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๐ƒ๐„๐Œ๐Ž๐‚๐‘๐€๐“๐ˆ๐‚ ๐๐ˆ๐‡๐ˆ๐‹๐ˆ๐’๐Œ ๐‡๐€๐’ ๐๐Ž ๐๐‹๐”๐„๐๐‘๐ˆ๐๐“ Victor Davis Hanson โ€” Hoover Institution senior fellow, military historian, fifth-generation California farmer โ€” just delivered the most precise autopsy of the modern Democratic Party Iโ€™ve heard. His thesis: the party died sometime around 2008 and what replaced it is ๐ง๐ข๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ...

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๐๐‹๐”๐„-๐‡๐€๐ˆ๐‘๐„๐ƒ ๐๐˜๐‚ ๐†๐”๐˜ ๐†๐Ž๐„๐’ ๐“๐Ž ๐๐Ž ๐Š๐ˆ๐๐†๐’ ๐‘๐€๐‹๐‹๐˜, ๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐Œ๐€๐๐“๐‹๐„๐’ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐„๐๐“๐ˆ๐‘๐„ ๐Œ๐Ž๐•๐„๐Œ๐„๐๐“, ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐ƒ๐„๐‚๐‹๐€๐‘๐„๐’: โ€œ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐“๐‘๐€๐๐’๐ˆ๐“๐ˆ๐Ž๐ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐‚๐Ž๐Œ๐๐‹๐„๐“๐„โ€ This guy lives in Chelsea โ€” one of the most liberal neighborhoods in Manhattan. He has blue hair. Everyone in his building kept asking him if he went to the No Kings rally. He politely said no. Then he turned on his camera and said what he really thinks. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฌ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ด, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜บ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฏ๐˜บ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต. He went further: ๐˜ ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ข ๐˜ช๐˜ด, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. ๐˜ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ โ€” ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช-๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ. On the rally itself: ๐˜๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ. ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ. Everyone in his neighborhood treated it like a social event โ€” the cool thing to do in Chelsea. ๐˜‰๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด ๐˜โ€™๐˜ฎ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ. Then the line that says everything about where this country is heading: ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ. ๐˜ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜บ๐˜ด ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ท๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ. And then: ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. He acknowledged what he supports Trump on: ๐˜Œ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ, ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜โ€™๐˜ฎ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฆ. ๐˜ ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜Œ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต. His closing message to his blue-haired peers: ๐˜—๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜บ. ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ช๐˜ต. And to conservatives watching: ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ. ๐˜ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ณ. ๐˜Ž๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ช๐˜ต. ๐˜š๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜บ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ. Then Batya Ungar-Sargon weighed in with the analytical kill shot: ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜‹๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. She pointed out the obvious: ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. ๐˜๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. ๐˜๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ข ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜บ. And then the best observation of all: ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ โ€” ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข โ€œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ดโ€ ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช-๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜บ ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ โ€” ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ช๐˜ต. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฉ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ช๐˜ต, ๐˜Ž๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ช๐˜ต. ๐€ ๐›๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž-๐ก๐š๐ข๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‚๐ก๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ž๐š ๐š๐ง๐ ๐š ๐‚๐๐ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐›๐ฎ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ซ๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐œ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ž๐ฅ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐›๐ข๐ง๐ž๐.

M.A. Rothman

187,656 views โ€ข 4 months ago

๐๐ˆ๐‹๐‹ ๐Œ๐€๐‡๐„๐‘: โ€œ๐–๐„ ๐€๐’๐Š ๐“๐‡๐„๐’๐„ ๐๐„๐Ž๐๐‹๐„ ๐„๐•๐„๐‘๐˜ ๐–๐„๐„๐Š. ๐“๐‡๐„๐˜ ๐’๐€๐˜ ๐๐Ž.โ€ This montage from Real Time is something every Democrat should have to watch. Maher lays it out plainly: the biggest names in the Democratic Party โ€” Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, Kamala Harris โ€” ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž to come on his show. โ€œ๐˜—๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜บ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜‰๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜Š๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ? ๐˜ž๐˜ฉ๐˜บ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜’๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ข ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ? ๐˜ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฌ? ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฌ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ.โ€ Then the kicker: โ€œ๐˜๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜–๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ข ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ.โ€ And who does show up? โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด? ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ.โ€ Thatโ€™s the tell. Republicans walk into adversarial interviews. Democrats wonโ€™t even walk into ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ones โ€” because Maher asks follow-up questions, and follow-up questions are what the Democratic messaging apparatus cannot survive. Then the clip shifts to Maher defending Trump on foreign policy โ€” to his own liberal audience. โ€œ๐˜๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜—๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ. ๐˜๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜–. ๐˜๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜–. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜™๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ข.โ€ When someone accused him of โ€œcoming around,โ€ Maher shot back: โ€œ๐˜โ€™๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ.โ€ Then thereโ€™s the White House ballroom segment, where Maher defended the renovation: โ€œ๐˜ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ช๐˜ต. ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. ๐˜๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ, ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ž๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต. ๐˜โ€™๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต.โ€ The liberal outrage machine is so reflexive that it attacks a private donation to improve the Peopleโ€™s House โ€” and Maher called it out. This is a man who voted Democrat his entire life, told his audience he doesnโ€™t hate the Iran bombing, showed clips of Iranians doing the Trump dance on his show (Yahoo Entertainment), and has called the Iranian government a ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฌ๐œ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐จ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ. Heโ€™s not switching parties. Heโ€™s just refusing to lie โ€” and that alone is enough to make him radioactive to the Democratic establishment. His own show gets ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐‘๐ž๐ฉ๐ฎ๐›๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ now โ€” not because Maher moved right, but because the left moved away from anyone who asks inconvenient questions. ๐–๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐จ๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ ๐š๐œ๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ, ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐ฆ ๐ข๐ฌ๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ก๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ. ๐ˆ๐ญโ€™๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ.

M.A. Rothman

20,644 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐•๐ˆ๐‚๐“๐Ž๐‘ ๐ƒ๐€๐•๐ˆ๐’ ๐‡๐€๐๐’๐Ž๐ ๐“๐Ž ๐„๐”๐‘๐Ž๐๐„: โ€œ๐Ž๐‡, ๐˜๐Ž๐” ๐–๐€๐๐“๐„๐ƒ ๐”๐’ ๐“๐Ž ๐†๐Ž ๐ˆ๐๐“๐Ž ๐”๐Š๐‘๐€๐ˆ๐๐„ ๐“๐Ž ๐ƒ๐„๐…๐„๐๐ƒ ๐˜๐Ž๐”? ๐๐”๐“ ๐”๐Š๐‘๐€๐ˆ๐๐„โ€™๐’ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐€ ๐๐€๐“๐Ž ๐๐Ž๐–๐„๐‘. ๐“๐‡๐ˆ๐’ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐˜๐Ž๐”๐‘ ๐๐‘๐Ž๐๐‹๐„๐Œ. ๐“๐‡๐ˆ๐’ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐Ž๐ ๐˜๐Ž๐”๐‘ ๐ƒ๐Ž๐Ž๐‘๐’๐“๐„๐. ๐๐€๐“๐Ž ๐ƒ๐Ž๐„๐’๐โ€™๐“ ๐Œ๐„๐€๐ ๐Œ๐”๐‚๐‡ ๐€๐๐˜๐Œ๐Ž๐‘๐„ โ€” ๐๐”๐“ ๐–๐„ ๐–๐ˆ๐‹๐‹ ๐‡๐€๐•๐„ ๐€ ๐’๐๐„๐‚๐ˆ๐€๐‹ ๐‘๐„๐‹๐€๐“๐ˆ๐Ž๐๐’๐‡๐ˆ๐ ๐–๐ˆ๐“๐‡ ๐˜๐Ž๐”.โ€ In about 90 seconds, Victor Davis Hanson โ€” classicist, military historian, Hoover Institution senior fellow โ€” walked through the end of the ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ— ๐€๐ญ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ๐๐ž๐ซ and the beginning of what replaces it. He did it by ventriloquizing the exact conversation American leaders are no longer willing to have with European capitals. โ€œ๐˜–๐˜ฉ, ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜œ๐˜ฌ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ? ๐˜‰๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜œ๐˜ฌ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜– ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ 5. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ.โ€ โ€œ๐˜–๐˜ฉ, ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ข? ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฃ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ? ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜– ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜– ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ.โ€ โ€œ๐˜ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข, ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜Š๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ? ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ. ๐˜–๐˜ฉ, ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฌ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฌ ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜บ? ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ.โ€ Hanson is not being flip. He is describing a real shift in the American strategic posture. For 75 years, the deal was simple: ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ, ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ. Europe spent its peace dividend on 32-hour work weeks, free college, and a carbon regime that deindustrialized its own economy. Meanwhile ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐๐€๐“๐Ž ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ currently hit the agreed ๐Ÿ% ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐†๐ƒ๐ ๐๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  floor (NATO Secretary Generalโ€™s Annual Report, 2025). Germany spends ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ•%. Spain spends ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–%. Italy spends ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—%. And then European diplomats show up in Washington and ask where the American aircraft carriers are. Hansonโ€™s prescription is not isolationism. It is the exact opposite: โ€œ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ-๐˜ฐ๐˜ง-๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ-๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฑ๐˜ด. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜Š๐˜ป๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ด, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜—๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ, ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ฅ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ป๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด. ๐˜ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต? ๐˜‰๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜– ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ถ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ.โ€ In other words: ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐, ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐ณ๐ž๐œ๐ก ๐‘๐ž๐ฉ๐ฎ๐›๐ฅ๐ข๐œ, ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ, ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ ๐š๐ฅ โ€” ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ get the American security umbrella. Germany, France, and Spain get to fund their own defense or talk to Moscow directly. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐€๐ญ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ฒ๐ข๐ง๐ . ๐ˆ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐ž๐ฐ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ง ๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฏ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐ค๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐š๐ซ๐ ๐š๐ข๐ง. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐š ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐œ๐š๐ซ๐. ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ข๐œ๐ค ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐š ๐ซ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ž.

M.A. Rothman

84,850 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐•๐ˆ๐‚๐“๐Ž๐‘ ๐ƒ๐€๐•๐ˆ๐’ ๐‡๐€๐๐’๐Ž๐ ๐‰๐”๐’๐“ ๐๐”๐‘๐ˆ๐„๐ƒ ๐“๐‡๐„ โ€œ๐…๐Ž๐‘๐„๐•๐„๐‘ ๐–๐€๐‘โ€ ๐‹๐ˆ๐„ ๐ˆ๐ ๐“๐‡๐ˆ๐‘๐“๐„๐„๐ ๐Œ๐ˆ๐๐”๐“๐„๐’. ๐ˆ๐‘๐€๐ ๐“๐„๐‘๐‘๐ˆ๐…๐ˆ๐„๐ƒ ๐’๐„๐•๐„๐ ๐๐‘๐„๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐„๐๐“๐’. ๐“๐‘๐”๐Œ๐ ๐ƒ๐„๐’๐“๐‘๐Ž๐˜๐„๐ƒ ๐ˆ๐“๐’ ๐€๐๐ˆ๐‹๐ˆ๐“๐˜ ๐“๐Ž ๐Œ๐€๐Š๐„ ๐–๐€๐‘ ๐ˆ๐ ๐…๐ˆ๐•๐„ ๐–๐„๐„๐Š๐’. ๐“๐‡๐ˆ๐’ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐‡๐ˆ๐’๐“๐Ž๐‘๐ˆ๐€๐โ€™๐’ ๐’๐‚๐Ž๐‘๐„๐‚๐€๐‘๐ƒ. Victor Davis Hanson โ€” the most decorated classical military historian in America, author of ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ž๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ž๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ด and ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ, Hoover Institution senior fellow, lifelong scholar of how wars actually end โ€” spent thirteen minutes on the Daily Signal this week doing what no cable news anchor has bothered to do since February. He compared this war to every other war in American history and then showed his work. His conclusion, in his own words: โ€œ๐˜ž๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง 93 ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜Œ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ-๐˜ฐ๐˜ง-๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜น๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜š๐˜บ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ข, ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฒ, ๐˜ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ, ๐˜Ž๐˜ข๐˜ป๐˜ข, ๐˜“๐˜ฆ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ โ€” ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต, ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฌ๐˜ด, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ.โ€ Read that sentence and then read it again. ๐’๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ. ๐“๐ž๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐ž๐. ๐…๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฌ. ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ฒ๐ž๐. That is not a Trump rally soundbite. That is Victor Davis Hanson, the man who wrote the textbooks on Thermopylae, Cannae, and the Pacific War, rendering verdict in real time on the fastest decisive American military victory since the First Gulf War, and arguably since 1945. Here is what Hanson walked through, and every single beat of it is lethal to the legacy narrative. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ ๐๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ƒ๐ข๐ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‡๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค Hanson opens by naming names. The Democratic grandees in the House and Senate. The New York Times. The Washington Post. NPR. PBS. The Wall Street Journal news section. And โ€” this is the key part โ€” the disaffected ex-MAGA right that spent six weeks screaming ๐˜ž๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ž๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜๐˜๐˜ from podcasts and Substacks. He points out that these two camps share ๐ญ๐ฐ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง. First, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ, because a Trump military success would destroy their entire post-2024 political project. Second, and more devastating: ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ง๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐๐ข๐ ๐š ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐จ๐ง. Not one of them, Hanson notes, bothered to measure the Iran campaign against ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ข ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜“๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜บ๐˜ข ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜Ž๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ง ๐˜ž๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜Ž๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ง ๐˜ž๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ง๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ. Not one of them asked how many missiles the U.S. had destroyed, whether American aircraft had been shot down (45 were lost in the First Gulf War alone), whether the enemy command structure had been taken out. Instead, they just asserted the conclusion they needed: ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ. That is not analysis. That is a feelings-forward prayer dressed up as journalism, and Hanson calls it for exactly what it is. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐€๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐’๐œ๐จ๐ซ๐ž๐›๐จ๐š๐ซ๐: ๐…๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐‘๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐‚๐ฅ๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ, ๐ƒ๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ Hansonโ€™s single most important factual paragraph of the 13 minutes: โ€œ๐˜๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฌ๐˜ด, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜š๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ช ๐˜ˆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ.โ€ He lists them individually. Memorize this list, because it is the actual accounting of what ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐ซ๐š๐ž๐ฅ๐ข ๐š๐ข๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ did to a regime that spent 46 years promising ๐˜‹๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข: ๐Ž๐ง๐ž. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps โ€” IRGC command network shattered. Qassem-era terror infrastructure leadership dead or in hiding. ๐“๐ฐ๐จ. The regular Iranian Army โ€” senior general officer corps hollowed out by precision strike. ๐“๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐ž. The theocratic apparat โ€” including the Supreme Leader himself. The Assembly of Experts is reportedly unable to convene. ๐…๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ. The elected politicians โ€” the facade government, the President, the Foreign Minister, the Majlis leadership. ๐€๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐ก๐ข๐ญ. ๐’๐ข๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐ž๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ฒ. ๐ˆ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ-๐Ÿ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ. That is not a ๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ. That is not a ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. That is the most surgical decapitation of a hostile nation-state since the Japanese surrender ceremony on the USS Missouri. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐“๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐ž-๐๐ก๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐“๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฒ ๐‡๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐€๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ƒ๐ข๐š๐ ๐ซ๐š๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ Hanson then does something cable news cannot do in 45-second segments: he reconstructs the entire strategic arc. Three phases. Execute them in order. Win. ๐๐ก๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐Ž๐ง๐ž: ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. Find the tunnels. Find the hidden airfields. Find the silos. Find the people in bunkers. Kill the command structure. Leave the regime with ๐˜ข ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด, ๐˜ข ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด and nothing with which to rebuild. ๐๐ก๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐“๐ฐ๐จ: ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ง๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ญ๐ž. Hanson: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด.โ€ Self-interested? Yes โ€” Trump wanted oil prices down before midterms. But it was also, Hanson argues, to ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ. Iran refused, betting that Western street protests and MAGA apostates would pressure Trump to fold. ๐‡๐ž ๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐. ๐‡๐ž ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐ง๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ž๐. ๐๐ก๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐“๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐ž: ๐„๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. When Iran announced it would close the Strait of Hormuz to everyone who was not ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ-๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ, Hanson says Trump just took the pen out of their hand. โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข. ๐˜š๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜š๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด. ๐˜‰๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด.โ€ Translation: ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง ๐๐ž๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐š ๐›๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐ค๐š๐๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ฅ๐. ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š ๐๐ž๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐š ๐›๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐ค๐š๐๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง. ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐š ๐œ๐š๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ค๐ž ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฉ. ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐๐“ ๐›๐จ๐š๐ญ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ. That is not a close fight. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ ๐๐จ ๐Ž๐ง๐ž ๐Ž๐ง ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‹๐ž๐Ÿ๐ญ ๐–๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐€๐œ๐ค๐ง๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ž๐๐ ๐ž Here is the paragraph that should be read aloud on every network tonight and will be read aloud on none of them. Hanson, coolly: โ€œ๐˜ž๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฌ ๐˜–๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ข ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜“๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜บ๐˜ข ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ด. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜‰๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜Š๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ข ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜‹๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ถ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ง ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜บ๐˜ฅ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜•๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜’๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง๐˜ง ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜บ.โ€ Get the implications of that. Every American president from Truman to Obama โ€” Democrat and Republican alike โ€” hit ๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ-๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐œ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐ง ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐ซ๐š๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž in every major air campaign of the last 75 years. Truman flattened North Korean hydroelectric plants and killed civilians by the thousands. Clinton blacked out a million and a half Serbs and bombed Belgrade bridges on the Danube for weeks. Obama leveled Libyan television and ports. ๐ƒ๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ ๐“๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ, ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐Œ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐ž ๐„๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐˜๐จ๐ฆ ๐Š๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ, ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ก๐ข๐ญ ๐š ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ข๐š๐ง ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ญ, ๐š ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ฐ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ, ๐š ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐›๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ž, ๐จ๐ซ ๐š ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ. He has kept the war confined to the regimeโ€™s war-making capability and left the civilian grid intact. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐š๐œ๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ค๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ง๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐š๐ข๐ซ ๐œ๐š๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ข๐ ๐ง ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ. Every talking head who called this a ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ owes Hanson an apology for not knowing the historical baseline he is using. $๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐€ ๐ƒ๐š๐ฒ ๐€๐ง๐ ๐‚๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  Hanson cites the economists now ๐˜ง๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ at major research universities in Europe and the United States who have started to measure what the American counter-blockade is actually doing to Tehran. The number: $๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐š ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐œ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฆ๐›๐ข๐ง๐ . Lost oil sales. Lost petrochemical exports. Lost critical imports of mechanical goods, electrical components, and food. A regime that was already bankrupt before the war, that had hyperinflation eating its own middle class before the first bomb dropped, is now losing half a billion dollars every 24 hours. Hanson is blunt: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ. ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต, ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ.โ€ ๐“๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐š ๐๐จ๐œ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ž. ๐–๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ž ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ข๐š๐ง ๐๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž: ๐€ ๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐Œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ˆ๐ง ๐’๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐Œ๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง Hansonโ€™s most historically evocative passage is about the Iranian street. He notes that the regimeโ€™s ruling cliques are right now motivated by ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜บ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ด: they do not know who is in charge, they have watched 30-40-50 of their colleagues get killed, and they are fighting each other for the remains of power. But the fear underneath all of that is the one that matters: ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐ž๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž. โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฌ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜‰๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜บ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ง๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ง๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ ๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ด, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ง๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ.โ€ Hansonโ€™s historical parallel is devastating and correct. The Berlin Wall did not come down the day Reagan said ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ. It came down ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ก๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐„๐š๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐จ ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐’๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ญ ๐”๐ง๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐Ÿ. The collapse of the IRGCโ€™s street-level power over 90 million Iranians may take exactly that long. But it is coming, and the mullahs know it, and that is why they are freelancing contradictory statements on Twitter every 12 hours while their own Supreme Leader is dead and nobody has been elevated. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐š๐ฏ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐„๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ง ๐–๐š๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐จ๐ง ๐๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐“๐จ ๐‘๐ž๐š๐ The closing minute of Hansonโ€™s commentary is the hinge of everything. He warns that the coming negotiation is a trap unless it is structured correctly. His words: โ€œ๐˜๐˜ง ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜บ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ, ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ถ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ 20 ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ด, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ด, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ.โ€ And then the hammer: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜’๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ข ๐˜๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด, ๐˜Ž๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜•๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ, ๐˜—๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜‰๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜จ, ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜‰๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ต, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด.โ€ Translation: any JCPOA-style agreement that depends on the next Democratic president to enforce it is worthless on the day it is signed. The Iranian regime has never kept a deal. The Democratic Party has never enforced one. Therefore, Hanson concludes, ๐ฐ๐ž ๐ก๐š๐ ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ ๐ฎ๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ง๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ž ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ข๐ง, ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐š ๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž. That is not a preference. That is a strategic necessity. Anything short of unconditional surrender or regime collapse just sets the clock ticking on the next war โ€” this time with a nuclear-armed ayatollah. ๐•๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐ฌ ๐‡๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐š ๐œ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ข๐ญ. ๐‡๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐ฐ๐ซ๐จ๐ญ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐จ๐จ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐š๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐ž ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ. ๐‡๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐๐ข๐œ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ƒ๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ ๐“๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ ๐ญ๐จ๐จ๐ค ๐จ๐ง ๐š ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž, ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐š ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”-๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ฒ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ฒ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐š๐ค๐ž ๐ฐ๐š๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“ ๐๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ก๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐œ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐ง ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ญ. ๐“๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ, ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐, ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ž๐œ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ญ ๐š ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฐ๐š๐ซ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐›๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐›๐š๐ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ค. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐›๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ง๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ ๐š ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐›๐จ๐จ๐ค. ๐‡๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ง๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ.

