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Everyone's asking why Bitcoin is lagging while the S&P prints all-time highs. Michael Saylor gave me the cleanest answer in Prague: "We're living right now in the summer of the AI bubble... $500 billion of capital is being lurped into the AI complex right now." His framing: a "massive...

74,081 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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"I haven't sold a single sat." Michael Saylor (Michael Saylor) is Executive Chairman of Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin on earth. While crypto twitter blamed him for the correction over a 32-coin sale, he sat down with me in Prague and explained why Bitcoin is really lagging and why it has almost nothing to do with Bitcoin. "We bought 175,000 Bitcoin this year, which is like 20% of all the Bitcoin ever bought. We sold 32. 32 works out to be two basis points." We cover: - Why Bitcoin is lagging while the S&P prints all-time highs, the "massive AI black hole" pulling capital out of crypto - Why he thinks the money rotates back by Q4 - The 32-BTC sale, the scapegoat dynamic, and why he hasn't sold a sat of his own - Why a 50% drawdown is normal, the 2022 one was 75% - The Apple and Amazon adoption curve, and the "Warren Buffett moment" he says is still coming - What actually happens to Strategy if Bitcoin stalls for 40 years - Why he believes being irrelevant is the only thing worse than being hated Thanks to Michael for coming on New Era Finance Podcast. Highlights: 00:00 - Intro 00:25 - Bitcoin Is Now Digital Capital 03:30 - Digital Credit, Invented In 12 Months 07:40 - Why Bitcoin Is Lagging The Market 12:15 - The Apple & Amazon Comparison 18:30 - Did Saylor Sell His Bitcoin? 21:00 - We Bought 175,000. We Sold 32. 25:00 - Defending The Credit & The Equity 29:30 - What If Bitcoin Stalls For 40 Years? 33:00 - The Warren Buffett Moment Is Coming 37:00 - Being Hated vs Being Irrelevant

Michaël van de Poppe

527,636 次观看 • 1 个月前

Michael Saylor gave me a two-word model for Bitcoin that explains this entire year: "Risk capital squared." Whatever is good for risk assets is really good for #Bitcoin. Whatever is bad for risk is really bad for it. Simple. But then he walked me through what's actually happening inside the risk markets right now, and this is the part most people miss. The equity market has split in two. A handful of AI monopolies raising $80 billion each, and then everyone else. "Every banker on Wall Street is out marketing the SpaceX deal, marketing the Anthropic deal." And the rotation logic is almost mechanical: "I know I'm going to get a 10 or 20% pop because the bankers are going to have to make the deal pop... So I'm going to get in on the deal and then I'll get out again." Mature money rolling out of three-year-old positions into hot deals engineered to pop. That's the drain. Bitcoin isn't funding the AI boom, it's maybe 2 or 3% of the capital, but it's the asset that feels every dollar leaving. And the line that reframes the whole "institutions abandoned Bitcoin" panic: "They're not maximalist in anything. They're not religious ideologues. They can be excited about this deal this week. They'll be excited about another asset next week. And they're all looking at relative value." The money didn't convert to another religion. It never had one. It chases relative value, and right now the deals pop harder. Which means the question isn't whether the capital comes back. It's what relative value looks like when the deals stop popping.

Michaël van de Poppe

32,100 次观看 • 2 天前

Would you bet EVERYTHING on one idea? Michael Saylor did. Michael is a technology entrepreneur and the founder of the company now called Strategy. Long before Bitcoin, he built businesses in business intelligence, speech recognition and smart-home technology. Today, he is probably best known for turning his company into the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. In 2020, his company was worth around $600 million when he made what I described to him as an “early, very contrarian bet on Bitcoin”. At its peak, the company reached roughly $125 billion. I wanted to understand what Michael saw that almost everyone else didn’t, where that level of conviction comes from, and why his thinking goes far beyond Bitcoin. We discussed things like: - How he says AI helped him create $15 billion last year. - Why he believes buying a house might not be the best way to build wealth. - What he would study if he was 18 today. - Which careers AI could completely transform. - What is happening to the value of the money sitting in your bank. - Why he still has such enormous conviction in Bitcoin. Michael’s whole point is that technology, money and careers are not separate conversations. He sees them as connected parts of where the world is heading, and believes the decisions we make now could matter far more than most people realise. Even if you see the world differently to Michael, there is a lot to take from the way he thinks. His experience building technology companies, making enormous financial bets and thinking deeply about AI gives him a perspective on money, work and the future that is worth listening to. Out now on all platforms. Let me know what you think of this one in the comments ❤️👊🏾

Steven Bartlett

144,446 次观看 • 17 天前

Linus Torvalds, creator of Linux, on why AI is both a bubble and a revolution at the same time: His answer refuses the binary, laying out why both things can be true at once: "I mean, clearly, it's clearly both, right? It's clearly a bubble and at the same time, it's very interesting and I think it will change society and I think it will change how most skilled jobs get done." But he pushes back on the maximalist framing: "At the same time, I don't think it's as revolutionary as people make it out to be." When asked about artists being angry that AI models were trained on their work without consent, Linus is blunt: "That's reality. Deal with it. That genie is out of the bottle. You're not getting it back. And you're not getting it back whether you are a photographer who's out of work… or you're a programmer that has to learn to deal with a new reality." On programming specifically, he's more optimistic, though he has a sharp caveat about vibe coding: "I really think that AI will be a tool and it will make people more productive. I think that vibe coding is great for getting into programming. I think it's going to be a horrible thing to maintain." His conclusion is that programmers aren't going anywhere: "You still want to have the people who know how to maintain the end result." Linus separates the technology from the noise around it: "I'm a huge believer in AI. I'm not a huge believer in the whole things going on around AI. I find the marketing and the market to be sick and twisted and there is going to be a crash and it's not… it's going to be ugly."

Big Brain AI

52,726 次观看 • 3 个月前