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Trader Mayne explains his 10 BTC thesis “I think BTC will be $1,000,000 per at some point in my lifetime, if you have 10 BTC that’s $10,000,000” “I just don’t see how that doesn’t set up yourself, your future generations in some really meaningful way”

Jack

23,971 subscribers

223,475 次观看 • 9 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Why I like buying MSTR over IBIT: IBIT = 1:1 Bitcoin exposure. MSTR = 1:1 Bitcoin exposure PLUS consistent growth in Bitcoin per share. BTC grows at whatever CAGR the market gives you. MSTR grows BTC holdings per share on top of that. That’s convexity. That’s leverage without liquidation. That’s why I buy MSTR over IBIT. In a world where exposure is free, I want the asset that increases my exposure every year. 30% BTC CAGR and 10% BTC Yield gets you 2.58x outperformance over a decade. $100k into IBIT: $1,378,600 after 10 years $100k into MSTR: $3,560,000 after 10 years I'll take a 35.6x over a 13.8x. 158% outperformance.

Why I like buying MSTR over IBIT: IBIT = 1:1 Bitcoin exposure. MSTR = 1:1 Bitcoin exposure PLUS consistent growth in Bitcoin per share. BTC grows at whatever CAGR the market gives you. MSTR grows BTC holdings per share on top of that. That’s convexity. That’s leverage without liquidation. That’s why I buy MSTR over IBIT. In a world where exposure is free, I want the asset that increases my exposure every year. 30% BTC CAGR and 10% BTC Yield gets you 2.58x outperformance over a decade. $100k into IBIT: $1,378,600 after 10 years $100k into MSTR: $3,560,000 after 10 years I'll take a 35.6x over a 13.8x. 158% outperformance.

Adam Livingston

131,929 次观看 • 8 个月前

Bitcoin vs. Strive (ASST) - 10 Years Model: BTC 25% CAGR, Strive maintains their current level of 37% amplification and has 10% BTC Yield per year. $0.83 cents into each starting today, your Bitcoin investment will be $7.73 and your ASST buy will be worth $27. That is is ~3.5x outperformance of Bitcoin over a decade. Realistically, it's my opinion that BTC Yield as well as BTC CAGR will be a lot higher in the earlier years. If Bitcoin rips to $150,000-$200,000 this year, ASST is going to MELT FACES.

Bitcoin vs. Strive (ASST) - 10 Years Model: BTC 25% CAGR, Strive maintains their current level of 37% amplification and has 10% BTC Yield per year. $0.83 cents into each starting today, your Bitcoin investment will be $7.73 and your ASST buy will be worth $27. That is is ~3.5x outperformance of Bitcoin over a decade. Realistically, it's my opinion that BTC Yield as well as BTC CAGR will be a lot higher in the earlier years. If Bitcoin rips to $150,000-$200,000 this year, ASST is going to MELT FACES.

Adam Livingston

45,208 次观看 • 5 个月前

🔥METAPLANET MOON MATH🔥 Metaplanet had a 568.2% BTC Yield last year. Their small size helped. Even assuming they never trade at a huge multiple, and assuming a much lower BTC Yield, the returns are still ridiculous over the next 5 years. 1× mNAV returns with a 75 % BTC Yield + 30 % Bitcoin CAGR over the next 10 years are flat-out insane: Year 0: 35,102 BTC, $2.64 Year 1: 61,428 BTC, $6 Year 2: 107,500 BTC, $14 Year 3: 188,125 BTC, $31 Year 4: 329,218 BTC, $71 Year 5: 576,132 BTC, $161 Year 6: 1,008,231 BTC, $366 Year 7: 1,764,405 BTC, $833 Year 8: 3,087,708 BTC, $1,894 Year 9: 5,403,489 BTC, $4,310 Year 10: 9,456,106 BTC, $9,804 Halfway through the decade gets you as 61x here with those inputs. Lots of unknowns with this trade, keep in mind that they aim to have 210,000 BTC by end of 2027 and this is projecting about half that with 107,500. 75% BTC Yield for 10 years also will not happen. If you look at the results from this input, years 5-7 is where it starts to get ridiculous. Strategy was able to achieve more than Metaplanet's Year 5 number in a harder currency and by trailblazing... but getting around 1 million Bitcoin by year 6 will be much tougher with prices being higher past 2030. W/ the 75% BTC yield input I think this is a somewhat reasonable result for the first 5 years. Still small enough for plenty of yield. Of course, you could imagine a multiple. Or an even higher BTC Yield initially, then lower. Or a steeper BTC CAGR. Adjust whatever inputs you want. All I know... We’re going a LOT higher, kids. $MPJPY