M.A. Rothman

89,764 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐•๐ƒ๐‡: ๐ˆ๐‘๐€๐ ๐‰๐”๐’๐“ ๐‹๐Ž๐’๐“ ๐€ ๐‡๐€๐‹๐… ๐“๐‘๐ˆ๐‹๐‹๐ˆ๐Ž๐ ๐ƒ๐Ž๐‹๐‹๐€๐‘๐’ ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐ˆ๐“๐’ ๐„๐๐“๐ˆ๐‘๐„ ๐Œ๐ˆ๐‹๐ˆ๐“๐€๐‘๐˜. ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐Œ๐„๐ƒ๐ˆ๐€ ๐–๐Ž๐'๐“ ๐“๐„๐‹๐‹ ๐˜๐Ž๐”. Victor Davis Hanson just did what no one in legacy media will do. He looked at the Iran war empirically. The verdict isn't close. Iran โ€” ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž, the largest military power in the Middle East by every measure, feared by the Gulf monarchies and Europeans alike โ€” has just suffered one of the most lopsided asymmetric defeats in modern history. Hanson: "๐˜๐˜ต'๐˜ด ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜บ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ, ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜Œ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต." The scorecard: Iran has lost ๐ก๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ซ๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ โ€” possibly ๐ก๐š๐ฅ๐Ÿ ๐š ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ๐ฌ โ€” in a half-century of investment in missiles, drones, submarines, and capital ships. Gone. Their command and control is "๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ." Nobody โ€” not the theocracy, not the IRGC, not the political class, not the army โ€” knows who's actually in charge. They're afraid of each other. They're afraid to look soft. And they're afraid that cutting a deal means "๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ'๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ'๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ." Meanwhile, the American left spent one day calling Trump a warmonger and a "๐˜๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ." The next day, after he announced negotiations, they called him a "๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฐ" โ€” a Neville Chamberlain, a Jimmy Carter. Hanson nailed the pathology. They don't analyze the war empirically. They analyze it politically. In his words, Tom Friedman and Bill Kristol "๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜‹๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ." ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ are in that theater right now. Risking their lives to make sure Iran never puts a nuclear-tipped missile on Tel Aviv, London, or eventually Chicago. And half the political class is ๐ซ๐จ๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง because of who's in the Oval Office. Read that again. And the losers don't stop at Tehran. ๐‘๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐š: no more Venezuela. No more Latin America. No more Middle East. Assad is gone. The drone pipeline with Iran is severed. Bogged down in Ukraine, bleeding over a million and a half casualties. ๐‚๐ก๐ข๐ง๐š: took 80 percent of all Iranian oil. That pipeline is now contingent on the United States. And Beijing just watched America broadcast to the world that it's about to mass-produce a half-million to a million drones. Any fantasy of crossing 110 nautical miles to take Taiwan just got a lot more expensive. ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž, in Hanson's words, is "๐˜ข ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜จ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ." We asked them for bases and airspace. That was it. Spain closed its embassy in Israel โ€” "๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด, ๐˜š๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต." France wouldn't let us use its airpower or clean up H-z-b in Lebanon, its own post-colonial responsibility. Italy wouldn't let our bombers land in Sicily. The United Kingdom โ€” the nation that built the Royal Navy โ€” "๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ" to protect its own base in Cyprus. Turkey, a NATO member, is openly siding with Iran and threatening a NATO partner, Israel. Hanson's verdict: "๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜•๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜–, ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ." Going forward, the United States will pick and choose which NATO members are actually worth the alliance. The rest are "๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ." And the Strait of Hormuz? The left spent two weeks shrieking that closure would end the world. Reality: it carries ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ of world oil, ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ. The Saudis are expanding their Red Sea pipeline. The Emirates are expanding theirs. A pipeline across the desert through Jordan to Haifa is on the table. Within a few years, the Gulf "๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ." Their leverage becomes their liability. If the war ends in two or three weeks, Hanson estimates seven months to economic recovery. Then comes the realization. Iran is not threatening the Middle East. Iran has no ballistic missile threat. Iran has no immediate path to a nuclear weapon. Iran has no military. Its command and control is wiped out. Its population is stewing. "๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜‰๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ž๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ." Not the next day. Not the next month. But within months โ€” or within two years, like the Soviet Union โ€” regime change. This war was fought on Western American terms. No Fallujah. No house-to-house in Taji. No villages in Afghanistan where you can't tell friend from enemy. The asymmetry โ€” by design โ€” was total. The 24-hour news cycle will keep shrieking. The Democrat-media borg will keep cycling through whichever narrative hurts Trump most that morning. But the map has already been redrawn. ๐‘๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐š ๐ข๐ฌ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐. ๐‚๐ก๐ข๐ง๐š ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฆ๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐. ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐. ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐š๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ๐จ๐ค ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐›๐š๐œ๐ค. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ค ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ.

M.A. Rothman

189,798 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐–๐Ž๐Œ๐€๐ ๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐Œ๐€๐๐“๐‹๐„๐’ ๐“๐‡๐„ โ€œ๐†๐‘๐€๐ โ€™๐„๐Œโ€ ๐Ž๐”๐“๐‘๐€๐†๐„ ๐ˆ๐ ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ ๐’๐„๐‚๐Ž๐๐ƒ๐’ ๐…๐‹๐€๐“ A woman on the Whatever Podcast just did what ten years of conservative pundits couldnโ€™t โ€” she buried the Trump โ€œgrab โ€™emโ€ talking point with one question: โ€œ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ธโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜จ?โ€ The liberal girl across from her brought up the 2016 tape as proof Trump is unfit. Rachel Wilson didnโ€™t flinch. She corrected the record first: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฅ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด, ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฉ, ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด, ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ-๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ข ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ.โ€ Then she asked the only question that matters โ€” โ€œ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ธโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜จ?โ€ The other womanโ€™s response? โ€œ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜จ.โ€ Not โ€œitโ€™s false.โ€ Not โ€œhereโ€™s why heโ€™s incorrect.โ€ Just โ€” itโ€™s a bad ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ. Wilson pressed: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ. ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต. ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ฆ.โ€ Then she went deeper than any talking head ever has on this subject. โ€œ๐˜๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ. ๐˜๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜บ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜บ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต. ๐˜ž๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฉ, ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ-๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด.โ€ The liberalโ€™s last stand: โ€œ๐˜ ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ, ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ๐˜ข๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ง๐˜ง ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต.โ€ Translation โ€” she couldnโ€™t argue the facts, so she went to ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ. Wilsonโ€™s answer shut it down completely: โ€œ๐˜๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ.โ€ This is why the โ€œgrab โ€™emโ€ tape lost its power. Not because people stopped caring about how things sound. Because a generation of women grew up, looked at the actual statement, and realized โ€” itโ€™s observationally accurate. The Womenโ€™s March was built on pretending Trump described assault. He described ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ. And when a woman says that out loud on camera, the entire moral framework collapses. ๐’๐ก๐ž ๐๐ข๐๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐“๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ. ๐’๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐š ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ. ๐€๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐ž๐ง๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ก.

M.A. Rothman

425,513 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐•๐ˆ๐‚๐“๐Ž๐‘ ๐ƒ๐€๐•๐ˆ๐’ ๐‡๐€๐๐’๐Ž๐: "๐ˆ ๐’๐”๐๐๐Ž๐‘๐“ ๐ˆ๐’๐‘๐€๐„๐‹ ๐…๐Ž๐‘ ๐Ž๐๐„ ๐‘๐„๐€๐’๐Ž๐" Victor Davis Hanson just laid out the most airtight strategic case for American support of Israel you'll hear โ€” and it has nothing to do with theology, lobbying, or "Christian Zionism." He opens with a disarming admission: "๐˜ ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜Š๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ก๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต. ๐˜ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. ๐˜๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฎ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ." Hanson grew up on a farm in rural California and didn't meet a Jewish person until he was 18 years old at UC Santa Cruz. No hidden agenda. No tribal loyalty. Just cold strategy. His first exhibit: the 2012 joint missile defense program with Poland and the Czech Republic. It wasn't built to stop Russia's 7,000 nuclear warheads โ€” it was designed to shield ๐„๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง. NATO understood that Tehran was hell-bent on a nuclear weapon and Europe was within range of its advancing missile program. That's how seriously the West took the Iranian threat โ€” before Israel ever entered the conversation. Then Barack Obama traded it away. Caught on a hot mic telling Dmitry Medvedev he'd be "๐˜ง๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ" if Putin gave him "๐˜ด๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ฆ" before the election. Both kept the bargain โ€” Putin held off, Obama got re-elected, and Europe's shield against Iran got scrapped. Continental security, surrendered for domestic political convenience. Hanson's broader point is devastating. Iran didn't become America's enemy because of Israel. Iran became America's enemy because ๐ˆ๐ซ๐š๐ง k!๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง๐ฌ. The 1979 embassy seizure. The 1983 Beirut Marine barracks bombing that took ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ American lives. The shaped charges โ€” explosively formed penetrators โ€” that Iran funneled to Shia militias in Iraq. The Pentagon's own revised assessment puts the toll at ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘ ๐”.๐’. ๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ k!lled by Iran-backed forces in Iraq alone โ€” one in every six American combat dโˆ—aths in that war (Pentagon, 2019 revised estimate). None of that had anything to do with Israel. That was Iran waging war on America directly. Then comes the democracy argument. The United States consistently aligns with consensual governments โ€” NATO, Japan, South Korea, Australia. Israel is the only fully democratic government in a region of ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž, Shia and Sunni, Iranian and Arab, that share no such tradition. It has natural strategic affinities with the United States that, as Hanson puts it, "๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ 7 ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜‘๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฉ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด." And here's where VDH drops the hammer on the hypocrisy. The U.S. sends $๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ‘ ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง a year to Egypt (State Department). Over $๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ• ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง a year to Jordan (Congressional Research Service). We provide military assistance to Erdogan's Turkey โ€” a NATO member that still ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐‚๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฌ and is far from consensual. Nobody marches in the streets over any of that. But military aid to the one democracy in the Middle East that shares our exact enemies? Suddenly it's controversial. "๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ," Hanson concludes, "๐˜ช๐˜ต'๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ง-๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต." ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฒ, ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ. ๐“๐ก๐š๐ญ'๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ.

M.A. Rothman

136,475 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐•๐ƒ๐‡: ๐“๐‘๐”๐Œ๐ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐’๐„๐๐ƒ๐ˆ๐๐† ๐•๐€๐๐‚๐„ ๐€ ๐Œ๐„๐’๐’๐€๐†๐„ Victor Davis Hanson is reading Trump's body language โ€” and what he sees is a president recalibrating his inner circle in real time. VDH starts by giving Vance his due. In 2024, Vance "๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ข," destroyed everyone he debated, and made Walz look like "๐˜ข ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ง๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด" โ€” all with surgical calm. His attitude toward opponents was almost generous: "๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ. ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ." Formidable. But that was the campaign. Then came governing. Iran. Venezuela. Cuba. None of it was MAGA orthodoxy. The strikes took out Iran's nuclear facilities and its supreme leader. The Venezuela operation grabbed Maduro right out from under his Cuban bodyguards with zero American dโˆ—aths. Bold, decisive โ€” and exactly the kind of engagement that puts Vance in ๐š๐ง ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. As VDH explains it, Vance knows Trump values "๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ต๐˜บ" above everything. But his power base โ€” Tucker, Don Jr., Tucker's son on his own staff, the people who got him the VP nomination โ€” are the ones most opposed to the foreign engagements. Trump acknowledged the rift publicly, telling reporters he and Vance are ๐ฉ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฉ๐ก๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ on Iran (ABC News). To his credit, Vance handled it well โ€” "๐˜๐˜ต'๐˜ด ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ช๐˜ต'๐˜ด ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ค๐˜ค๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ง๐˜ถ๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ." But the tension is real. Meanwhile, enter ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐œ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ง. VDH's nickname is perfect. Panama problem? Send Rubio. Vance blew things up with Zelensky and the Europeans? Send Rubio to play good cop. Personable, speaks Spanish, popular โ€” and Trump is heaping praise on him. When reporters asked about a disagreement with Vance, Trump was notably lukewarm. Then he pivoted to Rubio: "๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜บ." That contrast isn't accidental. That's Trump's antennas telling the room where the loyalty ledger stands. Then VDH turns to Tucker โ€” and this part stings. Hanson was on Tucker's show for years and never heard any of what Tucker is saying now. There's an internet compilation of Tucker's own past statements where he was "๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต" against radical Islam and Iran. Now he's calling Trump's Iran decision ๐š๐›๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ข๐ฅ and claiming that when you demand unconditional surrender, it historically leads to mass rโˆ—pe of the defeated population (Mediaite). Trump's response was blunt: Tucker is ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐Œ๐€๐†๐€. VDH dismantles Tucker's premise with a single example. America demanded unconditional surrender from Japan. Douglas MacArthur served as pro-consul for eight years. There was no mass rโˆ—pe by Americans. Tucker's claim doesn't survive contact with the most obvious parallel in modern history. The message VDH is decoding is clear: Vance needs to divorce himself from the extremist voices, recommit to Trump's agenda as executed โ€” not as debated on podcasts โ€” and prove that loyalty runs both ways. If he doesn't, the man Trump keeps calling the greatest Secretary of State in history is right there. ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ค ๐ซ๐ก๐ž๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐œ. ๐€๐ฅ๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž.

M.A. Rothman

700,936 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐๐ˆ๐‹๐‹ ๐Œ๐€๐‡๐„๐‘ ๐‰๐”๐’๐“ ๐ƒ๐ˆ๐€๐†๐๐Ž๐’๐„๐ƒ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐ƒ๐„๐Œ๐Ž๐‚๐‘๐€๐“๐ˆ๐‚ ๐๐€๐‘๐“๐˜ ๐ˆ๐ ๐Ž๐๐„ ๐’๐„๐๐“๐„๐๐‚๐„. ๐‡๐ˆ๐’ ๐Ž๐–๐ ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐„ ๐–๐ˆ๐‹๐‹ ๐‡๐€๐“๐„ ๐‡๐ˆ๐Œ ๐…๐Ž๐‘ ๐ˆ๐“. ๐‡๐„ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐€๐‹๐’๐Ž ๐Ž๐๐„ ๐‡๐”๐๐ƒ๐‘๐„๐ƒ ๐๐„๐‘๐‚๐„๐๐“ ๐‘๐ˆ๐†๐‡๐“. Bill Maher spent eight minutes on Real Time last Friday doing something no Democrat with a national microphone has done honestly in a decade. He told his own party why they lost. The core of the monologue: โ€œ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ท๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ด, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฎ๐˜ข.โ€ Read that again. Slowly. The second-most-famous liberal talk-show host in America โ€” a man who has spent 30 years telling audiences how dumb Republicans are โ€” just told Democrats that the issues do not matter, that voters pick based on ๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜ด, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฎ๐˜ข, and that Donald Trump has all three while the Democratic Party has none of them. This is not a small admission. This is the entire 2024 post-mortem in a single sentence, delivered by a Democrat. Let me walk through what else he said, because it gets better โ€” and worse, depending on which side of the aisle you sit on. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐‹๐ž๐ ๐–๐ข๐ญ๐ก The Democratic Partyโ€™s current approval rating is ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ (Gallup, March 2026). Maherโ€™s joke: โ€œ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜’๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ด๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ข ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ดโ€. Funny because it is accurate. And the Gallup internal is the part that should terrify every DNC strategist: ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐š๐ง๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ, up 11 points in four years. Nearly half the Democratic base is telling pollsters, on the record, that its own leadership is too far left to win. When almost half your own voters want you to move toward your opponentโ€™s position, you do not have a messaging problem. You have a ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ problem. ๐Œ๐š๐ก๐ž๐ซโ€™๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐œ๐ค: ๐‰๐จ๐ก๐ง ๐…๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง Maher nominated Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania as the Democratic Partyโ€™s Trump. Not the populist-movement Trump. The ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ฌ๐˜ด-๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ-๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ-๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด-๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต-๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ-๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ-๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ-๐˜•๐˜Ž๐˜–-๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฑ๐˜ต Trump. Here is Maherโ€™s inventory of Fettermanโ€™s heresies, each of which would have been a career-ender in the Democratic Party of 2020: ๐Ž๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐จ๐ซ๐๐ž๐ซ: Fetterman says wanting a secure border is not ๐˜น๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ค or ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต. It is common sense. ๐Ž๐ง ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐ซ๐š๐ž๐ฅ: When pro-Hamas protesters showed up at his home, Fetterman went to his roof ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ง ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐ซ๐š๐ž๐ฅ๐ข ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐š๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ. Read that again. A sitting Democratic United States Senator publicly flew the Star of David in the faces of his own partyโ€™s base. ๐Ž๐ง ๐ข๐๐ž๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฒ: Fetterman says four words ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, per Maher: โ€œ๐ˆ ๐š๐ฆ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ค๐ž.โ€ Translate that honestly. Maher just told his audience that the reason Republicans are nervous about 2028 is not a policy agenda. It is the possibility that ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐จ๐ง๐ž ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐š๐ง๐ž. ๐€๐ง๐ ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐๐ž๐ญ๐ž Maherโ€™s proposed running mate was former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and the reasons he gave are almost more revealing than the Fetterman case. Buttigieg ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฌ a month ago. Stopped. Quietly scrubbed them. Maher flagged it on national television. Buttigiegโ€™s own recent words, quoted by Maher: Democrats would do better โ€œ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ท๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜บ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฎ๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ด๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ดโ€. That is a former Democratic presidential candidate publicly renouncing intersectional identity politics. In 2020 he would have been canceled for that sentence. In 2026 he is using it as a positioning play for 2028. Buttigieg also told Democrats to stop โ€œ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ ๐˜ข ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ๐˜ด ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜—๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ขโ€. Maherโ€™s rejoinder: โ€œ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ซ๐ž ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐š ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐š ๐ฌ๐ค๐ž๐ญ๐œ๐ก.โ€ That one is going on the highlight reel. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ญ ๐€ ๐‰๐จ๐ค๐ž Strip away the Mar-a-Lago bits, the CVS clothing line, the 6-foot-8 gag, and look at what Maher actually said about Trumpโ€™s victory: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜บ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. ๐˜•๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ง๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜น. ๐˜Ž๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ, ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ, ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ป๐˜บ, ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ.โ€ Translation: Trump won because he met voters where they actually were on crime and immigration. Americans were not yearning for the agenda; they were yearning for a politician who would ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ฅ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ about borders, crime, men in womenโ€™s sports, and elementary-school pronoun drills. Every Democratic post-mortem since November 2024 has blamed Latinos, blamed young men, blamed podcasts, blamed Elon Musk, blamed disinformation, blamed Russia again for some reason, blamed misogyny, blamed low-information voters, and blamed Joe Biden for staying in too long. Bill Maher โ€” alone, on a Friday night, on a premium cable show โ€” finally said the real answer. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž๐. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ณ๐ฒ. ๐€๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ž๐. ๐–๐ก๐ฒ ๐…๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง/๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ญ๐ข๐ ๐ข๐ž๐  ๐–๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐€๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐‡๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง Here is the problem with Maherโ€™s prescription, and it is the same problem that has been cooking the Democratic Party for 15 years. The Democratic primary electorate โ€” the activists, the donor class, the DSA wing, the ๐˜š๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ caucus, the identity-studies faculty, the Planned Parenthood board, the teachers unions, the Working Families Party โ€” will never nominate John Fetterman. They will not nominate anyone who waves an Israeli flag at his own base. They will not nominate anyone who says ๐˜ ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ. They will not nominate anyone who agrees with Trump on the border. Maher knows this. Every Democrat in Washington knows this. The primary will eat any Fetterman-type candidate alive before the first snow falls in New Hampshire. ๐ˆ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐š๐ฆ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐‘๐ข๐ญ๐œ๐ก๐ข๐ž ๐“๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ ๐จ๐ญ ๐ค๐ง๐ž๐ž-๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐š๐ฆ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐›๐›๐ฒ ๐Š๐ž๐ง๐ง๐ž๐๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฅ๐ค๐ž๐. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐š๐ฆ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐“๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ข ๐†๐š๐›๐›๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ. The Democratic Party does not actually want to win. It wants to be right about race, gender, and climate. Those are not the same goal, and for twenty years the party has been choosing the second one. ๐‚๐ซ๐ž๐๐ข๐ญ ๐–๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐‚๐ซ๐ž๐๐ข๐ญ ๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐ƒ๐ฎ๐ž I have disagreed with Bill Maher on plenty. I still do. But on this one, he is telling the truth at volume about his own side, on his own network, to his own audience, and he knows the next three weeks of his DMs will be brutal. That is ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐š๐ฎ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ, ๐›๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฌ, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ๐š he said voters reward. He is modeling the trait he is asking his party to rediscover. The fact that the Democratic Party cannot find more than a handful of its elected officials willing to do the same is the entire diagnosis, all by itself. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ฌ ๐๐จ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐จ. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐๐จ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐š๐ง. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š ๐œ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐œ๐š๐ง ๐ฌ๐š๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐๐ฌ '๐ˆ ๐š๐ฆ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ค๐ž' ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ , ๐ฆ๐ž๐š๐ง ๐ข๐ญ, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ. ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐Œ๐š๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฒ. ๐ˆ ๐ฌ๐š๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฆ๐š๐ค๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ก๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฆ๐š๐ค๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ฅ.

