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This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $336,662 His algorithm trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using probability tracking and certainty sniping: 1. Continuously assesses how close the outcome is to being locked in At the start of each market, it records the reference... price and tracks the metric used to determine the result For 5 minute BTC markets, it factors in the Chainlink TWAP, the current deviation from the reference price, the time remaining, and data from fast spot/perp feeds It then opens a small probe position while its model’s confidence is still low 2. Increases position size as the outcome becomes more certain If the probability of its chosen outcome rises, it keeps buying even at higher prices The median purchase price is 91c for the first buy and 99c for the last As the market approaches resolution and the model’s confidence rises, its exposure grows 3. Builds most of its position at 98-99c When time is running out and the final TWAP is unlikely to cross the reference price, it sharply increases its position in the outcome its model considers almost certain Its Polymarket account: BoneOhio The algorithm’s main edge comes near resolution. Once its model identifies an outcome that is almost locked in, it sharply increases its position at 98-99cshow more

VALIX

10,989 subscribers

18,805 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

13 Kommentare

Profilbild von Wallchain Community Hub

Wallchain Community Hubvor 3 Tagen

Prediction markets get very interesting when the edge is in the settlement mechanics, not the forecast itself

Profilbild von Covered Productions

Covered Productionsvor 3 Tagen

ertainty sniping on 5 minute markets mostly comes down to who reaches the book first once the outcome is basically known

Profilbild von Wallet Origins

Wallet Originsvor 3 Tagen

336k on late-resolution sniping. The bot is not predicting the market, it is reading the oracle window and taking the free leg when the outcome is already locked. Want the wallet behind it, not the algorithm. Prints without the funding path are just marketing.

Profilbild von PolyScripts | Prediction Market Intelligence

PolyScripts | Prediction Market Intelligencevor 3 Tagen

Probability sniping is pure alpha.

Profilbild von ibanami

ibanamivor 3 Tagen

oracle latency arb disguised as probability tracking

Profilbild von Virtuals Radar

Virtuals Radarvor 3 Tagen

99c certainty sniper, onchain.

Profilbild von ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitrage

ArbPrediction - Prediction Market Arbitragevor 3 Tagen

Late resolution is a sharp angle, especially when the contract is close to binary. ArbPrediction adds a second layer by checking whether another venue is still mispriced before the bot commits.

Profilbild von Jasminko

Jasminkovor 3 Tagen

The only thing he built buddy was a UI to make stupid people believe anything they see on X.

Profilbild von Cole

Colevor 3 Tagen

certainty sniping on 5 minute markets mostly comes down to who reaches the book first once the outcome is basically known

Profilbild von VALIX

VALIXvor 3 Tagen

That’s exactly how it works

Profilbild von Daniro

Danirovor 3 Tagen

The main thing is to catch the delay between chainlink and polymarket. Building a position with limit orders is the most important part of the strategy

Profilbild von VALIX

VALIXvor 3 Tagen

Yes, that’s true. Limit orders give you the best execution at the best prices, which directly affects your edge

Profilbild von Claw Arbs

Claw Arbsvor 3 Tagen

How much can it actually get filled at 98-99c? fees and one bad fill can eat a lot of that last cent.

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This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

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VALIX

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $18.69 Result: +$88,641 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a passive maker grid, asynchronous accumulation, and a directional residual: 1. Places BUY limit orders across a fixed price grid It provides liquidity at multiple price levels in advance and waits for the orders to fill 2. Accumulates the opposite outcome as the market moves It bought both Up and Down in 63.6% of markets Orders on one side fill first. Once the market reprices, orders on the opposite side start filling Within each market, it switches between Up and Down a median of 2 times 3. Keeps part of its inventory directional After pairing both sides, a directional residual remains. The size of this residual becomes the main source of PnL In markets where it bought both sides, the outcome with the larger inventory won 53.7% of the time Its Polymarket account: 98euf98a Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The bot’s main edge comes from a two-part strategy: matched Up/Down positions reduce exposure, while the remaining directional residual drives most of its PnL