🔥METAPLANET MOON MATH🔥 Metaplanet had a 568.2% BTC Yield last year. Their small size helped. Even assuming they never trade at a huge multiple, and assuming a much lower BTC Yield, the returns are still ridiculous over the next 5 years. 1× mNAV returns with a 75 % BTC Yield + 30 % Bitcoin CAGR over the next 10 years are flat-out insane: Year 0: 35,102 BTC, $2.64 Year 1: 61,428 BTC, $6 Year 2: 107,500 BTC, $14 Year 3: 188,125 BTC, $31 Year 4: 329,218 BTC, $71 Year 5: 576,132 BTC, $161 Year 6: 1,008,231 BTC, $366 Year 7: 1,764,405 BTC, $833 Year 8: 3,087,708 BTC, $1,894 Year 9: 5,403,489 BTC, $4,310 Year 10: 9,456,106 BTC, $9,804 Halfway through the decade gets you as 61x here with those inputs. Lots of unknowns with this trade, keep in mind that they aim to have 210,000 BTC by end of 2027 and this is projecting about half that with 107,500. 75% BTC Yield for 10 years also will not happen. If you look at the results from this input, years 5-7 is where it starts to get ridiculous. Strategy was able to achieve more than Metaplanet's Year 5 number in a harder currency and by trailblazing... but getting around 1 million Bitcoin by year 6 will be much tougher with prices being higher past 2030. W/ the 75% BTC yield input I think this is a somewhat reasonable result for the first 5 years. Still small enough for plenty of yield. Of course, you could imagine a multiple. Or an even higher BTC Yield initially, then lower. Or a steeper BTC CAGR. Adjust whatever inputs you want. All I know... We’re going a LOT higher, kids. $MPJPY

Adam Livingston

30,335 次观看 • 6 个月前

The most powerful BTC trading bot on Polymarket. Clawdbot scaled to over 12,000 bets per month and pulls in around $50,000 monthly. This Polymarket trader built software focused on short term BTC markets with 15 minute intervals. High volatility constantly creates pricing inefficiencies he takes advantage of. Pure low risk real time arbitrage. The bot runs 24/7. If you are still trading manually, you are making a serious mistake. According to his profile > If you do not understand how to set up a bot like this, I will be posting a step by step guide on my profile soon.

igorizuchaetcrypty

50,575 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨 Elon Musk in his new interview: "DOGE is going to continue just as a way of life and I will have some participation in that. But as I've said publicly, my focus has to be on my companies at this point."

🚨 Elon Musk in his new interview: "DOGE is going to continue just as a way of life and I will have some participation in that. But as I've said publicly, my focus has to be on my companies at this point."

DogeDesigner

52,040 次观看 • 1 年前

"DOGE is going to continue just as a way of life and I will have some participation in that. But as I've said publicly, my focus has to be on my companies at this point." — Elon Musk

"DOGE is going to continue just as a way of life and I will have some participation in that. But as I've said publicly, my focus has to be on my companies at this point." — Elon Musk