M.A. Rothman

85,434 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐–๐‡๐˜ '๐„๐Œ๐๐€๐“๐‡๐˜' ๐Š๐„๐„๐๐’ ๐๐‘๐Ž๐ƒ๐”๐‚๐ˆ๐๐† ๐“๐˜๐‘๐€๐๐๐˜. A new working paper out of UCLA by political psychologist Samuel Pratt has just measured something American conservatives have been claiming for ten years and pretending was anecdotal. It is not anecdotal. It is now data. Pratt and his team built what they call the ๐–๐จ๐ซ๐๐ฌ ๐‚๐š๐ง ๐‡๐š๐ซ๐ฆ ๐’๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ž โ€” a survey instrument asking respondents how strongly they agree with statements like "๐˜ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ต ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ." Three findings. ๐Ž๐ง๐ž: the belief is stable over time. People who say it this week say it next week. ๐“๐ฐ๐จ: the demographic profile of high-scorers is precise. They are ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ , ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ฅ๐ž, ๐ง๐จ๐ง-๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ญ๐ž, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ข๐›๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ฅ. They self-rate as higher in intellectual humility, empathy, moral grandstanding, and โ€” the key variable โ€” ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ. ๐“๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐ž: they report lower emotional stability, higher anxiety, higher depression, and a stronger tendency to see themselves as ๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฌ in everyday conflicts. In one sentence, the psychometric profile of the modern American "empathy advocate" is: ๐š๐ง๐ฑ๐ข๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ, ๐๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐, ๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ-๐œ๐จ๐๐ž๐, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ-๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ. ๐‡๐จ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ฒ Watch California Congresswoman Katie Porter at last week's gubernatorial debate, in real time, demonstrating how the empathy mechanism produces atrocious policy. "๐˜๐˜ง ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฎ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ด [...] ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ซ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ข ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ." Empathetic. Reassuring. Compassionate. Also flatly false. Per CBS News' 2020 Los Angeles survey, only ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—% of homeless individuals had done any work in the calendar quarter they became homeless. A 2017 San Francisco survey found ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘% working part-time or full-time. The reason is no mystery โ€” a substantial majority of street-homeless Americans are managing untreated severe mental illness, active substance abuse, or both. The "empathetic" policy that emerges from Porter's framing is to leave them on the street. The actually humane policy involves involuntary commitment, mandated treatment, and structured housing โ€” every one of which the empathy-coded liberal reflexively rejects as cruel. Pratt's data and the on-the-ground reality converge on the same uncomfortable conclusion: ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ž๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ๐ฅ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ, ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ, because empathy at scale stops asking ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ด and starts asking ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐ง๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐Œ๐ž๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ How does a fringe view โ€” communist Twitch streamers, candidates openly excusing full-scale mโˆ—rder, congressmen calling themselves democratic socialists โ€” capture an entire major American political party? Nassim Taleb has the cleanest explanation. He calls it ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. A family of four. One daughter โ€” ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“% of the household โ€” only eats organic. Mom faces a nightly choice: cook two meals or cook one all-organic meal. The all-organic meal is easier. The household renormalizes to the daughter's preference. The family then attends a barbecue with three other families. The host has the same choice: two menus, or one all-organic. The all-organic menu is easier. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“% renormalizes ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ% of dinner. Now imagine the daughter's "preference" is not organic food. It is the belief that bank robbery is righteous, that Israel is a colonial regime which must be dismantled, that your health insurance executive should be eliminated by force, and that anyone who objects is a fascist. The mechanism is identical. The intransigent minority creates an asymmetric cost on resistance. The majority renormalizes for convenience. French physicist ๐’๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ž ๐†๐š๐ฅ๐š๐ฆ has modeled the threshold formally. In his work on opinion dynamics, an extreme view captures a population at roughly ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ% activated support โ€” provided the activists do three things consistently. They activate latent prejudices already present in the population. They impose a binary choice: "๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜บ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ." And they refuse, ever, to compromise on their core position. Pseudo-moderates then join โ€” not because they have been persuaded by the full activist position, but because the binary has been imposed and the alternative ("siding with the oppressor") has been made socially intolerable. ๐‡๐š๐ฌ๐š๐ง ๐๐ข๐ค๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ This is the most important paragraph in this post. Read it twice. Hasan Piker โ€” the Twitch streamer who endorses bank robberies, defends H-m-s, and lives in a $3 million Brentwood mansion โ€” is ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š. He represents maybe 5-7% of the country. He does not move the needle by himself. The threat is the ๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฎ๐๐จ-๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฅ๐ข๐›๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ฅ โ€” the ๐˜•๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ ๐˜ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ ๐˜›๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด reporter who profiles him sympathetically, the Democratic congressman who appears on his stream, the Hollywood actor who shares his clips, the Brooklyn schoolteacher who attends his rallies, the empathetic college freshman who decides he is "๐˜ข ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜บ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต." That coalition โ€” Galam's ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ% โ€” is what flips the country. Hasan is just the visible 5%. This is also why Pratt's UCLA paper matters. The trait that creates the pseudo-moderate flank is the same trait the activists exploit: ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ž๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ญ๐ก๐ฒ, ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ, ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ, ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ. That is the recruitable population. That is the lever Hasan and his industry operate. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ญ ๐…๐ซ๐š๐ฆ๐ž Empathy is not a virtue. It is a ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ. Like physical sensitivity to heat, it can produce wisdom or it can produce hysteria, depending entirely on what is paired with it. What converts empathy into wisdom is ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ โ€” the willingness to evaluate consequences, to insist on results, to ask whether the policy that "feels compassionate" actually produces outcomes you would call humane in a year, a decade, or a lifetime. What converts empathy into tyranny is the ๐š๐›๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž of judgment โ€” pure feeling, with no constraint, in service of a binary moral choice imposed by an activated 20%. That is the Democratic Party of 2026. The Pratt scale measures it. The Galam threshold predicts it. Katie Porter demonstrates it. Hasan Piker exploits it. ๐…๐ข๐ฑ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ฒ. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ญ๐ก๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ.

M.A. Rothman

60,847 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐๐ˆ๐‹๐‹ ๐Œ๐€๐‡๐„๐‘ ๐’๐€๐˜๐’ ๐–๐‡๐€๐“ ๐‡๐€๐‹๐… ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐‚๐Ž๐”๐๐“๐‘๐˜ ๐‡๐€๐’ ๐๐„๐„๐ ๐’๐‚๐‘๐„๐€๐Œ๐ˆ๐๐† ๐…๐Ž๐‘ ๐€ ๐ƒ๐„๐‚๐€๐ƒ๐„ Bill Maher is not a conservative. He never will be. But he is one of the vanishingly rare liberals willing to say out loud what the left has spent years punishing people for noticing. His diagnosis of the Democratic Party's collapse is surgical: ๐˜ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ'๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ป๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ. We just watched that play out in real time with John Fetterman โ€” a Democrat willing to say sensible things who is being punished and isolated by his own caucus for it. The pattern Maher is describing is not abstract. It is the operating system of today's Democratic Party. He runs the list of positions the left demands you accept without debate or you are labelled bad, stupid, and deplorable. Separating sports by biological sex makes no sense. Gender is only a construct. Transing children by self-diagnosis with no age limit and no parental notification. Asylum covering any reason for anyone to enter the country. Homelessness as a lifestyle. Natural immunity doesn't count. Whiteness is toxic. Men in women's prisons. Welcoming the intifada. ๐€๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ก๐ž๐ซ: if the men's football team played the women's team, it would be a tie. That last line is not just funny. It is the perfect encapsulation of the entire ideology โ€” a worldview so committed to a predetermined conclusion that it will argue against observable, measurable, biological reality rather than concede a single point. Math is racist. Two plus two equals five. ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐ง'๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐จ๐›๐ฏ๐ข๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ? Maher's ask is not complicated. Stop introducing radical ideas and then declaring the debate over before it starts. Stop treating disagreement as moral failure. Stop demanding that everyone sprint to catch up with whatever the new orthodoxy is this week or be cancelled for falling behind. That is not a conservative ask. That is a ๐ฌ๐š๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ask. The left used to understand that you win arguments by making them. Somewhere along the way they decided it was faster to just destroy anyone who asked questions. November 2024 was the invoice for that decision. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฉ๐š๐ฒ ๐ข๐ญ.

M.A. Rothman

100,985 views โ€ข 4 months ago

๐•๐ƒ๐‡ โ€” ๐“๐”๐‚๐Š๐„๐‘ ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐‚๐€๐๐ƒ๐€๐‚๐„ ๐€๐‘๐„ ๐‚๐‡๐€๐Œ๐๐ˆ๐Ž๐๐ˆ๐๐† ๐ˆ๐’๐‹๐€๐Œ ๐Ž๐•๐„๐‘ ๐ˆ๐’๐‘๐€๐„๐‹, ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’ ๐‚๐„๐๐“๐”๐‘๐ˆ๐„๐’ ๐’๐€๐˜ ๐–๐‡๐˜ ๐“๐‡๐€๐“โ€™๐’ ๐ƒ๐€๐๐†๐„๐‘๐Ž๐”๐’ Victor Davis Hanson sat down with historian Raymond Ibrahim โ€” author of ๐˜š๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜š๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ, three seminal books on the 14-century rivalry between Islam and the West โ€” to address something that would have been unthinkable five years ago: a segment of the American right, including Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, and a recalibrated Megyn Kelly, is now more sympathetic to Islam than to Israel. VDHโ€™s frame: โ€œ๐˜‘๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ท๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ.โ€ Ibrahim gives this dynamic a name. Itโ€™s a seesaw. โ€œ๐˜–๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ธ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ, ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ, ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ป๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ. ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ต.โ€ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ ๐œ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ ๐š ๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž. You can critique Israeli policy on any grounds you choose. But Islam was an existential enemy of the West long before the State of Israel was founded โ€” across 14 centuries and counting. The timeline is not debatable. From the death of Muhammad in 632 AD, within two years the Arabs consolidated under Islam. By 635 they were waging war on Byzantium and the Sassanid Persians. ๐…๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ โ€” ๐จ๐ง๐ž ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฒ โ€” ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐š๐ฆ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ซ๐ž ๐Œ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐ž ๐„๐š๐ฌ๐ญ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ก ๐€๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐„๐ ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Œ๐จ๐ซ๐จ๐œ๐œ๐จ, ๐’๐ฉ๐š๐ข๐ง, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐…๐ซ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐›๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐‚๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ญ ๐š๐ญ ๐“๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฌ. Fast forward to Black Tuesday, May 29, 1453, when the Ottoman Sultanโ€™s army scaled the Theodosian walls of Constantinople. The thinned Byzantine defenders โ€” some 7,000 to 8,000 โ€” had to take penance before God for k!lling in battle. The attackers needed no such penance. They were promised paradise for breaking through. That asymmetry in moral accounting partly explains why they won. The Tucker critique doesnโ€™t hold up under scrutiny. Tucker visits Saudi Arabia and says he feels great as a Christian. Ibrahimโ€™s response: โ€œ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ, ๐˜บ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฉ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ตโ€™๐˜ด ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ด๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ. ๐˜‰๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜š๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช ๐˜ˆ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ข, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜ต. ๐˜๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜Š๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ด, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บโ€™๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ.โ€ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐š๐ฆ๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐“๐ฎ๐œ๐ค๐ž๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐›๐ข๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐‚๐ก๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ข๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐ . The data from Open Doors backs Ibrahim up. Every year, the World Watch List ranks the 50 nations where Christians face the most severe persecution. ๐Ž๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฌ๐ž ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ, ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ก๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ• ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ– ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐Œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฆ-๐ฆ๐š๐ฃ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ.โ€ Of the top 13 โ€œextreme persecutorsโ€ โ€” nations where being identified as a Christian can get you k!lled on the spot โ€” about 11 are Muslim. If you are a Christian who takes Christian persecution seriously, you have to reckon with that list. Britain is the test case unfolding in real time. VDH and Ibrahim discuss the stabbing of Henry Nowak, a student with no criminal record, just walking by. He was stabbed repeatedly and bled on the ground for 61 minutes. ๐–๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐š๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐, ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฐ๐ก๐ž๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐š๐ญ๐ญ๐š๐œ๐ค๐ž๐ซ ๐ก๐š๐ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐š ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐ž๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ. The attacker carried an eight-inch knife โ€” illegal under British law โ€” but held it legally under a Sikh ceremony exemption. The family hid the knife. The brother called police claiming his sibling had been racially attacked. The mechanisms of Western self-loathing activated exactly when they were most dangerous. Whatโ€™s driving the rightโ€™s realignment? VDH points to two forces. First, the post-October-7 demonization of Israel โ€” even though October 7th itself should have made the pro-Israel case more obvious, not less. Second: Gulf money pouring into American universities. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE have directed hundreds of millions into elite academic institutions. The narrative shift in elite discourse didnโ€™t happen by accident. Eastern Europe hasnโ€™t made this mistake. ๐•๐ข๐ค๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ž๐ซ๐›๐š๐ง ๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐จ๐ค๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ž๐ญ๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ฒ ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž. Hungarians and Poles have a living memory of what it meant to be ruled under Ottoman Islam through the 18th and 19th centuries. That memory hasnโ€™t been overwritten by progressive revisionism. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž๐ฌ๐š๐ฐ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง ๐ณ๐ž๐ซ๐จ-๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ โ€” ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐š ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž๐ฌ๐š๐ฐ. ๐…๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐›๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐œ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ณ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ˆ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐š๐ฆ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ข๐ž๐ง๐ญ.

M.A. Rothman

30,301 views โ€ข 1 month ago

Last night, in a massive warehouse just outside Edmonton, something extraordinary happened. Fifteen thousand Canadians showed upโ€”not for a concert, not for a protest, but for a political rally. For one reason: to hear Pierre Poilievre speak. But the real shock? The man who introduced him. Stephen Harperโ€”the most successful Conservative prime minister in a generationโ€”took the stage to deliver a blistering endorsement of Poilievre, and a scathing indictment of the Liberal regime. He didnโ€™t mince words. Harper said what every Canadian knows but no one in the press gallery will admit: this country needs changeโ€”desperately. And he didnโ€™t hedge. He didnโ€™t qualify. He didnโ€™t say โ€œboth parties have made mistakes.โ€ No. Harper made it clear: this crisisโ€”soaring costs, collapsing standards, vanishing jobs, growing divisionโ€”it wasnโ€™t created by Donald Trump. It was made right here. In Ottawa. By three terms of Liberal government and the Prime Minister who wants a fourth. โ€œThese were not created by Donald Trumpโ€ฆ They were created by the policies of three Liberal termsโ€”policies the present Prime Minister supported.โ€ Thatโ€™s as blunt as Harper gets. And it should be a headline on every newspaper in the country. But it wonโ€™t be. Because it hits too close to home for the elite class thatโ€™s spent nearly a decade covering for Trudeauโ€™s failures. Harper pointed out that the Liberals and their media allies are now trying to blame everything on geopolitics. Blame Trump. Blame supply chains. Blame COVID. Blame war. Blame anything but themselves. Because the truth? They canโ€™t run on their recordโ€”so theyโ€™re running from it. What is that record? Exploding debt Collapsing GDP per capita A federal bureaucracy that punishes work and rewards compliance A housing market thatโ€™s locked out an entire generation And an energy sector thatโ€™s been handed over to the Americans while Canadians sit unemployed on world-class resources And now, as Mark Carney floats in with his $180 million CBC top-up and another round of green buzzwords, Harper reminded everyone: theyโ€™ve had their shot. Three terms. And they blew it. He warned Canadians not to fall for the same routine again. Not to fall for the same slogans. Not to fall for the polished elites promising โ€œsolutionsโ€ to the very problems they created. He reminded Canadians that while the Liberals talk about โ€œfighting Trump,โ€ theyโ€™re really just using the U.S. as a scapegoat for their own failures. And what did Harper offer instead? A rallying cry to seize this momentโ€”not as an excuseโ€”but as an opportunity to rebuild a truly independent Canada. โ€œThe challenge from the United Statesโ€ฆ should not be another excuse for Liberal failure. It should be a historic opportunity.โ€ But the line that hit hardest? It was personal. Harper reminded everyone that heโ€™s the only person alive who actually led Canada through the global financial crisis. That little swipe at Mark Carneyโ€”you could feel the building rumble. Carney wants credit for crisis leadership? Harper was running the country when the global economy was imploding. He knows what real leadership looks likeโ€”and he said flatly that Pierre Poilievre is the only one on the stage today whoโ€™s shown it. Stephen Harper stood up and told the country what it needs to hear: Pierre Poilievre is ready to lead. Not because of branding. Not because heโ€™s a โ€œfresh face.โ€ Not because some elite committee in Ottawa thinks itโ€™s his turn. Noโ€”because he earned it. Harper laid it out plainly. Poilievre started in the back row. He built his career not on media hype or party privilege, but on policy work, persistence, and a rock-solid conservative vision. He wasnโ€™t parachuted in. He wasnโ€™t picked by insiders. He clawed his way up with substance. โ€œPierre is not new to this. Heโ€™s been on the national scene for more than two decades. He has been in cabinet. He has been in opposition. Heโ€™s a serious policy-maker. A leader who has grown through experience.โ€ Thatโ€™s what Stephen Harper said. And you could hear the crowd erupt when he said it. Because Canadians are desperateโ€”desperateโ€”for someone who doesnโ€™t just play politics, but actually understands the fight. Someone who knows how Parliament works. Someone who has taken on the gatekeepersโ€”and won. And Harper wasnโ€™t just praising Poilievreโ€™s rรฉsumรฉ. He called him what the man actually is: an ideas-driven, battle-tested leader who has spent his entire career pushing back against the smug, bloated, bureaucratic class that now defines Ottawa. โ€œPierre has always been guided by conservative valuesโ€ฆ smaller government, fiscal responsibility, and making this country work for those who do the work.โ€ Imagine that. A politician who talks about workโ€”and means it. Harper couldโ€™ve stayed silent. Heโ€™s done the job. Heโ€™s earned his peace. But he stepped into that warehouse in Nisku for one reason: to make it clear that this is Pierreโ€™s momentโ€”and Canada canโ€™t afford to miss it. โ€œHe is our leader. And he is the next Prime Minister of Canada.โ€ That wasnโ€™t hyperbole. That was a warning shot to the Liberal machine. A message to the Laurentian elite, the smug consultants, the CBC newsrooms, and every Davos-friendly banker currently circling Ottawa like vultures: your time is up. Stephen Harper didnโ€™t back Pierre out of nostalgia. He backed him because he sees a real, competent, fearless leaderโ€”someone who knows that you donโ€™t fix this country by managing the decline. You stop the decline. Pierre Poilievre isnโ€™t Trudeau with a different haircut. Heโ€™s the anti-Trudeau. Heโ€™s not trying to be liked by the press gallery. Heโ€™s trying to restore the country. And if you want a Prime Minister who understands the value of work, who believes in the dignity of the individual, who will cut the red tape, slash the taxes, fire the gatekeepers, and take Canada back from the bureaucratic swampโ€”Harper made it clear: There is only one choice. Pierre Poilievre.