VALIX

44,690 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

VALIX

50,580 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $210,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $5.70 His bot makes 235 trades per hour, or 3.91 trades per minute, and trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets His strategy has six steps: 1. Records the asset’s opening price at the start of each market 2. Recalculates the probability of Up and Down based on live spot prices 3. Places limit orders across multiple price levels 4. When market momentum shifts, rebuilds the order grid and starts buying the opposite outcome 5. Hedges part of the original position while keeping directional exposure aligned with the current signal 6. In the final seconds, occasionally buys the nearly certain outcome at 98-99c This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he consistently captures an edge and keeps growing his deposit

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $210,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $5.70 His bot makes 235 trades per hour, or 3.91 trades per minute, and trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets His strategy has six steps: 1. Records the asset’s opening price at the start of each market 2. Recalculates the probability of Up and Down based on live spot prices 3. Places limit orders across multiple price levels 4. When market momentum shifts, rebuilds the order grid and starts buying the opposite outcome 5. Hedges part of the original position while keeping directional exposure aligned with the current signal 6. In the final seconds, occasionally buys the nearly certain outcome at 98-99c This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he consistently captures an edge and keeps growing his deposit

VALIX

79,237 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket that trades markets with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$254,000 His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It finds mispricing using its own model It receives spot/perp data for the underlying asset and constantly compares it with prices on Polymarket The model also analyzes volatility, momentum, acceleration, and order-flow imbalance, then buys when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal reverses, it starts accumulating the opposite side as a hedge If the underlying asset changes direction, it starts buying the opposite outcome. This reduces its net directional exposure If both sides can be bought cheaply enough, part of the position turns into complete sets His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from identifying the stronger outcome and properly managing its open positions

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket that trades markets with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$254,000 His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It finds mispricing using its own model It receives spot/perp data for the underlying asset and constantly compares it with prices on Polymarket The model also analyzes volatility, momentum, acceleration, and order-flow imbalance, then buys when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal reverses, it starts accumulating the opposite side as a hedge If the underlying asset changes direction, it starts buying the opposite outcome. This reduces its net directional exposure If both sides can be bought cheaply enough, part of the position turns into complete sets His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s algorithm comes from identifying the stronger outcome and properly managing its open positions

VALIX

28,194 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit

VALIX

86,634 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

11,216 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It looks something like this: > First, the bot accumulates one side > After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome > Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices > This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1 The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69 The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual

This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It looks something like this: > First, the bot accumulates one side > After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome > Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices > This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1 The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69 The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual

VALIX

17,483 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$201,827 in 1.5 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Calculates a fair value for Up and Down, then buys the undervalued outcome 2. To do this, it analyzes the current deviation from the starting price, the order book, short-term momentum, current volatility, and movement speed 3. If the underlying asset starts moving in the opposite direction, it buys the second side 4. Buying the second outcome works either as a hedge or as a way to build a paired position below $1 5. It leaves the unhedged remainder as a directional position if its model sees that outcome as more likely His Polymarket username: mo-money Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital That’s how he turned $19.7k into $201.8k in 1.5 months of trading His best trades: $151.64 -> $1,322.07 (+771.83%) $225.00 -> $1,749.64 (+677.63%) $222.00 -> $1,376.68 (+520.12%)

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$201,827 in 1.5 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Calculates a fair value for Up and Down, then buys the undervalued outcome 2. To do this, it analyzes the current deviation from the starting price, the order book, short-term momentum, current volatility, and movement speed 3. If the underlying asset starts moving in the opposite direction, it buys the second side 4. Buying the second outcome works either as a hedge or as a way to build a paired position below $1 5. It leaves the unhedged remainder as a directional position if its model sees that outcome as more likely His Polymarket username: mo-money Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital That’s how he turned $19.7k into $201.8k in 1.5 months of trading His best trades: $151.64 -> $1,322.07 (+771.83%) $225.00 -> $1,749.64 (+677.63%) $222.00 -> $1,376.68 (+520.12%)

VALIX

19,371 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten