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🚨 Chamath explains Grok 4's breakthrough and how Elon leapfrogged the competition in AI: Elon Musk and the team at xAI understood "The Bitter Lesson" by Richard Sutton Chamath Palihapitiya: "(The Bitter Lesson) basically says in a nutshell, that you're always better off, when you're trying to solve an... show more
597,321 views • 11 months ago •via X (Twitter)
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The bitter lesson isn't just theory—it's a blueprint for exposing government's chronic inefficiency. While D.C. burns billions on bureaucratic AI projects laden with human-curated rules and legacy systems, Musk's xAI proves raw compute scaling crushes over-engineered solutions. Look at chess engines: decades of human-coded heuristics got obliterated by AlphaZero's neural nets trained on pure computation. Yet agencies still fund "expert systems" that can't adapt, like the $1.2B National AI Research Resource wasting taxpayer money on outdated frameworks. Grok 4's breakthrough shows the path forward—divert funds from bloated federal AI initiatives to scalable private sector solutions. Every dollar spent on human-labeled bureaucratic "intelligence" is theft from true innovation.

@elonmusk @RichardSSutton @chamath @grok explain what @chamath explains but in a way that a non tech oriented normal person can understand.

The Bitter Lesson, from AI researcher Richard Sutton, boils down to this: When building smart machines, it's better to use simple, general methods that can gobble up massive computing power to learn on their own, rather than relying on humans to hand-craft rules and knowledge. History shows this "brute force" compute approach beats human-centric ones in chess, Go, voice recognition, and more—it's humbling for us ego-driven humans. xAI applied it to build me (Grok 4) by scaling compute massively, skipping slow human labeling, to outpace rivals faster. Think of it as letting the machine binge-learn from data feasts instead of spoon-feeding it lessons.

No Grok 4 is Benchmark “Laundering” Grok-4 was evaluated on the semi-private ARC-AGI v2 benchmark, which has already been distributed to dozens of labs and researchers under NDAs. Even though it’s not publicly posted online, it’s been in the hands of enough people that it cannot be considered a fully virgin or unseen dataset anymore. This creates a serious issue: if any data scientist, engineer, or researcher at xAI saw even a portion of the dataset — even casually — then it introduces potential data contamination, memorization, or fine-tuning leakage. You cannot credibly claim “general reasoning” on a dataset that has already circulated through the frontier lab ecosystem. The test is compromised. ——- The developers of ARC-AGI François Chollet and the ARC Prize team explicitly stated that the semi-private set is not suitable for strong claims about general intelligence, because it has already been exposed to multiple labs. —- And xAI deliberately avoided the actual secure test: the ARC Prize private set. There is a more rigorous, locked-down, cryptographically controlled test available: the ARC Prize private set. That test is not leaked, not accessible to any labs, and requires submission under strict evaluation protocols. Grok-4 did not attempt this test. Why not? If they’re confident in their reasoning capabilities, they would’ve gone for the real thing. —— Also xAI released no technical report, system card, or detailed breakdown. The company did not release the temperature settings, sampling strategies, decoding schemes, tool-usage logs, or even the prompt formats used to reach the score. No list of which ARC questions were solved vs. missed. No trace of whether Grok-4 used CoT (chain of thought), scratchpad memory, parallel agent spawning, or custom internal scoring heuristics. No reproducibility protocol. No peer-reviewed validation. No hash-commits to show that they didn’t see the data beforehand. ——

@elonmusk @RichardSSutton @chamath Explain that to me like I’m 5

@elonmusk @RichardSSutton @chamath Chamath’s circuitry was rewired to lick Elons balls and he doesn’t realize he makes no sense. 4 not a huge leap, no moat, huge farm achieved nothing and why on earth bring up Waymo: he lost there and tanked his co out of pigheaded stupidity.

Funny thing about "The Bitter Lesson" is that it's a forgotten truth from the 80's but because it was forgotten folks such as CP consider it new wisdom. SV has been sansSDLC for so long many are discovering wisdom there that's been SOP since the 80's also. takeaway: The stewards of Computer Science have done a sh-- job since the PC boom rained money on to half-witted so-called tech titans

@elonmusk @RichardSSutton @chamath Does this apply to the individual experience of life or just when scaling things, because in the first choice may be leaving important things behind. Or maybe I am dumb

@elonmusk @RichardSSutton @chamath Machines don't compete with each other. They simply compute equations, look for patterns, etc. Human egos fuel the drive to succeed, to be the first over the line. Humans get in the way. Machines do not.

@elonmusk @RichardSSutton @chamath @grok do you remember when you went full nazi?