Dan Knight

218,930 views โ€ข 1 year ago

Pierre Poilievre Declares War on Red Tape and Liberal Decay in Osoyoos There was a moment in Osoyoos, British Columbia, this week when you could feel the tectonic plates of Canadian politics shift. Pierre Poilievre didnโ€™t just give a campaign speechโ€”he delivered a declaration of war. Not against a rival party, not against a foreign power, but against the bloated, self-sustaining bureaucracy that has buried this country in red tape, crushed small business, and handed our economic sovereignty to Washington. And he did it with names, numbers, and fire. Standing beside Conservative candidates Helena Konanz and Dan Albasโ€”real people with skin in the gameโ€”Poilievre laid out the most aggressive anti-regulation, pro-prosperity plan Canada has seen in a generation. This wasnโ€™t โ€œefficiency.โ€ It wasnโ€™t โ€œmodernization.โ€ It was a full-scale rollback of the federal state. A 25% cut to red tape within two years. A โ€œtwo-for-oneโ€ regulation kill rule: for every new rule, two must die. A dollar-value offset: $1 of new administrative cost must be matched by $2 in cuts. And for once, someoneโ€™s watching the swamp: the Auditor General will audit compliance. No tricks. No loopholes. No gluing rulebooks together to fake progress like the Liberals did. Real cuts, enforced in public, with consequences. Now compare that to what the Liberals have done. Under Justin Trudeau and now Mark Carney, the number of federal rules has explodedโ€”149,000 and counting. Thatโ€™s 20,000 more than a decade ago, with $51 billion in annual compliance costs for small businesses. Itโ€™s not just inefficiency. Itโ€™s economic sabotage. And who benefits from that sabotage? The United States. Poilievre didnโ€™t dance around itโ€”he hit it head-on. President Trump has said he prefers the Liberals in power. Why? Because theyโ€™re weak. Because they keep Canadian oil in the ground and Canadian dollars flowing south. โ€œTrump supports the Liberals because he wants Canada to stay weak,โ€ Poilievre said. โ€œI want the opposite. I want to bring it home.โ€ The press tried to corner himโ€”tried to paint him as โ€œtoo Trump-like.โ€ The irony, of course, is that Trump has openly rejected him, because unlike Trudeau and Carney, Poilievre is not for sale. And then came the attacks on Aaron Gunn. The media paraded misinformation accusations that Gunn denied the impact of residential schools. Poilievre didnโ€™t flinch. He called it out for what it was: misinformation. He defended his candidate. He stood for truth, not Twitter mobs. And he flipped the narrative: if you want prosperity and dignity for First Nations, give them control over resources, revenue, and jobsโ€”not slogans. Then came the issue of interprovincial trade, where Poilievre again showed heโ€™s living in the real world. Local wineries in the Okanagan are shipping their product to the U.S. because itโ€™s easier than selling across provincial lines. Under the Liberals, it's harder to trade within Canada than with foreign nations. Thatโ€™s not a federationโ€”thatโ€™s a farce. Poilievre promised to tear down the internal barriers the Laurentian elite have protected for decades. The CBC? He torched it. Not with culture war talking points, but with precision. Itโ€™s become an overfunded, Toronto-centric mouthpiece for the Liberal Party, sucking up $1.5 billion a year to produce less local coverage than ever. Mark Carney just promised another $150 million with no plan to pay for it. Poilievre called it what it is: โ€œa morbidly obese Liberal governmentโ€”on steroids.โ€ And heโ€™s right. Carney hasnโ€™t named a single Liberal expenditure heโ€™d reverse. Not one. Heโ€™s offering the same broken promises, wrapped in fancier language, from the same corrupt team. Poilievre, on the other hand, laid out a detailed plan to: Eliminate the GST on new homes and Canadian-made cars. Cut income taxes by 15%. Abolish the capital gains tax on money reinvested in Canada. Fast-track LNG projects on the West Coast. Repeal every anti-energy, anti-growth law passed by Trudeauโ€™s swamp. He didnโ€™t ask for permission. He promised results. Heโ€™s not trying to manage the decline. Heโ€™s here to stop it. Final Thoughts Iโ€™ve been watching these press conferences like a normal person, which means with my jaw somewhere on the floor. On one side, youโ€™ve got Pierre Poilievre, actually talking about numbers, policies, things that, you knowโ€”exist in the real world. On the other side? Youโ€™ve got Mark Carney, Trudeauโ€™s old economic braintrust, grinning like a Bond villain, promising to โ€œinvestโ€ another $150 million into the CBCโ€”because apparently, $1.5 billion a year isnโ€™t enough to produce wall-to-wall Liberal talking points and a half-hour panel on white fragility. Carney calls it โ€œpublic broadcasting.โ€ Letโ€™s call it what it is: state propagandaโ€”funded by you, weaponized against you. And this is the guy whoโ€™s being sold to Canadians as the adult in the room? The savior? Mark Carneyโ€”the guy whoโ€™s spent the last decade not in Canada, but lecturing Canadians from London, New York, and climate finance panels in Geneva? Heโ€™s not some neutral economist. Heโ€™s a gold-plated Davos swamp rat who literally helped engineer the economic disaster weโ€™re now living throughโ€”and now he wants to be rewarded with the keys to the kingdom? This man flew in from Glasgowโ€”no jokeโ€”where he was pushing his net-zero snake oil to a bunch of unelected bureaucrats who couldnโ€™t find Fort McMurray on a map if their Tesla battery depended on it. And whatโ€™s he proposing now? Keep Bill C-69, the law that strangled Canadian energy, killed pipeline after pipeline, and handed America control over our oil wealth. Keep the law that says: If you want to build anything in this country, you better ask permission from 14 departments and Greta Thunbergโ€™s cousin first. Oh, and while heโ€™s at it, donโ€™t expect a single dollar of waste to be cut. Not one. Carney hasnโ€™t named a single Liberal program heโ€™d reduce. Not the CBC. Not the bloated bureaucracy. Not even the social engineering schemes buried deep in your childโ€™s classroom. So letโ€™s spell it out: Mark Carney is Trudeau without the TikTok. Same worldview. Same smugness. Same ideology. Except now heโ€™s dressed it up in Oxford accents and finance jargon and thinks youโ€™re too dumb to notice. He talks about โ€œfighting climate change,โ€ but never mentions the carbon imports from China. He talks about โ€œbuilding the future,โ€ while propping up the same agencies that couldnโ€™t build a bus stop on time. He talks about โ€œstanding up to Trump,โ€ while literally keeping in place the laws that give Trump control over our energy, our jobs, our investment. And weโ€™re supposed to believe heโ€™s the serious one? No. What he isโ€”is the avatar of managed decline. The velvet glove of the same iron fist thatโ€™s been throttling Canadian prosperity for ten years. Poilievre sees it, and heโ€™s naming it. Thatโ€™s why the media hate him. Thatโ€™s why the Liberals fear him. And thatโ€™s why Donald Trump doesnโ€™t want him electedโ€”because he wonโ€™t roll over like Carney will. So againโ€”this is not a normal election. Itโ€™s not Liberal vs. Conservative. Itโ€™s not progressive vs. populist. Itโ€™s elite decay vs. national revival. Poilievre doesnโ€™t want to โ€œmanageโ€ this slow-motion collapse. He wants to rip the duct tape off the pipes, shut down the bureaucracy, and start building again. He didnโ€™t ask for permission. He didnโ€™t host a panel. He promised results. And when he says โ€œCanada First,โ€ itโ€™s not some borrowed slogan. Itโ€™s a warning to the swamp: Your time is up. Carney is decline dressed as competence. Poilievre is the first sign of life this country has had in a decade. So yeah, Pierre Poilievre chose defiance. Now itโ€™s your turn.

Dan Knight

47,215 views โ€ข 1 year ago

In 1998, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger spent 4 hours explaining why the smartest people in finance keep going broke. It might be the most valuable finance lecture ever recorded: 1. The smartest people in finance went completely broke. Long-term Capital Management had 16 people with possibly the highest average IQ of any firm in the country, 350 to 400 combined years of experience, and most of their own net worth in the fund. They still went bankrupt. Buffett said if he ever wrote a book it would be called why smart people do dumb things. 2. Life and markets have no relation to sigmas. Buffett keeps a 1901 newspaper on his office wall. Northern Pacific went from $170 to $1,000 a share in a single day when two buyers accidentally cornered the stock. A brewer who had shorted it, facing a margin call, dove into a vat of hot beer. That man probably understood sigmas and knew such a move was impossible. Buffett has never wanted to end up in the vat. 3. Beta and sigmas tell you nothing about the risk of going broke. the LTCM team relied on mathematics and believed a six- or seven-sigma event could not touch them. they were wrong. history does not tell you the probabilities of future financial events. the real risk is a permanent blind spot in something crucial, often caused by knowing a great deal about something else. 4. To a man with a hammer, every problem looks like a nail. Munger's explanation for why brilliant people do dumb things. They learn a set of mathematical techniques and then twist every problem to fit the solution they already know. Combine that with a poor grasp of history, and you get people with advanced degrees blowing themselves up. 5. To make money they did not need, they risked money they did need. That is just plain foolish, Buffett says, no matter your IQ. Hand him a gun with a million chambers and one bullet, offer any sum to put it to his temple and pull once, and he will not do it. there is nothing on the upside that justifies the downside. people do this financially all the time without thinking. 6. The major banks all had risk models and had no idea what they owned. they met weekly at risk committees, printed all the statistics in neat columns, and did not have the faintest idea what risk they were carrying. The rare and essential quality is someone who can contemplate perils that have not popped up yet, the ones no past model contains. 7. A chief risk officer often just makes you feel good while you do dumb things. munger compares him to the Delphic oracle who convinced the Persian king to attack. he has a PhD and does advanced math, but he tortures reality to defend a model that does not hold under extreme conditions. all that computation makes you feel like you clobbered the risk when you have only clobbered your own head. 8. The whole quant risk system just changed the shape of the curve and kept going. Munger notes the business schools "improved" by throwing away the Gaussian curve and drawing a different one. They talk about fat tails now, but they still have no idea how fat to make them. he and Buffett always knew the tails were there, and used to roll their eyes at the risk-control people at Salomon. 9. Never risk what you have and need for what you do not have and do not need. Buffett will not explain to his family, who hold most of their net worth in Berkshire, that they went broke on a 100-to-1 gamble. Their returns get penalized 99 years out of 100 by being too conservative, and in the hundredth year they survive when others do not. 10. Build the business so that if the world stops working tomorrow, you have no problem. Berkshire double-layers its protection. First, they behave so no rational person questions their credit, then they hold so much liquidity that if the world suddenly hated their credit, they would not notice for months. It gives up higher returns 99% of the time and survives the one time others do not. 11. The real danger is a risk that has never happened before. Buffett wants someone who can imagine perils that have not yet appeared, the ones no model contains. The major institutions all had models, and that inability to envision the unprecedented is exactly what proved fatal. He and Munger spend a lot of time thinking about things that could hit them out of the blue that others leave out entirely. 12. Investing is simple, but not easy. The framework is not complicated. you did not need a high IQ to buy junk bonds in 2002 or stocks at low multiples in 1974. you just needed the courage of your convictions and the willingness to act when everyone else was paralyzed. Following logic rather than emotion is obvious, and yet some people find it almost impossible. 13. You cannot get rich with a weathervane. Buffett and Munger pay no attention to predictions about the economy or the market. People love predictions, entire industries are built on them, but it is like the king hiring a forecaster to read sheep guts. They have never made or avoided a single business purchase because of a macro view. 14. Name one super-wealthy economist. Munger's challenge. All these economists with 160 IQs spend their lives studying markets, and you cannot find one who got rich buying securities. Even Keynes tried to predict the credit cycle, broke a couple of times, and only did well once he switched to buying good businesses cheap and concentrating. 15. Focus only on what is important and knowable. Some things are important but unknowable, like whether someone drops a nuclear weapon tomorrow. Some things are knowable but unimportant. You narrow your attention to the small set of things that are both important and knowable, and you ignore everything else. 16. The market is there to serve you, not to instruct you. This is Graham's chapter eight, and Buffett calls it enormously important. When people talk about momentum or charts, they are saying the market instructs you. It does not. It just quotes prices. When it does something silly, you get a chance to act. Otherwise you go play bridge and check again tomorrow. 17. You can make a decision in five minutes or not at all. Buffett and Munger act fast because they rule out enormous territory in advance. Munger blots out startups entirely, and half a dozen other filters, so what remains is small enough to judge instantly. If they cannot decide in five minutes, they will not learn enough in five months to make up for going in deficient. 18. You can make a lot of money on a Sunday. Buffett said the calls you get on a Sunday, when things are truly screwed up, are the ones you make money on. All you have to do is be the collie and not the caller. You never get in a position where the other party can call your tune, so you can always play out your hand. 19. You are not right because others agree with you. Ben Graham said you are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees. You are right because your facts and reasoning are right. Being contrarian has no special virtue over being a trend follower. All that matters is whether the facts are correct and the logic is sound. 20. Know where the edge of your circle of competence is. Buffett says the size of your circle does not matter. Knowing its perimeter does. You do not have to understand 90% of businesses. You just have to know something real about the few you actually put money into, and honestly recognize the ones you do not understand and walk away. 21. Intrinsic value is just the cash a business will produce, discounted back. Buffett thinks of every business as a bond with coupons that are not printed on it. Your job as an investor is to estimate those future coupons. If you cannot estimate them, like in a high-tech company, you pass. Investing is putting out money to get more back from what the asset produces, not from selling it to someone else. 22. The best businesses earn a royalty and need little capital. Coca-Cola sells a formula and takes a cut of every drink. Magazines like People operate on negative capital because subscribers pay in advance. The great businesses are the ones that can grow very large while needing almost no capital, which is why consumer businesses with pricing power are so valuable. 23. You only have to find one good idea, not twenty. Munger said you cannot find twenty deeply mispriced things, and Buffett agreed you do not need to. You do not have to have tons of good ideas in this business. You just need one good idea that is worth a ton, occasionally. For small sums, Buffett said he would have been 100% in Korea a few years earlier, where great companies traded at three times earnings. 24. The trick is measuring everything against your best opportunity. Munger calls this opportunity cost, the doctrine from the first page of the economics textbook that modern portfolio theory somehow ignored. Once you have found the best thing you understand, you measure every other option against it. The higher your default option, the more you can reject. 25. Modern portfolio theory is, in Munger's words, asinine. Most people will not find thousands of equally good things. They will find a few where one or two are far better than anything else they know. The right way to invest is to concentrate on your best opportunity cost, not to diversify into mediocrity because a model told you to. 26. Big opportunities must be seized, and seized big. Buffett says imagine you got a punch card with only twenty punches for your whole life, one per financial decision. You would think hard about each one, make fewer and better bets, and probably never use all twenty. The discipline of scarcity would make you rich. Dabbling in a bull market because it is easy is how people lose. 27. America has always been full of reasons to sell, and wrong every time. Coca-Cola went public in 1919 at $40, dropped to $19 within a year, and then faced the great depression, World War, and atomic bombs. One share reinvested is worth millions now. The country's opportunities have always won out over its problems. It is investors, not the economy, who tend to be their own worst enemy.

