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Former Harvard CS Professor: "AI is improving exponentially and will replace most human programmers within 4-15 years:

38,408 views • 9 months ago •via X (Twitter)

32 Comments

Not a Keynesian's profile picture
Not a Keynesian9 months ago

Software creation will remain a rewarding and lucrative career. All that's changing is how we create the product. Don't pay too much attention to predictions from academics, kids. They have an almost perfect track record of being wrong. It's why they're professors.

Palki's profile picture
Palki9 months ago

The amount of years it will take AI to replace human grows exponentially. Last time i read something like this it was 1 year, before that it was 6 months :p

Bad4Biz's profile picture
Bad4Biz9 months ago

4-15 years LMAOOOOO, cast a wide net and you'll catch something

NotAnotherName's profile picture
NotAnotherName9 months ago

I predict that in 4-15 years it will be in another 4-15 years. Classic strategy.

ufc_kjhg's profile picture
ufc_kjhg9 months ago

Has this CS professor never heard of the curse of dimensionality or the brutal exponential nature of the scaled dot product? Fool, stick to teaching recursion and big O cause clearly those are the most complex topics his generation of coders went through

Victor's profile picture
Victor9 months ago

the ones who adapt will be the ones prompting circles around those still gatekeeping syntax knowledge

Simplifying AI's profile picture
Simplifying AI9 months ago

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Command & Code's profile picture
Command & Code9 months ago

I thought CEO Anthropic said 6-12 month away, so who should we listen or trust? Hmm 😅 Me: Trust what I read from my code.

Alex Mano's profile picture
Alex Mano9 months ago

Maybe professors will be replaced since repetitive work is something that ai excels

MATHEMATICAL_EQUATIONS's profile picture
MATHEMATICAL_EQUATIONS9 months ago

In 4 year you will have developer on a completely other level. IF they use ai like a partner. Human are always needed maybe we should start coding guilds

Iverson Diles's profile picture
Iverson Diles9 months ago

lol cs professors have failed their students - they’ve been pumping out folks who never really understood what it took to build software and now they’re saying those students are cooked? 😅 Almost like the lack of real world experience has warped their world view.

schölovitz's profile picture
schölovitz9 months ago

3 months.

Banner2023's profile picture
Banner20239 months ago

Yet we are sponsoring visa as fast as we can print , screw us citizens at employment opportunities

Andrej Szontagh's profile picture
Andrej Szontagh9 months ago

I haven't seen the full talk, but everytime somebody tries to compare AI to previous industrial revolutions and try to extrapolate what is going to happen from that I just cringe.

OpenLedger's profile picture
OpenLedger9 months ago

We're seeing the same view and prediction across the board, but believe equally as much that new jobs and roles will be produced because of the same tech advancements.

EERIE JITTERZ's profile picture
EERIE JITTERZ9 months ago

not having kids

jfk's profile picture
jfk9 months ago

Bro said 4-15 years

Praveen Kumar's profile picture
Praveen Kumar9 months ago

4 years for sure

Doekoesan's profile picture
Doekoesan9 months ago

It will not improve exponentially.d

All About Data's profile picture
All About Data9 months ago

Question is if it can replace the deployment stage, that deals with all the bugs that come when clients are using the software. Another question is if sufficient data will be available for training future LLMs as many programmers may take their hands off Open Source projects.

𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗮's profile picture
𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗮9 months ago

what kind of range is that? I can make predictions too! we will put based on mars within 5 to 100 years.

Marcin Rodziewicz's profile picture
Marcin Rodziewicz9 months ago

Dude works at Palantir, very credible source for those kinds of opinions 🙃

Nrtypnt863's profile picture
Nrtypnt8639 months ago

@grok who is this? And what are his incentives to say this?

innerhat's profile picture
innerhat9 months ago

AI demotivates and defunds the tourists, I’m ok with it

Tawfiq Khalilieh's profile picture
Tawfiq Khalilieh9 months ago

The technology they used to build these LLMs doesn't allow for this exponential jump, and money isn't enough anyways

Nrtypnt863's profile picture
Nrtypnt8639 months ago

@grok what is Matt Walsh involved in now that incentivizes this narrative?

Read Offline's profile picture
Read Offline9 months ago

Why the fk would you cut the video short for no reason?

Imran's profile picture
Imran9 months ago

6 months / 1 year later, someone will say same thing again! its a loop! or a ai-loop-hype..lol.

Optimus_Mega's profile picture
Optimus_Mega9 months ago

Ai is kind of coming to the same wall as quantum computing. The Ideas are space age but definitely not short term projection. Ai regurgitating a bunch of code it already knows based on probabilistic remixing is not a replacement for coders.

dhruva's profile picture
dhruva9 months ago

these Professor write books ..stop buying books , AI is enough to learn coding , ...Also i wish many students from India , Asia should stop spending 1000's of $ to attend US universities , AI is enough to learn .. overall stop spending money, AI will take care of everything 🙄

Sebastian Buzdugan's profile picture
Sebastian Buzdugan9 months ago

exponential for capability, slower for organizational adoption

Pro's profile picture
Pro9 months ago

How many programmers were there 3 years ago? I feel like I’m going crazy.

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