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Former CEO of Google, Eric Schmidt: "traditional programming is over, and i'm mourning the identity i built around it" Programmers don't write code anymore — they wake up, assign objectives to AI agents, go to lunch, and let them run overnight For anyone still coding the old way: "stop.... show more

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155,542 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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“Code is becoming management" Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt says programming has already changed more in 6 months than in the last 20 years. Top engineers are no longer writing most of the code themselves. They’re managing fleets of AI agents with objectives, verification, and long-running tasks. The leverage moved from typing to orchestration.

“Code is becoming management" Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt says programming has already changed more in 6 months than in the last 20 years. Top engineers are no longer writing most of the code themselves. They’re managing fleets of AI agents with objectives, verification, and long-running tasks. The leverage moved from typing to orchestration.

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🇺🇸 EX-GOOGLE BOSS: AI WILL REPLACE MOST PROGRAMMERS IN A YEAR—SUPERINTELLIGENCE COULD ARRIVE IN SIX Former Google CEO, Eric Schmidt: "We believe that in the next year, the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI. Within three to five years, we’ll see AGI—systems as smart as the best humans. And in six years, artificial superintelligence—smarter than all of us combined. This is happening fast, and society isn’t ready." Source: Eric Schmidt vitrupo

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Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt says a frontier AI model costs up to $500 million to build and is worth about six months: "Are the scaling laws stopping?" "And the answer right now is no, which is unbelievable." "A model costs $200 to $500 million, you release it, and it has a life expectancy of about six months." "And then there's another one." "And the competition between the leading players is so brutal, right, that they literally count in the number of weeks of value of these things, which costs hundreds of millions of dollars." Schmidt is talking about the build cost. There is a second cost underneath it, which is re-proving each replacement, because whatever testing cleared one version does not carry over to the next. A company that standardizes on a frontier model this year is signing up to do that re-approval work twice a year. - Eric Schmidt (Eric Schmidt), former CEO of Google (Google) and now Chair and CEO of Relativity Space, with Alan Blinder at Princeton's Griswold Center (Princeton University).

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Eric Schmidt, former Google CEO, on why top programmers won't be replaced by AI, they'll be amplified by it: He starts with an observation about the existing hierarchy in software: "The very top programmers were worth 10 times more than the ones right below. There's something special about the mathematical reasoning skills of programmers." Rather than flattening that gap, he argues AI will widen it: "Those people will become more valuable, not less valuable, because these systems need to be controlled by humans at the moment. Those people will be capable of grasping the parallelization and the activities of this." To show what this amplification actually looks like in practice, Eric shares a story from a startup he's involved with. He was talking to one of the programmers there, who works on UIs, about his daily workflow: "He said, 'I write the spec of what I want and then I write a test function, an evaluation function. And then I turn it on.' I said, 'What time?' And he goes, '7:00 in the evening.' And I go, 'Okay. What do you then do?' Well, he has dinner with his wife and he goes to sleep." Eric continues: "I said, 'Do you wake up?' Said, 'No, I sleep very well.' 'When does it finish?' 'Oh, 4:00 in the morning.' And then he gets up, has breakfast, you know, does whatever he does, and then he sees what's been good." Eric Schmidt calls the whole thing "mindboggling." The story captures what amplification really means. The programmer isn't writing less code. He's producing a night's worth of work while asleep, because the machine is running on his spec, his tests, his judgment of what "good" looks like. The leverage belongs to those who can define the problem precisely, write the tests that matter, and recognize good output when they see it.

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