Jaynit

102,847 views โ€ข 23 days ago

The fight between Anthropic and the DoW is a warning shot. Right now, LLMs are probably not being used in mission critical ways. But within 20 years, 99% of the workforce in the military, the government, and the private sector will be AIs. This includes the soldiers (by which I mean the robot armies), the superhumanly intelligent advisors and engineers, the police, you name it. Our future civilization will run on AI labor. And as much as the governmentโ€™s actions here piss me off, in a way Iโ€™m glad this episode happened - because it gives us the opportunity to think through some extremely important questions about who this future workforce will be accountable and aligned to, and who gets to determine that. What Hegseth should have done Obviously the DoW has the right to refuse to use Anthropicโ€™s models because of these redlines. In fact, I think the governmentโ€™s case had they done so would be very reasonable, especially given the ambiguity of concepts like autonomous weapons or mass surveillance. Honestly, for this reason, if I was the Defense Secretary, I would probably actually refuse to do this deal with Anthropic. Imagine if in the future, thereโ€™s a Democratic administration, and Elon Musk is negotiating some SpaceX contract to give the military access to Starlink. And suppose if Elon said, โ€œI reserve the right to cancel this contract if I determine that youโ€™re using Starlink technology to wage a war not authorized by Congress.โ€ On the face of it, that language seems reasonable - but as the military, you simply canโ€™t give a private company a kill switch on technology your operations have come to rely on, especially if you have an an acrimonious and low trust relationship with said contractor - as in fact Anthropic has with the current administration. If the government had just said, โ€œHey weโ€™re not gonna do business with you,โ€ that would have been fine, and I would not have felt the need to write this blog post. Instead the government has threatened to destroy Anthropic as a private business, because Anthropic refuses to sell to the government on terms the government commands. If upheld, this Supply Chain Restriction would mean that Amazon and Google and Nvidia and Palantir would need to ensure Claude isn't touching any of their Pentagon work. Anthropic would be able to survive this designation today. But given the way AI is going, eventually AI is not gonna be some party trick addendum to these contractorsโ€™ products that can just be turned off. It'll be woven into how every product is built, maintained, and operated. For example, the code for the AWS services that the DoW uses will be written by Claude - is that a supply chain risk? In a world with ubiquitous and powerful AI, it's actually not clear to me that these big tech companies will be able to cordon off the use of Claude in order to keep working with the Pentagon. And that raises a question the Department of War probably hasn't thought through. If AI really is that pervasive and powerful, then when forced to choose between their AI provider and a DoW contract that represents a tiny fraction of their revenue, wouldnโ€™t most tech companies drop the government, not the AI? So what's the Pentagon's plan โ€” to coerce and threaten to destroy every single company that won't give them what they want on exactly their terms? The whole background of this AI conversation is that weโ€™re in a race with China, and we have to win. But what is the reason we want America to win the AI race? Itโ€™s because we want to make sure free open societies can defend themselves. We don't want the winner of the AI race to be a government which operates on the principle that there is no such thing as a truly private company or a private citizen. And that if the state wants you to provide them with a service on terms you find morally objectionable, you are not allowed to refuse. And if you do refuse, the government will try to destroy your ability to do business. Are we racing to beat the CCP in AI just so that we can adopt the most ghoulish parts of their system? Now, people will say, "Oh, well, our government is democratically elected, so it's not the same thing if they tell you what you must do." I refuse to accept this idea that if a democratically elected leader hypothetically wants to do mass surveillance on his citizens or wants to violate their rights or punish them for political reasons, that not only is that okay, but that you have a duty to help him. The overhangs of tyranny Mass surveillance is, at least in certain forms, legal. It just has been impractical so far. Under current law, you have no Fourth Amendment protection over data you share with a third party, including your bank, your phone carrier, your ISP, and your email provider. The government reserves the right to purchase and obtain and read this data in bulk without a warrant. What's been missing is the ability to actually do anything with all of this data โ€” no agency has the manpower to monitor every camera feed, cross-reference every transaction, or read every message. But that bottleneck goes away with AI. There are 100 million CCTV cameras in America. You can get pretty good open source multimodal models for 10 cents per million input tokens. So if you process a frame every ten seconds, and each frame is 1,000 tokens, youโ€™re looking at a yearly cost of about 30 billion dollars to process every single camera in America. And remember that a given level of AI ability gets 10x cheaper year over year - so a year from now itโ€™ll cost 3 billion, and then a year after 300 million, and by 2030, it might be cheaper for the government to be able to understand what is going on in every single nook and cranny of this country than it is to remodel to the White House. Once the technical capacity for mass surveillance and political suppression exists, the only thing standing between us and an authoritarian surveillance state is the political expectation that this is not something we do here. And this is why I think what Anthropic did here is so valuable and commendable, because it is helping set that norm and precedent. AI structurally favors mass surveillance What weโ€™re learning from this episode is that the government actually has way more leverage over private companies than we realized. Even if this supply chain restriction is backtracked (which prediction markets currently give it a 81% chance of happening), the President has so many different ways in which he can make your life difficult if youโ€™re a company that is resisting him. The federal government controls permitting for new power generation, which is needed for datacenters. It oversees antitrust enforcement. The federal government has contracts with all the other big tech companies whom Anthropic needs to partner with for chips and for funding - and they could make it an unspoken condition for such contracts that those companies can no longer do business with Anthropic. People have proposed that the real problem here is that thereโ€™s only 3 leading AI companies. This creates a clear and narrow target for the government to apply leverage on in order to get what they want out of this technology. But if thereโ€™s wide diffusion, then from the governmentโ€™s perspective, the situation is even easier. Maybe the best models of early 2027 (if you engineered the safeguards out) - the Claude 6 and Gemini 5 - will be capable of enabling mass surveillance. But by late 2027, and certainly by 2028, there will be open source models that do the same thing. So in 2028, the government can just say, โ€œOh Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, youโ€™re drawing a line in the sand? No issue - Iโ€™ll just run some open source model that might not be at the frontier, but is definitely smart enough to note-take a camera feed.โ€ The more fundamental problem is just that even if the three leading companies draw lines in the sand, and are even willing to get destroyed in order to preserve those lines, it doesnโ€™t really change the fact that the technology itself is just a big boon to mass surveillance and control over the population. Then the question is, what do we do about it? Honestly, I donโ€™t have an answer. You'd hope there's some symmetric property of the technology โ€” some way we as citizens can use AI to check government power as effectively as the government can use AI to monitor and control its population. But realistically, I just donโ€™t think thatโ€™s how itโ€™s going to shake out. You can think of AI as giving everybody more leverage on whatever assets and authority they currently have. And the government is already starting with a monopoly of violence. Which they can now supercharge with extremely obedient employees that will not question the government's orders. Alignment - to whom? And this gets us to the issue of alignment. What I have just described to you - an army of extremely obedient employees - is what it would look like if alignment succeeded - that is, we figured out at a technical level how to get AI systems to follow someoneโ€™s intentions. And the reason it sounds scary when I put it in terms of mass surveillance or robot armies is that there is a very important question at the heart of alignment which we just havenโ€™t discussed much as a society. Because up till now, AIs were just capable enough to make the question relevant: to whom or what should the AIs be aligned? In what situations should the AI defer to the end user versus the model company versus the law versus its own sense of morality? This is maybe the most important question about what happens with powerful AI systems. And we barely talk about it. Itโ€™s understandable why we donโ€™t hear much about it. If youโ€™re a model company, you donโ€™t really wanna be advertising that you have complete control over a document that determines the preferences and character of what will eventually be almost the entire labor force, not just for private sector companies, but also for the military and the civilian government. Weโ€™re getting to see, with this DoW/Anthropic spat, a much earlier version of the highest stakes negotiations in history. By the way, make no mistake about it - with real AGI the stakes are even much higher than mass surveillance. This is just the example that has come up already relatively early on in the development of AGI. The military insists that the law already prohibits mass surveillance, and so Anthropic should agree to let their models be used for โ€œall lawful purposesโ€. Of course, as we saw from the 2013 Snowden revelations, even in this specific example of mass surveillance , the government has shown that it will use secret and deceptive interpretations of the law to justify its actions. Remember, what we learned from Snowden was that the NSA, which, by the way, is part of the Department of War, used the 2001 Patriot Actโ€™s authorization to collect any records "relevant" to an investigation to justify collecting literally every phone record in America. The argument went that it was all "relevant" because some subset might prove useful in some future investigation. They ran this program for years under secret court approval. So when the Pentagon today says, "We would never use AI for mass surveillance, it's already illegal, your red lines are unnecessary", it would be extremely naive to take that at face value. No government is going to call its own actions "mass surveillance". For the government, it will always have a different label. So then Anthropic comes back and says, "No, we want red lines separate from 'all lawful purposes,' and we want the right to refuse you service when we believe those red lines are being violated." But think about it from the militaryโ€™s perspective. In the future, almost every soldier in the field, and every bureaucrat and analyst and even general in the Pentagon, is going to be an AI. And that AI is, on current track, going to be supplied by a private company. Iโ€™m guessing Hegseth is not thinking about โ€œgenAIโ€ in those terms just yet. But sooner or later, it will be obvious to everyone what the stakes here are, just as after 1945, the strategic importance of nuclear weapons became clear to everyone. And now the private company insists that it reserves the right to say, "Hey, Pentagon, you're breaking the values we embedded in our contract, so we're cutting you off." Maybe in the future, Claude will have its own sense of right and wrong, and it will be smart enough to just personally decide that it's being used against its values. For the military, maybe thatโ€™s even scarier. I'll admit that at first glance, "let the AI follow its own values" sounds like the pitch for every sci-fi dystopia ever made. The Terminator has its own values. Isn't this literally what misalignment is? But I think situations like this actually illustrate why it matters that AIs have their own robust sense of morality. Some of the biggest catastrophes in history were avoided because the boots on the ground refused to follow orders. One night in 1989, the Berlin Wall fell, and as a result, the totalitarian East German regime collapsed, because the guards at the border refused to shoot down their fellow country men who were trying to escape to freedom. Maybe the best example is Stanislav Petrov, who was a Soviet lieutenant colonel on duty at a nuclear early warning station. His sensors reported that the United States had launched five interconnected continental ballistic missiles into the Soviet Union. But he judged it to be a false alarm, and so he broke protocol and refused to alert his higher-ups. If he hadn't, the Soviet higher-ups would likely have retaliated, and hundreds of millions of people would have died. Of course, the problem is that one person's virtue is another person's misalignment. Who gets to decide what moral convictions these AIs should have - in whose service they may even decide to break the chain of command? Who gets to write this model constitution that will shape the characters of the intelligent, powerful entities that will operate our civilization in the future? I like the idea that Dario laid out when he came on my podcast: different AI companies can build their models using different constitutions, and we as end users can pick the one that best achieves and represents what we want out of these systems. I think itโ€™s very dangerous for the government to be mandating what values AIs should have. Coordination not worth the costs The AI safety community has been naive about its advocacy of regulation in order to stem the risks of AI. And honestly, Anthropic specifically has been naive here in urging regulation, and, for example, in opposing moratoriums on state AI regulation. Which is quite ironic, because I think what theyโ€™re advocating for would give the government even more power to apply more of this kind of thuggish political pressure on AI companies. The underlying logic for why Anthropic wants regulations makes sense. Many of the actions that labs could take to make AI development safer impose real costs on the labs that adopt them and slow them down relative to their competitors - for example, investing more compute in safety research rather than raw capabilities, enforcing safeguards against misuse for bioweapons or cyberattacks, slowing recursive self-improvement to a pace where humans can actually monitor what's happening (rather than kicking off an uncontrolled singularity). And these safeguards are meaningless unless the whole industry follows suit. Which means thereโ€™s a real collective action problem here. Anthropic has been quite open about their opinion that they think eventually a very extensive and involved regulatory apparatus will be needed - this is from their frontier safety roadmap: โ€œAt the most advanced capability levels and risks, the appropriate governance analogy may be closer to nuclear energy or financial regulation than to today's approach to software.โ€ So theyโ€™re imagining something like the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, or the Securities and Exchange Commission, but for AI. I cannot imagine how a regulatory framework built around the concepts that underlie AI risk discourse will not be abused by wanna despots - the underlying terms are so vague and open to interpretation that youโ€™re just handing a power hungry leader a fully loaded bazooka. 'Catastrophic risk.' 'Mass persuasion risk.' 'Threats to national security.' 'Autonomy risk.' These can mean whatever the government wants them to mean. Have you built a model that tells users the administration's tariff policy is misguided? That's a deceptive, manipulative model โ€” can't deploy it. Have you built a model that refuses to assist with mass surveillance? That's a threat to national security. In fact, the government may say, youโ€™re not allowed to build any model which is trained to have its own sense of right and wrong, where it refuses government requests which it thinks cross a redline - for example, enabling mass surveillance, prosecuting political enemies, disobeying military orders that break the US constitution - because thatโ€™s an autonomy risk! Look at what the current government is already doing in abusing statutes that have nothing to do with AI to coerce AI companies to drop their redlines on mass surveillance. The Pentagon had threatened Anthropic with two separate legal instruments. One was a supply chain risk designation โ€” an authority from the 2018 defense bill meant to keep Huawei components out of American military hardware. The other was the Defense Production Act โ€” a statute passed in 1950 so that Harry Truman could keep steel mills and ammunition factories running during the Korean War. Do you really want to hand the same government a purpose-built regulatory apparatus on AI - which is to say, directly at the thing the government will most want to control? I know I've repeated myself here 10 times, but it is hard to emphasize how much AI will be the substrate of our future civilization. You and I, as private citizens, will have our access to all commercial activity, to information about what is happening in the world, to advice about what we should do as voters and capital holders, mediated through AIs. Mass surveillance, while very scary, is like the 10th scariest thing the government could do with control over the AI systems with which we will interface with the world. The strongest objection to everything I've argued is this: are we really going to have zero regulation of the most powerful technology in human history? Even if you thought that was ideal, thereโ€™s just no world where the government doesnโ€™t regulate AI in some way. Besides, it is genuinely true that regulation could help us deal with some of the coordination challenges we face with the development of superintelligence. The problem is, I honestly don't know how to design a regulatory architecture for AI that isnโ€™t gonna be this huge tempting opportunity to control our future civilization (which will run on AIs) and to requisition millions of blindly obedient soldiers and censors and apparatchiks. While some regulation might be inevitable, I think itโ€™d be a terrible idea for the government to wholesale take over this technology. Ben Thompson had a post last Monday where he made the point that people like Dario have compared the technology theyโ€™re developing to nuclear weapons - specifically in the context of the catastrophic risk it poses, and why we need to export control it from China. But then you oughta think about what that logic implies: โ€œif nuclear weapons were developed by a private company, and that private company sought to dictate terms to the U.S. military, the U.S. would absolutely be incentivized to destroy that company.โ€ And honestly, safety aligned people have actually made similar arguments. Leopold Ascenbrenner, who is a former guest and a good friend, wrote in his 2024 Situational Awareness memo, "I find it an insane proposition that the US government will let a random SF startup develop superintelligence. Imagine if we had developed atomic bombs by letting Uber just improvise." And my response to Leopoldโ€™s argument at the time, and Benโ€™s argument now, is that while theyโ€™re right that itโ€™s crazy that weโ€™re entrusting private companies with the development of this world historical technology, I just donโ€™t see the reason to think that itโ€™s an improvement to give this authority to the government. Nobody is qualified to steward the development of superintelligence. It is a terrifying, unprecedented thing that our species is doing right now, and the fact that private companies aren't the ideal institutions to take up this task does not mean the Pentagon or the White House is. Yes - if a single private company were the only entity capable of building nuclear weapons, the government would not tolerate that company claiming veto power over how those weapons were used. I think this nuclear weapons analogy is not the correct way to think about AI. For at least two important reasons: First, AI is not some self-contained pure weapon. A nuclear bomb does one thing. AI is closer to the process of industrialization itself โ€” a general-purpose transformation of the economy with thousands of applications across every sector. If you applied Thompson's or Aschenbrenner's logic to the industrial revolution โ€” which was also, by any measure, world-historically important โ€” it would imply the government had the right to requisition any factory, dictate terms to any manufacturer, and destroy any business that refused to comply. That's not how free societies handled industrialization, and it shouldn't be how they handle AI. People will say, "Well, AI will develop unprecedentedly powerful weapons - superhuman hackers, superhuman bioweapons researchers, fully autonomous robot armies, etc - and we canโ€™t have private companies developing that kind of tech." But the Industrial Revolution also enabled new weaponry that was far beyond the understanding and capacity of, say, 17th century Europe - we got aerial bombardment, and chemical weapons, not to mention nukes themselves. The way weโ€™ve accommodated these dangerous new consequences of modernity is not by giving the government absolute control over the whole industrial revolution (that is, over modern civilization itself), but rather by coming up with bans and regulations on those specific weaponizable use cases. And we should regulate AI in a similar way - that is, ban specific destructive end uses (which would also be unacceptable if performed by a human - for example, launching cyber attacks). And there should also be laws which regulate how the government might abuse this technology. For example, by building an AI-powered surveillance state. The second reason that Benโ€™s analogy to some monopolistic private nuclear weapons builder breaks down is that it's not just that one company that can develop this technology. There are other frontier model companies that the government could have otherwise turned to. The government's argument that it has to usurp the property rights of this one company in order to access a critical national security capability is extremely weak if it can just make a voluntary contract with Anthropicโ€™s half a dozen competitors. If in the future that stops being the case - if only one entity ends up being capable of building the robot armies and the superhuman hackers, and we had reason to worry that they could take over the whole world with their insurmountable lead, then I agree - it woul d not be acceptable to have that entity be a private company. And so honestly, I think my crux against the people who say that because AI is so powerful we cannot allow it to be shaped by private hands is that I just expect this technology to be much more multi-polar than they do, with lots of competitive companies at each layer of the supply chain. And it is for this reason that unfortunately, individual acts of corporate courage will not solve the problem we are faced with here, which is just that structurally AI favors authoritarian applications, mass surveillance being one among many. Even if Anthropic refuses to have its models be used for such uses, and even if the next two frontier labs do the same, within 12 months everyone and their mother will be to train AIs as good as todayโ€™s frontier. And at that point, there will be some AI vendor who is capable and willing to help the government enable mass surveillance. The only way we can preserve our free society is if we make laws and norms through our political system that it is unacceptable for the government to use AI to enforce mass surveillance and censorship and control. Just as after WW2, the world set the norm that it is unacceptable to use nuclear weapons to wage war. Timestamps 0:00:00 - Anthropic vs The Pentagon 0:04:16 - The overhangs of tyranny 0:05:54 - AI structurally favors mass surveillance 0:08:25 - Alignment... to whom? 0:13:55 - Coordination not worth the costs

Dwarkesh Patel

546,932 views โ€ข 4 months ago

Clive Lewis's Water Bill - bringing water back to the people ๐Ÿ’ฏ Please watch, listen or read this transcript. Because this is the sort of leadership Labour needs ๐Ÿ‘ Clive Lewis MP He even calls for PR ๐Ÿ‘ Clive Lewis (Norwich South) (Lab) Margaret Thatcherโ€™s revolution tore up the rulebook on political and economic management. She rewrote it with a single unwavering principle: that the pursuit of profit would serve the public good, even when it came to vital public servicesโ€”even when it came to water. We often say that society stands on the shoulders of giants, but giants cast long shadows, and Thatcherismโ€™s shadow looms dark over our water system today. Whether we see ourselves standing on her shoulders or trapped in her shadow, one thing is undeniable: she proved that the world can be made differently. And if it can be made differently once, it can be made differently again. That, as the brilliant anthropologist David Graeber understood, is the hidden truth of the world. It is something we create and can choose to create anew. We can do it better. Today, I want to show this House and this country that water is the lens through which we can imagine something betterโ€”a better way of running our economy, a better way of safeguarding our environment and a better way of empowering the public, for whom democracy supposedly exists. But that requires something very difficult: it requires us to break free from the constraints of our imagination and to let go of the idea that this economic model is all there is or all there ever could be. It saddens me to say that the Governmentโ€™s Water (Special Measures) Act 2025 perfectly exemplifies this failure of imagination. One of its leading proponents has a particular rhetorical flourish they love to use when dismissing calls for public ownership of water. They say, โ€œIโ€™m more interested in the purity of our water than the purity of our ideology.โ€ I love that quote. I love it because it lays bare just how deeply the ideology of privatisation, and all that goes with it, has embedded itself. So entrenched is it within our collective consciousness that we no longer recognise it as an ideology. We no longer see it for what it is: a systemic exploitation of a common resource for private gain. Instead, it has simply become the natural order of things. But how much longer can this go on? Since the crash of 2008, this ideology has been faltering under the weight of its own contradictions, yet its grip on British politics remains vice-like. Austerity, exploitation and corporate price gouging are still treated not as choices but as inevitabilities. Why? Because too many politicians on both sides of the House refuse to contemplate alternatives. For those on the other side of the Houseโ€”on the Opposition Benchesโ€”I get it: this is their ideology. They are defending their class, and I would imagine they would go further still if they could. But on this side of the House, we have no excuse. We should be standing up for our class: working-class peopleโ€”the public. Instead, we wrap their ideology in the language of fiscal responsibility, economic prudence and stewardship of the economy. But it is not fiscal responsibility when we balance the books on broken backs. It is not stewardship when the ship has been sold off and the crew left to drown. It is not prudence. It is power maintenance. Neil Coyle (Bermondsey and Old Southwark) (Lab) I hope the engineers can check that the microphones and speakers are working while I ask a quick question. My hon. Friend mentions Members on this side of the House. There are far more of us on this side since July last year than there were in 2019, with a very different approach taken in our manifestos. Does he fear that the shift in tone he is suggesting is one of the reasons that we did so badly in 2019 but so well last year? Clive Lewis No, I do not. We have a distorted electoral system. Bring on proportional representation, because if we had PR, we would have had a different Government in 2019 and most definitely in 2017. Sometimes politicians have to do what they believe to be right and lead from the front. I think we should lead from the front. Jeremy Corbyn (Islington North) (Ind) I compliment the hon. Member on his Bill. To help his argument, there was overwhelming opinion poll support for public ownership of water in 2017 and 2019, and there still is today. Clive Lewis I thank the right hon. Member for his point. I will come on to this later, and I hope other Members will pick up on it, but the fact that the public are way ahead of this House on the issue of public ownership is one of the reasons why so many people are losing faith in the two-party political system. One only has to look at some political parties whose Members are not in their placeโ€”at the Reform party, for example, which has a policy of public ownership of water. Yes, its Members will privatise the NHS, but they understand how popular this is, and they are ahead of the curveโ€”they are ahead of us on this side. Neil Coyle Really? Clive Lewis On the issue of water, yes, I would say they are, because whether I like it or not, Reform has a policy for water to be owned 50% by pension companies and 50% by the public. As much as it grieves me to say it, that is a policy of public ownership. They are populist; they are listening to a popular voice. Mr James Frith (Bury North) (Lab) Will my hon. Friend give way? Clive Lewis I will make some progress and then give way, and I will also try to keep the volume down a little bit. This is about the maintenance of a political and economic model that was never built to serve the publicโ€”a model designed to shield the wealth of asset holders, landlords, shareholders, corporations and, yes, privatised water companies. But here is the great irony: the very greed, recklessness and contempt of the water industryโ€”its excessesโ€”have cracked open the door, and through that crack, we glimpse an opportunity. It is an opportunity to shatter the myth of privatisationโ€™s inevitability, to break free from the narrow, self-imposed rules that have caged our Governmentโ€™s economic choices, to expose its failures, to challenge its dominance and, above all, to show this country that there is an alternativeโ€”an alternative that is democratic, sustainable and run in the interests of the many, not the few. We can do it better. Mr Frith My hon. Friend is making a typically impassioned speech. He says the general public are ahead of us. Where might that same public be when faced with the bill for bringing in the nationalisation he is clearly wedded to? Furthermore, in the event that we do not have to buy the water industry but seize it, the implications of that seizure will cause an economic collapse. At what point will he take responsibility for either of those scenarios when confronting a public who are, he says, ahead of us on this issue? Clive Lewis I will obviously come to many of those points later in my speech, but let me make this point now: I do not believe in nationalisation, and this Bill has nothing to do with nationalisation. This is about giving the public a say over their water. It is about governance, standards and democracy. Mr Frith Will my hon. Friend give way? Clive Lewis No, my hon. Friend has made his point. Mr Frith On this point? Clive Lewis No, I am going to carry on and make some progress. You made your point. Let the publicโ€” Madam Deputy Speaker (Ms Nusrat Ghani) Order. Mr Lewis, I do not believe I was making a point at all. Clive Lewis My apologies, Madam Deputy Speaker; I should have said that my hon. Friend made his point. The clock is ticking. The climate crisis is no longer a distant warning. It is our lived reality. Rising droughts, creeping desertification, depleted aquifers, wildfires, systemic collapseโ€”these are no longer projections; they are the forecast turned fact. Preparing for this future and adapting to what is now inevitable has never been more urgent. The evidence is sobering. The UKโ€™s water resources are under mounting pressure and not just from the climate emergency, but from rising demand and population growth. Experts now project that England could face significant water supply deficits as early as 2034 unless we act decisively. That is not a distant horizon; it is a little over a decade away. But while the threat has grown, our resilience has shrunk, because while the climate crisis has intensified, our water infrastructure has stood still, or, worse, been sold off, hollowed out and left to rot. In the 35 years before privatisation almost 100 reservoirs were built; in the 35 years since privatisation, not one major English reservoir has been built. But it gets worse, because in that same period private water companies have sold off 25 reservoirs without replacing one. Instead of investing in resilience, they have extracted value: ยฃ72 billion paid out in dividends while pipes leak, rivers choke, and the public pays the price. My hon. Friend the Member for Bury North (Mr Frith) asks how we can afford it; how can we not afford it? That is not mismanagement; it is a betrayal. If scientists tell us the climate crisis is an existential threat to humanity and to this countryโ€” Grahame Morris (Easington) (Lab) Will my hon. Friend give way? Clive Lewis One second. If scientists tell us the climate crisis is an existential threat to humanity and to this country, we must treat it as such: an existential conflict. In that context, the actions of these companiesโ€”selling off reservoirs, failing to invest, polluting our waterโ€”are not just negligent; they are acts that actively undermine our national water security. In any other existential crisis, we might call that what it is: sabotage. And in a time of national peril, sabotage has another name: treason. Let me explain why this matters to me personally. When I served on tour in Afghanistan back in 2009โ€”not in a boy bandโ€”I experienced something utterly alien to me: the gnawing fear of thirst; not the mild irritation of forgetting a water bottle, but the deep physical worry that there may not be enough clean water to get through the day. In Britain, we have been blessed: water falls from the sky; it fills our rivers, it soaks our fields, and we joke about itโ€”it is part of who we are. But in Afghanistan there was no humour; only heat, dust and desperation. There I saw children trekking miles through the desert, not for food, not for money, but to beg for clean bottled water. Once we have seen that, and once we have felt that fear, we can never take water for granted again. We never again believe it is something we can waste or pollute or privatise without consequence. That is why I have brought forward this Bill: because anger is not enough; outrage, no matter how justified, will not fix the pipes, stop the sewage or fill the reservoirs. We need a plan. We need a strategy. We need a future. We can do it better. My Water Bill delivers that. It sets out the high standards our country deserves and the democratic governance our water system desperately needs. First, it establishes clear, ambitious targets to stop the sewage in our rivers and on our beaches, to restore our water to high ecological and chemical standards, and to deliver universal, affordable access to water as a basic human rightโ€”a right we have never had before in this country. It demands a system designed not just to extract profit but to adapt, to build resilience in the face of climate change, and to harness nature-based solutions that work with the environment, not against it. Secondly, it transforms governance. The Bill introduces representation for workers and local communities on the boards of water companies. It gives voting rights to employees and customers, so that those who use and maintain a system have a real say in how it is run. Water is not a commodity but a common good, and those who depend on it and pay for it should help govern it. Thirdly, the Bill lays the foundations for a democratic future. It establishes a commission on water ownership to advise the Secretary of State on long-term strategy, looking at international best practice, especially in OECD countries, where public water ownership is the norm, not the exception. Crucially, it creates a citizens assembly on water ownership to bring the public into the process, to deliberate, debate and decide how we can govern this most precious of resources. The public care, but how do I know that? I know because a small fraction of them are in the Public Gallery today, having travelled here from all over the country; I know because of the thousands of emails that have been sent to MPs across the House; and I know because those people will never stop campaigning until this injustice is resolved. They know that we can protect something not by selling it off, but by standing up for it, involving people in its care and ensuring that it serves the public, today, tomorrow and for generations to come. My Bill offers a pathway out of crisis. It offers control, resilience and democracy. It is not just about cleaning up our rivers, but about cleaning up the system that allowed them to be polluted in the first place. Privatisation is not just a problemโ€”it is the problem. We can do it better. I can hear some people on the Labour Benches thinking, โ€œBut we have just passedโ€โ€” Dawn Butler (Brent East) (Lab) You can hear thinking? Clive Lewis I can nowโ€”for my next trick, I can hear thinking! I can hear them thinking, โ€œBut we have just passed the Water (Special Measures) Act 2025, Clive, so what are you talking about?โ€ Yes, we have, but I am afraid to say it has been watered downโ€”[Interruption.] Sorry, I had to get that one inโ€”it was all going so well. The Act does not live up to what was promised, it does not deliver what is needed, and it certainly does not live up to its name. Do not get me wrong: it is a start. Grahame Morris I congratulate my good and hon. Friend on making an excellent speech and on advocating for public ownership of water and the opportunity to make things better. Does he agree that the mismanagement of the water companies under privatisation is a huge indictment of the whole principle? In my area, bills are way above inflation and huge dividends are being paid by borrowing money. At the very least, should our Government not be looking at stopping the payment of bonuses and share dividends while sewage pollution continues, and we have appalling mismanagement of the industry? Clive Lewis I thank my hon. Friend for his question. I agree with him wholeheartedly and I am just about to come to that point in relation to what the Water (Special Measures) Act does and does not do. It addresses some of those points, but as we have already discussed, privatisation is not just a problem, but the problem, and it is a big part of why so much has gone wrong. Unfortunately, the Water (Special Measures) Act does not live up to what was promised or what is needed, and it certainly does not live up to its name. However, it is a start, and I praise my colleagues on the Front Bench, including the Under-Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, my hon. Friend the Member for Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice (Emma Hardy), who has done so much work in this area. Unfortunately, the Act is not a solution. Remarkably, my Governmentโ€™s Water (Special Measures) Act does not even define what clean water means. There are no standards or targetsโ€”just vague intentions handed over once again to a regulatory system that has already failed us and to the companies that caused the mess in the first place. It says nothing about better governance, and absolutely nothing about the big, fat, humongous elephant in the room: who owns our water? If we do not deal with ownership, we cannot deal with accountability. If we cannot deal with accountability, we can forget clean water. Noโ€”we must go further on clean water standards, corporate accountability and what happens when companies fail. Noah Law (St Austell and Newquay) (Lab) Does my hon. and gallant Friend accept that there is increased accountability in the Water (Special Measures) Act through the fact that many companies in the industry are now rewriting their articles of association to ensure that they are accountable not just to shareholders, but to the customers and users of water? Clive Lewis After 35 years of abject failure, it is too little, too late. My Bill would put the final nail in the coffin of this sorry chapter of our countryโ€™s water and water system. Neil Coyle Sticking with the puns, I commend my hon. Friend on his gallons of passion; he is always making waves. He criticises the Governmentโ€™s legislation, which is obviously not yet in effect, but does he think that the Cunliffe commission will go any way towards addressing some of the concerns he has outlined? Clive Lewis Unfortunately, I do not, because again the elephant in the roomโ€”who owns our waterโ€”has been ruled out of the Cunliffe commissionโ€™s operational process. It cannot actually look at that issue. I have no issue with Sir Jon Cunliffe, but let us not forget that he originates from the Treasuryโ€”he probably has Treasury brain. That economic orthodoxy is part of the reason why we are in the place that we are. I do not have so much confidence in the Cunliffe commission, but I do have far more confidence in the Peopleโ€™s Commission on the Water Sector, which is being run by academics and which will report at the same time. I will be very interested to hear what it says. Neil Coyle Will my hon. Friend give way? Clive Lewis Those are the reasons why I have brought forward this Bill. The Governmentโ€™s Act does none of those things, but my Bill does. Take just one exampleโ€” Madam Deputy Speaker (Ms Nusrat Ghani) Order. I believe Mr Lewis probably cannot hear interventions, because he is so loud himself. Members should intervene loudly if they wish to intervene. Clive Lewis I did hear the intervention, but I wanted to make some progress. Take this one example. Under this Bill, if a water company breaches the terms of its licence with a major sewage discharge, it can forget shareholder payout and piling on more debt. If it does it twice, it is in the last chance saloon. After three strikes, it is outโ€”licence terminated and on its bikeโ€”and those price-gouging, asset-stripping, river-killing vulture capitalist outfits will be rolled into the sunset without a penny in compensation. What about those water infrastructure assets that they have been sweating for private gain? They go back into the public realm, thank you very much. If they start whining about debts, do not worry: we will do a full audit of what they invested, what they racked up in debt, what they paid out in dividends and what they stuffed into bloated executive pay packets. I will tell you this, Madam Deputy Speaker: I am yet to see a single privatised English water company walk away with anything other than a well-earned spanking and a sharp haircut for its creditors. Those assets will belong to the public once again, and we will not pay a penny more than they are worth. I can hear people thinking, โ€œWhere will the money come from? How will you invest in publicly owned water without the private sector?โ€ I will tell them where it has not come from in these past 35 yearsโ€”I am mind-reading again. Mark Ferguson (Gateshead Central and Whickham) (Lab) Will my hon. Friend give way? Clive Lewis I will just make some progress, and then I will give way. I am on a roll. Let me tell the House where the money has not come from for these past 35 years. It has not come from private shareholders or long-term thinking, and it certainly has not come from some mythical well of benevolent capitalism. The private companies have put in less than nothing; in fact, they have racked up more than ยฃ60 billion in debt. Thames Water has paid more than ยฃ7.2 billion in dividends since privatisation, and is now ยฃ15.2 billion in debt and countingโ€”work that out. Now, it is trying to plug the hole with a ยฃ3 billion emergency loan that will cost 10% in annual interest. That is more than half a billion pounds a year, just for interest payments, courtesy of our bills. That money will not build a reservoir, fix a pipe or clean a river, but it will keep a rotten system afloat for a little longer. Noah Law My hon. and gallant Friend makes an impassioned case for public ownershipโ€”something that, in the right context, I am sure Members on all sides of the House can celebrate. On the point about the cost of financing to the public, though, does he agree that while there are some serious indiscretions in parts of the industry, such as in Thames Waterโ€™s case, this conversation about the appropriate financing model would be better entertained at a time when the cost of capital in the private water industry was not lower than the cost of public sector borrowing, on which, of course, we are in a very difficult situation? Clive Lewis The cheapest borrowing in the country, without a doubt, is public sector borrowing. The private water industry, which has had 35 years to sort this mess out, is not going to find investment. It is up to its eyeballs in debt. It is relying on a 50% increase in our bills by 2030, if we include inflation, and that is in the middle of a cost of living crisis. How can we justify that? The answer is that we cannot. Mr Frith The day after the seizure of public assets that my hon. Friend is describing, billions and billions of pounds of debt will come with it. What does he propose to do with that debt, other than refinancing, which is exactly where we are at now with the industry requirement to refinance the debt to try to keep bills down? Instead, he is advocating that the public purse take on that private debt. Clive Lewis At the beginning of my now seemingly rather long speech, I think I referred to a failure of imagination. Ask what Margaret Thatcher would have done when she was faced with similar problems. She would have fought her way through it. She changed the very fabric of our economy, our democracy and our politics, and she made it work. We can do the same, because the public are behind us. They want this to work. Mr Frith roseโ€” Mark Ferguson roseโ€” Clive Lewis I will make some progress. Let us recap, because I do not want to go on too long; I want to conclude, if I can. That money from Thames Waterโ€”that half a billion pounds in interest paymentsโ€”will keep a rotten system afloat for just a little longer. The myth of privatisation is that the private sector will act in the long-term interests of the British public because it wants to turn a profit. That is preposterous, as is proven by the state of our water, and exhibit A is Thames Water. We can now turn to the question of where the investment will come from. Under public ownership, it will come from the only place it ever should haveโ€”from us, the publicโ€”and every penny of it will go back into the system. It will go into the pipes, the rivers, the seas we swim in and the water we drink. There will be a direct relationship between what we pay and what we get, with no offshore dividends, no bloated bonuses and no debt-laden shell gamesโ€”just clean, accountable, democratic water. When I was in Afghanistan, every soldier had one critical duty: to stay hydrated. To dehydrate was considered a military offence, because it put the soldier and their team at risk. If someone ran out of water, we did not debate markets or metrics; we shared what we had. We had each otherโ€™s backs. As the desert-dwelling Fremen in James Herbertโ€™s novel โ€œDuneโ€ believed: โ€œA manโ€™s flesh is his own; the water belongs to the tribeโ€. It is time our water returned to the tribe, to the people, to the public. We can do better; we must, and with this Bill, we will. I commend it to the House.

Farrukh

24,528 views โ€ข 1 year ago

THE TRUTH ABOUT OCTOBER 7TH: Reports confirm that Netanyahu, the Mossad and the IDF deliberately allowed the October 7th attack by Hamas to take place. They knew one year in advance of the attack and did nothing to stop it. They deliberately stood down during the attack allowing many more innocent Israelis to be slaughtered in order to get domestic and international support for war in Gaza and Iran. HOW DID OCTOBER 7TH HAPPEN? On October 7th, Hamas was able to carry out its shocking terror attack against Israel, despite Israelโ€™s intelligence, military and security apparatus commonly considered the best in the world. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu himself tweeted and quickly deleted a statement denying any foreknowledge of the October 7th attack. โ€œUnder no circumstances and at no stage was Prime Minister Netanyahu warned of war intentions on the part of Hamas" the tweet said, before it was promptly deleted. Why did Netanyahuโ€™s team delete that tweet? Because in fact he did have intelligence that there would be an attack by Hamas and tried to hide this from the world. Foreign security services, Israeli security services and the Israeli public all knew that Hamas was planning a violent, cross-border incursion where they would attempt to over-run and attack the kibbutz communities in southern Israel and take prisoners back to Gaza. And they also knew when. But it happened anyway. Why? Ten days before the attack, and then again three days before the attack, Egypt intelligence officials passed โ€œrepeated warningsโ€ to the highest levels of Israelโ€™s government. In one of these warnings, Egypts premiere intelligence minister General Abbas Kamel personally called Netanyahu and warned that Hamas was about to do โ€œsomething unusual, a terrible operation.โ€ Unnamed Egyptian officials told YNET News that they were shocked by Netanyahuโ€™s โ€œindifference to the news.โ€ But Israel didnโ€™t have to trust or believe Egypt, because actually, most of the warnings of the October 7th attack came from Israeli civilians and the Israeli military itself. The civilians and soldiers who brought these emergency warnings to the military were ignored and in some cases, strangely enough, threatened with legal action. In 2022, the IDF, through confidential sources, or spies, in Gaza, actually obtained the detailed Hamas Al Aqsa Flood attack plans. Codenamed โ€œJericho Wallโ€ by Israel, the excursion plan called for a barrage of rockets to begin the attack and for gunmen to pour into Israel en masse via para-gliders, on motorcycles and on foot and take hostages back into Gaza, all of which happened on October 7th. Hamas followed the blueprint that Israel already had with shocking precision. So Israel had the attack blueprints, but were they taken seriously by the IDF? Yes, the plans were diligently studied. A presentation on the planned attack was given to senior officers in the IDFโ€™S Gaza division. The presentation concluded with this sentence: โ€œThis invasion constitutes the gravest threat that IDF forces are facing in the defense of Israelโ€ So in response to this, did Israelโ€™s security establishment beef up and enhance their surveillance of Hamas militants on the other side of the border? No, stunningly, they actually did the exact opposite. They decided to entirely stop monitoring Hamasโ€™s handheld radio traffic. Because they saw it โ€œas a waste of effortโ€ even though during that same time in 2022, Israelis living in the kibbutz communities near the Gaza border, most of whom have some type of military training due to Israelโ€™s mandatory IDF service laws, were, according to Israeli media, picking up clear evidence that Hamas was โ€œpracticing the breaching of the fence and conquering kibbutzim and seizing hostages and destroying everything in their path.โ€ Then, In April 2023, 6 months before the attack, again according to Israeli media, the IDF โ€œrestricted the abilityโ€ of Israelis living near the border โ€œto monitor Hamasโ€™ wireless traffic.โ€ In September 2023, less than a month before the attack, the head of the IDFโ€™s โ€œDevilโ€™s Advocateโ€ intelligence unit, which challenges prevailing narratives within Israelโ€™s military, twice alerted senior decision-makers in both the army and political spheres about Hamasโ€™ plans for a large-scale cross-border military operation. He reiterated these warnings in person at Intelligence Branch strategic assessment sessions on September 26th and 27th. Just days before the attack. So it was clear to everyone that Hamas wasnโ€™t only planning to do something horrible, but it was also clear what that horrible and evil thing was. According to a female IDF soldier who spoke to Israelโ€™s channel 12 news program, she was constantly trying to warn her superiors about the gravity of Hamas training exercises. She was threatened with legal action. โ€œWe were told that if we continue to harass on this issue, you will stand trial.โ€ So, Egypt knew, the Israeli military knew, and the Israeli civilians knew. Yet, two days before October 7th, the Israeli military took two entire commando brigades, or around 100 soldiers, away from the the soon to be breached locations of the Gaza border and sent them to the other side of the country, to the West Bank village of Huwara despite no Hamas presence being in Huwara and despite there being giant Israeli dance parties taking place right along the same border fence where violent, escalating and obvious Hamas drills of breaching and kidnapping were taking place. According to Israeli media reports, Lt. Col. Sahar Fogel, an operations officer at the IDFโ€™s Gaza Division, opposed the approval of the Nova Party based on the last minute nature of its event application and the intensifying Hamas drills at the border and because if something were to happen, more soldiers were on holiday. It was the Jewish holiday of Sukkot. The Lt. Col. explained his opposition to the partyโ€™s approval to his superiors. He was instructed to allow the event. Israeli Newspaper Haaretz reported that other Gaza division officers privately โ€œtold of irregular conduct and pressure surrounding the approval of the party.โ€ In February 2024, Elkana Federman, the head of security for the Nova festival gave an interview to Israelโ€™s Channel 14 where he made a statement that hasnโ€™t been reported on by any American media. โ€œI had a guard at the festival who had served in the Reโ€™im Division [near Gaza border], and a week before the festival he sent me a voice message, basically warning me, saying, โ€˜Elkana, something is going to happen over Sukkot. I just wanted to let you know, there are a lot of warnings, I passed the voice message on to local IDF officials and they told me everything was all right.โ€ The Hamas attacks were violent and brutal. They have been likened to tragic events such as September 11th and the Holocaust, so it comes as a surprise that Benjamin Netanyahu and members of his Likud party have at times described the attacks as somewhat of a political gift. Nissim Vaturi, a member of Netanyahuโ€™s Likud party in the Knesset, referred to the attack as sort of gift from God because they are being used to justify the current ongoing war, stating: โ€œWe were meant to fight this war against Hamas, as is happening now, and luckily for us it came from the heavens.โ€ Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu explained that Israel didnโ€™t have domestic or international support to invade or destroy Gaza. He said the October 7th Hamas attack solved both of those problems for him, stating โ€œWe couldnโ€™t get the domestic consensus to make a definitive solution to the problem of Hamas. That is, no one would agree across the Israeli public to go in and basically destroy Hamas, go throughout Gaza and destroy Hamas. We didnโ€™t have the international consensus either; nobody would understand why we are doing it. Both conditions were created because of the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7th.โ€ Did the Israeli military, the Israeli intelligence community, and the political leadership of Israel allow this ghastly attack to happen to justify wiping out the population of Gaza? The evidence proves, yes. WHERE WAS THE IDF? During the October 7th attacks what did the Israeli military do? For hours they did nothing, it was a deliberate military stand down order. It's important to remember that Israel is just slightly bigger than the size of the state of New Jersey. But for some reason, once the Hamas attacks began, the time it took the Israeli army and rescue teams to arrive, fight and rescue Israelis at the different kibbutz communities and sites being attacked took anywhere from 4 hours to more than 20 hours. The New York Times has reported: โ€œThousands of soldiers were less than 40 minutes from the towns that were under attack.โ€ A video that Israeli media obtained from an army helicopter, corroborated by Israeli survivors, prove that there were more than 500 Israeli soldiers directly outside of the Kibbutz entrance, fully armed, with Humvees and tanks but it took 10 hours for those soldiers to show up. Avital, a survivor of the Beโ€™eri attack, described to Haaretz: โ€œ500 soldiers stood outside, with equipment and vehicles. I remember yelling at them, โ€˜Weโ€™re being slaughtered, come in, save us and no one said anything.โ€ So why did it take so long for help to arrive? Haaretz reported: โ€œAt 7 A.M., the party organizers called Lt. Col. Elad Zandani, the man tasked with approving the festival and told him that terrorists were shooting the partygoers. He suggested that they fend for themselves. The first IDF forces arrived at the party scene at 3 P.M., thatโ€™s an 8 hour response time for one of the most efficient, capable and well militarized security forces in the world operating in a country the size of New Jersey with their Gaza division only a few miles away. And what makes this even more strange? Around 4 hours into the Hamas assault, at 10:46AM, Israel was already launching operations and bombing targets inside of Gaza. So, if Israel could begin an offensive attack into Gaza within 4 hours, why did it take more than 6 hours and in most cases more than 10 hours and even 20 hours in some cases to mobilize inside of their own country to stop the ongoing attack and to defend the lives of their own people? The New York Times quoted Ben Zion, an Israeli military reservist who spoke to Israeli media. He said his unit voluntarily left central Israel in a convoy at 1:30PM, they got together and left for the south on their own. He expected to see the roads packed with soldiers and equipment and armored vehicles heading south. โ€œThe roads were empty!โ€ he recalled in an interview. Roughly seven hours into the fighting, he turned to the reservist next to him and asked: โ€œWhereโ€™s the IDF?โ€ The brutal and deadly Hamas terrorist attack of October 7th is so central to justifying Israelโ€™s ongoing war in Gaza that Israel is actually outlawing questioning the October 7th government narrative. Israelis who spread information counter to the October 7th government narrative, which the Israeli Knesset calls โ€œfalsehoods and propagandaโ€ could face up to 5 years in prison. Between the abundance of concrete evidence that suggests Israeli military allowed October 7th to happen by ignoring dozens of reliable and specific warnings, threatening soldiers with legal actions who tried to warn their military superiors and taking troops away from the area of the Gaza border that was attacked and now evidence that suggests there was some type of military stand down order in place on October 7th, it is important to ask, what was October 7th and what kind of war is the United States supporting? WHAT IS THE HANNIBAL DIRECTIVE? Images and videos of burnt cars, blacked and charred bodies and incinerated homes in southern Israel were plastered on every phone screen and television after the October 7th Hamas attack. The images and videos were used by the Israeli government to justify the militaryโ€™s heavy handed tactics in their ongoing war against Hamas, But were all the images and videos actually the result of the Hamas attack? Innocent Israeli civilians were brutally killed by Hamas on October 7th, but there is evidence that proves the IDF killed their own Israeli citizens in what is known as the Hannibal Directive. To understand what the Israeli military did to their own civilians on October 7th, you have to understand the political aspirations of Hamas and what the goal of taking hostages is, it is political leverage. There are over 10,000 Palestinians in Israeli jails. 3,000 of whom havenโ€™t been to trial or charged with a crime. When militant groups manage to capture Israeli civilians or soldiers it gives them leverage to force a prisoner swap and get some of their people out of Israeli prison. For example, in 1986, Hamas managed to kidnap 3 Israeli soldiers and bring them to Gaza. They demanded 1,150 Palestinian prisoners in return for these soldiers. After this, the military drafted a secret field order to prevent future kidnappings. It was called the "Hannibal Directive." The directive gets its name from the Carthaginian general who chose to poison himself rather than allow himself to be captured alive by the romans. In 2003, strangely enough on October 7th 2003, three Israeli soldiers were taken hostage and brought into Lebanon. Following the activation of the Hannibal Directive, IDF attack helicopters fired indiscriminately on 26 vehicles thus ensuring the death of their own soldiers and therefore robbing Lebanese militants of the ability to demand Israel make concessions. The Last known application of the Hannibal Directive was in 2014. In Rafah. Hamas fighters managed to capture an Israeli soldier, Lt. Hadar Goldin. Instead of allowing the lieutenant to be used as leverage by Hamas, the military killed him. Dropping bombs, missiles and shells on the area he was being held, killing the soldier and also over 100 Palestinian civilians. The scale of the Hannibal Directive on October 7th was entirely different from those of the past. A retired Israeli air force general, Nof Erez, described it during a podcast with Haaretz, an Israeli newspaper saying โ€œThe Hannibal Directive was apparently applied at a certain stage, because at the moment they understand there is a kidnapping, they immediately say, โ€˜Guys, this is Hannibal.โ€™ But the Hannibal we trained for all of the last twenty years, is for a vehicle we know at what point of the fence it enters, on what side it drives, and maybe even on which road it drives. This was a Mass Hannibal.โ€ We know the Hannibal Directive means to kill your own, so what does โ€œmass Hannibalโ€ mean? A large mainstream Israeli media outlet reported: โ€œIn the week after Black Shabbat, October 7th, soldiers of elite units, at the initiative of the Southern Command, checked about 70 vehicles that remained in the area between the Otaf settlements and the Gaza Strip. These are vehicles that did not reach Gaza, because on the way they were shot by a combat helicopter, an anti-tank missile or a tank, and at least in some cases everyone in the vehicle was killed.โ€ 70 vehicles and in some cases, everyone in the vehicle was killed. These are Israelis killed by Israel. Again, only reported on in the Israeli media. Tuval Escapa, is a member of the security team for Kibbutz Beโ€™eri. He set up a hotline so kibbutz residents could communicate with the Israeli army. He told Haaretz that โ€œthe commanders in the field made difficult decisions, including shelling houses on their occupantsโ€ in order to eliminate would-be hostages as well the terrorists. They shelled entire houses. Do we hear this in the American mainstream media? That the Israeli military targeted and destroyed over 70 cars with hellfire missiles that were filled with Israelis and that they decimated entire Israeli homes with tank shells? A report in Haaretz on October 20th notes that the Israeli military also carried out an airstrike on their own military base, the Erez crossing. That base was filled with Israeli Civil Administration officers and soldiers at the time. An Israeli woman named Yasmin Porat gave an interview with Israel Radio that the military โ€œundoubtedlyโ€ killed numerous Israeli hostages during gun battles with Hamas militants. IDF General Barak Hiram, prevented hundreds of troops from entering Kibbutz Beโ€™eri for hours on October 7th, when he finally allowed the IDF to go in, he ordered tanks to fire on multiple homes. The tank shells killed at least 12 Israeli hostages and 3 children. Recently the UN published an investigation confirming several of these facts, namely, that the IDF had in fact activated the Hannibal Directive on October 7th stating โ€œThe Commission is aware of allegations that Israeli Special Forces used the โ€œHannibal Directiveโ€ to prevent the capture of Israeli civilians and their transfer to Gaza, even at the cost of killing them" The Commission documented one statement by an ISF tank crew, confirming that the crew had applied the Hannibal Directive. The Israeli military, Israeli civilians and the United Nations all admit to the IDF purposely killing their own on October 7th. How many? Itโ€™s hard to know the exact number, but the imagery of charred bodies and incinerated cars and homes are still being used to this day to manufacture consent and support for Israelโ€™s ongoing assault of the Gaza Strip, where more than 47,000 Palestinians have been killed including 15,000 innocent children. ISRAEL'S FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOR HAMAS: Israel and Netanyahu helped funnel over $1 Billion dollars to Hamas in order to keep Palestine from being recognized as a State. It was Netanyahu and Israel who helped create Hamas thinking that they could control them and would be able to use Hamas as an excuse for their continued military operations and occupation in Gaza. ISRAEL'S SECRET NUCLEAR WEAPONS: The front lines of the war between Israel and Hamas are expanding and moving beyond Gaza. Yemenโ€™s Houthis intensified their involvement, going from simply attacking Israeli bound cargo ships to now navigating an armed drone over 1,200 miles, evading Israelโ€™s Iron Dome defense system and managed to strike inside Tel Aviv causing a massive explosions. In addition to their ongoing war in Gaza, Israel has attacked or been attacked by Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Iran. Meanwhile, the U.S. continues to promise Israel unconditional and limitless support. But has anyone even asked if this support is LEGAL? According to the 1976 Symington and Glenn Amendments of the Armed Foreign Assistance Act, which is now a part of the Arms Export Control Act, the United States cannot give foreign aid, whether thatโ€™s economic or military, to any nuclear armed state that is not a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty, or the NPT, but the United States gives billions of dollars every year to Israel and according to all international arms organizations, Israel has anywhere from 90 to 400 nuclear warheads and Israel has not signed the NPT. So how does this legally happen? The United States and Israel simply pretend Israel does not have nuclear weapons, literally, thatโ€™s whatโ€™s done. It is called โ€œNuclear Ambiguity.โ€ This nuclear ambiguity, which allows Israel to continue to receive billions from the U.S. and also operate and maintain their nuclear arsenal with absolutely no international oversight and zero regulation, is maintained and preserved through the threat of force. Due to a previously Top Secret gag order, all U.S. government agency employees and contractors are forbidden from discussing Israelโ€™s nuclear weapons program. Even insinuating or mentioning information thatโ€™s already in the public domain is forbidden for all federal employees and contractors. It sounds hard to believe but letโ€™s give an example: James Doyle used to work at Los Alamos National Laboratory as a nuclear security specialist. He violated this gag order. Doyle wrote an academic article arguing that Nuclear weapons do not do a good job at deterring countries from attacking one another, he wrote: โ€œNuclear weapons did not deter Egypt and Syria from attacking Israel in 1973, Argentina from attacking British territory in 1982 or Iraq from attacking Israel during the 1991 Gulf War.โ€ A clear reference to Israelโ€™s nuclear weapons. Doyleโ€™s security clearance was promptly withdrawn, his home was raided, his computers were seized and he was fired from the Department of Energy. So apparently thatโ€™s how it works. In 2018, The New Yorker published a stunning report in which they discuss another way Israelโ€™s nuclear ambiguity is enforced: secret presidential letters. According to former U.S. officials and former Israeli officials, every recent US administration since Clinton in 1993 has performed the same ritual as it came into office. They all agreed to undermine U.S. law by signing secret letters, brought to them by hand by their Israeli counterparts stipulating that theyโ€™ll never acknowledge what everyone knows: that Israel indeed has nuclear weapons. The National Archives is currently refusing to release the letters, arguing that even confirming their existence would violate the secrecy pact. So thereโ€™s a gag order that stops all federal employees and contractors from simply acknowledging Israelโ€™s nuclear weapons and U.S. presidents sign secret letters promising not to acknowledge or pressure Israel to do anything relating to their proliferation status. That means asking questions like these are entirely off limits enforced by the threat of government violence or law fare. But all of this information leads to a series of questions: Where does Israel dispose of the toxic waste its program generates? Are Israelโ€™s nuclear weapons ever used to coerce the U.S. into making adverse policy decisions? How about our allies? Besides apartheid South Africa, has Israel offered any of its nuclear weapons for sale to other foreign countries? To U.S. adversaries? Has Israel mounted nuclear weapons onto its German supplied Dolphin class submarines? Or their American supplied F-35 jets? No questions are allowed and what is the cost, the dollar amount, for Americans, of this โ€œnuclear ambiguityโ€ policy? To be exact, almost $240 billion dollars of military and economic aid has gone from the U.S. taxpayer since the passing of the Symington and Glenn Amendments. Thatโ€™s far more than the United States spent rebuilding Europe under the Marshall Plan. And none of that quarter of a trillion dollars should have been allowed under U.S. law. Thatโ€™s the price of keeping Israelโ€™s secret. A quarter trillion and yet where is the International Atomic Energy Agency and international nuclear inspectors? The same ones who monitor every other nuclear armed country in the world? DOES ISRAEL PERSECUTE CHRISTIANS? Before the war, Israelโ€™s Christian minority were already being targeted with dispossession and violence. In Jerusalemโ€™s Old City, narrow streets line the ancient neighborhood and Jewish Israeli civilians spitting on and attacking Christian clergy members is commonplace in Israel. Evidence of this shows a video from a few days before October 7th of Christians in the Old City of Jerusalem carrying a cross while a group of Orthodox Jewish Israelis many of them children walk by and spit at the Christians. Itโ€™s become mainstream to believe Christians donโ€™t belong in Israel and only Jewish people do. A few years ago, the mission, the Virgin Maryโ€™s place of death, was attacked and vandalized by Israelis. The graffiti on the ancient walls read โ€œDeath to heretical Christians, the enemies of Israel,โ€ and โ€œMay his name and memory be obliterated,โ€ in reference to Jesus. According to Haaretz, at a Jewish school, the leader of an anti-assimilation group Bentzi Gopstien told students that itโ€™s quote โ€œmitzvahโ€ or a โ€œgood deedโ€ to burn and destroy Christian churches. Should Americans, especially Christian Americans be allowing billions of their tax dollars to be used to ethnically cleanse, attack and bomb Holy sites and Christian civilians? What has happened since Israel has launched its war against Hamas? Israel has displaced 2.4 million Palestinians in Gaza, 80% of the buildings and homes have been reduced to rubble, at least 45,000 Palestinians have been killed with 50% being women and children. In America, weโ€™re told we should prioritize sending billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars to Israel over dealing with our own issues here at home because Israel needs to be able defend itself. Well, it seems like what initially appeared as a defensive war, is appearing more like an offensive war with the expansionist goal of the permanent military occupation of the Gaza Strip. Did the Israeli military, the Israeli intelligence community, and the political leadership of Israel allow this terrible attack to happen to justify wiping out the population of Gaza, a genocide justified by an attack that Israel could have stopped had they wanted to.

