The long-term floor is heading to $80 while 2027 futures sit absurdly at just $72. THE BOTTOM LINE The biggest energy crisis of our lifetimes is here yet markets remain asleep thanks to jawboning and the wait for physical pain. Physical shortages will force reality into prices faster than anyone expects. HT: YouTube Ninepoint Partners Eric Nuttall #OilCrisis #StraitOfHormuz #EnergyShortage #PhysicalBarrels #OilTo175 #EnergyInvesting #DemandDestruction

Mark

10,862 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

THE WEST IS ABOLISHING ITSELF: LOSING THE TWO BIGGEST WARS SINCE WWII Michael von der Schulenburg spent decades in war zones for the UN and knows Iran intimately. Now a MEP and one of Europe’s sharpest voices on the region, he delivers a brutal verdict. The West is not just losing the two largest wars since World War II. It is actively digging its own grave. THE CORE THESIS: WEST IN FREEFALL ➡️ We are simultaneously fighting and failing in Ukraine and Iran, the two most geostrategically critical conflicts since 1945. ➡️ Instead of victims, Western leaders have become the gravediggers of their own power. ➡️ This is not bad luck. It is the direct result of elite arrogance and self-righteousness. THE DOUBLE WAR NIGHTMARE ➡️ From a European perspective we sit trapped between these two monsters. ➡️ Both wars are unwinnable, yet we refuse to see reality. ➡️ The consequences will hit Europe hardest once America crosses the Atlantic again. THE DEATH OF INTERNATIONAL LAW ➡️ The UN Charter is dead, killed by the West that created it. ➡️ What remains is pure "Faustrecht", the law of the stronger. ➡️ Exactly what we claimed to fight against for decades. THE NUCLEAR RECKONING ➡️ For the first time since Hiroshima, nuclear weapons play a strategic role in active wars. ➡️ America and Israel attacked Iran precisely because it had no nukes. ➡️ Every other state now learns the only real defense is to get one fast. THE REGIME CHANGE DELUSION ➡️ Decapitation strikes and regime-change fantasies have never worked in modern history. ➡️ They only produce chaos, anarchy, and human suffering. ➡️ Yet the West keeps repeating the same fatal mistake. THE ELITE COLLAPSE ➡️ This disaster reflects the spiritual and intellectual decay of Western political elites. ➡️ Self-overestimation has replaced sober analysis. ➡️ We thought we could direct the world. Reality is directing us into the abyss. THE BOTTOM LINE The West triggered these wars through hubris, then lost control through the same blindness. Every institution and principle it built is now shattered by its own hand. This is not decline by accident. It is self-destruction by choice. HT: YouTube Patrik Baab #WestSelfDestructs #LostWars #UNCharterDead #NuclearProliferation #EliteDecay #Faustrecht #EuropeTrapped
1:29

THE WEST IS ABOLISHING ITSELF: LOSING THE TWO BIGGEST WARS SINCE WWII Michael von der Schulenburg spent decades in war zones for the UN and knows Iran intimately. Now a MEP and one of Europe’s sharpest voices on the region, he delivers a brutal verdict. The West is not just losing the two largest wars since World War II. It is actively digging its own grave. THE CORE THESIS: WEST IN FREEFALL ➡️ We are simultaneously fighting and failing in Ukraine and Iran, the two most geostrategically critical conflicts since 1945. ➡️ Instead of victims, Western leaders have become the gravediggers of their own power. ➡️ This is not bad luck. It is the direct result of elite arrogance and self-righteousness. THE DOUBLE WAR NIGHTMARE ➡️ From a European perspective we sit trapped between these two monsters. ➡️ Both wars are unwinnable, yet we refuse to see reality. ➡️ The consequences will hit Europe hardest once America crosses the Atlantic again. THE DEATH OF INTERNATIONAL LAW ➡️ The UN Charter is dead, killed by the West that created it. ➡️ What remains is pure "Faustrecht", the law of the stronger. ➡️ Exactly what we claimed to fight against for decades. THE NUCLEAR RECKONING ➡️ For the first time since Hiroshima, nuclear weapons play a strategic role in active wars. ➡️ America and Israel attacked Iran precisely because it had no nukes. ➡️ Every other state now learns the only real defense is to get one fast. THE REGIME CHANGE DELUSION ➡️ Decapitation strikes and regime-change fantasies have never worked in modern history. ➡️ They only produce chaos, anarchy, and human suffering. ➡️ Yet the West keeps repeating the same fatal mistake. THE ELITE COLLAPSE ➡️ This disaster reflects the spiritual and intellectual decay of Western political elites. ➡️ Self-overestimation has replaced sober analysis. ➡️ We thought we could direct the world. Reality is directing us into the abyss. THE BOTTOM LINE The West triggered these wars through hubris, then lost control through the same blindness. Every institution and principle it built is now shattered by its own hand. This is not decline by accident. It is self-destruction by choice. HT: YouTube Patrik Baab #WestSelfDestructs #LostWars #UNCharterDead #NuclearProliferation #EliteDecay #Faustrecht #EuropeTrapped