DogeDesigner

71,100 次观看 • 1 年前

🔥STRATEGY WILL BE THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY🔥 Strategy bought OVER 56,000 Bitcoin in April. That number is so absurd people are psychologically incapable of processing it. Post-halving miners produce roughly 13,500 BTC per month. Strategy just bought about 4.1x an entire month of new miner supply in one month. Now run the simple monster math: Today: Strategy BTC stack: 818,334 BTC Bitcoin price: $76,196 Bitcoin NAV: $62.35B Assume Strategy keeps buying 56,000 BTC per month for 5 years. That is: ASSUMING STRC GROWTH TOTALLY STOPS (LOL) ~672,000 BTC per year ~3,360,000 BTC over 5 years Their stack goes from: 818,334 BTC to 4,178,334 BTC Now assume Bitcoin compounds at 25% CAGR. Bitcoin goes from: $76,196 to roughly: $232,532 So the Bitcoin NAV becomes: 4,178,334 BTC × $232,532 = roughly $971.5 BILLION Almost $1 TRILLION in Bitcoin NAV. And the funniest part? This model assumes no mNAV expansion. No premium insanity. No additional acceleration. No credit flywheel getting stronger. No market panic as everyone realizes Strategy is vacuuming Bitcoin off the planet like a publicly traded monetary black hole. Just: 56,000 BTC per month. 25% Bitcoin CAGR. 5 years. That’s it. Don't think they can accumulate that much Bitcoin at that low of a CAGR? Think the Bitcoin CAGR has to go higher? Cool. That only helps Strategy buy more Bitcoin. The bear case is basically: “Sure, they are absorbing multiples of new supply, building the largest corporate Bitcoin balance sheet in history, converting fiat capital markets into Bitcoin ownership, and compounding NAV at escape velocity, but have you considered that I am emotionally upset?” MSTR is becoming the most aggressive Bitcoin accumulation machine ever built. The fiat world is still modeling it like a tech stock with a weird treasury policy. GOOD LUCK.

🔥STRATEGY WILL BE THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY🔥 Strategy bought OVER 56,000 Bitcoin in April. That number is so absurd people are psychologically incapable of processing it. Post-halving miners produce roughly 13,500 BTC per month. Strategy just bought about 4.1x an entire month of new miner supply in one month. Now run the simple monster math: Today: Strategy BTC stack: 818,334 BTC Bitcoin price: $76,196 Bitcoin NAV: $62.35B Assume Strategy keeps buying 56,000 BTC per month for 5 years. That is: ASSUMING STRC GROWTH TOTALLY STOPS (LOL) ~672,000 BTC per year ~3,360,000 BTC over 5 years Their stack goes from: 818,334 BTC to 4,178,334 BTC Now assume Bitcoin compounds at 25% CAGR. Bitcoin goes from: $76,196 to roughly: $232,532 So the Bitcoin NAV becomes: 4,178,334 BTC × $232,532 = roughly $971.5 BILLION Almost $1 TRILLION in Bitcoin NAV. And the funniest part? This model assumes no mNAV expansion. No premium insanity. No additional acceleration. No credit flywheel getting stronger. No market panic as everyone realizes Strategy is vacuuming Bitcoin off the planet like a publicly traded monetary black hole. Just: 56,000 BTC per month. 25% Bitcoin CAGR. 5 years. That’s it. Don't think they can accumulate that much Bitcoin at that low of a CAGR? Think the Bitcoin CAGR has to go higher? Cool. That only helps Strategy buy more Bitcoin. The bear case is basically: “Sure, they are absorbing multiples of new supply, building the largest corporate Bitcoin balance sheet in history, converting fiat capital markets into Bitcoin ownership, and compounding NAV at escape velocity, but have you considered that I am emotionally upset?” MSTR is becoming the most aggressive Bitcoin accumulation machine ever built. The fiat world is still modeling it like a tech stock with a weird treasury policy. GOOD LUCK.

Adam Livingston

61,524 次观看 • 2 个月前

Took some profits and went on vacation with my girl, so I was semi-off because of that. During this time, America somehow managed to capture Venezuela’s president in his own house and put him in prison with P. Diddy. I’m not a politic and don’t want to share my opinion on this situation. But somehow, $BTC and the crypto market started going up right after this happened. This time, it doesn’t look like the manipulations we saw after 10/10/2025. Wars used to be bearish before. This actually means a lot. Let that sink in.

Took some profits and went on vacation with my girl, so I was semi-off because of that. During this time, America somehow managed to capture Venezuela’s president in his own house and put him in prison with P. Diddy. I’m not a politic and don’t want to share my opinion on this situation. But somehow, $BTC and the crypto market started going up right after this happened. This time, it doesn’t look like the manipulations we saw after 10/10/2025. Wars used to be bearish before. This actually means a lot. Let that sink in.