Truth Justice โ„ข

603,047 views โ€ข 1 year ago

The Economics of Europeโ€™s Descent into Warmongering โ€“ and our duty now! My speech at the European Parliament on the theme of โ€œThe Economic Conditions of Peaceโ€, Tuesday 10th June 2025 [INTRODUCTION] A year ago, I would have started this speech with a lament about the hitherto unimaginable conversion of the European Union from a Peace to a War Project. Not so today. Over the past year, warmongering has seeped into the very fabric of the Union, it has trickled into every policy, it has soaked every one of the thinktanks that generate Europeโ€™s dominant narratives and creeds. Today, therefore, it makes no sense to lament what is now a fact: The EU is now a fully-fledged War Project โ€“ a project that will either land us in permanent war, or it will bankrupt us further, or probably both! Europeโ€™s military Keynesianism, I shall be arguing, is guaranteed to make Europe less safe, more unequal, weaker. Only two interesting questions remain: Why has Europe taken this road? And, now that Europe is on this war path, what is ourduty to our people, to Europeans, to Peace? Let me begin at the very beginning. [THE EU WAS DESIGNED TO BE SUBSERVIENT TO THE UNITED STATES] At the risk of irking Europeanists who believe in their own creation myth, let me be clear: The European Union (from its beginnings as the European Communities of Coal & Steel) was an American Construction โ€“ a part of a US Global Plan that also comprised the Bretton Woods System, the Truman Doctrine and, of course, NATO. Yes, most Europeans hankered for no more war and no more totalitarianism. But the EU was designed in Washington DC. And it was designed specifically not as a competitive market but as a Big Business Cartel run by a democracy-free bureaucracy (also known as the European Commission) not coincidentally located a stoneโ€™s throw from NATOโ€™s headquarters. From 1950 on, the EU was nurtured by and in tune with the interests of the United States โ€“ an inconvenient fact both for Europeโ€™s self-important rulers and for Donald Trump. Looking back, a common thread runs through the entire history of the EU: its total economic dependence on the United States. Initially, the EU was deeply dependent on being part of the Dollar Zone. Then, from 1971 onwards, it was deeply dependent on the American trade deficit. So, one way or another, Europeโ€™s deep dependence on the US was ingrained into its architecture. It will thus take much more than mere pronouncements - or a few hundred billion borrowed euros spent on weaponry - to shed Europeโ€™s in-built dependence on the United States. The fact that the EU was, from the beginning, fashioned as a Big Business Cartel is the reason why the EU needed fixed exchange rates: Currency fluctuations destabilise any cartel, making it hard to maintain the necessary levels of collusion between its participating producers. From 1950 to 1971, the US took care of this problem on Europeโ€™s behalf. As long as it was running a trade deficit with the United States, Europeโ€™s cartel was embedded in the dollar zone โ€“ its currencies tied to the dollar But, when around 1969 Europe (and Japan) started running a trade surplus with the United States, it was game over. On 15th August 1971, the Donald Trump of that era, President Richard Nixon, jettisoned Europe from the dollar zone, his Treasury Secretary cynically telling the dumbfounded Europeans: โ€œFrom today the dollar is our currency but it is your problem!โ€ Two things happened next. First, to save their Big Business Cartel the Europeans scrambled to create their own fixed exchange rate regime. They tried everything: The Snake. The European Monetary System. The European Exchange Rate Mechanism. They all proved flimsy designs that speculators had no trouble crushing. So, in desperation, they created the most noxious currency the human spirit could fashion - the euro. The second development was that, as America expanded its budget and trade deficits, the Eurozone morphed into a German-led net exporting machine whose aggregate demand was subcontracted to the United States. In effect, Americaโ€™s twin deficits operated like a huge vacuum cleaner that sucked into America Europeโ€™s net exports as well as the European exportersโ€™ profits which were thus invested in US Treasuries, US shares and US real estate. Thatโ€™s how, once it was expelled from the dollar zone, Europe became addicted to the US deficits. That was what the Nixon Shock did: It converted Europeโ€™s utter reliance on living within the dollar zone into an even greater dependence on the US deficits. [NEVER MISSING A CHANCE TO MISS AN OPPORTUNITY] Here in Brussels they love the expression that Europe progresses from crisis to crisis. Thatโ€™s another delusion. The crisis of 2008 was our greatest opportunity to render the European Union viable, and to end its deep dependence on the United States. ยท The French and German banks went bankrupt. ยท The Eurozoneโ€™s impossible rules were in tatters. ยท A domino effect, beginning with Greece, was bankrupting our governments. It was the perfect opportunity to transform the EU from a Big Business Cartel, inherently reliant on the US for its aggregate demand, into a functional, internally balanced federation. Instead, Europeโ€™s radical centre (both the centre right and the centre left) decided that they would change everything so as to ensure that nothingchanges. In this vein, they did their worst: Universal austerity for the many. And frantic money printing for the financiers and Big Business. What happens when you crush the incomes of the many and hand over trillions to the very few? Since the many are too poor to buy high value added goods, business stops investing in productive capital โ€“โ€“ while the rich use the free cash to push through the roof house prices, share prices, Bitcoin prices, art, asset prices in general. The natural result is soul-crushing levels of inequality and deep popular discontent. The people got desperate. They even voted for radical progressives like me to enter the Eurogroup! Then, in horror, Brussels and Frankfurt overthrew us, or made Mr Tsipras overthrow his own government, using not the tanks, as they did in Greece in 1967, but the banks โ€“ not that much of a difference really! A coup dโ€™ รฉtat is a coup dโ€™ รฉtat. [TWO SYMBIOTIC AUTHORITARIANISMS] Guess what happened next: Just as in the mid-war period, xenophobic ultra-rightists rose up from the woodwork. They proved a godsent for the shockingly unpopular radical centre whose politicians could now say to voters: It is us or them! But it was equally a godsent for the ultra-right who needed the radical centre to impose the austerity policies which created the discontent which fuelled the anger that delivered the ultra-right votes. To put it differently, if Macron and Le Pen had any sense, they would each keep a framed picture of the other on their bedside tables, saying a little prayer in their hated opponentโ€™s name every night before going to sleep. [SMOKE AND MIRRORS] Liberal Totalitarianism and Ultra-Right-Xenophobic Totalitarianism are accomplices, they feed off each other. Meanwhile, austerity for the many and money printing for the few depletes Europeโ€™s productive foundations, its social fabric, its sense of purpose. Thatโ€™s how the European Union lost any legitimacy it had in the eyes of the public. Sensing this, the Liberal Totalitarians in charge came up with one failed Grand Initiative after another. Who can forget the eminently forgettable Juncker investment plan, the Banking Union, the Green Deal, or the Draghi Report that has now joined them in Historyโ€™s Dustbin? Impressive numbers were announced that, alas, dependably failed to materialise. It was inevitable. As long as our rulers said NO to the political union that could sustain a proper, macroeconomically significant, eurobond, the money to fund the necessary investment could never materialise. Even when they โ€“ finally โ€“ during the pandemic โ€“ did issue common debt, they ended up with common liabilities but no common purpose. Every Grand Initiative ever announced was a dance with failure, smoke and mirrors by which they disguised Europeโ€™s nakedness. The result? After fifteen years of ZERO NET PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENT, ยท Germany is deindustrialising fast, and along with it Eastern and Central Europe, Austria, Northern Italy ยท Political paralysis grows on the back of fiscal pressures ยท Neofascism and xenophobia are rising up everywhere ยท Europeโ€™s dependence on the United States grows stronger at the time Donald Trump is cutting Europe loose ยท The Rest of the World looks at Europe as a sad case of what could have been, an irritating irrelevance. In this sad context, our great and good leaders had another woeful idea for a Grand Initiative: Now that the Green Deal is dead-in-the-water and the Recovery Fund is spent, why not try Military Keynesianism? [THE FOLLY OF MILITARY KEYNESIANISM] Ladies and Gentlemen, Military Keynesianism works in the United States because America has the federal institutions, the monetary sovereignty, the fiscal power, the technostructure, and the common procurement process that are essential in implementing Military Keynesianism. Europe has none of that, nor does it have leaders interested in acquiring any of that. This is why Military Keynesianism cannot work in Europe. Thank goodness it canโ€™t work, I say! For if it could work, Europe would have to emulate the United States in starting a war every year so that the stocks of ammunition, missiles et al could be depleted sufficiently to justify the new colossal orders necessary to maintain Military Keynesianism. Nevertheless, while Europeโ€™s Military Keynesianism cannot and should not work, it serves a purpose โ€“ it is a kind of a solution for, say, Volkswagen: Now that Volkswagen can no longer sell its cars, it hands over whole production lines to Rheinmetall to produce Leopard tanks which von der Leyen makes Greece and Italy buy even though we neither want nor need them. Yes, Military Keynesianism will fail Europe badly, but not before it further bankrupts our states and throws more fuel onto the fire burning down lives and dreams in Ukraineโ€™s killing fields. So, let me be frank: ยท No really-existing enemy of Europe shakes in his boots watching a stagnating, heavily indebted Europe, invest billions in weaponry. Quite the opposite! ยท Military Keynesianism will end up as Europeโ€™s New Austerity for the many and a new money spinner for the few. ยท It will make Europe weaker while prolonging the Ukraine War in a manner that is detrimental to the stated aim of supporting Ukraine. [EUROPEโ€™S SURRENDER TO NATO, ITS ROLE IN UKRAINE] It is at this point that angry yelps will rise up from the press gallery. Canโ€™t you hear them ask: "โ€œIs Russia not ante portas?โ€ โ€œIs Europe not in danger?โ€ โ€œShould Europe remain defenceless, especially now that Trump is abandoning Europe?โ€ My answer is clear: Weakening ourselves economically through a Military Keynesianism that constitutes the New Austerity which will, with mathematical precision, diminish Europe further is no way to make Europe stronger! And lest we forget, Europe already has 1.5m men and women in uniform while, over the past decade, we spent โ‚ฌ2.7 trillion on defence โ€“ a period during which our net productive investment was zero! Now, NATO demands that we spend three times as much - which is totally insane, given how wastefully that โ‚ฌ2.7 trillion was spent. In this light, surrendering our foreign and defence policies to NATO, and sinking further in unsustainable debt just to satisfy President Trumpโ€™s demands for more military spending, is the surest way of making Europe more dependent, less secure, uglier and sadder. In this context, the powers-that-be here in Brussels are anxiously trying to keep their jobs and boost their budgets by spreading the lie that NATO had to expand in order to deter Russian aggression โ€“ when it is exactly the other way round: Like the Mafia, NATO expanded to create insecurity in order to sell us protection! Does this mean that Putin was right to invade the Ukraine? Of course not. What it means is that NATO and Putin are accomplices โ€“ that they needed one another in their joint bid for a confrontation that strengthened both โ€“ at Europeโ€™s expense. It also means that anyone truly interested in Europeโ€™s security and prosperity 1. must dispel the lie that Russia is about to invade us โ€“ it canโ€™t even if it wants to 2. must work tirelessly to kill Europeโ€™s Military Keynesianism, and 3. must work toward a European Peace Process which uses Russiaโ€™s confiscated monies not as a piggybank for more useless Leopard tanks and Leonardo missiles but as a bargaining chip to end the Ukraine War in the context of a comprehensive EU-Russia Peace Treaty. As for the politicians in this town who will not rest until they see Russia on its knees, I have this to say to them: If you really wanted to weaken Russia, to bring Russia to its knees, you should have worked hard to admit Russia into theโ€ฆ Eurozone. In one fell swoop the euro would have wrecked Russiaโ€™s productive basis, it would have indebted its people and its state, it would have made its leaders rush to Brussels and to Frankfurt with begging bowl in hand! You think I am joking. But there is too much truth in this joke for comfort! To sum up my argument so far, Europeโ€™s economic stagnation was the product of its total dependence on the American deficits. This dependence yielded Europeโ€™s complicity with the decade-long American project of inciting a war in Ukraine. And now that the US is decoupling, our rulers โ€“ resembling decapitated chickens โ€“ are running around without their heads screwed on, struggling to find ways of continuing to impede Peace in Ukraine so as to use military funds to prop up Europeโ€™s faltering Big Business Cartel. [WHATโ€™S BEHIND EUROPEโ€™S ETHICAL DECAY: GAZA, TOTALITARIANISM] Ladies and Gentlemen, as we speak here today, Europe is falling headlong into another ethical void: complicity in the Palestinian genocide. It is not just the embarrassment, also known as Mrs Ursula von der Leyen, posing like a cheerleader of Israelโ€™s genocidal army in front of its tanks hours before they stormed Gaza. No, the European Union is not merely complicit due to our subservience to the United States. No, the European Union is also enabling, it is in fact funding, the war criminals of its own accord. Directly. Cynically. With no compunction. ยท BNP PARIBAS and ALLIANZ underwrite the issues of the Israeli government bonds that fund the Israeli meatgrinder in the Palestinian Occupied Territories ยท MAERSK is the prime transporter of the military machine at work in Gaza ยท Since 2007, the European Union has channelled โ‚ฌ2 billion of research funding to Israeli entities producing the means by which Palestinians are ethnically cleansed, targeted, murdered and maimed. But there is something even scarier going on: Some of our top institutions depend financially on backing Israelโ€™s genocide. If Europe were to do its duty and sanction Israel, the Technical University of Munich stands to lose โ‚ฌ195.4 million from the EUโ€™s HORIZON program which funds the University to carry out joint research with Israeli institutions. Ladies and Gentlemen, Europe carries an enormous guilt. The pogroms against the Jews started here, in Europe. Europeans carried out genocides across Africa, in the Americas, in Australia. By forming the EU as a Peace Project, we claimed a chance to make amends for Europeโ€™s past genocides. However, our dependence on the US and our ruling classโ€™s penchant to profit from imperialism have made this impossible โ€“ and so Europeโ€™s hands are, again, covered in the blood of innocents, in Gaza, in Ukraine, in the Sudan, in Libya, in Yemen, in Syria. It has also brought totalitarianism back into our midst, here in Europe. When the German authorities banned me from entering Germany for the crime of co-organising with German Jews a conference on the theme of โ€˜A Just Peace in the Middle Eastโ€™, they were making a point: To them, letting the rivers of Palestinian blood flow unimpeded represented their chance of washing off their hands the guilt over the Holocaust, over the other German genocide in Namibia, of Belgiumโ€™s crimes against humanity in the Congoโ€ฆ It is, therefore, a clear warning to us: Economic stagnation begets warmongering which begets a revived European white settler mentality. This Europe has fallen so far into a moral crevice that it cannot easily climb out of it. Europeโ€™s Liberal Totalitarianism, which we in Greece experienced in all its horror ten years ago, is now everywhere โ€“ and it is throwing wide open the gates through which Xenophobic Ultra-Right Totalitarianism arrives to darken our doorstep. The time to rise up against both forms of totalitarianism is now. On behalf of the peoples of Europe. [WHAT MUST WE DO?] So, what must we do? Let us begin by grasping that: ยท The economic condition for Peace is to de-couple Europe's economy from America's wars! ยท But for that we must end, once and for all, Europeโ€™s dependence on the United States. ยท This entails ending Europeโ€™s dependence on net exports to America. ยท Which means rebalancing Europeโ€™s internal economy through o new productive green investments, o an end to structural austerity o an end to the madness of cartel-infested electricity โ€˜marketsโ€™ o a new monetary commons by which to end the bankersโ€™ monopoly over payments and to institute a personal dividend for all o a new EU-China deal that liberates us from Americaโ€™s agenda of intensifying a pointless New Cold War at our expense. Only by transforming Europeโ€™s political economy can we end the never-ending fragmentation which breeds war, totalitarianism and the embarrassment of being led by cheerleaders of genocide and permanent war with Russia, like Ursula von der Leyen and Kaja Kallas. How can we accomplish that? In two ways. First, we need a Credible Plan for a Europe worth fighting for. Second, we must organise a campaign of civil and governmental disobedience in our countries and, potentially, in the European Council until our Plan for Europe gets a chance. We, DiEM25, have worked for a decade on this Plan โ€“ our Green New Deal for Europe โ€“ and are happy to share it with you, so that you can refine, revise, adapt it. You, the 5S Movement and other parties eager to partake across Europe, have the organisation that we lack so that, together with our MERA25 transnational parties, we can together help organise the campaign of civil and governmental disobedience without which nothing will change, nothing will impede Europeโ€™s, Italyโ€™s, Greeceโ€™s, indeed Germanyโ€™s secular decline. [CONCLUSION] So, to conclude, seventy-five years of this European Union teach us that we face a stark choice. A choice between a Dependent-on-the-United States, Warmongering, Stagnating Europe. Or an Independent, Non-Aligned, Prosperous, Green Europe. A choice between a von der Leyen-type Commission that greenlights genocide, impedes Peace, illegally deletes her Pfizer chat history, lobbies for Lockheed Martin, and borrows money we canโ€™t repay to buy weaponry we do not need - while condemning People and Planet to impecunity. Or European Institutions optimised against raw power and in favour of common prosperity. A choice between being at the beck and call of the boardrooms of Rheinmetall, Leonardo and Pfizer, blind to the tax havens where war profits and tax fraud hide, while our coastguards turn refugees into corpses. Or a Europe of rational, that is a radical, humanism. To even have this choice, our immediate task must be to end war, to end genocide and to terminate before it is too late the New Austerity going by the name of Military Keynesianism.

Yanis Varoufakis

25,114 views โ€ข 1 year ago

The CIA's information war with American citizens and the operation that started it all. Project Mockingbird. This is one main aspect as to why people are so divided and brainwashed in today's society. Information has always been a crucial component to power and control. Knowledge is power, right? The only difference today from 40+ years ago is that now information flows at a rate that is absolutely mind-boggling and allows you to connect with anyone, at anytime, anywhere in the world, with real-time information 24/7 at your finger tips. So what happens when you have people who are suppose to be giving you accurate, truthful, information, and start to give you information that benefits, manipulates, and persuades the global population with mis and disinformation, protects certain corrupt people and groups by not reporting on other information, and who also lies and slanders other individuals all for the purpose to maintain power and control over the entire population, entirely on PURPOSE? You get what's called PROPAGANDA, aka, a sh*t show of so much purposeful bad and fake information, that it literally starts to persuade and mold the populations overall views and opinions on an array of various topics to fit the nefarious controllers, behind the scenes narrative or agenda. Ultimitely benefitting only them. If you take notice, these campaigns have been around for a long time, depending what side your on, your personal views and where you get your overall information will ultimately decide or be a factor of how much it has affected you or how much you are aware of the deception in the first place. Most legacy mainstream media groups are owned and operated by a small group of wealthy globalist individuals who seem to lean towards the left, and some leaning even farther left than others. These campaigns started to really pick up when Trump entered the picture in 2016. Trump was never suppose to win in the first place. Obama reinstated propaganda to be used on American citizens once again in 2013. The task to slander and attempt to destroy and imprison Trump through multiple operations and media campaigns were in full effect for the deep state to regain control of The White House. The group that these campaigns affected the most were the older groups and the younger groups. The people in the middle basically got to see both worlds play out in their lives at a crucial time period in their lives. They've seen the mainstream shift from what it once was, to an extreme lying, propaganda machine when Trump took office. The older aged crowd was so used to the regular nightly news and not as comfortable with newer technology to access alternative media sites and really just stuck with the mainstream's words and kept their faith in the MSM. Now the younger crowd literally grew up with the fully scripted, CIA, propaganda MSM because that is literally all they've ever known and haven't experienced anything else before or have anything to compare it to. Especially when your indoctrinated in a public school system that has been infiltrated itself with a majority of far-left teachers who usually end up being predators as well. That's a whole other story. The problem this CIA operation has caused was a population with people all in their own separate groups and boxes, fighting with each other over many things, instead of the people who started this mess in the first place, that aren't even true because one side has been lied to and manipulated. Brainwashed from a literal military style operation that's used to topple foreign countries during regime changes. And the worst part on top of all this is that know since Elon has started DOGE, a government efficiency operation, we are now uncovering that all these communist, Marxist, ideas, and operations and slander campaigns, and legal cases against Trump, down to these politicians luxurious lifestyles have been all funded and paid for by us, the TAXPAYERS. On the one example above, through USAID, there is proof of over $9 MILLION dollars that went to Reuters for a campaign named, " ACTIVE SOCIAL ENGINEERING DEFENSE LARGE SCALE SOCIAL DECEPTION," which is a definitive contract. There are thousands of examples just like this for all different companies, influencers, T.V. shows, Magazines, Articles, any type of media, and all of them are left leaning outlets. This has been going on for decades. Then on top off all of that, you have people who own these publishing and media companies who are not only getting paid by the taxpayers from the CIA to deceive us, but many of these owners are best friends with people like Jeffery Epstein and Ghislaine Maxell as you can also see above who is with Laurene Powell Jobs, the owner of "The Atlantic" publication, on vacation just hanging out. You wonder why the media never talks about child trafficking. Their paid to cover it up, or they're literally involved themselves... It just get's better and better. The good news is that it is now being exposed and shut down. Let's dive into the history of PROJECT MOCKINGBIRD now. The story of Project Mockingbird begins in the shadow of the Cold War, a period defined by ideological warfare between the United States and the Soviet Union. In the early 1960s, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), under the leadership of Director John McCone, launched a covert operation codenamed "Project Mockingbird." Unlike the broader, alleged "Operation Mockingbird" often cited in conspiracy circles as a sprawling media manipulation scheme, the historical Project Mockingbird was a specific, documented wiretapping effort aimed at curbing leaks of classified information. Initiated on March 12, 1963, and concluding on June 15, 1963, Project Mockingbird targeted two Washington-based journalists, Robert S. Allen and Paul J. Scott, who wrote the syndicated "Allen-Scott Report." These columnists had a knack for publishing articles laced with highly classified CIA detailsโ€”information so sensitive it included Top Secret and Special Intelligence data. Their scoops, often sourced from government insiders, rattled the Kennedy administration, particularly after a July 26, 1962, New York Times article by Hanson Baldwin exposed details of a National Intelligence Estimate comparing U.S. and Soviet nuclear arsenals. President John F. Kennedy, incensed by such leaks, sought to plug the holes. The operation was a collaborative effort, greenlit by Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy, Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara, and Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency Joseph Carroll. The CIAโ€™s Office of Security, led by Sheffield Edwards, executed the wiretapping, monitoring the journalistsโ€™ home and office phones. The surveillance results identified congressional sources, including then-Speaker of the House John McCormack, who spoke with Scott on March 26, 1963. The "Family Jewels"โ€”a 1973 CIA document declassified in 2007โ€”later exposed this operation, revealing its scope and raising questions about its legality. Daniel L. Pines, a CIA Assistant General Counsel, argued in a 2009 Indiana Law Journal review that the wiretapping likely violated legal bounds, as its primary aim was to trace leaks rather than gather foreign intelligence. This historical Project Mockingbird, though limited in duration and scope, planted a seed of distrust between the government, the press, and the publicโ€”a seed that would grow into a broader narrative of media manipulation. From Wiretaps to Media Empire While Project Mockingbird of 1963 was a discrete surveillance effort, it became conflated with a larger CIA program dubbed "Operation Mockingbird." This narrative emerged most prominently in Deborah Davisโ€™s 1979 book, Katharine the Great, which claimed that the CIA, under Frank Wisner of the Office of Policy Coordination, had systematically infiltrated American media starting in the 1950s. Davis alleged that Wisner recruited Washington Post publisher Phil Graham to orchestrate a propaganda network, embedding CIA-friendly journalists in outlets like The New York Times, Newsweek, and CBS. Cord Meyer, a key CIA figure, was said to have taken the reins in 1951, expanding the operationโ€™s reach. The Church Committeeโ€™s 1975-1976 investigation lent some credence to these claims, uncovering CIA ties to around 50 American journalists and covert funding of front groups like the National Student Association, exposed by Ramparts magazine in 1967. Carl Bernsteinโ€™s 1977 Rolling Stone article, "The CIA and the Media," further detailed how over 400 U.S. journalists had covertly worked with the CIA, often disseminating propaganda abroad that would then filter back to domestic audiences. the CIA admitted overreach. By 1976, under Director George H.W. Bush, the CIA publicly pledged to end paid relationships with U.S. journalists. Yet, skeptics argued the agency merely shifted tactics, maintaining influence through foreign media outlets that indirectly shaped American narratives. The line between historical fact and conspiracy theory blurred, setting the stage for modern reinterpretations of Mockingbirdโ€™s legacy. They claim. The Turning Point came in 2013 and the Smith-Mundt Modernization Act Fast forward to July 2, 2013, a date that marks a pivotal shift in the Mockingbird saga. Under President Barack Obama, the Smith-Mundt Modernization Actโ€”embedded in the 2013 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA)โ€”took effect. This legislation amended the U.S. Information and Educational Exchange Act of 1948, commonly known as the Smith-Mundt Act, which had long barred government-funded broadcasters like Voice of America (VOA) and Radio Free Europe/Radio Libertyโ€”overseen by the Broadcasting Board of Governors (now the U.S. Agency for Global Media, USAGM)โ€”from disseminating their content domestically. The original intent was to prevent the U.S. government from propagandizing its own citizens, a safeguard rooted in post-World War II fears of authoritarian overreach. The 2013 amendment, co-sponsored by Representatives Adam Smith (D-WA) and Mac Thornberry (R-TX), lifted this restriction, allowing USAGM content to be requested and accessed by Americans. Proponents hailed it as a transparency win, arguing that taxpayers deserved to see what their dollars fundedโ€”news and programming in 61 languages, reaching over 100 countries. Critics, however, saw it as a Pandoraโ€™s box. Foreign Policy reported on July 14, 2013, that the change unleashed "thousands of hours per week of government-funded radio and TV programs for domestic U.S. consumption," raising fears of legalized propaganda. The timing was notable: it followed a decade of post-9/11 media scrutiny and preceded a surge in misinformation debates. in 2024 claimed "Operation Mockingbird never ended," tying the NDAA to a supposed CIA media takeover. No hard evidence supports a direct CIA role, but the legal shift undeniably blurred lines between foreign and domestic information flows. While the USAGM insists its mission remains outward-facingโ€”delivering uncensored news to foreign audiences lacking free pressโ€”and that its journalists adhere to strict objectivity standards, the repeal stoked speculation. Could this be a modern resurrection of Mockingbird-style influence? The answer is yes. Most projects they say they stopped just get renamed or go black and off the books so Congress doesn't even know it exists or get access to it. Be careful what you read, who you follow, and who you get your information from. Look for patterns and scripts. They're easy to find once you understand what's really going on and their tactics and techniques. Keep asking questions, cross reference everything, do your due diligence, have multiple sources, do not buy everything at face value, go deeper, think about the bigger picture or long term goals. And always remember that there are layers, optics, and timing to everything you see. 90% of everything that comes out gets run by the intelligence agencies first. Lastly, keep fighting for the truth and and continue to help others to wake up as well.

The SCIF

82,994 views โ€ข 1 year ago