Mark

28,753 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

GROMEN SUSPECTS INSIDER SHORTS CRUSHED OIL PRICES TO SAVE BONDS Luke Gromen just laid out how oil prices were managed during the Iran conflict. The veteran macro analyst watched the chaos unfold and saw a clear pattern of deliberate intervention instead of free markets at work. THE RIGGING PLAYBOOK ➡️ Gromen reveals that when oil exploded past $110 the Treasury unsanctioned Russian and Iranian crude within days. ➡️ This flooded supply exactly when 20 percent of global oil was cut off at the Strait of Hormuz. ➡️ The move flew in the face of existing sanctions and was spun as clever “jujitsu.” THE FRONT-RUNNING SUSPICIONS ➡️ Gromen suspects politically connected players front-ran massive positions at key moments. ➡️ On March 22 Trump tweeted plans to destroy Iran’s infrastructure, oil spiked, then someone shorted $500 million right before the “just kidding” reversal. ➡️ Days before the ceasefire another $950 million notional short hit futures at the perfect instant. THE TREASURY MARKET DRIVER ➡️ Gromen warns that soaring oil threatened to shatter Treasury volatility at levels that normally trigger emergency liquidity. ➡️ Policymakers chose artificial price management over letting markets price the real war risk. ➡️ This created what Gromen calls Schrödinger’s war — serious for policy, but never serious enough to let oil trade freely. THE LONG-TERM DAMAGE ➡️ Gromen suspects these tactics are eroding the sanctity of US markets. ➡️ Market participants now whisper the game feels rigged by insiders. ➡️ Trust is slipping fast, and once faith leaves it rarely returns. THE BOTTOM LINE They capped oil short-term to protect bonds and the narrative, but Luke Groman sees the permanent cost: markets that no longer feel fair or free. This is how you win the day and lose the decade. HT: YouTube misesmedia Luke Gromen #MarketRigging #OilPriceManipulation #LukeGroman #TreasuryShorts #InsiderFutures #BondMarketPanic #USMarketTrust
1:55

GROMEN SUSPECTS INSIDER SHORTS CRUSHED OIL PRICES TO SAVE BONDS Luke Gromen just laid out how oil prices were managed during the Iran conflict. The veteran macro analyst watched the chaos unfold and saw a clear pattern of deliberate intervention instead of free markets at work. THE RIGGING PLAYBOOK ➡️ Gromen reveals that when oil exploded past $110 the Treasury unsanctioned Russian and Iranian crude within days. ➡️ This flooded supply exactly when 20 percent of global oil was cut off at the Strait of Hormuz. ➡️ The move flew in the face of existing sanctions and was spun as clever “jujitsu.” THE FRONT-RUNNING SUSPICIONS ➡️ Gromen suspects politically connected players front-ran massive positions at key moments. ➡️ On March 22 Trump tweeted plans to destroy Iran’s infrastructure, oil spiked, then someone shorted $500 million right before the “just kidding” reversal. ➡️ Days before the ceasefire another $950 million notional short hit futures at the perfect instant. THE TREASURY MARKET DRIVER ➡️ Gromen warns that soaring oil threatened to shatter Treasury volatility at levels that normally trigger emergency liquidity. ➡️ Policymakers chose artificial price management over letting markets price the real war risk. ➡️ This created what Gromen calls Schrödinger’s war — serious for policy, but never serious enough to let oil trade freely. THE LONG-TERM DAMAGE ➡️ Gromen suspects these tactics are eroding the sanctity of US markets. ➡️ Market participants now whisper the game feels rigged by insiders. ➡️ Trust is slipping fast, and once faith leaves it rarely returns. THE BOTTOM LINE They capped oil short-term to protect bonds and the narrative, but Luke Groman sees the permanent cost: markets that no longer feel fair or free. This is how you win the day and lose the decade. HT: YouTube misesmedia Luke Gromen #MarketRigging #OilPriceManipulation #LukeGroman #TreasuryShorts #InsiderFutures #BondMarketPanic #USMarketTrust

