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Ocean Heat Source 05: Adiabatic compression doesn’t explain the deep ocean warming observation. Test type: Empirical, an audit of the Johnson 2026 data product and calculation workflow. The idea is basically this..as water sinks, the pressure rises and warms its in situ temperature a little, even without adding heat....

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Stephanie Buchanan

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36,316 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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Ocean Heat Source 08: 📢Antarctic Bottom Water and overturning don’t explain the magnitude of the abyssal warming acceleration. Test type: Empirical, data-constrained model comparison This one reminded me how important quantitation is... Antarctic Bottom Water is real, and at first, it actually looked like a surprisingly good match to the abyssal warming signal. The density structure matched surprisingly well. The pathway was plausible. Then, I calculated how much warming acceleration the overturning circulation can actually supply. ECCO produces only ~2% of the observed 4-6 kdbar acceleration. So AABW/overturning may contribute, but it fails as the dominant quantitative explanation. I’m now down to the final 2 mechanisms! We’re getting close to narrowing this down. Next, I’m testing the geothermal/hydrothermal heating mechanism. Details:
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A peer-reviewed study finds that most of the temperature rise observed over the past century in the US isn't from greenhouse gases, but instead from roads, buildings and parking lots. By comparing raw US temperature data from stations in areas with different population densities, the study found that 65% of the warming since 1895 is explained by the urban heat island effect, and another 8% by urban growth into once-rural areas. That's nearly three quarters of the warming, with no CO2 involved. Crucially, NOAA's adjusted data hides this effect. Homogenization smooths it out, a process the study's author, Dr Roy Spencer, calls "urban blending." It's not "global warming," it's urbanization.
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Ocean Heat Source 09: The dominant source is either a) geothermal/hydrothermal heating from below, or b) electromagnetic induction. Here’s where I’m at with the five mechanisms I’m testing to explain the abyssal warming acceleration: 1. adiabatic compression: closed 2. isopycnal heave: quantified; observationally limited 3. AABW/overturning: closed as the dominant quantitative explanation 4. geothermal/hydrothermal: in progress, looking weak as the dominant explanation, closing two loopholes... 5. electromagnetic induction: solver in development, strongest remaining hypothesis Two mechanisms closed. One ran into the limits of the observations. Two left to test... We're closing in.
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Ocean Heat Source 09: The dominant source is either a) geothermal/hydrothermal heating from below, or b) electromagnetic induction. Here’s where I’m at with the five mechanisms I’m testing to explain the abyssal warming acceleration: 1. adiabatic compression: closed 2. isopycnal heave: quantified; observationally limited 3. AABW/overturning: closed as the dominant quantitative explanation 4. geothermal/hydrothermal: in progress, looking weak as the dominant explanation, closing two loopholes... 5. electromagnetic induction: solver in development, strongest remaining hypothesis Two mechanisms closed. One ran into the limits of the observations. Two left to test... We're closing in.

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Mars holds enough water ice that warming the planet would produce an ocean roughly one mile deep across 40% of its surface. Most of that ice sits under a dust mantle outside the polar caps. Geological evidence indicates liquid water once existed in volume. As the solar system cooled, the atmosphere thinned and the remaining water froze or was lost. That inventory is not theoretical. It is a measurable resource base for any sustained presence on Mars.

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