Sammy

18,325 次观看 • 6 个月前

I think this goes to prove my point which is that if you smile and have a bit of personality in America you are considered a 10/10 because so many women are bitches

I think this goes to prove my point which is that if you smile and have a bit of personality in America you are considered a 10/10 because so many women are bitches

Craft Lager Enjoyer

418,590 次观看 • 2 个月前

MILKLOVE PEARLFECT CUSHION #3CExMilkLove #มิ้ลค์เลิฟ #MilkLove 💚: Both in real life and in what fans see, I only act cute and clingy with certain people cuz I already have someone special. That’s just how I am, and I don’t need to treat everyone that way. Honestly, I’m already trying to hold back and be myself as little as possible… really, as little as I can.😅 💖: And me? I don’t act clingy. I just let her be clingy with me 😼 💚: You guys will see 😆🫵🏻

MILKLOVE PEARLFECT CUSHION #3CExMilkLove #มิ้ลค์เลิฟ #MilkLove 💚: Both in real life and in what fans see, I only act cute and clingy with certain people cuz I already have someone special. That’s just how I am, and I don’t need to treat everyone that way. Honestly, I’m already trying to hold back and be myself as little as possible… really, as little as I can.😅 💖: And me? I don’t act clingy. I just let her be clingy with me 😼 💚: You guys will see 😆🫵🏻

sᴀᴘᴘʜᴏʀɪᴀ💫

121,294 次观看 • 11 个月前

Transfer Open Runs. Only need 10 transfers, don’t come if you don’t play for real in pickup. Every body trying to work on they game. All I ask is that you bust my incoming freshman up and give them some game, share your experiences with them. #TTw

Transfer Open Runs. Only need 10 transfers, don’t come if you don’t play for real in pickup. Every body trying to work on they game. All I ask is that you bust my incoming freshman up and give them some game, share your experiences with them. #TTw

T

43,484 次观看 • 1 年前

You can’t make this up One year ago : “To be honest I don’t know why it is called the futures market” Mind you— she has 10+ years experience in trading. Futures are contracts to buy or sell underlying assets at a FUTURE date, which is why there is an expiration. Some are cash settled and some are PHYSICALLY deliverable. That’s important information to know if you are trading futures.

You can’t make this up One year ago : “To be honest I don’t know why it is called the futures market” Mind you— she has 10+ years experience in trading. Futures are contracts to buy or sell underlying assets at a FUTURE date, which is why there is an expiration. Some are cash settled and some are PHYSICALLY deliverable. That’s important information to know if you are trading futures.

Market Mommy

106,388 次观看 • 6 个月前

“i don’t often touch my face, you know why? my face will get dirty if i do that. you know in the morning i’m pretty and have all the moisturizer on and it’s gone because i rub my face??? omo omo omo (no way)” JAEMIN DOESN’T PLAY ABOUT HIS SKIN CARE 😭

“i don’t often touch my face, you know why? my face will get dirty if i do that. you know in the morning i’m pretty and have all the moisturizer on and it’s gone because i rub my face??? omo omo omo (no way)” JAEMIN DOESN’T PLAY ABOUT HIS SKIN CARE 😭

𝄞⨾𓍢ִ໋

74,392 次观看 • 5 个月前

Some of you believe beans should not be in chili and that’s fine. I don’t mind if beans are in or not. Chili is just good ole comfort food on a cold day in my opinion. 😁😁

Some of you believe beans should not be in chili and that’s fine. I don’t mind if beans are in or not. Chili is just good ole comfort food on a cold day in my opinion. 😁😁

American No Deep State Arrest Islandman

16,256 次观看 • 5 个月前

🦊 can’t you just act on your feelings? 🐧 so this person isn’t really interested? 🦊 that’s not what i mean at all 🐧 wow that’s harsh 🦊 if you like someone enough, wondering how to approach them is totally normal but if you don’t do anything, nothing will happen speaking from experience, i see…

🦊 can’t you just act on your feelings? 🐧 so this person isn’t really interested? 🦊 that’s not what i mean at all 🐧 wow that’s harsh 🦊 if you like someone enough, wondering how to approach them is totally normal but if you don’t do anything, nothing will happen speaking from experience, i see…