Mark

136,094 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

THE SILVER SELL-OFF IS BRUTAL – BUT DON’T MAKE THE MISTAKE OF SELLING TOO Silver just broke hard. Gold slipped under 4000. Silver crashed to 56. If you bought anywhere near the January high near 121, roughly half your position has vanished and it feels like the bottom may never arrive. But the number flashing on the screen is lying about what is actually happening. The sellers dumping metal right now are handing their ounces to buyers who see a sale, not a verdict. THE CORE THESIS Silver didn't get less valuable this week. The dollar got stronger. And that is a completely different thing. ➡️ The US dollar index just pushed above 101 for the first time in about a year. ➡️ When the dollar rips, every asset priced in dollars gets repriced lower almost automatically because it now takes fewer of those stronger dollars to buy the same ounce. ➡️ This is not the market rejecting silver. This is the measuring stick getting longer. ➡️ The Fed's new dot plot shows roughly half the committee projecting at least one rate hike this year, with traders pricing in as many as three quarter-point hikes before year end. THE DOUBLE HIT SILVER ALWAYS TAKES Silver wears two hats and both are getting slammed at the same time. ➡️ It is a monetary metal fighting the strong dollar. ➡️ It is also an industrial metal facing slower growth fears from higher rates. ➡️ That combination is exactly why silver falls roughly twice as hard as gold in moves like this. ➡️ The gold to silver ratio blows out because it is the nature of silver, not a flaw in silver. THE MECHANICAL SELLING DRIVING THE PAIN A lot of this selling is not anyone deciding silver is a bad investment. It is forced. ➡️ Margin requirements got jacked up. Leverage players had to dump their most liquid holdings to raise cash. ➡️ Stop losses tripped. ETFs rebalanced. The selling turned violent and mechanical. ➡️ This kind of forced selling eventually burns out when the sellers run out of metal they are willing to dump. ➡️ Conviction buyers do not run out of conviction. They are the ones quietly stepping in. THE PHYSICAL MARKET TELLS THE TRUTH The spot price is getting shoved around by macro forces and margin. The physical market is doing something very different underneath. ➡️ When metal gets crushed on the screen you would expect a flood of people dumping physical. That is not mostly what is walking in the door. ➡️ Yes, capitulation sellers who bought the top are handing over ounces. ➡️ But serious buyers are stepping in with both hands because to them a strong dollar selloff is a sale, not a verdict. "The weak hands are handing their ounces to the strong hands. That's what a bottoming process actually looks like." ➡️ Premiums on real coins and bars are holding firm and even rising. Demand is alive and well if you watch the all-in price instead of just spot. THE LONG-TERM MATH HAS NOT CHANGED The reasons you own silver in the first place are still sitting right there. ➡️ The debt has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Currency debasement over time has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Central banks are still net buyers. ➡️ The long-term destination remains 120 silver. This selloff does not erase the thesis. WHAT TO DO THIS WEEK ➡️ Do not sell into this panic unless you genuinely need the cash inside the next two years. ➡️ If you must raise cash, sell generic rounds and bars first. Protect your sovereign coins and anything inside your IRA. ➡️ For long-term buyers this is a sale, but watch the all-in price not just spot. Ladder your buys and keep dry powder. ➡️ Stress test how you hold your metal. If you have paper claims this is the week to move toward allocated segregated storage or take delivery. THE BOTTOM LINE The metal did not change this week. The dollar did. Don't let a strong dollar and a scary headline talk you out of the one asset they cannot print. Before you hit that button ask yourself one honest question. Do I actually need this money in the next 24 months? If the answer is no, you are not escaping a collapse. You are selling your insurance in the middle of the storm to the very people who will be happy to sell it back to you later at a much higher price. HT: YouTube Summit Metals #SilverSelloff #DontSellSilver #DollarStrength #PhysicalSilver #Stacking #PreciousMetals #SilverStacker
1:22

THE SILVER SELL-OFF IS BRUTAL – BUT DON’T MAKE THE MISTAKE OF SELLING TOO Silver just broke hard. Gold slipped under 4000. Silver crashed to 56. If you bought anywhere near the January high near 121, roughly half your position has vanished and it feels like the bottom may never arrive. But the number flashing on the screen is lying about what is actually happening. The sellers dumping metal right now are handing their ounces to buyers who see a sale, not a verdict. THE CORE THESIS Silver didn't get less valuable this week. The dollar got stronger. And that is a completely different thing. ➡️ The US dollar index just pushed above 101 for the first time in about a year. ➡️ When the dollar rips, every asset priced in dollars gets repriced lower almost automatically because it now takes fewer of those stronger dollars to buy the same ounce. ➡️ This is not the market rejecting silver. This is the measuring stick getting longer. ➡️ The Fed's new dot plot shows roughly half the committee projecting at least one rate hike this year, with traders pricing in as many as three quarter-point hikes before year end. THE DOUBLE HIT SILVER ALWAYS TAKES Silver wears two hats and both are getting slammed at the same time. ➡️ It is a monetary metal fighting the strong dollar. ➡️ It is also an industrial metal facing slower growth fears from higher rates. ➡️ That combination is exactly why silver falls roughly twice as hard as gold in moves like this. ➡️ The gold to silver ratio blows out because it is the nature of silver, not a flaw in silver. THE MECHANICAL SELLING DRIVING THE PAIN A lot of this selling is not anyone deciding silver is a bad investment. It is forced. ➡️ Margin requirements got jacked up. Leverage players had to dump their most liquid holdings to raise cash. ➡️ Stop losses tripped. ETFs rebalanced. The selling turned violent and mechanical. ➡️ This kind of forced selling eventually burns out when the sellers run out of metal they are willing to dump. ➡️ Conviction buyers do not run out of conviction. They are the ones quietly stepping in. THE PHYSICAL MARKET TELLS THE TRUTH The spot price is getting shoved around by macro forces and margin. The physical market is doing something very different underneath. ➡️ When metal gets crushed on the screen you would expect a flood of people dumping physical. That is not mostly what is walking in the door. ➡️ Yes, capitulation sellers who bought the top are handing over ounces. ➡️ But serious buyers are stepping in with both hands because to them a strong dollar selloff is a sale, not a verdict. "The weak hands are handing their ounces to the strong hands. That's what a bottoming process actually looks like." ➡️ Premiums on real coins and bars are holding firm and even rising. Demand is alive and well if you watch the all-in price instead of just spot. THE LONG-TERM MATH HAS NOT CHANGED The reasons you own silver in the first place are still sitting right there. ➡️ The debt has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Currency debasement over time has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Central banks are still net buyers. ➡️ The long-term destination remains 120 silver. This selloff does not erase the thesis. WHAT TO DO THIS WEEK ➡️ Do not sell into this panic unless you genuinely need the cash inside the next two years. ➡️ If you must raise cash, sell generic rounds and bars first. Protect your sovereign coins and anything inside your IRA. ➡️ For long-term buyers this is a sale, but watch the all-in price not just spot. Ladder your buys and keep dry powder. ➡️ Stress test how you hold your metal. If you have paper claims this is the week to move toward allocated segregated storage or take delivery. THE BOTTOM LINE The metal did not change this week. The dollar did. Don't let a strong dollar and a scary headline talk you out of the one asset they cannot print. Before you hit that button ask yourself one honest question. Do I actually need this money in the next 24 months? If the answer is no, you are not escaping a collapse. You are selling your insurance in the middle of the storm to the very people who will be happy to sell it back to you later at a much higher price. HT: YouTube Summit Metals #SilverSelloff #DontSellSilver #DollarStrength #PhysicalSilver #Stacking #PreciousMetals #SilverStacker

Mark

32,014 görüntüleme • 15 gün önce

CRUDE SHORTAGE WHIPLASH: WHY OIL PRICES WILL SPIKE AFTER THE BACKLOG CLEARS IN DAYS Troy Eckard of Enterprises Oil & Gas Investing has just revealed why the headlines about record crude oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz are misleading at best. What looks like a sudden flood of supply is actually the release of oil that has been loaded and waiting for nearly four months. This temporary surge is masking a much deeper supply problem that the world has been papering over with strategic reserves. Once the backlog is gone, the real supply picture will come into focus fast. THE HORMUZ BACKLOG REALITY ➡️ The recent movement of 19.1 million barrels per day is not new oil from opened wells or increased production. ➡️ It is not coming from storage tanks sitting at the ports ready to go. ➡️ Every single barrel was loaded onto tankers before the strait closed and has been stuck waiting for safe passage. ➡️ The main body of the strait is still not open and remains full of mines. ➡️ Only a narrow pathway is being used to let these long-delayed vessels through. THE SCALE OF WHAT JUST MOVED ➡️ When the strait closed, estimates show 110 to 120 million barrels of oil were trapped on vessels behind the gate. ➡️ That amount equals just one day of total global consumption at 104 million barrels per day. ➡️ At the pace seen recently, that entire backlog will clear in roughly five to six days. ➡️ After those days pass, there will be no equivalent volume of new oil taking its place. THE FOUR-MONTH SUPPLY HOLE ➡️ The closure created a massive 1.2 to 1.5 billion barrel deficit over almost four months. ➡️ The world responded by draining strategic reserves, pipelines, and every available storage to prevent prices from reaching 150 or 200 dollars. ➡️ That emergency action suppressed prices and created the current calm at around 70 dollars and fifty cents. ➡️ But those reserves cannot be drained indefinitely. THE PRICE ILLUSION ➡️ Oil trading near 70 dollars today exists because traders are dumping positions on the back of this one-time inventory release. ➡️ The media is calling it a solution and record progress through the strait. ➡️ In truth, production has not ramped up and new infrastructure is still months away from delivering. ➡️ This is a pretend moment of adequate supply that will not last. THE COMING WHIPLASH ➡️ In five to eight days the extra 100 million barrels of backlog oil will be absorbed into the global supply chain. ➡️ Physical buyers needing real barrels for customers will then enter the market in force. ➡️ A daily shortfall of 8 to 12 million barrels could become clear within three to four weeks. ➡️ The shift from trader covering losses to genuine physical demand will create a sharp reversal. THE BOTTOM LINE The recent drop in oil prices is riding on the final escape of oil that was already in the system long before the recent disruptions. That temporary relief is ending fast, and the underlying four-month supply hole remains unfilled. The market is about to discover that celebrating this surge was premature. This is the sound of the real supply picture reasserting itself. HT: YouTube Eckard Enterprises | Oil & Gas Investing #OilPrices #HormuzBacklog #CrudeOilReality #SupplyShortage #EnergyMarkets #OilWhiplash
0:49

CRUDE SHORTAGE WHIPLASH: WHY OIL PRICES WILL SPIKE AFTER THE BACKLOG CLEARS IN DAYS Troy Eckard of Enterprises Oil & Gas Investing has just revealed why the headlines about record crude oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz are misleading at best. What looks like a sudden flood of supply is actually the release of oil that has been loaded and waiting for nearly four months. This temporary surge is masking a much deeper supply problem that the world has been papering over with strategic reserves. Once the backlog is gone, the real supply picture will come into focus fast. THE HORMUZ BACKLOG REALITY ➡️ The recent movement of 19.1 million barrels per day is not new oil from opened wells or increased production. ➡️ It is not coming from storage tanks sitting at the ports ready to go. ➡️ Every single barrel was loaded onto tankers before the strait closed and has been stuck waiting for safe passage. ➡️ The main body of the strait is still not open and remains full of mines. ➡️ Only a narrow pathway is being used to let these long-delayed vessels through. THE SCALE OF WHAT JUST MOVED ➡️ When the strait closed, estimates show 110 to 120 million barrels of oil were trapped on vessels behind the gate. ➡️ That amount equals just one day of total global consumption at 104 million barrels per day. ➡️ At the pace seen recently, that entire backlog will clear in roughly five to six days. ➡️ After those days pass, there will be no equivalent volume of new oil taking its place. THE FOUR-MONTH SUPPLY HOLE ➡️ The closure created a massive 1.2 to 1.5 billion barrel deficit over almost four months. ➡️ The world responded by draining strategic reserves, pipelines, and every available storage to prevent prices from reaching 150 or 200 dollars. ➡️ That emergency action suppressed prices and created the current calm at around 70 dollars and fifty cents. ➡️ But those reserves cannot be drained indefinitely. THE PRICE ILLUSION ➡️ Oil trading near 70 dollars today exists because traders are dumping positions on the back of this one-time inventory release. ➡️ The media is calling it a solution and record progress through the strait. ➡️ In truth, production has not ramped up and new infrastructure is still months away from delivering. ➡️ This is a pretend moment of adequate supply that will not last. THE COMING WHIPLASH ➡️ In five to eight days the extra 100 million barrels of backlog oil will be absorbed into the global supply chain. ➡️ Physical buyers needing real barrels for customers will then enter the market in force. ➡️ A daily shortfall of 8 to 12 million barrels could become clear within three to four weeks. ➡️ The shift from trader covering losses to genuine physical demand will create a sharp reversal. THE BOTTOM LINE The recent drop in oil prices is riding on the final escape of oil that was already in the system long before the recent disruptions. That temporary relief is ending fast, and the underlying four-month supply hole remains unfilled. The market is about to discover that celebrating this surge was premature. This is the sound of the real supply picture reasserting itself. HT: YouTube Eckard Enterprises | Oil & Gas Investing #OilPrices #HormuzBacklog #CrudeOilReality #SupplyShortage #EnergyMarkets #OilWhiplash

