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Former Harvard CS Professor: "AI is improving exponentially and will replace most human programmers within 4-15 years:

38,408 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

32 Kommentare

Profilbild von Not a Keynesian
Not a Keynesianvor 9 Monaten

Software creation will remain a rewarding and lucrative career. All that's changing is how we create the product. Don't pay too much attention to predictions from academics, kids. They have an almost perfect track record of being wrong. It's why they're professors.

Profilbild von Palki
Palkivor 9 Monaten

The amount of years it will take AI to replace human grows exponentially. Last time i read something like this it was 1 year, before that it was 6 months :p

Profilbild von Bad4Biz
Bad4Bizvor 9 Monaten

4-15 years LMAOOOOO, cast a wide net and you'll catch something

Profilbild von NotAnotherName
NotAnotherNamevor 9 Monaten

I predict that in 4-15 years it will be in another 4-15 years. Classic strategy.

Profilbild von ufc_kjhg
ufc_kjhgvor 9 Monaten

Has this CS professor never heard of the curse of dimensionality or the brutal exponential nature of the scaled dot product? Fool, stick to teaching recursion and big O cause clearly those are the most complex topics his generation of coders went through

Profilbild von Victor
Victorvor 9 Monaten

the ones who adapt will be the ones prompting circles around those still gatekeeping syntax knowledge

Profilbild von Simplifying AI
Simplifying AIvor 9 Monaten

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Profilbild von Command & Code
Command & Codevor 9 Monaten

I thought CEO Anthropic said 6-12 month away, so who should we listen or trust? Hmm 😅 Me: Trust what I read from my code.

Profilbild von Alex Mano
Alex Manovor 9 Monaten

Maybe professors will be replaced since repetitive work is something that ai excels

Profilbild von MATHEMATICAL_EQUATIONS
MATHEMATICAL_EQUATIONSvor 9 Monaten

In 4 year you will have developer on a completely other level. IF they use ai like a partner. Human are always needed maybe we should start coding guilds

Profilbild von Iverson Diles
Iverson Dilesvor 9 Monaten

lol cs professors have failed their students - they’ve been pumping out folks who never really understood what it took to build software and now they’re saying those students are cooked? 😅 Almost like the lack of real world experience has warped their world view.

Profilbild von schölovitz
schölovitzvor 9 Monaten

3 months.

Profilbild von Banner2023
Banner2023vor 9 Monaten

Yet we are sponsoring visa as fast as we can print , screw us citizens at employment opportunities

Profilbild von Andrej Szontagh
Andrej Szontaghvor 9 Monaten

I haven't seen the full talk, but everytime somebody tries to compare AI to previous industrial revolutions and try to extrapolate what is going to happen from that I just cringe.

Profilbild von OpenLedger
OpenLedgervor 9 Monaten

We're seeing the same view and prediction across the board, but believe equally as much that new jobs and roles will be produced because of the same tech advancements.

Profilbild von EERIE JITTERZ
EERIE JITTERZvor 9 Monaten

not having kids

Profilbild von jfk
jfkvor 9 Monaten

Bro said 4-15 years

Profilbild von Praveen Kumar
Praveen Kumarvor 9 Monaten

4 years for sure

Profilbild von Doekoesan
Doekoesanvor 9 Monaten

It will not improve exponentially.d

Profilbild von All About Data
All About Datavor 9 Monaten

Question is if it can replace the deployment stage, that deals with all the bugs that come when clients are using the software. Another question is if sufficient data will be available for training future LLMs as many programmers may take their hands off Open Source projects.

Profilbild von 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗮
𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗮vor 9 Monaten

what kind of range is that? I can make predictions too! we will put based on mars within 5 to 100 years.

Profilbild von Marcin Rodziewicz
Marcin Rodziewiczvor 9 Monaten

Dude works at Palantir, very credible source for those kinds of opinions 🙃

Profilbild von Nrtypnt863
Nrtypnt863vor 9 Monaten

@grok who is this? And what are his incentives to say this?

Profilbild von innerhat
innerhatvor 9 Monaten

AI demotivates and defunds the tourists, I’m ok with it

Profilbild von Tawfiq Khalilieh
Tawfiq Khaliliehvor 9 Monaten

The technology they used to build these LLMs doesn't allow for this exponential jump, and money isn't enough anyways

Profilbild von Nrtypnt863
Nrtypnt863vor 9 Monaten

@grok what is Matt Walsh involved in now that incentivizes this narrative?

Profilbild von Read Offline
Read Offlinevor 9 Monaten

Why the fk would you cut the video short for no reason?

Profilbild von Imran
Imranvor 9 Monaten

6 months / 1 year later, someone will say same thing again! its a loop! or a ai-loop-hype..lol.

Profilbild von Optimus_Mega
Optimus_Megavor 9 Monaten

Ai is kind of coming to the same wall as quantum computing. The Ideas are space age but definitely not short term projection. Ai regurgitating a bunch of code it already knows based on probabilistic remixing is not a replacement for coders.

Profilbild von dhruva
dhruvavor 9 Monaten

these Professor write books ..stop buying books , AI is enough to learn coding , ...Also i wish many students from India , Asia should stop spending 1000's of $ to attend US universities , AI is enough to learn .. overall stop spending money, AI will take care of everything 🙄

Profilbild von Sebastian Buzdugan
Sebastian Buzduganvor 9 Monaten

exponential for capability, slower for organizational adoption

Profilbild von Pro
Provor 9 Monaten

How many programmers were there 3 years ago? I feel like I’m going crazy.

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