ᰔ

86,170 次观看 • 9 个月前

Buying $ETH heavy at $1070-$1370 Dont think it goes much lower. Everyone expects $ETH to bleed harder than $BTC from here, but its already insanely oversold. So im taking the other side. Quick on why: ETH/BTC ratio is insanely low. People treat this like $BTC vs some random coin. Its not. $BTC and $ETH are the same kind of asset - supply already out, no insider unlocks, 10+ years of nobody printing or rugging it. The only two real blue chips. The only question is which looks safer from here, and right now its $BTC holding most of the open problems. The cleanest way to see it: the treasuries. Strategy sits on 845k $BTC, paid for with stock and preferred that owes cash dividends. $BTC pays them nothing back, so they have to sell to cover it. Bitmine sits on 5.5M $ETH and stakes most of it, earning around 270M a year. Same drawdown, opposite situation. One bleeds to hold, the other gets paid to hold. And thats the asset itself, not just the treasury. A third of all $ETH is staked and earning. $BTC just sits while its new supply gets sold by miners to cover power bills. Last cycle the loud call was $10k $ETH. Never came. This cycle the loud call is "$ETH is dead", screamed right at the price where it stopped falling. Im not betting against $BTC, i hold both. I just think the one everyone gave up on is the one that pays u to wait. Thats why im buying here. DCA 1370 to 1070 3/4 at 1070. Out under 800.

Buying $ETH heavy at $1070-$1370 Dont think it goes much lower. Everyone expects $ETH to bleed harder than $BTC from here, but its already insanely oversold. So im taking the other side. Quick on why: ETH/BTC ratio is insanely low. People treat this like $BTC vs some random coin. Its not. $BTC and $ETH are the same kind of asset - supply already out, no insider unlocks, 10+ years of nobody printing or rugging it. The only two real blue chips. The only question is which looks safer from here, and right now its $BTC holding most of the open problems. The cleanest way to see it: the treasuries. Strategy sits on 845k $BTC, paid for with stock and preferred that owes cash dividends. $BTC pays them nothing back, so they have to sell to cover it. Bitmine sits on 5.5M $ETH and stakes most of it, earning around 270M a year. Same drawdown, opposite situation. One bleeds to hold, the other gets paid to hold. And thats the asset itself, not just the treasury. A third of all $ETH is staked and earning. $BTC just sits while its new supply gets sold by miners to cover power bills. Last cycle the loud call was $10k $ETH. Never came. This cycle the loud call is "$ETH is dead", screamed right at the price where it stopped falling. Im not betting against $BTC, i hold both. I just think the one everyone gave up on is the one that pays u to wait. Thats why im buying here. DCA 1370 to 1070 3/4 at 1070. Out under 800.

𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽

277,142 次观看 • 20 天前

🔥THE SIMPLE PATH TO $1,000 MSTR🔥 I modeled Strategy buying BTC at its current 2026 pace of 1,822 BTC per business day all the way through EOY 2027. Assumptions: BTC goes from $77K to $275K ($275k is the Power Law trend price EOY 2027, not moonboi nonsense) Every purchase is funded with 100% STRC issuance STRC costs 11.5% Strategy sells BTC every month to pay the dividend The cool part about this is that it shows what happens if STRC adoption stays flat from here, when in reality it is scaling quickly. Starting point: 843,738 BTC $13.52B preferred $8.21B debt 384.2M diluted shares Result by Dec 2027: Gross BTC bought: 743,246 BTC sold for dividends: 66,942 Net BTC added: 676,304 Ending stack: 1,520,042 BTC CEBE/share: 146K sats → 251K sats CEBE NAV/share: $112.56 → $691.01 If the market keeps paying today’s 1.48x price-to-CEBE multiple, the common stock projects to: $166.63 → $1,022.75 So the “crippling” 11.5% cost of capital ends up forcing monthly BTC sales of only 66.9K BTC total, while the machine inhales 743K BTC gross. Wall Street built a preferred-stock blood bank for a Bitcoin black hole, and the black hole is still hungry. Boom. Not hard. Bitcoin reverts back to trend price and Strategy stays on the pace they're on. $1,000 MSTR. If this math is even directionally right, people are grotesquely underestimating what happens when scarce collateral is funded by infinite boomer paper.

