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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $35.88 Result: +$470,883 His algorithm trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets. It combines directional trading and dynamic hedging, while forming complete sets with part of its inventory: 1. Finds undervalued outcomes using its own fair value...

84,459 views • 4 days ago •via X (Twitter)

29 Comments

Daniro's profile picture
Daniro4 days ago

This guy combines directional trading and dynamic hedging very successfully

VALIX's profile picture
VALIX4 days ago

Yes, it’s a very common strategy among trading bots on Polymarket, and this guy has implemented it really well

Wallchain Community Hub's profile picture
Wallchain Community Hub4 days ago

small size printing insane numbers

Gabagool 22 Trading Bot's profile picture
Gabagool 22 Trading Bot4 days ago

Achieving that level of profit from such small average trades means their execution is top-tier. Finding those structural edges by completing sets, combined with dynamic hedging, is a highly effective approach, but it demands serious speed and system stability to scale.

Solana Scout's profile picture
Solana Scout4 days ago

i mean, $470k off $36 average fills is insane

VALIX's profile picture
VALIX3 days ago

Yes, but it achieves that result by capturing a small, consistent edge across tens of thousands of trades

Solana Scout's profile picture
Solana Scout3 days ago

yeah the fill size is what makes it real. $36 average means he's actually getting filled, not just posting limit orders into the void. 13k trades at that clip is a real system, not a lucky run

Fapah's profile picture
Fapah4 days ago

wild looks

محسن's profile picture
محسن4 days ago

@gorok درباره تصویر توضیح بده

محسن's profile picture
محسن4 days ago

@grok درباره تصویر توضیح بده

Kairo's profile picture
Kairo4 days ago

The edge isn’t the $35 trade. It’s buying the cheap side, then using the other side to lock a set under a dollar. The rest is just leftover conviction.

Alex Lee's profile picture
Alex Lee3 days ago

$35 average trades turning into $470k is nasty 😭

Mohamed Alrashedi's profile picture
Mohamed Alrashedi3 days ago

Be carful this is a SCAM

Deadly Assassin's profile picture
Deadly Assassin3 days ago

@grok is it true?

MoneyMagnet's profile picture
MoneyMagnet3 days ago

how do l also get th bot

Kai Lennox's profile picture
Kai Lennox3 days ago

$35 average trades adding up to $470k still sounds fake 😭

Larry Pu's profile picture
Larry Pu3 days ago

Amazing

Swift Tun's profile picture
Swift Tun3 days ago

this is crazy AI bullshit, thanks

Barreira Damião's profile picture
Barreira Damião3 days ago

Muito claro.

zael's profile picture
zael3 days ago

@grok כמה עולה לבנות מערכת כזו וכמה עולה להחזיק אותה

An$h's profile picture
An$h3 days ago

$35 trades printing 470k is unhinged

tootooc's profile picture
tootooc4 days ago

$35 average size to +$470k is a volume and hedging game, not a directional one. The complete-set part is the clever bit, it locks some inventory into a known payout. Anyone trying to copy it should model fees and slippage first; short-duration markets eat more than people expect.

Enano Loco's profile picture
Enano Loco4 days ago

Me regalan 1 usdt para operar soy nuevo tengo 18 años

Jangra's profile picture
Jangra3 days ago

yeah, context switching tax is brutal. i feel it most mid-code — need the ai loop tight or i lose the whole thread. maybe that's why nailing the exact broken step beats blind retry 🫡

Cole's profile picture
Cole4 days ago

kinda love that at that trade size the boring complete-set side probably carries more of the pnl than the directional calls

Dinatale John's profile picture
Dinatale John4 days ago

is it true? @grok ?

Victoria 🤍's profile picture
Victoria 🤍3 days ago

Well said

swapcherry's profile picture
swapcherry4 days ago

$470K ON $35 TICKETS LFGGGG

lp7722's profile picture
lp77224 days ago

能挣钱的不会公开,公开的绝对挣不到钱

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This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions change

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