Mark

72,764 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce

EXXON CEO WARNS $150 OIL WITHIN WEEKS: THE SHORTAGE THE MARKET IGNORED Josh Young of Bison Interests and Bison just laid out the numbers that flip the entire oil narrative on its head. The numbers coming out of the energy markets have flipped from bearish complacency to outright crisis faster than almost anyone modeled. A balanced global oil system has lost up to 14 million barrels of daily supply in a matter of weeks. Inventories are draining at hundreds of millions of barrels per month with virtually no demand destruction to offset the loss. THE SUPPLY SHOCK AND CYCLE REALITY ➡️ Global supply has dropped by 10 to 14 million barrels per day to around 90 to 92 million barrels daily. ➡️ The market was already 15 years into a down cycle of underinvestment before the conflict hit. ➡️ Traders had positioned for a glut that the fundamentals never supported. THE INVENTORY CRISIS ACCELERATES ➡️ Storage has plunged from 8.3 billion to nearly 7 billion barrels in just months. ➡️ Monthly depletion of 300 to 500 million barrels continues without relief. ➡️ Tank bottoms are approaching fast, threatening the basic functioning of global oil logistics. THE DEMAND AND RECOVERY DYNAMICS ➡️ Demand destruction remains minimal and largely availability driven rather than economic. ➡️ Even immediate reopening of key chokepoints would require two to three months for normalization. ➡️ Additional inventory losses of 500 million to 1 billion barrels are already locked in. THE $150 OIL WARNING FROM THE TOP ➡️ Exxon and Chevron CEOs stated within weeks they expect $150 plus physical oil. ➡️ Their conservative stance makes this warning all the more significant for the market. ➡️ The data on collapsing supply and vanishing storage fully supports their assessment. THE BOTTOM LINE The war has accelerated an already tightening oil cycle into a full-blown supply crisis. With inventories crashing and almost no demand response to cushion the blow, the market is now set for materially higher prices over an extended period. The old glut fears have been exposed as fundamentally misplaced. This is the supply crisis that forces the re-rating of oil higher. #OilSupplyCrisis #HigherOilPrices #InventoryDrawdown #EnergyBull #WTI #TankBottoms #SupplyShock HT: YouTube Natural Resource Stocks Josh Young
1:27

EXXON CEO WARNS $150 OIL WITHIN WEEKS: THE SHORTAGE THE MARKET IGNORED Josh Young of Bison Interests and Bison just laid out the numbers that flip the entire oil narrative on its head. The numbers coming out of the energy markets have flipped from bearish complacency to outright crisis faster than almost anyone modeled. A balanced global oil system has lost up to 14 million barrels of daily supply in a matter of weeks. Inventories are draining at hundreds of millions of barrels per month with virtually no demand destruction to offset the loss. THE SUPPLY SHOCK AND CYCLE REALITY ➡️ Global supply has dropped by 10 to 14 million barrels per day to around 90 to 92 million barrels daily. ➡️ The market was already 15 years into a down cycle of underinvestment before the conflict hit. ➡️ Traders had positioned for a glut that the fundamentals never supported. THE INVENTORY CRISIS ACCELERATES ➡️ Storage has plunged from 8.3 billion to nearly 7 billion barrels in just months. ➡️ Monthly depletion of 300 to 500 million barrels continues without relief. ➡️ Tank bottoms are approaching fast, threatening the basic functioning of global oil logistics. THE DEMAND AND RECOVERY DYNAMICS ➡️ Demand destruction remains minimal and largely availability driven rather than economic. ➡️ Even immediate reopening of key chokepoints would require two to three months for normalization. ➡️ Additional inventory losses of 500 million to 1 billion barrels are already locked in. THE $150 OIL WARNING FROM THE TOP ➡️ Exxon and Chevron CEOs stated within weeks they expect $150 plus physical oil. ➡️ Their conservative stance makes this warning all the more significant for the market. ➡️ The data on collapsing supply and vanishing storage fully supports their assessment. THE BOTTOM LINE The war has accelerated an already tightening oil cycle into a full-blown supply crisis. With inventories crashing and almost no demand response to cushion the blow, the market is now set for materially higher prices over an extended period. The old glut fears have been exposed as fundamentally misplaced. This is the supply crisis that forces the re-rating of oil higher. #OilSupplyCrisis #HigherOilPrices #InventoryDrawdown #EnergyBull #WTI #TankBottoms #SupplyShock HT: YouTube Natural Resource Stocks Josh Young