🔥THE SIMPLE PATH TO $1,000 MSTR🔥 I modeled Strategy buying BTC at its current 2026 pace of 1,822 BTC per business day all the way through EOY 2027. Assumptions: BTC goes from $77K to $275K ($275k is the Power Law trend price EOY 2027, not moonboi nonsense) Every purchase is funded with 100% STRC issuance STRC costs 11.5% Strategy sells BTC every month to pay the dividend The cool part about this is that it shows what happens if STRC adoption stays flat from here, when in reality it is scaling quickly. Starting point: 843,738 BTC $13.52B preferred $8.21B debt 384.2M diluted shares Result by Dec 2027: Gross BTC bought: 743,246 BTC sold for dividends: 66,942 Net BTC added: 676,304 Ending stack: 1,520,042 BTC CEBE/share: 146K sats → 251K sats CEBE NAV/share: $112.56 → $691.01 If the market keeps paying today’s 1.48x price-to-CEBE multiple, the common stock projects to: $166.63 → $1,022.75 So the “crippling” 11.5% cost of capital ends up forcing monthly BTC sales of only 66.9K BTC total, while the machine inhales 743K BTC gross. Wall Street built a preferred-stock blood bank for a Bitcoin black hole, and the black hole is still hungry. Boom. Not hard. Bitcoin reverts back to trend price and Strategy stays on the pace they're on. $1,000 MSTR. If this math is even directionally right, people are grotesquely underestimating what happens when scarce collateral is funded by infinite boomer paper.

Adam Livingston

54,294 次观看 • 1 个月前

🦊 i hope you’ll continue to still like me and my stuff in the future, but even if you don’t or don’t think i’m good, that’s also fine because it just means that you’re still paying attention to me

🦊 i hope you’ll continue to still like me and my stuff in the future, but even if you don’t or don’t think i’m good, that’s also fine because it just means that you’re still paying attention to me

zzn.

38,997 次观看 • 8 个月前

my bot doesn't predict bitcoin it just waits for polymarket to catch up to binance spot price moves, polymarket takes 2-3 seconds to reprice agent buys the lag, waits 5 minutes, collects 288 windows per day. every single day trading bots pulled $60M on polymarket last year 77% from exactly this one inefficiency most traders ask "will btc go up?" - wrong question "how long until polymarket catches up?" - that's the one that pays $130 to $14,400 in 47 days not from predicting btc correctly. from timing a 2-second delay Bookmark to copy strategy to your Bot later gap resets every 5 minutes doesn't care about your macro thesis

my bot doesn't predict bitcoin it just waits for polymarket to catch up to binance spot price moves, polymarket takes 2-3 seconds to reprice agent buys the lag, waits 5 minutes, collects 288 windows per day. every single day trading bots pulled $60M on polymarket last year 77% from exactly this one inefficiency most traders ask "will btc go up?" - wrong question "how long until polymarket catches up?" - that's the one that pays $130 to $14,400 in 47 days not from predicting btc correctly. from timing a 2-second delay Bookmark to copy strategy to your Bot later gap resets every 5 minutes doesn't care about your macro thesis

Livsun

20,761 次观看 • 1 个月前

June 💰 For/To: #Aries #Leo #Sagittarius #FireSigns Give yourself a round of applause baby! Your about to be in the lime light really soon. You had all odds against you and now look around. You may not see it but I promise if you believe it all will be coming to you. You are moving towards real wealth and prosperity. Keep up the good work. No one said it was gonna be easy but damn it you are gonna get it done. You’re the one who’s gonna create generational wealth and have your way out here. I do see that get creative. If you work a 9-5 try a different approach, apply for jobs that have higher pay, you stepping outside of yourself no matter how risky it is, it’s bound to pay off. Don’t feel like just bc where your at that your stuck bc your not. Some of are about to have an opportunity to be the face/body of a brand, asked to be in a music video, asked to do something really big and it’s time to prepare yourself for what’s to come. New doors are opening for you and you’re about to be around some new faces and places. This could also mean you could be the host/bottle girl/assistant. Something big is happening this month for you

🔥HOTGIRLTAROTSHA🔥

127,064 次观看 • 2 年前