Mark

18,685 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

UPDATE: M. OLIVER - The Asset Class Shift Has Officially Begun. 🚀 "We’ll probably see $200 silver by the second quarter. Now, I could be wrong. We might vastly overshoot and see something even higher than that." – "Be in #Silver and #Miners now !" Michael Oliver, Momentum Structural Analysis. 📈 This is the breakout from a HALF-CENTURY trading range. For 50 years, silver has been contained. That containment is now failing. Why This Time is Structurally Different: ✅ Gold has broken out vs. the S&P 500 on a spread basis—signaling a major asset class rotation. ✅ Silver has broken out vs. gold—meaning it's set to outperform dramatically. ✅ The miners ( $XAU, $GDX) are breaking multi-decade spreads vs. gold, poised to double relative value. The Historical Precedent is Stunning: ➡️When copper broke out of a 30-year range in 2005-2006, it quadrupled in two quarters. ➡️When lead did the same in 2007, it also quadrupled in a few quarters. ➡️Silver is now breaking out of a 50-year range. The potential velocity is immense. This is the START, not the end. 🔄The breakout signals the beginning of a multi-year trend, not a short-term spike. Capital is just starting to rotate from inflated equities (S&P, Nasdaq) into the monetary metals complex. ⏰ "Is it too late to invest?" The clear technical answer is NO. Entry points are always higher in a genuine breakout. This is the last major entry before the move accelerates. The Bottom Line: The charts are screaming that a historic, compressed repricing of silver and mining equities is imminent. This is a structural shift, not a speculative spike. Being early feels late, but being late will be costly. HT: Palisades Gold Radio Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Stocks #Trading #Miners #Breakout #Commodities 🔄
1:01

UPDATE: M. OLIVER - The Asset Class Shift Has Officially Begun. 🚀 "We’ll probably see $200 silver by the second quarter. Now, I could be wrong. We might vastly overshoot and see something even higher than that." – "Be in #Silver and #Miners now !" Michael Oliver, Momentum Structural Analysis. 📈 This is the breakout from a HALF-CENTURY trading range. For 50 years, silver has been contained. That containment is now failing. Why This Time is Structurally Different: ✅ Gold has broken out vs. the S&P 500 on a spread basis—signaling a major asset class rotation. ✅ Silver has broken out vs. gold—meaning it's set to outperform dramatically. ✅ The miners ( $XAU, $GDX) are breaking multi-decade spreads vs. gold, poised to double relative value. The Historical Precedent is Stunning: ➡️When copper broke out of a 30-year range in 2005-2006, it quadrupled in two quarters. ➡️When lead did the same in 2007, it also quadrupled in a few quarters. ➡️Silver is now breaking out of a 50-year range. The potential velocity is immense. This is the START, not the end. 🔄The breakout signals the beginning of a multi-year trend, not a short-term spike. Capital is just starting to rotate from inflated equities (S&P, Nasdaq) into the monetary metals complex. ⏰ "Is it too late to invest?" The clear technical answer is NO. Entry points are always higher in a genuine breakout. This is the last major entry before the move accelerates. The Bottom Line: The charts are screaming that a historic, compressed repricing of silver and mining equities is imminent. This is a structural shift, not a speculative spike. Being early feels late, but being late will be costly. HT: Palisades Gold Radio Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Stocks #Trading #Miners #Breakout #Commodities 🔄

Mark

157,843 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce